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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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This movie is a super Mario situation. People just care about the movie, and critics are just another thing in the conversation which make the movie something you have to seen to join It. 

In general you give too much credit to reviews imo, switching cause and the effect. If sometimes movies seems like after good reviews perform Better last minute It's because ...well they're actually good It's so more like WOM. But Mario, Joker, Bohemian got even with mediocre reviews. So people were interested and people likes them, so you get wom even in the first weekend. 

 

I think critics can help (also a Little thing) for movies like Babylon, when the audience is aware about a movie but needs a final push to say "ok i'm going to the cinema" after a 98 metacritic.

Then what It matters is the interest and if a movie Is the film "you have to see" nothing can change It. 

Edited by vale9001
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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

53

7372

8250

878

10.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

18

 

T-20 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-20

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

44.32

 

101

1981

 

0/184

22826/24807

7.99%

 

10966

8.01%

 

7.98m

BP2

14.13

 

114

6212

 

1/294

30810/37022

16.78%

 

16800

5.23%

 

3.96m

FX

109.75

 

15

800

 

0/182

26910/27710

2.89%

 

4122

21.30%

 

8.23m

Indy 5

90.05

 

43

975

 

0/124

18546/19521

4.99%

 

4767

18.42%

 

6.48m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.


Regal:       180/2968  [6.06% sold]
Matinee:          13/81  [16.05% | 1.48% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 421/776 [+10 tickets] [47.95% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    305/4100 [+2 tickets] [34.74% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           152/3374 [+6 tickets] [17.31% of all tickets sold]

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

53

7344

8250

906

10.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

28

 

T-19 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-19

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

43.83

 

86

2067

 

0/184

22740/24807

8.33%

 

10966

8.26%

 

7.89m

BP2

14.35

 

102

6314

 

1/294

30708/37022

17.05%

 

16800

5.39%

 

4.02m

FX

111.71

 

11

811

 

0/182

26899/27710

2.93%

 

4122

21.98%

 

8.38m

Indy 5

88.56

 

48

1023

 

0/124

18498/19521

5.24%

 

4767

19.01%

 

6.38m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.


Regal:       185/2968  [6.23% sold]
Matinee:          13/81  [16.05% | 1.43% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 429/776 [+8 tickets] [47.35% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    322/4100 [+17 tickets] [35.54% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           155/3374 [+3 tickets] [17.11% of all tickets sold]

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

96

11284

12627

1343

10.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

80

 

T-20 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-20

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

67.79

 

101

1981

 

0/184

22826/24807

7.99%

 

10966

12.25%

 

12.20m

Scream 6

316.00

 

24

425

 

0/67

7310/7735

5.49%

 

3134

42.85%

 

18.01m

FX

167.88

 

15

800

 

0/182

26910/27710

2.89%

 

4122

32.58%

 

12.59m

TLM

130.14

 

60

1032

 

0/153

21550/22582

4.57%

 

6561

20.47%

 

13.40m

AtSV

86.14

 

99

1559

 

0/123

18343/19902

7.83%

 

9744

13.78%

 

14.95m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:     302/4252  [7.10% sold]
Matinee:    65/1757  [3.70% | 4.84% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:        335/423 [79.20% sold] [+7 tickets sold]
Thr:    1008/12204 [8.26% sold] [+73 tickets sold]

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

96

11202

12627

1425

11.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

82

 

T-19 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-19

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

68.94

 

86

2067

 

0/184

22740/24807

8.33%

 

10966

12.99%

 

12.41m

Scream 6

305.79

 

41

466

 

0/67

7269/7735

6.02%

 

3134

45.47%

 

17.43m

FX

175.71

 

11

811

 

0/182

26899/27710

2.93%

 

4122

34.57%

 

13.18m

TLM

128.96

 

73

1105

 

0/153

21474/22579

4.89%

 

6561

21.72%

 

13.28m

AtSV

89.01

 

42

1601

 

0/123

18301/19902

8.04%

 

9744

14.62%

 

15.44m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:     314/4252  [7.38% sold]
Matinee:    70/1757  [3.98% | 4.91% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:        339/423 [80.14% sold] [+4 tickets sold]
Thr:    1086/12204 [8.90% sold] [+78 tickets sold]

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

155

23205

24392

1187

4.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

51

 

T-11 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-11

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

135.50

 

64

876

 

0/134

20340/21216

4.13%

 

3737

31.76%

 

8.40m

JWD

39.65

 

182

2994

 

0/191

22380/25374

11.80%

 

10966

10.82%

 

7.14m

Ava 2

35.85

 

177

3311

 

0/145

18173/21484

15.41%

 

8986

13.21%

 

6.09m

Wick 4

89.05

 

49

1333

 

0/95

12458/13791

9.67%

 

5448

21.79%

 

7.93m

FX

97.62

 

48

1216

 

0/178

26494/27710

4.39%

 

4122

28.80%

 

7.32m

Indy 5

83.42

 

70

1423

 

0/128

18818/20241

7.03%

 

4767

24.90%

 

6.01m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.


