The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Tinalera]

Barbie

Thurs July 20 and Fri July 21 (T-16)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

T-23		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	14	1014	2981	3995	0.2538
	Fri	4	19	1289	4084	5373	0.2399
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Montreal	Thurs	2	7	544	917	1461	0.3723
	Fri	2	7	777	1741	2518	0.3085

 

 

Okay these numbers are just....wow. I really don't have comps for comedy, but for a try, heres GOTG 3 at T-16

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	43	869	6106	6975	0.1245
	Fri	4	50	569	9773	10342	0.0550
Montreal		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	3	18	616	4303	4919	0.1252
	fri	4	25	406	6170	6576	0.0617

 

 

 

 

Now Montreal can be explained with only 2 theatres in area doing presales, and GOTG had a LOT more seat availability compared to Barbie...but Canada seems certainly summer hot for that Barbie girl.

[ZackM]

On 7/3/2023 at 10:14 PM, ZackM said:

 

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	1	25	0	0	18
Seats Added	168	4,453	0	0	2,042
Seats Sold	2,294	2,571	2,319	2,115	1,858
7/2/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	412	1,946	43,375	321,216	13.50%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	4	21	53	95
ATP	Gross
$16.71	$724,796

 

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days
7/2/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	17,400	20,668	84.19%
ATP	Gross
$21.31	$370,794

 

 

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	4	15	1	25	0
Seats Added	468	2,643	168	4,453	0
Seats Sold	2,472	2,210	2,294	2,571	2,319
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	413	1,965	48,057	324,327	14.82%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	4	25	59	110
ATP	Gross
$16.59	$797,266

 

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	17,739	20,668	85.83%
ATP	Gross
$21.28	$377,486

 

Edited July 6, 2023 by ZackM

[ZackM]

On 7/3/2023 at 9:58 PM, ZackM said:

 

Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	7	0	0	5
Seats Added	0	945	0	0	865
Seats Sold	1,170	1,052	1,067	960	978
7/2/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	1,314	42,142	257,702	16.35%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	22	46	69
ATP	Gross
$19.59	$825,562

 

 

Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	6	8	0	7	0
Seats Added	1,407	1,920	0	945	0
Seats Sold	1,491	1,060	1,170	1,052	1,067
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	1,328	44,693	261,029	17.12%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	24	47	77
ATP	Gross
$19.51	$871,960

[tonytr87]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, July 9	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny	Disney / Lucasfilm	$28,600,000	$125,800,000	~4,600	-53%
Insidious: The Red Door	Sony Pictures / Screen Gems	$24,100,000	$24,100,000	~3,000	NEW
Sound of Freedom	Angel Studios	$8,900,000	$25,600,000	~2,600	NEW
Joy Ride	Lionsgate	$8,400,000	$8,400,000	~2,700	NEW
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	Sony / Columbia Pictures	$8,000,000	$357,300,000	~3,200	-33%
Elemental	Walt Disney Pictures / Pixar	$7,400,000	$104,700,000	~3,500	-39%
No Hard Feelings	Sony / Columbia Pictures	$4,500,000	$39,800,000	~2,700	-43%
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts	Paramount Pictures	$4,500,000	$146,100,000	~2,600	-39%
The Little Mermaid (2023)	Walt Disney Pictures	$3,600,000	$288,700,000	~2,200	-33%
Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken	Universal / DreamWorks Animation	$2,600,000	$11,200,000	~3,400	-53%

 

Weekend Box Office Forecast: INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR, JOY RIDE, and SOUND OF FREEDOM Debut as INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY Looks to Repeat at #1 - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

 

Deadline is also projecting $23M for Insidious, $7-9M for Joy Ride.

 

Box Office: ‘Sound of Freedom’ Battles ‘Indiana Jones’ On July 4th – Deadline

 

After that huge Tuesday I think Sound of Freedom will go much higher.

