The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/2/2023 at 6:05 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
186	1211	37608	3.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

45

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

EA

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	598	2148	27.8%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 37 sold / 291 seats  (-1)

MTC2 = 36 sold / 114 seats  (+1)

 

COMPS

T-9

*Excludes any EA

 

(0.770x) of RoTB

~$6.8M TUES

 

(0.756x) of FAST X

~$5.7M TUES

 

COMP AVG: $6.3M TUES

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday

 

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
212	1259	43522	2.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

48

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

EA

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	604	2148	28.1%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 37 sold / 291 seats  (+0)

MTC2 = 36 sold / 114 seats  (+0)

 

COMPS

T-8

*Excludes any EA

 

(0.787x) of RoTB

~$6.9M TUES

 

(0.739x) of FAST X

~$5.5M TUES

 

COMP AVG: $6.2M TUES

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/2/2023 at 6:12 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
131	2239	24279	9.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

96

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1389	1747	79.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

5

 

 

COMPS

T-18

*Excludes any EA

 

(1.935x) of RoTB

~$17.0M THUR Previews

 

(1.629x) of Fast X

~$12.2M THUR Previews

 

(0.797x) of ATSV

~$13.8M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $14.3M THUR Previews 

 

Still increasing against every comp 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
177	2346	31835	7.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

107

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

46

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1396	1747	79.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

5

 

 

COMPS

T-17

*Excludes any EA

 

(2.003x) of RoTB

~$17.6M THUR Previews

 

(1.699x) of Fast X

~$12.7M THUR Previews

 

(0.828x) of ATSV

~$14.4M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $14.9M THUR Previews 

 

Pure madness. Selling like a CBM here

[TheFlatLannister]

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	978	19452	5.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-24

 

(0.525x) of TLM

~$5.4M THUR Previews

 

Decent enough, I guess 

[Eric the Ape]

https://thequorum.com/q3-preview-the-good-the-average-and-the-ugly/

 

Quote

Our quarterly preview aims to identify films poised for success and, conversely, those that could use some extra love on the road to release. Here’s the methodology we use to sort would-be winners from losers.

 

First, we look at a film’s score in awareness and interest and compare it to the average score for its group. Take a look at MISSION and BARBIE. Awareness for MISSION is 53%, which is 1 point higher than the average of 52% for all Tentpoles at the same distance from releases. With an awareness of 52%, BARBIE is tracking 16 points higher than the average of 36% for its group.

 

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

55 minutes ago, Eric Jones said:

https://thequorum.com/q3-preview-the-good-the-average-and-the-ugly/

 

 

 

 

Hmm, considering how strong takes I read for Meg 2, need help seems a bit surprising, though anecdotally not so much.

[charlie Jatinder]

I see no reason why Blue Beetle should open more than Shazam 2.

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, across the Jat verse said:

I see no reason why Blue Beetle should open more than Shazam 2.

 

I expect 20-40. Upper end says it's good really good, lower end says really bad. 

[TheFlatLannister]

I'm betting Blue Beetle opens in the high teens or low 20s 

 

The first DCU film is going to be a bomb. Not sure who's bright idea it was to have a D-list character headline the start to a new franchise 

[Eric the Ape]

9 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

Hmm, considering how strong takes I read for Meg 2, need help seems a bit surprising, though anecdotally not so much.

I've gotten the trailer a couple times, and I honestly can understand both the low awareness and interest metrics. The first movie feels like one of those hits that made money but left little impact, and the trailers for this new movie makes it look like more of the same. Granted I'm not a monster movie fan, so I'm not the target demo, but it's never a good thing when a sequel to a movie's main hook is "yeah, we're doing the same schtick again".

 

3 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I'm betting Blue Beetle opens in the high teens or low 20s 

 

The first DCU film is going to be a bomb. Not sure who's bright idea it was to have a D-list character headline the start to a new franchise 

Am I missing something? I thought Blue Beetle and Aquaman 2 were still in the DCEU timeframe and that Gunn's Superman kicked off the new DC universe.

[Bob Train]

8 minutes ago, Eric Jones said:

I've gotten the trailer a couple times, and I honestly can understand both the low awareness and interest metrics. The first movie feels like one of those hits that made money but left little impact, and the trailers for this new movie makes it look like more of the same. Granted I'm not a monster movie fan, so I'm not the target demo, but it's never a good thing when a sequel to a movie's main hook is "yeah, we're doing the same schtick again".

 

Am I missing something? I thought Blue Beetle and Aquaman 2 were still in the DCEU timeframe and that Gunn's Superman kicked off the new DC universe.

I don't know, Meg 1 was about sharks, but this one is about sharks and dinosaurs. So maybe It's different.

 

In a last ditched effort to save the movie from flopping, James Gunn stated that Blue Beetle will be "the first DCU character". Doubt it works, but that's what happened.

