The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[M37]

44 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's also having early access shows on Wednesday (wearing pink naturally encouraged heh).

They have to be incorporating that into the title of the show - Wear Pink Wednesday? EA - or advertising, right? 

[joselowe]

For those tracking TCP is it likely that theaters will add more showings based on ticket sales or will the current list of theaters likely remain the same?

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, joselowe said:

For those tracking TCP is it likely that theaters will add more showings based on ticket sales or will the current list of theaters likely remain the same?

Final week there will be a surge for sure. For Christmas day I feel there will be limit but based on its performance I expect it to add more shows beyond that as well. 

[keysersoze123]

 

 

[Issac Newton]

Weekend Box Office Forecast: WONKA Hopes to Sweeten the Holiday Corridor

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 17	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Wonka	Warner Bros. Pictures	$37,500,000	$37,500,000	~4,150	NEW
Godzilla Minus One	Toho International	$6,600,000	$36,300,000	~2,600	-23%
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes	Lionsgate	$5,300,000	$144,600,000	~3,400	-43%
The Boy and the Heron	GKIDS	$4,500,000	$22,200,000	~2,300	-65%
Trolls Band Together	Universal Pictures	$4,300,000	$88,900,000	~3,200	-29%
Christmas With The Chosen: Holy Night	Fathom Events	$4,000,000	$10,400,000	~2,200	NEW
Wish	Disney	$3,200,000	$54,200,000	~3,100	-40%
Poor Things	Searchlight Pictures	$2,700,000	$3,700,000	~450	+306%
Napoleon	Sony Pictures & Apple	$2,500,000	$57,300,000	~2,500	-39%
Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé	AMC Theatres Distribution	$2,200,000	$31,200,000	~1,800	-60%

[Brainbug]

@Shawn Robbins we did it, we turned you into a Godzilla-believer!

[Flip]

31 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Weekend Box Office Forecast: WONKA Hopes to Sweeten the Holiday Corridor

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 17	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Wonka	Warner Bros. Pictures	$37,500,000	$37,500,000	~4,150	NEW
Godzilla Minus One	Toho International	$6,600,000	$36,300,000	~2,600	-23%
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes	Lionsgate	$5,300,000	$144,600,000	~3,400	-43%
The Boy and the Heron	GKIDS	$4,500,000	$22,200,000	~2,300	-65%
Trolls Band Together	Universal Pictures	$4,300,000	$88,900,000	~3,200	-29%
Christmas With The Chosen: Holy Night	Fathom Events	$4,000,000	$10,400,000	~2,200	NEW
Wish	Disney	$3,200,000	$54,200,000	~3,100	-40%
Poor Things	Searchlight Pictures	$2,700,000	$3,700,000	~450	+306%
Napoleon	Sony Pictures & Apple	$2,500,000	$57,300,000	~2,500	-39%
Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé	AMC Theatres Distribution	$2,200,000	$31,200,000	~1,800	-60%

I remember there being an article that said poor things was expanding to only a few more theaters (~15) but I guess that must’ve been wrong

[SpiderByte]

Holiday legs will help but Wonka's lower than I would have guessed 

[Eric is Quiet]

Quorum Updates

The Boys in the Boat T-12: 21.85% Awareness

The Color Purple T-12: 47.43%

Ferrari T-12: 29.75%

Night Swim T-23: 28.91%

Bob Marley: One Love T-63: 28.73%

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire T-107: 39.18%

Unsung Hero T-135: 12.92%

The Fall Guy T-142: 27.28%

 

Wonka T-2: 67.75% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 88% chance of 50M, 76% chance of 60M, 59% chance of 70M, 41% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 100M

 

Mean Girls T-30: 43.87% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 95% chance of 20M, 90% chance of 30M, 62% chance of 40M

Low Awareness: N/A

[vale9001]

The Greatest showman had a x13 multiplier on a 5 days first weekend and not 3.