[DAJK]

I’ll tell ya right now, there are quite a few locations that don’t have higher ticket sales for Barbie simply because they’re sold out, and aren’t adding more screens.

[Flopped]

How is Insidious looking? 

[Porthos]

On 7/5/2023 at 1:50 AM, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7231	8248	1017	12.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

44

 

T-16 Comps:

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	43.72		112	2326		0/190	22988/25314	9.19%		10966	9.27%		7.87m
BP2	15.17		130	6704		1/294	30320/37024	18.11%		16800	6.05%		4.25m
FX	112.25		36	906		0/178	26804/27710	3.27%		4122	24.67%		8.42m
Indy 5	91.13		10	1116		0/128	19125/20241	5.51%		4767	21.33%		6.56m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:       215/2968  [7.24% sold]
Matinee:          13/81  [16.05% | 1.28% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 449/776 [+7 tickets] [44.15% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    395/4100 [+31 tickets] [38.84% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           173/3372 [+6 tickets] [17.01% of all tickets sold]

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7164	8248	1084	13.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

67

 

T-15 Comps:

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	44.70		99	2425		0/191	22947/25372	9.56%		10966	9.89%		8.05m
BP2	15.87		126	6830		2/294	30194/37024	18.45%		16800	6.45%		4.44m
FX	114.35		42	948		0/178	26762/27710	3.42%		4122	26.30%		8.58m
Indy 5	92.73		53	1169		0/128	19072/20241	5.78%		4767	22.74%		6.68m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:       223/2968  [7.51% sold]
Matinee:          13/81  [16.05% | 1.20% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 485/776 [+36 tickets] [44.74% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:     419/4100 [+24 tickets] [38.65% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           180/3372 [+7 tickets] [16.61% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 7/5/2023 at 1:51 AM, Porthos said:

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	96	10974	12627	1653	13.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

95

 

T-16 Comps:

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TGM	45.83		220	3607		0/259	32324/35931	10.04%		11474	14.41%		8.83m
JWD	71.07		112	2326		0/190	22988/25314	9.19%		10966	15.07%		12.79m
BA	209.77		59	788		0/146	21279/22067	3.57%		4494	36.78%		15.73m
Ava 2	63.43		98	2606		0/142	18732/21338	12.21%		8986	18.40%		10.78m
Scream 6	312.48		39	529		0/68	7359/7888	6.71%		3134	52.74%		17.81m
Wick 4	161.58		54	1023		0/88	12307/13330	7.67%		5448	30.34%		14.38m
FX	182.45		36	906		0/178	26804/27710	3.27%		4122	40.10%		13.68m
TLM	122.99		118	1344		0/154	21376/22720	5.92%		6561	25.19%		12.67m
AtSV	90.77		79	1821		0/123	18098/19919	9.14%		9744	16.96%		15.75m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:     350/4252  [8.23% sold]
Matinee:    86/1757  [4.89% | 5.20% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:       355/423 [83.92% sold] [+10 tickets sold]
Thr:    1298/12204 [10.64% sold] [+85 tickets sold]

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	96	10799	12612	1813	14.38%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

160

 

T-15 Comps:

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TGM	47.76		189	3796		0/259	32137/35933	10.56%		11474	15.80%		9.20m
JWD	74.76		99	2425		0/191	22947/25372	9.56%		10966	16.53%		13.46m
BA	212.54		65	853		0/146	21214/22067	3.87%		4494	40.34%		15.94m
Ava 2	67.27		89	2695		0/142	18643/21338	12.63%		8986	20.18%		11.44m
Scream 6	292.42		91	620		0/68	7268/7888	7.86%		3134	57.85%		16.67m
Wick 4	166.79		64	1087		0/88	12243/13330	8.15%		5448	33.28%		14.84m
FX	191.24		42	948		0/178	26762/27710	3.42%		4122	43.98%		14.34m
TLM	125.90		96	1440		0/154	21277/22717	6.34%		6561	27.63%		12.97m
AtSV	95.82		71	1892		0/123	18027/19919	9.50%		9744	18.61%		16.63m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:       372/4252  [8.75% sold]
Matinee:    102/1757  [5.81% | 5.63% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:       353/423 [83.45% sold] [-2 tickets sold]
Thr:    1460/12189 [11.98% sold] [+162 tickets sold]

 

===

 

Yes this is the correct number of seats sold today.  One of the reasons this is so late tonight is I was double checking (and in a couple of cases triple checking) my numbers to make sure there were no obvious errors.