Edited July 4, 2023 by Bob Train

[ThomasNicole]

Meg seems like those types of movies that no one cares until it’s open 

 

I suspect even presales for it will be bad, but then walkup will surprise

 

Haunted Mansion seems quite strong tho considering sales aren’t that good. I suspect it can be a boosted Jungle Cruise type of performance here

[TheFlatLannister]

4 minutes ago, Eric Jones said:

Am I missing something? I thought Blue Beetle and Aquaman 2 were still in the DCEU timeframe and that Gunn's Superman kicked off the new DC universe.

It's confusing. I think Blue beetle is the first official DCU character, but it doesn't take place in the DCU, which doesn't make sense to me. I think the ambiguity is a sort of fail-safe in case Blue Beetle fails

 

 

 

 

 

[ZackM]

On 6/28/2023 at 9:08 AM, ZackM said:

 

Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago
Showings Added	3	1	3	1,295
Seats Added	633	120	704	254,435
Seats Sold	1,076	899	910	34,030
6/27/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	423	1,302	36,915	255,892	14.43%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	6	15	35	63
ATP	Gross
$19.73	$728,333

 

Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	7	0	0	5
Seats Added	0	945	0	0	865
Seats Sold	1,170	1,052	1,067	960	978
7/2/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	1,314	42,142	257,702	16.35%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	22	46	69
ATP	Gross
$19.59	$825,562

[ZackM]

On 6/28/2023 at 9:17 AM, ZackM said:

 

Barbie surging 23 days out is fun.

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	30	9	2	38
Seats Added	0	3,440	1,215	269	4,297
Seats Sold	2,099	1,805	1,611	1,571	3,515
6/27/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	411	1,902	32,218	314,553	10.24%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	3	14	34	63
ATP	Gross
$17.02	$548,350

 

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 days
6/27/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	15,828	20,668	76.58%
ATP	Gross
$21.46	$339,669

 

 

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	1	25	0	0	18
Seats Added	168	4,453	0	0	2,042
Seats Sold	2,294	2,571	2,319	2,115	1,858
7/2/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	412	1,946	43,375	321,216	13.50%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	4	21	53	95
ATP	Gross
$16.71	$724,796

 

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days
7/2/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	17,400	20,668	84.19%
ATP	Gross
$21.31	$370,794

 

[tonytr87]

2 hours ago, Eric Jones said:

https://thequorum.com/q3-preview-the-good-the-average-and-the-ugly/

 

 

 

 

 

I still haven't seen a Meg 2 trailer in theaters. Having your trailer in theaters is like the bare minimum. 

[21C]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

It's confusing. I think Blue beetle is the first official DCU character, but it doesn't take place in the DCU, which doesn't make sense to me. I think the ambiguity is a sort of fail-safe in case Blue Beetle fails

 

 

 

 

 

He liked a comment clarifying that he's referring to the fact that Blue Beetle is in the DCU continuity, but since it has nothing to do with the story he's telling and he had nothing to do with it, it's technically not the first proper DCU film.

[poweranimals]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I think the ambiguity is a sort of fail-safe in case Blue Beetle fails

 

Which let's be honest, it will.

[Flopped]

What do you all think Insidious will open to? 

[Inceptionzq]

7 hours ago, M37 said:

If you have/know it, what is the capacity looking like for those Barbie Thursday shows? Will obviously hit a wall at some point, not having the capacity of a stand-alone tentpole of this sales volume, but also seeing the FSS sales look really good, especially this far out 

Some of the popular markets are at 80-basically 100% capacity for Thursday. There is still room for growth in some big markets, mostly the East Coast and Dallas. But lots of sellouts and near sellouts.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7322	8250	928	11.25%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

22

 

T-18 Comps:

	%		Sold T-18	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	42.84		99	2166		0/184	22643/24809	8.73%		10966	8.46%		7.71m
BP2	14.44		114	6428		1/294	30596/37024	17.36%		16800	5.52%		4.04m
FX	110.61		28	839		0/182	26871/27710	3.03%		4122	22.51%		8.30m
Indy 5	87.71		35	1058		0/124	18463/19521	5.42%		4767	19.47%		6.32m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:       190/2968  [6.40% sold]
Matinee:          13/81  [16.05% | 1.40% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 433/776 [+4 tickets] [46.66% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    335/4100 [+13 tickets] [36.10% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           160/3374 [+5 tickets] [17.24% of all tickets sold]

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7277	8250	973	11.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

45

 

T-17 Comps:

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	43.95		48	2214		0/188	22929/25143	8.81%		10966	8.87%		7.91m
BP2	14.80		146	6574		1/294	30450/37024	17.76%		16800	5.79%		4.14m
FX	111.84		31	870		0/182	26837/27707	3.14%		4122	23.61%		8.39m
Indy 5	87.97		48	1106		0/125	18415/19521	5.67%		4767	20.41%		6.33m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:     204/2968  [6.87% sold]
Matinee:          13/81  [16.05% | 1.34% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 442/776 [+9 tickets] [45.43% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    364/4100 [+29 tickets] [37.41% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           167/3374 [+7 tickets] [17.16% of all tickets sold]