The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Mr Roark]

2 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

I feel the worries on this thread about Dune performance is because it’s clearly an ongoing story that needs a 3rd part, but once again there’s this feeling that if Part II doesn’t succeed enough, Messiah won’t be made. 
 

Voldemort said on his Twitter that it’s already greenlit, so maybe it’s time to just accept the numbers without being fearful about them.
 

From what i see, while ATP can ended up pushing +10M previews, it does have meh final days and feels more likely to ended up with 9.5 or something. Still weekend sales are strong enough that 8x IM seems quite likely, the very long running time can help with that.
 

An OW towards mid 70’s isn’t bad, even if it didn’t turn out to be the new savior of cinema that the collapsing industry asks from every movie now.

Dune 2 will open ww with $170-200M, it will win at least 5/6 AA and it got an ever better reception that 1… so Dune 3 is already locked. The only question is exactly when it will be released.

Ah and Zimmer is already writing music for the next one.

[von Kenni]

OK final estimates from me before Preview actuals.

 

Not jumping on the gloom-doom train but also wondering how that affects my numbers here...if I intentionally suppress it in parts.

 

Here are ATP developments from the last 5 days

 

						Estimates
	Dune 2 / Dune 1 ATP Difference Last 5 Days					Today	Tomorrow	Saturday
THU	5.81%	5.67%	5.33%	5.26%	5.35%	5.20%
FRI	6.81%	6.60%	6.35%	6.03%	5.91%	5.70%	5.50%
SAT	6.56%							5.40%

 

I'll use the 5.2% ATP Dune 1 comp increase in my tables for THU previews.

 

Here are Dune 1 Presale comps from the last 5 days (notice SAT!)

 

	Dune 2 / Dune 1 Presales Comp Last 5 Days
THU	181%	182%	188%	187%	182%
FRI	187%	187%	190%	188%	183%
SAT	264%

 

I'm projecting in the table below how Dune 2 / Dune 1 Walkups Comp affects the final THU Preview outcome. E.g. if the walkups are double compared to Dune 1, previews are around $10M but if they are just 150% (while the comps have been 181-188% for THU past 5 days - 181-182% being perhaps the "baseline"), i.e. much less than the baseline, then THU previews are only $9.3M (all previews here without EA).

 

Here is a thorough breakdown of that comp relationship

 

 

If I'd know Oppy's THU walkups, I could make better educated guesses but now it is more of showing a possible spread and finding the middle ground. Conclusion:

 

With an 80% confidence level, the THU previews will hit between $9.3M and $9.9M (20% chance outside). The midpoint is $9.6M. Down from the yesterday's $9.9M.

 

 

Regarding OW I am expecting a higher IM (8) than yesterday (7.8-7.9) simply because of the weekend presales of Dune 2. More background data below:

 

	MTC1 Weekend Spread Dune 1 vs 2
	Dune 1		Dune 2		Difference
THU (T-5)	44211	35%	80224	31%	181%
FRI (T-6)	47266	37%	88344	34%	187%
SAT (T-7)	34878	28%	92163	35%	264%
	126355		260731

 

	Dune MTC1 Weekend T-5 vs. T-1 (THU)
THU	80224	31%	125368	28%
FRI	88344	34%	154760	35%
SAT	92163	35%	164927	37%
	260731		445055

 

Dune 1 had an IM of 8.05. Presales imply that it should go higher this time but I'll keep it conservatively at 8 as of now. Conclusions:

 

With an 80% confidence level, OW is between $74-83M with an expected value of $79M. I.e. $1M less on all accounts since yesterday's estimates.

 

[leoh]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

One Love is a pretty bad comp for something like GBFE due to the fan rush/sequel/franchise angle.  Now GBFE won't be as frontloaded as many long running franchises as it still has more of a GA/family skew.  But there'll definitely be more upfront interest for GBFE than something like One Love, even with the auteur appeal for the latter.