 

(there weren't — at least none I could spot immediately, just strong sales up and down the region)

Edited July 6, 2023 by Porthos

[Porthos]

On 7/5/2023 at 1:52 AM, Porthos said:

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	161	23405	25021	1616	6.46%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	608
Total Seats Sold Today	175

 

T-7 Comps:

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	124.12		130	1302		0/144	21051/22353	5.82%		3737	43.24%		7.70m
JWD	41.60		314	3885		0/223	23869/27754	14.00%		10966	14.74%		7.49m
Ava 2	38.90		232	4154		0/184	21975/26129	15.90%		8986	17.98%		6.61m
Wick 4	92.66		161	1744		0/113	13827/15571	11.20%		5448	29.66%		8.25m
FX	109.19		43	1480		0/179	26661/28141	5.26%		4122	39.20%		8.19m
Indy 5	89.68		92	1802		0/134	18905/20707	8.70%		4767	33.90%		6.46m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:         260/8209  [3.17% sold]
Matinee:        49/1805  [2.71% | 3.03% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    303/6196  [4.89% | 18.75% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          84/456 [18.42% sold] [+4 tickets]
Mon:     591/2289 [25.82% sold] [+28 tickets]
Tue:     941/22213 [4.24% sold] [+143 tickets]

 

====

 

Century Arden was giving me absolute fits tonight, as they are tweaking/updating/mucking about with their seat maps for their converted DBOX auditoriums on the fly (and Fandango is still not picking up their DBOX showings FWIW as they keep spitting out errors when I try to access them).

 

I am reasonably certain that I have the correct seats sold info for the various showings that have a mix of standard and DBOX seating (after taking about 10 to 15 minutes to track various showings that hadn't sold any tickets yet and compared/contrasted them with ones that had). 

 

I am only somewhat certain that I have the correct seat sold info for today.  I am in fact, somewhat certain, but there was enough squirrelly behavior at three of the showings (but ***NOT*** a fourth) that I can't be 100 percent certain.

 

This is all complicated by a few conflicting factors:

 

1] Social media buzz has been very strong.

2] This is about when showings, especially the PLF ones, start to really fill up.

3] This is still the Fourth of July, so I expected a fair amount of slowdown.

4] Century Arden is the most trafficked theater in town (unless there's a special event going on over at Esquire IMAX that attracts the film aficionados who want to see something on the biggest, baddest screen possible), so any sort of boost in sales should be magnified there.

 

In the end, the amount sold today is only really important for pacing purposes, but I still wanted to highlight a possible hiccup.

 

Even so, at most, that was a spike of around 60 tickets. So even if I chop that in half to account for maaaaaybe previously sold tickets that weren't showing up for one reason or another, it was still a pretty strong day locally.  Especially with the Fourth of July factor is figured in.

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	159	22812	24565	1753	7.14%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	2
Total Seats Removed Today	456
Total Seats Sold Today	137

 

T-6 Comps:

