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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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14 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-8) - 34143/566060 664399.87 2968 shows +2451

Friday - 30548/838058 570222.36 4394 shows +2192

 

Friday for day before was run really late and so its couple of hours less. But still no sign of a major acceleration. That will happen only next week I think. 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-7) -  37023/566012 717972.07 2968 shows +2880

Friday - 34489/840999 640590.21 4410 shows +3941

 

Its amping up for sure. 

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2 hours ago, cooldude97 said:

Small Edit: The Review Embargo Info I Got Was Based On AEDT (Australian Eastern Daylight Time) so for more accurate info the time and date in America would be Wednesday the 27th at 3PM EST

Thanks! Seems quite standard for WB then, not that reviews matters for creatures movies. 

 

But hopefully they´re decent enough to help boost sales, since they´re already good. 

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On 3/15/2024 at 12:56 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MiniTC2 T-6 Days

 

Thursday - 790/70203 (246 showings)

 

Comps

1.53x Wonka - $5.35M

2.02x Haunted Mansion - $6.3M

1.18x Shazam - $4M

0.37x Indiana Jones - $2.7M

 

Two good days after a few mid days. 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MiniTC2 Final

 

Previews - 8032/71000 (249 showings) $97K

Very good finish here. Normally this would mean $4.75M+ previews. 

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3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire MTC1

Previews Final - 82226/656696 1300185.12 3563 shows +30516

Friday - 62852/930475 998591.10 5199 shows +16159

 

Final day was solid but nothing crazy. I expect walkups at other MTC to be stronger. It did just around 3% higher than afterlife minus early shows. Thinking around 4.25m previews and mid to high 30s OW. 

Yep friday isn't good at all

 

Ghostbusters Afterlife Friday

MTC1 - 77787/839569 1208722.77 4431 shows

 

So if walkups are the same as this one , Friday will be around 14-14,5M (with previews) so i'm more mid 30's at this point for OW

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33 minutes ago, leoh said:


I was seeing this in NY AMC theaters as well, the last shows got REALLY good walk ups.

 

and I have just figured out the reason: Good WoM (86% on RT). Nowadays people get to know their friends opinion sooner than ever.

 

Frozen Empire has debuted few hours ago with 86% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes. On par with Kung Fu Panda, which means it may also get a score at the A range on Cinema Score (KFP4 86% RT, A- Cinema Score)

 

I told you @Porthos audience score would be great, didn’t I?

 

Out of last 4 Ghostbusters movies, critics only gave once a really good score to a GB sequel, this was to 2016 GB female reboot (75% on RT). And guess what, that was the only sequel that had a rotten score from audience (49%) lol 

Guess what, there were no verified audience scores on RT in 2016. 
 

Back on topic: $600k would be great for Immaculate!  

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6 hours ago, DAJK said:

Hahaha don’t worry I contacted some friends at head office of the company. A few emails had been sent out already, but it’s back up and running ;) 

 

Anyways, walkups pretty bad for Ghostbusters tonight. But pre-sales were pretty strong, so I’d say that 4-4.5M is still possible. But I’d likely rule out 40+ for the weekend if walkups continue at this pace.

 

Interesting that you saw stronger sales in ypur area. I've been underindexing huge in mine. I assumed it might have been a Canadian thing, but it might just be local.

 

What's the March Break situation on your side? Were schools closed this week or last week?

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2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Immaculate MiniTC2 Final

 

Previews - 1003/8704 (54 showings) $12.5K

 

Would normally be ~$600K.


Really good for a Neon horror movie, 5M+ OW would be a great achievement for Neon standards.

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On 3/21/2024 at 12:45 AM, Porthos said:

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-8 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

130

19194

20233

1039

5.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

95

 

T-8 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-12

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

BA

81.55

 

82

1274

 

0/152

21685/22959

5.55%

 

4494

23.12%

 

7.01m

Wick 4

65.63

 

120

1583

 

0/109

13716/15299

10.35%

 

5448

19.07%

 

5.84m

Fast X

72.30

 

75

1437

 

0/179

26452/27889

5.15%

 

4122

25.21%

 

5.42m

AtSV

37.56

 

173

2766

 

0/140

19376/22142

12.49%

 

9744

10.66%

 

6.52m

RotB

91.54

 

41

1135

 

0/120

18302/19437

5.84%

 

9744

10.66%

 

8.06m

FNAF

40.76

 

122

2549

 

0/126

15480/18029

14.14%

 

6466

16.07%

 

4.20m

BOSS

146.34

 

81

710

 

0/85

12279/12989

5.47%

 

2701

38.47%

 

8.41m

GBFE

166.77

 

34

623

 

0/123

20097/20720

3.01%

 

——

——%

 

0.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     210/7694     [2.73% sold]
Matinee:    31/2085    [1.49% | 2.98% of all tickets sold]
3D:            108/4642  [2.33% | 10.39% of all tickets sold]
PLF:    632/8686        [7.28% | 60.83% of all tickets sold]

 

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-7 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

130

19063

20233

1170

5.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

131

 

T-7 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-7

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

BA

83.75

 

123

1397

 