 

Still, looking around town and it's doing... decent.  Only at the half-way mark in the day and GBFE is quite likely to pass the first day sales of GBA.  Of course, it should pass the first day of GBA (or rather, it'd be a pretty decent sized red flag if it didn't) and only so many comparisons can be made, if only for a slightly longer pre-sale period and starting pre-sales against an attention grabbing opener (which, in my opinion, can cut both ways).

 

But looks to be more or less doing as I expected.  Have a better sense when I do a check late tonight.  Not planning on making  updates in-thread for it (might make a post tonight depending on how decent the sales actually wind up being), but likely to monitor it on my home sheet in case it pulls a Sonic 2 and surprises after all.

Yeah, it’s doing really decent pre sales here in NY as well. In some theaters the first night shows have already sold over 50% of seats. It’ll take all Dolby Cinema halls and most of IMAX screens.

 

Oh you’re always doing such a great work on monitoring sales. It’d be amazing if you could give us some updates even if it’s every other day.

Edited February 29 by leoh

[Morieris]

Is there surge pricing on Dune for some chains? It's 14.18 at my Regal  theater tomorrow  when tickets are normally 13.64 (I think it was that price for the 3 PM showing today).

 

I can't compare it to another new release because there are none, but Ordinary Angels is about 12.45$.

[von Kenni]

4 minutes ago, Morieris said:

Is there surge pricing on Dune for some chains? It's 14.18 at my Regal  theater tomorrow  when tickets are normally 13.64 (I think it was that price for the 3 PM showing today).

 

I can't compare it to another new release because there are none, but Ordinary Angels is about 12.45$.

 

That kind of thing can very well take it over the $80M mark. Without that, I'd give around 30-40% chance it goes over it with current datapoints that I used in my estimates. It's a thriller!

[grumpythepenguin]

7 minutes ago, Morieris said:

Is there surge pricing on Dune for some chains?

 

The Canadian chains are charging higher prices for it compared to other movies.

[von Kenni]

Also, Voldermort or not. I think Dune Part 3 was greenlighted a long time ago too and they likely officially announce it like they did with Part 2 next Tuesday to drive up the hype for Part 2. Otherwise week later when they think is best to use the extra press from that. Part 2 doesn't need that boost the same way as Part 1 did in 2021.

 

This boy is a slam dunk already and we'll just see how big of a dent it will make.

 

(maybe greenlighting Dune Part 2 is a matter of expecting at least $400M-500M WW ... or the studio and production company to ask themselves, what is the risk this will perform worse than the first one and especially taking into account the day-to-day and other factors then... pretty no-brainer to greenlight Part 3 pre-production)

[DAJK]

6 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

this is a domestic thread, we have a South Korea thread, go away 

Sorry, what? Completely uncalled for. Anyone with valid data/tracking is welcome in here, which you don’t seem to be providing.

[M37]

15 minutes ago, Morieris said:

Is there surge pricing on Dune for some chains? It's 14.18 at my Regal  theater tomorrow  when tickets are normally 13.64 (I think it was that price for the 3 PM showing today).

 

I can't compare it to another new release because there are none, but Ordinary Angels is about 12.45$.

It’s something the chains bring out for bigger releases (and sometimes lower tier ones too). I would imagine Dune II has it most places, being the first real draw since Xmas 

[dallas]

19 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

this is a domestic thread, we have a South Korea thread, go away 

I really hope this is a bad joke or something. There is no need for this type of behavior. 

[dallas]

Is there a chance that this crosses $10M because of its high ATP?

[keysersoze123]

On 2/22/2024 at 3:18 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1

Previews - 6262/307122 94520.78 2018 shows +1552

Friday - 6076/458201 90901.88 2874 shows +1671

 

Slightly under 5 days of data. 2 weeks to go for this movie's release.  

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1

Previews - 10335/318017 156713.55 2071 shows +4073

Friday - 11281/468366 170642.89 2916 shows +5205

 

1 week to go and this is 7 days of data. 