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	122.85		125	1427		0/145	21026/22453	6.36%		3737	46.91%		7.62m
JWD	42.04		285	4170		0/223	23587/27757	15.02%		10966	15.99%		7.57m
Ava 2	39.93		236	4390		0/184	21739/26129	16.80%		8986	19.51%		6.79m
Wick 4	92.36		154	1898		0/113	13673/15571	12.19%		5448	32.18%		8.22m
FX	112.30		81	1561		0/179	26583/28144	5.55%		4122	42.53%		8.42m
Indy 5	93.49		73	1875		0/134	18832/20707	9.05%		4767	36.77%		6.73m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:     303/7753  [3.91% sold]
Matinee:    60/1805  [3.32% | 3.42% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    351/5740  [6.11% | 20.02% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          90/456 [19.74% sold] [+6 tickets]
Mon:    624/2289 [27.26% sold] [+33 tickets]
Tue:    1039/21757 [4.78% sold] [+98 tickets]

 

===

 

One of the other reasons this is super late tonight is I was double checking these numbers to make sure there were no obvious errors in the other direction.

 

Of course, yesterday (Tuesday) saw an abnormally high spike locally so this all in all isn't that bad of a jump when looked at from Sun/Mon -> Wed.  But still, I wanted to make sure these were also correct, and they look to be.

 

(FWIW, Oppenheimer saw a big spike at the 70mm showings and precious little else elsewhere in the market so it was just an odd day all the way around, perhaps in no small part due to the Cat 3 storm that is Barbie that looks to be forming)

Edited July 6, 2023 by Porthos

[vafrow]

On 7/1/2023 at 6:39 AM, vafrow said:

I didn't see Haunted Mansion get added to my local theatre this week when it went on sale in the States,so I assumed Cineplex didn't add it yet. But, I checked some other theatres nearby and it appears to be on there. 

 

So, I did a sweep through on sales for about a 100km radius, covering all of the GTA and into South Western Ontario area.

 

There's a grand total of 7 tickets sold for Thursday previews. That covers about 25 theatres, at 3 shows a piece. There was one group sale of 3, and otherwise all singles.

 

I don't know how long it's been on sale, and have no real comps (I did a similar sweep for Ruby Gillman a few days before it's release with similar numbers). But, not looking great up here.

 

Edit: I just checked sales for the Friday, and they were only at 4 tickets sold.

 

Haunted Mansion, southern Ontario, T-22

 

Seeing sales so strong in other markets for this, I thought I'd check in again for that southern Ontario radius (London to Clarington).

 

Ticket sales for Thursday preview is only at 17 sold. So, still ridiculously slow for a major market.

 

I did see the trailer during the weekend when I went to see Indiana Jones, so, it is getting promotion up here.

[vafrow]

On 7/4/2023 at 8:21 AM, vafrow said:

 

Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1, T-8 Milton, ON

 

Sales have really picked up on this in the last two days, from 29 to 52. Same caveat of not accounting for ticket discounts. The only comp I have trailing is ATSV, which is still improved on.

 

4.333x of Fast X for $32.5M

2.600x of T:ROTB for $22.8M

10.400x of Indy 5 for $74.9M

0.520x of ATSV for $9.0M

1.733x of Flash for $16.8M

 

 

Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1, T-6 Milton, ON

 

Sales continue to be strong. Even the ATSV comp is in the double digits. New showtimes were added for the following week, and MI7 is the first movie since Fast X at my theatre to get two screens for its preview night.

 

2.750x of Fast X for $20.6M

3.850x of T:ROTB for $33.8M

11.000x of Indy 5 for $76.2M

0.636x of ATSV for $11.0M

2.567x of Flash for $24.9M

[vafrow]

On 7/3/2023 at 8:40 AM, vafrow said:

Barbie T-18, Milton, ON

 

Sales had gotten to a decent start, but has fully stalled since T-23. But, it's also the holiday weekend. 

 

Also tough to get good comparables. TLM was the only really female focused property I have, and tracking only started at T-16.

 

4.667x of Indy 5 for $33.6M

2.800x of T:ROTB for $24.6M

0.389x of ATSV for $6.7M

1.400x of Flash for $13.6M

1.000x of MI7 for ???

 

 

 

Barbie T-15, Milton, ON

 

The issue of not having good comps continues. At 31 tickets sold, it's outpacing everything I have except ATSV. It's even doing better than MI7 at the same point in time. That film has done really well though in the last 4-5 days, so, we'll need to see if Barbie can maintain that pace.