0/152

21562/22959

6.08%

 

4494

26.03%

 

7.20m

Wick 4

67.09

 

161

1744

 

0/113

13827/15571

11.20%

 

5448

21.48%

 

5.97m

Fast X

79.05

 

43

1480

 

0/179

26661/28141

5.26%

 

4122

28.38%

 

5.93m

AtSV

38.63

 

263

3029

 

0/140

19113/22142

13.68%

 

9744

12.01%

 

6.70m

RotB

92.93

 

124

1259

 

0/120

18178/19437

6.48%

 

9744

12.01%

 

8.18m

FNAF

43.03

 

170

2719

 

0/138

16614/19333

14.06%

 

6466

18.09%

 

4.43m

BOSS

142.16

 

113

823

 

0/85

12166/12989

6.34%

 

2701

43.32%

 

8.17m

GBFE

171.05

 

61

684

 

0/123

20040/20724

3.30%

 

2197

53.25%

 

---m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       248/7694  [3.22% sold]
Matinee:     31/2085   [1.49% | 2.65% of all tickets sold]
3D:            127/4642   [2.74% | 10.85% of all tickets sold]
PLF:          711/8686   [8.19% | 60.77% of all tickets sold]

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On 3/21/2024 at 6:33 AM, vafrow said:

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-8, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 204

New Sales: 5

Growth: 3%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 24

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 8.5

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 44/6

Early Evening: 105/9

Late Evening: 55/9

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 6/4

Dolby 3D: 85/6
VIP: 34/5

4DX: 30/3

Regular 3D: 0/3

IMAX: 49/3

 

Comps

1.057x HG: BoSS for $6.1M

1.672x Madame Web for $10.1M

2.519x Aquaman 2 for $11.3M

3.238x GB:FE for ???

Average: $9.2M

 

It had a low growth day. Kind of surprising, but this probably picks up after the weekend at this point.

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-7, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 226

New Sales: 22

Growth: 11%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 24

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 9.4

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 49/6

Early Evening: 110/9

Late Evening: 67/9

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 10/4

Dolby 3D: 92/6
VIP: 33/5

4DX: 30/3

Regular 3D: 0/3

IMAX: 61/3

 

Comps

1.076x HG: BoSS for $6.2M

1.517x Madame Web for $9.2M

2.568x Aquaman 2 for $11.6M

3.477x GB:FE for ???

Average: $9.0M

 

A good bounce back day.

 

With GBFE under indexing so much, I'll need to decide to include it or not with the proper comp. It's probably going to distort things quite a bit.

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On 3/17/2024 at 8:29 AM, vafrow said:

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-19, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 9

New Sales: 1

Growth: 13%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 2

Showtimes: 4

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.3

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 5/2

Late Evening: 4/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 9/2
Regular: 0/2

 

Nothing much happening. Next update will probably be Wednesday or so once new showtimes are up that might help boost things a bit.

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-14, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 12

New Sales (since T-19): 3

Growth: 33%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 2

Showtimes: 4

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 5/2

Late Evening: 7/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 10/2
Regular: 2/2

 

I thought I'd circle back to this. It's still not doing much. I'm hoping that this Wednesday, they'll expand showtimes and it'll start seeing more action.

 

 

Edited by vafrow
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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Luca (Re-OD) T-1 Jax 3 10 4 8 679 1.18%
    Phx 3 13 1 6 1,060 0.57%
    Ral 5 10 0 7 664 1.05%
  Total   11 33 5 21 2,403 0.87%

 

Luca (OD) T-1 adjusted comps

 - Strange World - .223x (183k)

 - Ruby Gillman - .231x (167k)

 - Rons Gone Wrong - .808x (205k)

 - Paws of Fury - .212x (110k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 207k

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Luca (Re-OD) T-0 Jax 4 14 36 44 943 4.67%
    Phx 4 17 42 48 1,344 3.57%
    Ral 6 14 19 26 872 2.98%
  Total   14 45 97 118 3,159 3.74%

 

Luca T-0 adjusted comps

 - Strange World - .628x (514k)

 - Ruby Gillman - .825x (598k)

 - Paws of Fury - .887x (459k)

 - Paw Patrol (OD) - .084x (403k)

 - Lightyear (Total) - .062x (346k)

 - Encanto (Tues Previews) - .261x (415k)

 - Elemental - .176x (423k)

All animated - 451k

All PG - 416k

All movies - 370k

 

Size adjusted comps - 526k

Growth model forecast - 561k

 

Had only sold 21 tickets before yesterday... that has to be the biggest jump in one day that I've ever seen.  I looked back at the Soul and Turning Red releases and they were both under 600k for the full weekend.  This looks like it's getting the same size release, but I wouldn't be surprised if it passes those on Saturday.  I'll go with 450k for Friday.

 

(If anyone tracked the other two, how did sales look? I was offline for six months and didn't keep up with anything.)  