[JimmyB]

My Local Cinemark.

 

Standard showing for Dune $13. All other movies $12,25.

[rehpyc]

20 minutes ago, dallas said:

Is there a chance that this crosses $10M because of its high ATP?

Weighted a good deal to the under than over.

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [11:40am - 12:20pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	244	25489	30883	5394	17.47%

 

Total Showings Added Since Last Night	2
Total Seats Added Since Last Night	145
Total Seats Sold Since Last Night	384

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) "Anchor" Comps

	%		Sold Since Last Night	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune [12:00-12:20]	225.60		284	2391		0/109	12402/14793	16.16%		2915	185.04%		11.51m
Ava 2 [11:30-12:15]	68.22		666	7907		0/310	27128/35035	22.57%		8986	60.03%		11.60m
Oppy [12:15-12:25]	132.40		367	4074		2/80	6785/10859	37.52%		4621	116.73%		13.90m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Dune: Part Two's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Mostly Pace Purposes Comps

	%		Sold Since Last Night	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats [11:30-12:35]	51.48		939	10478		1/327	28376/38854	26.97%		11757	45.88%		12.57m
Thor4 [11:30-12:25]	36.19		1390	14906		0/313	24653/39559	37.68%		16962	31.80%		10.49m
BP2 [11:30-12:20]	36.58		1125	14747		2/375	28391/43138	34.19%		16800	32.11%		10.24m
AM3 [11:35-12:25]	57.43		738	9392		0/308	27981/37373	25.13%		10475	51.49%		10.05m
Flash [11:45-12:15]	126.89		634	4251		0/205	22721/26972	15.76%		5327	101.26%		12.31m
GOTG3[11:30-12:20]	58.64		836	9199		0/345	32602/41801	22.01%		10750	50.18%		10.26m
TGM [11:30-12:30]	52.05		707	10363		2/345	32649/43012	24.09%		11474	47.01%		10.02m
JWD [12:00-12:50]	56.84		1071	9490		0/290	24248/33738	28.13%		10966	49.19%		10.23m
Wick 4 [11:45-12:20]	124.14		430	4345		0/185	18230/22575	19.25%		5448	99.01%		11.05m
Fast X [11:30-12:05]	158.41		477	3405		0/243	29842/33247	10.24%		4122	130.86%		11.88m
TLM [11:40-12:15]	96.27		629	5603		0/225	23553/29156	19.22%		6561	82.21%		9.92m
Indy 5 [11:45-12:15]	135.43		478	3983		0/183	20730/24713	16.12%		4767	113.15%		9.75m
Bats Tue EA	106.19		——	743		0/3	72/815	91.17%		743	106.19%		2.12m

THE BATMAN EA NOTE:  "Bats Tue EA T-x" is a direct comp of the IMAX theaters which had the exclusive IMAX ONLY showings for The Batman on the Tuesday of release week and are showing the IMAX exclusives for Dune: Part Two on the Sunday of release week.  I am using the estimated 2m reported by the Trades and Box Office Pro for the comp.

 

Regal:     1382/9860  [14.02% sold]
Matinee:    263/3555  [7.40% | 4.88% of all tickets sold]
———    
Sun:                 789/814  [96.93% sold] [FINAL]
Thr:          4605/30069  [15.31% sold] [+384 tickets]
PLF:          3528/10865  [32.47% | 65.41% of all tickets sold]
Thr PLF:    2739/10051  [27.25% sold | 59.48% of Thr tickets sold]

 

====

 

Yeaaaah, not seeing what I'd like for a 10m True Thursday.  Probably gunning closer to 9.5m.  ATP thanks to all of the PLFs is a big wildcard, though.  More thoughts at final report.

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:50pm-4:25pm]

NOTE:  All showtimes that started before 3:50 were sampled at the start of their showing.