 

So if someone feels Wonka, especially after seeing it, can have an incredible WOM and like x8, x9 why shouldn't write it because of tabs and averages 😇. I mean it's box office, it's numbers but it's also about art and how it's percevied so you never know, exceptions can exist and are not even that rare. I remember for the graphics Barbie maximum on a 160M first weekend was like 470-480M final, then went near to 650M.

Edited December 13, 2023 by vale9001

[Grand Cine]

https://deadline.com/2023/12/box-office-wonka-warner-bros-christmas-preview-1235666245/

 

Wonka : 40M US , 35M overseas , 75M in total this weekend (around 120M in all totals)

Aquaman 2 : 50-60M Four Days Weekend ( a steady projection but much bigger than presales say)

Color Purple : 8M OD ( which is much lower than presales say)

 

6-7M 2nd Weekend for the Boys and The Heron ( for a once , i'm agree)

Edited December 13, 2023 by Grand Cine

[jeffthehat]

23 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

 

Wonka T-2 

 

Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters

Showtimes - 33

Seats sold - 307

Seats available - 5765

New sales - 14 (+4.7%)

 

Comps

 

0.438x Marvels T-2 = $2.89m

0.447x HG BoSS T-2 = $2.57m

---

 

Very bad day at this stage. 

 

The good news is Friday sales look strong. Friday tickets were only on sale at 5 of the theaters when I checked this morning and it was at 435 seats sold. 

 

 

 

 

 

Wonka T-1

 

Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters

Showtimes - 33

Seats sold - 349

Seats available - 5765

New sales - 42 (+13.7%)

 

Comps

 

0.44x Marvels T-1 = $2.90m

0.46x HG BoSS T-1 = $2.67m

 

Avg = $2.8m

 

Friday T-2

 

Showtimes - 137

Seats sold - 973

 

Comps

 

0.78x Marvels T-2 = $11.6m

0.97x HG BoSS T-2 = $12.9m

 

Avg = $12.3m

---

 

Previews sales have been bad here but Friday is bangin. Looks like $14m+ Thu/Fri to me. 

 

 

 

 

 

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, filmlover said:

It's also having early access shows on Wednesday (wearing pink naturally encouraged heh).

 

4 hours ago, M37 said:

They have to be incorporating that into the title of the show - Wear Pink Wednesday? EA - or advertising, right? 

 

 

Quote

MEAN GIRLS WEDNESDAYS WE WEAR PINK: EARLY ACCESS SCREENING (2024)

Movie Rating

NR, 2 hr 6 min | Wed, Jan 10, 2024

 

 

[SpiderByte]

1 hour ago, Grand Cine said:

https://deadline.com/2023/12/box-office-wonka-warner-bros-christmas-preview-1235666245/

 

Wonka : 40M US , 35M overseas , 75M in total this weekend (around 120M in all totals)

Aquaman 2 : 50-60M Four Days Weekend ( a steady projection but much bigger than presales say)

Color People : 8M OD ( which is much lower than presales say)

 

6-7M 2nd Weekend for the Boys and The Heron ( for a once , i'm agree)

 Color Purple going that low would be very surprising. Though with the stupid musical marketing trends we've seen people may not know it's a musical and not just a remake.

Edited December 13, 2023 by SpiderByte

[MovieMan89]

Wonka hitting 40 for OW would give me like 90% confidence in 400 DOM

[HummingLemon496]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Wonka hitting 40 for OW would give me like 90% confidence in 400 DOM

Mid December openers do not have 10x legs

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Mid December openers do not have 10x legs

Well that’s true, they can have 20x legs in recent years. My bad. 

 

[Brainbug]

6 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Mid December openers do not have 10x legs

 

[Bob Train]

4 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Mid December openers do not have 10x legs

Unless you're James Cameron lol

[Eric is Quiet]

12 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

 

 

 

 

This is the only time I will accept these Early Access shows lmao