 

Sales are definitely coming in groups. The big shift in sales in this update comes from a block of 12 for a late show.

 

10.333x of Indy 5 for $74.4M

2.214x of T:ROTB for $22.8M

0.620x of ATSV for $10.8M

2.214x of Flash for $21.5M

1.712x of MI7 for ???

[misterpepp]

Strays new sale date is July 26.

 

Gran Turismo on sale July 10.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/5/2023 at 9:39 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Insidious 5	T-1	Jax	5	28	29	139	2,865	4.85%
		Phx	6	24	62	250	3,472	7.20%
		Ral	8	30	50	159	3,358	4.73%
	Total		19	82	141	548	9,695	5.65%
Joy Ride	T-1	Jax	5	22	9	23	1,933	1.19%
		Phx	7	26	7	32	2,322	1.38%
		Ral	7	24	7	22	2,099	1.05%
	Total		19	72	23	77	6,354	1.21%
Joy Ride (EA)	T-0	Jax	5	6	9	30	562	5.34%
		Phx	7	7	7	49	832	5.89%
		Ral	7	7	7	45	556	8.09%
	Total		19	20	23	124	1,950	6.36%

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-1 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .632x (1.26m)

 - 80 for Brady - 1.163x (872k)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.49x (1.25m)

 - Violent Night - 1.389x (1.53m)

 - No Hard Feelings - 1.2x (2.22m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.36m

 

Insidious 5 T-1 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .942x (2.82m)

 - Scream VI - .364x (2.07m)

 - Nope - .401x (2.57m)

 - M3GAN - 1.641x (4.51m)

 - Halloween Ends - .514x (2.78m)

 - Evil Dead Rise - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.192x (3.18m)

 - Candyman - 1.864x (3.54m)

 - Halloween Kills - .388x (1.88m)

 - Resident Evil - 2.978x (2.78m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.86m

 

Creeping closer and closer to 3m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Insidious 5	T-0	Jax	5	30	125	264	3,061	8.62%
		Phx	6	25	172	422	3,578	11.79%
		Ral	8	32	176	335	3,454	9.70%
	Total		19	87	473	1,021	10,093	10.12%
Joy Ride	T-0	Jax	5	22	7	30	1,933	1.55%
		Phx	7	26	7	39	2,322	1.68%
		Ral	7	24	14	36	2,099	1.72%
	Total		19	72	28	105	6,354	1.65%

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-0 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .492x (985k)

 - 80 for Brady - 1x (750k)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.34x (1.17m)

 - Violent Night - 1.098x (1.21m)

 - No Hard Feelings - .662x (1.22m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.05m

New model forecast - 937k

 

These are pretty inflated by the EA shows (187 tickets sold).  Here are the Thursday-only comps

 

Joy Ride (Thu) T-0 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .177x (354k)

 - 80 for Brady - .36x (270k)

 - Easter Sunday - .84x (420k)

 - Violent Night - .395x (434k)

 - No Hard Feelings - .238x (440k)

 

I'll go with 450k for true previews and maybe 400k for EA?  Not great, but maybe it surprises.

 

Insidious 5 T-0 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.232x (3.69m)

 - Scream VI - .534x (3.04m)

 - Nope - .515x (3.29m)

 - M3GAN - 1.674x (4.6m)

 - Halloween Ends - .711x (3.84m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.77x (4.02m)

 - Candyman - 1.975x (3.75m)

 - Halloween Kills - .563x (2.73m)

 - Resident Evil - 3.36x (3.14m)

 

Size adjusted average - 3.47m

New model forecast - 4.06m

 

Last day growth for Insidious (86.3%) was higher than any of the comps.  In descending order...