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	250	25311	31312	6001	19.17%

 

Total Showings Added Since Mid-Day	6
Total Seats Added Since Mid-Day	429
Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day	607

 

T-0 "Anchor" Comps [ALL COMPS *INCLUDE* EA SALES]

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune [5:10-5:30]	205.87		524	2915		0/109	11878/14793	19.71%		2915	205.87%		10.50m
Ava 2 [3:50-4:25]	66.78		1079	8986		0/310	26049/35035	25.65%		8986	66.78%		11.35m
Oppy [4:30-4:40]	129.86		547	4621		2/80	6238/10859	42.55%		4621	129.86%		13.64m

 

T-0 Mostly Pace Purposes Comps [ALL COMPS *INCLUDE* EA SALES - UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED]

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats [3:00-4:30]	51.04		1279	11757		1/328	27144/38901	30.22%		11757	51.04%		12.46m
Thor4 [3:45-4:35]	35.38		2056	16962		0/320	23111/40073	42.33%		16962	35.38%		10.26m
BP2 [3:45-4:35]	35.72		2053	16800		2/376	26426/43216	38.87%		16800	35.72%		10.00m
AM3 [3:45-4:30]	57.29		1083	10475		0/307	26899/37374	28.03%		10475	57.29%		10.03m
Flash [3:55-4:20]	112.65		1076	5327		0/205	21645/26972	19.75%		5327	112.65%		10.93m
GOTG3[3:45-4:30]	55.82		1551	10750		0/347	31169/41919	25.64%		10750	55.82%		9.77m
TGM [3:30-4:35]	52.30		1111	11474		2/345	31538/43012	26.68%		11474	52.30%		10.07m
JWD [3:45-4:35]	54.72		1476	10966		0/290	22873/33839	32.41%		10966	54.72%		9.85m
Wick 4 [3:50-4:15]	110.15		1103	5448		0/186	17238/22686	24.01%		5448	110.15%		9.80m
Fast X [3:50-4:15]	145.58		717	4122		0/243	29125/33247	12.40%		4122	145.58%		10.92m
TLM [3:50-4:15]	91.46		958	6561		0/235	23202/29763	22.04%		6561	91.46%		9.42m
Indy 5 [3:50-4:20]	125.89		784	4767		0/183	20009/24776	19.24%		4767	125.89%		9.06m
AtSV [3:50-4:20]	61.59		1676	9744		0/266	22261/32005	30.45%		9744	61.59%		10.69m
Indy 5 [3:50-4:20]	125.89		784	4767		0/183	20009/24776	19.24%		4767	125.89%		9.06m
Bats Tue EA	106.19		——	743		0/3	72/815	91.17%		743	106.19%		2.12m

THE BATMAN EA NOTE:  "Bats Tue EA T-x" is a direct comp of the IMAX theaters which had the exclusive IMAX ONLY showings for The Batman on the Tuesday of release week and are showing the IMAX exclusives for Dune: Part Two on the Sunday of release week.  I am using the estimated 2m reported by the Trades and Box Office Pro for the comp.

 

Regal:      1580/9860  [16.02% sold]
Matinee:    380/3555  [10.69% | 6.33% of all tickets sold]
———    
Sun:                789/814  [96.93% sold] [FINAL]
Thr:          5212/30498  [17.09% sold] [+991 tickets]
PLF:          3753/10865 [34.54% | 62.54% of all tickets sold]
Thr PLF:    2964/10051 [29.49% sold | 56.87% of Thr tickets sold]

 

====

 

No sense sugar coating it; fairly anemic/blah walkups.  FWIW, the *ATP adjusted* comp for Dune (using my home adjustment of 1.13047x) spits out 11.87m (including EA).  Combine that with the comps for Ava 2 and The Batman and I think Sacramento is probably pointing to around 11.75m combined EA and Thursday.  There is the Oppenheimer comp, but that ran into severe capacity issues locally. And that is most certainly not the case here.
 