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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Godzilla x Kong T-7 Jax 5 54 26 264 9,814 2.69%
    Phx 6 39 20 303 7,067 4.29%
    Ral 8 55 9 210 7,740 2.71%
  Total   19 148 55 777 24,621 3.16%
Land of Saints T-7 Jax 4 12 0 0 1,567 0.00%
    Phx 2 5 1 1 451 0.22%
    Ral 2 5 0 0 274 0.00%
  Total   8 22 1 1 2,292 0.04%

 

T-7 adjusted comps

 - TMNT (Total) - .971x (5.44m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .704x (6.2m)
 - Venom 2 - .906x (11.13m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.96x (8.53m)

 - Jurassic World 3 - .266x (4.82m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 1.07x (6.85m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - 1.315x (6.27m)

 - Ghostbusters Frozen - 1.63x

 - Transformers (Total) - .686x (6.04m) 

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.73m

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Godzilla x Kong T-6 Jax 5 54 32 296 9,814 3.02%
    Phx 6 39 41 344 7,067 4.87%
    Ral 8 55 30 240 7,740 3.10%
  Total   19 148 103 880 24,621 3.57%
Land of Saints T-6 Jax 4 12 2 2 1,567 0.13%
    Phx 2 5 0 1 451 0.22%
    Ral 2 5 0 0 274 0.00%
  Total   8 22 2 3 2,292 0.13%

 

Godzilla x Kong T-6 adjusted comps

 - TMNT (Total) - .964x (5.4m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .735x (6.46m)
 - Venom 2 - .917x (11.27m)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.07x (9m)

 - Jurassic World 3 - .28x (5.1m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 1.11x (7.08m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - missed

 - Ghostbusters Frozen - 1.77x

 - Transformers (Total) - .717x (6.31m) 

 

Size adjusted comps - 7.14m

 

Movie 3-day pace Prev 3-day Prev 3-day Last Day
Godzilla x Kong 33.74% 24.16% - 13.26%
Turtles Total 42.43% 15.13% 18.38% 14.13%
M:I 7 Total 25.71% 14.27% 18.97% 8.61%
Venom 2 33.33% 17.92% - 11.89%
Suicide Squad 34.49% 11.39% 15.36% 7.32%
JW3 20.13% 14.83% 12.18% 7.13%
Sonic 2 (Total) 26.79% 19.94% 18.92% 9.50%
Ghostbusters Total - - 29.88% -
Ghostbusters: FE 24.94% 8.31% 18.41% 3.98%
Transformers Total - - - 8.39%

 

Really solid day at +13%!  Nothing like preview night to remind people to get tickets for next week. 

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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Monkey Man T-14 Jax 5 18 0 7 3,025 0.23%
    Phx 6 14 4 24 1,683 1.43%
    Ral 7 14 1 17 1,840 0.92%
  Total   18 46 5 48 6,548 0.73%
Someone Like You T-12 Jax 5 12 36 36 1,280 2.81%
    Phx 5 10 0 0 1,168 0.00%
    Ral 6 20 18 18 1,722 1.05%
  Total   16 42 54 54 4,170 1.29%

 

Monkey Man T-14 adjusted comps

 - Violent Night - 1.6x (1.8m)

 - Cocaine Bear - .421x (842k)

 - Equalizer 3 - .64x (2.43m)

 - Strays (Total) - .96x (1.06m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .41x (1.26m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .356x (1.67m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.51m

 

Someone Like You T-12 adjusted comps

- I Wanna Dance - .659x (492k)

 - Respect (Total) - .446x (307k)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - .144x (265k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 472k

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Monkey Man T-13 Jax 5 18 5 12 3,025 0.40%
    Phx 6 14 3 27 1,683 1.60%
    Ral 7 14 1 18 1,840 0.98%
  Total   18 46 9 57 6,548 0.87%
Someone Like You T-11 Jax 5 12 1 37 1,280 2.89%
    Phx 6 12 1 1 1,316 0.08%
    Ral 6 20 0 18 1,722 1.05%
  Total   17 44 2 56 4,318 1.30%

 

Monkey Man T-13 adjusted comps

 - Violent Night - 1.39x (1.56m)

 - Cocaine Bear - .475x (950k)

 - Equalizer 3 - .695x (2.64m)

 - Strays (Total) - 1x (1.1m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .413x (1.27m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .328x (1.54m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.47m

 

Someone Like You T-11 adjusted comps

- I Wanna Dance - .538x (402k)

 - Respect (Total) - .409x (282k)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - .136x (250k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 403k

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1 hour ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Size adjusted comps - 526k

Growth model forecast - 561k

 

Had only sold 21 tickets before yesterday... that has to be the biggest jump in one day that I've ever seen.  I looked back at the Soul and Turning Red releases and they were both under 600k for the full weekend.  This looks like it's getting the same size release, but I wouldn't be surprised if it passes those on Saturday.  I'll go with 450k for Friday.

 

(If anyone tracked the other two, how did sales look? I was offline for six months and didn't keep up with anything.)  

Wait, Luca is supposed to make $450k this Friday?

When Soul made $121,631 on its first Friday and Turning Red made $160,433? Basically almost 3 times as much as those movies? Just find that hard to believe. But we'll find out on Saturday I guess.

 

EDIT: However, Luca tickets on OW seem to be $5 across the board unlike Soul and Turning Red's OW tickets being full price...

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