M3GAN - 82.63%

Candyman - 75.85%

Resident Evil - 65.22%

Knock at the Cabin - 47.2%

Everything else is under 45%

 

If this is any indication of walkups I feel pretty good about this getting up to 3.75m.  Huge increase from yesterday's forecast.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/5/2023 at 9:41 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
M:I 7	T-6	Jax	6	70	24	244	11,404	2.14%
		Phx	6	58	25	213	11,155	1.91%
		Ral	8	62	20	272	8,900	3.06%
	Total		20	190	69	729	31,459	2.32%
M:I 7 (EA)	T-4	Jax	3	3	3	59	418	14.11%
		Phx	2	2	3	20	363	5.51%
		Ral	1	1	0	21	111	18.92%
	Total		6	6	6	100	892	11.21%
	T-5	Jax	5	7	7	163	1,407	11.58%
		Phx	1	1	5	71	410	17.32%
		Ral	2	2	8	135	412	32.77%
	Total		8	10	20	369	2,229	16.55%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-6 comps

 - F9 - 1.15x (8.16m)

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Top Gun (Total) - .282x (5.43m)

 - Dune - missed

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - missed

 - NTTD (Total) - missed

 - Indiana Jones - 1.2x (8.65m)

 

Size adjusted average - 8m

 

*Note: comps are not ATP adjusted for discounted Tuesdays

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
M:I 7	T-5	Jax	6	70	40	284	11,404	2.49%
		Phx	6	62	32	245	11,481	2.13%
		Ral	8	62	18	290	8,900	3.26%
	Total		20	194	90	819	31,785	2.58%
M:I 7 (EA)	T-3	Jax	3	3	12	71	418	16.99%
		Phx	2	2	6	26	363	7.16%
		Ral	1	1	1	22	111	19.82%
	Total		6	6	19	119	892	13.34%
	T-4	Jax	5	7	9	172	1,407	12.22%
		Phx	1	1	-1	70	410	17.07%
		Ral	2	2	18	153	412	37.14%
	Total		8	10	26	395	2,229	17.72%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-5 comps

 - F9 - 1.17x (8.3m)

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Top Gun (Total) - .292x (5.63m)

 - Dune - missed

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - missed

 - NTTD (Total) - missed

 - Indiana Jones - 1.18x (8.49m)

 

Size adjusted average - 8.02m

 

*Note: comps are not ATP adjusted for discounted Tuesdays

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/5/2023 at 9:46 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-15	Jax	6	43	31	309	5,243	5.89%
		Phx	6	29	33	399	4,876	8.18%
		Ral	8	47	42	476	5,813	8.19%
	Total		20	119	106	1,184	15,932	7.43%
Barbie (EA)	T-14	Jax	2	3	7	158	319	49.53%
		Phx	1	1	5	165	208	79.33%
		Ral	2	2	0	138	190	72.63%
	Total		5	6	12	461	717	64.30%
Oppenheimer	T-15	Jax	6	24	20	282	4,739	5.95%
		Phx	6	25	24	318	4,863	6.54%
		Ral	8	23	22	324	2,928	11.07%
	Total		20	72	66	924	12,530	7.37%

 

Oppenheimer T-15 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .371x (6.68m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .571x (8.39m)

 - Avatar 2 - .459x (7.81m)

 - Scream VI - 1.635x (9.32m)

 - Matrix (OD) - 1.411x (9.32m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.396x

 - Barbie (Total) - .562x

 

Size adjusted average - 8.62m

 

Barbie (Total) T-15 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .818x (13.91m)

 - Oppenheimer - 1.78x

 - JWD (Total) - .66x (11.89m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.81x (12.08m)

 - Indiana Jones - 2.5x (18m)

 - Shazam 2 - 4.352x (14.8m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Thu) - 1.02x (14.94m)

 