I keep looking at that The Batman comp and I keep going "hmmmm..."  On the other hand, DC tends to under-perform locally.

 

Still, I know it's on the higher side of reported locals, though I have seen some in this range, but gonna go with what my best comps tell me and go with a combined 11.75m +/-.6m (2m +/- .1m EA | 9.75m +/- .5m Thur).

 

Only reason I'm going with 9.75m Thr is the PLF factor and the ATP adjustment for Dune lands right in that area.

 

Now we wait and see the results.

Edited March 1 by Porthos

[Morieris]

36 minutes ago, M37 said:

It’s something the chains bring out for bigger releases (and sometimes lower tier ones too). I would imagine Dune II has it most places, being the first real draw since Xmas 

 

I know AMC did it for The Batman...maybe it happened and I totally missed it for other movies, I either went to the budget theater or saw movies weeks later when it would have been regular price.

[Porthos]

 

32 minutes ago, dallas said:

Is there a chance that this crosses $10M because of its high ATP?

 

9 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:50pm-4:25pm]

NOTE:  All showtimes that started before 3:50 were sampled at the start of their showing.

 

No sense sugar coating it; fairly anemic/blah walkups.  FWIW, the *ATP adjusted* comp for Dune (using my home adjustment of 1.13047x) spits out 11.87m (including EA).  Combine that with the comps for Ava 2 and The Batman and I think Sacramento is probably pointing to around 11.75m combined EA and Thursday.  There is the Oppenheimer comp, but that ran into severe capacity issues locally. And that is most certainly not the case here.
 

 

I keep looking at that The Batman comp and I keep going "hmmmm..."  On the other hand, DC tends to under-perform locally.

 

I'd say there's a chance, but not a very good one.

 

FWIW, Sacramento does seem to be coming in hot when compared to what is seen as some of the best comps out there (no, really, disregard the Oppenheimer comp due to capacity).

 

I wouldn't want to put a percentage on the guess, but if I was forced to, maybe 10 to 15 percent chance?  How much this is over-indexing in the cities, how much theaters are pumping up the ATP, and if this is a bit more adult skewed than many films all factor in.

 

...

 

As does the chance that WB decides to raid a tiny bit from OW make sure Puerto Rico grosses are counted to get a better headline for previews.

 

 

Edited March 1 by Porthos

[iEnri]

Is 80M dead then? Because some users here are saying the pre sales during the weekend is well spread which is great, but charlie also said friday is low so who knows.

 

SK had a very good second day drop, so this might be a good indicator.

Edited March 1 by iEnri

[TJ327]

I’ve been thinking - and I’m willing to concede this is not the most likely scenario - but have we considered the reason the numbers slowed right at the end is because of the hype?

 

By this point, anyone with a passing knowledge of the film has heard the immense critical hype. And they’re skeptical, because the public has a particularly  antagonistic relationship with Hollywood at this point. So they see a movie being this immensely hyped and they can’t help but feel like it’s hyperbole.

 

So, they’re waiting to see if it’s actually as good as the critics say. They know the people who want to see it will have seen it over the weekend (my bf and I are seeing a Saturday matinee), and they’ll decide from then on if they wanna see it from there.

[MrPink]

23 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:50pm-4:25pm]

NOTE:  All showtimes that started before 3:50 were sampled at the start of their showing.

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	250	25311	31312	6001	19.17%

 

Total Showings Added Since Mid-Day	6
Total Seats Added Since Mid-Day	429
Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day	607

 

T-0 "Anchor" Comps [ALL COMPS *INCLUDE* EA SALES]

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune [5:10-5:30]	205.87		524	2915		0/109	11878/14793	19.71%		2915	205.87%		10.50m
Ava 2 [3:50-4:25]	66.78		1079	8986		0/310	26049/35035	25.65%		8986	66.78%		11.35m
Oppy [4:30-4:40]	129.86		547	4621		2/80	6238/10859	42.55%		4621	129.86%		13.64m

 

T-0 Mostly Pace Purposes Comps [ALL COMPS *INCLUDE* EA SALES - UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED]

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats [3:00-4:30]	51.04		1279	11757		1/328	27144/38901	30.22%		11757	51.04%		12.46m
Thor4 [3:45-4:35]	35.38		2056	16962		0/320	23111/40073	42.33%		16962	35.38%		10.26m
BP2 [3:45-4:35]	35.72		2053	16800		2/376	26426/43216	38.87%		16800	35.72%		10.00m
AM3 [3:45-4:30]	57.29		1083	10475		0/307	26899/37374	28.03%		10475	57.29%		10.03m
Flash [3:55-4:20]	112.65		1076	5327		0/205	21645/26972	19.75%		5327	112.65%		10.93m
GOTG3[3:45-4:30]	55.82		1551	10750		0/347	31169/41919	25.64%		10750	55.82%		9.77m
TGM [3:30-4:35]	52.30		1111	11474		2/345	31538/43012	26.68%		11474	52.30%		10.07m
JWD [3:45-4:35]	54.72		1476	10966		0/290	22873/33839	32.41%		10966	54.72%		9.85m
Wick 4 [3:50-4:15]	110.15		1103	5448		0/186	17238/22686	24.01%		5448	110.15%		9.80m
Fast X [3:50-4:15]	145.58		717	4122		0/243	29125/33247	12.40%		4122	145.58%		10.92m
TLM [3:50-4:15]	91.46		958	6561		0/235	23202/29763	22.04%		6561	91.46%		9.42m
Indy 5 [3:50-4:20]	125.89		784	4767		0/183	20009/24776	19.24%		4767	125.89%		9.06m
AtSV [3:50-4:20]	61.59		1676	9744		0/266	22261/32005	30.45%		9744	61.59%		10.69m
Indy 5 [3:50-4:20]	125.89		784	4767		0/183	20009/24776	19.24%		4767	125.89%		9.06m
Bats Tue EA	106.19		——	743		0/3	72/815	91.17%		743	106.19%		2.12m

THE BATMAN EA NOTE:  "Bats Tue EA T-x" is a direct comp of the IMAX theaters which had the exclusive IMAX ONLY showings for The Batman on the Tuesday of release week and are showing the IMAX exclusives for Dune: Part Two on the Sunday of release week.  I am using the estimated 2m reported by the Trades and Box Office Pro for the comp.

 

Regal:      1580/9860  [16.02% sold]
Matinee:    380/3555  [10.69% | 6.33% of all tickets sold]
———    
Sun:                789/814  [96.93% sold] [FINAL]
Thr:          5212/30498  [17.09% sold] [+991 tickets]
PLF:          3753/10865 [34.54% | 62.54% of all tickets sold]
Thr PLF:    2964/10051 [29.49% sold | 56.87% of Thr tickets sold]

 

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No sense sugar coating it; fairly anemic/blah walkups.  FWIW, the *ATP adjusted* comp for Dune (using my home adjustment of 1.13047x) spits out 11.87m (including EA).  Combine that with the comps for Ava 2 and The Batman and I think Sacramento is probably pointing to around 11.75m combined EA and Thursday.  There is the Oppenheimer comp, but that ran into severe capacity issues locally. And that is most certainly not the case here.
 

I keep looking at that The Batman comp and I keep going "hmmmm..."  On the other hand, DC tends to under-perform locally.

 

Still, I know it's on the higher side of reported locals, though I have seen some in this range, but gonna go with what my best comps tell me and go with a combined 11.75m +/-.6m (2m +/- .1m EA | 9.75m +/- .5m Thur).

 

Only reason I'm going with 9.75m Thr is the PLF factor and the ATP adjustment for Dune lands right in that area.

 

Now we wait and see the results.

 

Time to make the thread, this will be the official previews number tomorrow.