Size adjusted average - 13.67m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-14	Jax	6	43	43	352	5,243	6.71%
		Phx	6	29	20	419	4,876	8.59%
		Ral	8	47	27	503	5,813	8.65%
	Total		20	119	90	1,274	15,932	8.00%
Barbie (EA)	T-13	Jax	2	3	4	162	319	50.78%
		Phx	1	1	3	168	208	80.77%
		Ral	2	2	0	138	190	72.63%
	Total		5	6	7	468	717	65.27%
Oppenheimer	T-14	Jax	6	24	7	289	4,739	6.10%
		Phx	6	25	20	338	4,863	6.95%
		Ral	8	23	20	344	2,928	11.75%
	Total		20	72	47	971	12,530	7.75%

 

Oppenheimer T-14 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .38x (6.85m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .566x (8.32m)

 - Avatar 2 - .455x (7.74m)

 - Scream VI - 1.589x (9.06m)

 - Matrix (OD) - 1.166x (7.43m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.407x

 - Barbie (Total) - .557x

 

Size adjusted average - 8.14m

 

Barbie (Total) T-14 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .817x (13.88m)

 - Oppenheimer - 1.79x

 - JWD (Total) - .682x (12.28m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.84x (12.21m)

 - Indiana Jones - 2.569x (18.5m)

 - Shazam 2 - 4.312x (14.66m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Thu) - 1.02x (14.93m)

 

Size adjusted average - 13.84m

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/5/2023 at 9:49 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Haunted Mansion	T-22	Jax	5	31	0	45	3,813	1.18%
		Phx	6	27	2	53	4,543	1.17%
		Ral	8	30	0	26	3,672	0.71%
	Total		19	88	2	124	12,028	1.03%
Haunted Mansion (EA)	T-21	Jax	2	2	7	20	395	5.06%
		Phx	1	1	0	24	208	11.54%
	Total		4	4	7	44	603	7.30%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-22 comps

 - Shazam 2 - .646x (2.2m)

 - Barbie (Total) - .163x (2.23m w/ today's avg)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 3.36x (4.87m)

 - Nope - .719x (4.59m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Haunted Mansion	T-21	Jax	5	31	3	48	3,813	1.26%
		Phx	6	27	-1	52	4,543	1.14%
		Ral	8	30	0	26	3,672	0.71%
	Total		19	88	2	126	12,028	1.05%
Haunted Mansion (EA)	T-20	Jax	2	2	1	21	395	5.32%
		Phx	1	1	3	27	208	12.98%
	Total		4	4	4	48	603	7.96%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-21 comps

 - Shazam 2 - .628x (2.14m)

 - Barbie (Total) - .156x (2.16m w/ today's avg)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 3.48x (5.05m)

 - Nope - .734x (4.7m)

[M37]

35 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Last day growth for Insidious (86.3%) was higher than any of the comps.  In descending order...

M3GAN - 82.63%

Candyman - 75.85%

Resident Evil - 65.22%

Knock at the Cabin - 47.2%

Everything else is under 45%

 

If this is any indication of walkups I feel pretty good about this getting up to 3.75m.  Huge increase from yesterday's forecast.

Some of the last two days was probably post-holiday catch-up, so not sure if it will continue to pace like M3GAN, but with so many people on vacation this week it just might 

 

Probably a lower IM though, but mid-$20s opening in sight 

[misterpepp]

Ninja Turtles on sale July 12

[TheFlatLannister]

18 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR

 

THURSDAY  

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
109	767	17953	4.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

195

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(1.890x) of BOOGEYMAN

~$2.1M THUR Previews

 

(3.093x) of THE BLACKENING 

~$2.3M THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: $2.2M

 

Great day locally. Probably headed for $2.5M+

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-0 *1:00PM CHECK

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
109	1127	17953	6.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 1:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

360

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-0

 

(2.444x) of BOOGEYMAN

~$2.7M THUR Previews

 

(3.659x) of THE BLACKENING 

~$2.7M THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: $2.7M

 

I will have the final update up at 4 PM

 

Should be at $3M+ by then 

Edited July 6, 2023 by TheFlatLannister