Regal:          201/7979  [2.52% sold]
Matinee:         29/1691  [1.71% | 2.44% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    206/5966  [3.45% | 17.35% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          69/457 [15.10% sold] [+0 tickets]
Mon:    523/2256 [23.18% sold] [+7 tickets]
Tue:    595/21679 [2.74% sold] [+44 tickets]

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

155

23109

24392

1283

5.26%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

96

 

T-10 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-10

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

135.05

 

74

950

 

0/135

20309/21259

4.47%

 

3737

34.33%

 

8.37m

JWD

40.27

 

192

3186

 

0/191

22186/25372

12.56%

 

10966

11.70%

 

7.25m

Ava 2

36.94

 

162

3473

 

0/145

18011/21484

16.17%

 

8986

14.28%

 

6.28m

Wick 4

92.17

 

59

1392

 

0/95

12399/13791

10.09%

 

5448

23.55%

 

8.20m

FX

98.84

 

82

1298

 

0/178

26412/27710

4.68%

 

4122

31.13%

 

7.41m

Indy 5

83.47

 

114

1537

 

0/134

19034/20571

7.47%

 

4767

26.91%

 

6.01m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.


Regal:          215/7979  [2.69% sold]
Matinee:         31/1691  [1.83% | 2.42% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    223/5966  [3.74% | 17.38% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          71/457 [15.54% sold] [+2 tickets]
Mon:    547/2256 [24.25% sold] [+24 tickets]
Tue:    665/21679 [3.07% sold] [+70 tickets]

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17 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Insidious 5 T-5 Jax 5 20 7 47 2,037 2.31%
    Phx 6 18 4 94 2,820 3.33%
    Ral 7 24 16 50 2,829 1.77%
  Total   18 62 27 191 7,686 2.49%
Joy Ride T-5 Jax 5 17 1 7 1,591 0.44%
    Phx 5 17 0 26 1,484 1.75%
    Ral 7 24 0 12 2,099 0.57%
  Total   17 58 1 45 5,174 0.87%
Joy Ride (EA) T-0 Jax 3 3 14 21 297 7.07%
    Phx 1 1 21 33 110 30.00%
    Ral 1 1 7 9 88 10.23%
  Total   5 5 42 63 495 12.73%
  T-4 Jax 5 6 3 13 562 2.31%
    Phx 6 6 0 16 747 2.14%
    Ral 7 7 5 22 556 3.96%
  Total   18 19 8 51 1,865 2.73%
Sound of Freedom T-2 Jax 5 29 106 774 2,186 35.41%
    Phx 6 51 102 846 5,687 14.88%
    Ral 7 29 128 821 2,860 28.71%
  Total   18 109 336 2,441 10,733 22.74%

 

Sound of Freedom T-2 comps

 - Jesus Revolution EA - 1.95x (4.6m)

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - 1.57x (5.18m)

 - I Heard the Bells - 5.46x (4.22m)

 - Chosen 3 (Fri) - 1.129x (4.24m)

 - Chosen 3 Finale - 1.735x (2.9m)

 - Demon Slayer (OD) - 1.303x (5.5m)

 - Dragon Ball Super - 1.981x (8.53m)

 

Size adjusted average - 4.92m

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-5 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - 80 for Brady - 1.19x (893k)

 - Easter Sunday - 3.061x (1.53m)

 - Violent Night - 1.456x (1.6m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.04m

 

Insidious 5 T-5 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .729x (2.19m)

 - Scream VI - .197x (1.12m)

 - Nope - .304x (1.95m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Evil Dead Rise - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.37x (1.99m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.1m

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Insidious 5 T-4 Jax 5 20 12 59 2,037 2.90%
    Phx 6 18 10 104 2,820 3.69%
    Ral 7 24 21 71 2,829 2.51%
  Total   18 62 43 234 7,686 3.04%
Joy Ride T-4 Jax 5 17 2 9 1,591 0.57%
    Phx 5 17 -2 24 1,484 1.62%
    Ral 7 24 4 16 2,099 0.76%
  Total   17 58 4 49 5,174 0.95%
Joy Ride (EA) T-3 Jax 5 6 0 13 562 2.31%
    Phx 6 6 4 20 747 2.68%
    Ral 7 7 4 26 556 4.68%
  Total   18 19 8 59 1,865 3.16%
Sound of Freedom T-1 Jax 5 29 138 912 2,186 41.72%
    Phx 6 51 98 944 5,687 16.60%
    Ral 7 29 130 951 2,860 33.25%
  Total   18 109 366 2,807 10,733 26.15%

 

Sound of Freedom T-1 comps

 - Jesus Revolution EA - 2.166x (5.11m)

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - 1.645x (5.43m)

 - I Heard the Bells - 6.25x (4.83m)

 - Chosen 3 (Fri) - 1.217x (4.57m)

 - Chosen 3 Finale - 1.925x (3.22m)

 - Demon Slayer (OD) - 1.286x (5.43m)

 - Dragon Ball Super - 1.933x (8.32m)

 

Size adjusted average - 5.19m

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-4 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - 80 for Brady - 1.213x (910k)

 - Easter Sunday - 3x (1.5m)

 - Violent Night - missed

 

Insidious 5 T-4 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Scream VI - .223x (1.27m)

 - Nope - .328x (2.1m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Evil Dead Rise - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.614x (2.34m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.18m

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17 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
M:I 7 T-10 Jax 6 69 7 177 10,964 1.61%
    Phx 6 58 11 153 11,155 1.37%
    Ral 8 54 8 198 8,344 2.37%
  Total   20 181 26 528 30,463 1.73%
M:I 7 (EA) T-8 Jax 3 3 5 45 418 10.77%
    Phx 2 2 2 8 363 2.20%
    Ral 1 1 0 15 111 13.51%
  Total   6 6 7 68 892 7.62%
  T-9 Jax 5 7 0 140 1,407 9.95%
    Phx 1 1 2 58 410 14.15%
    Ral 2 2 14 109 412 26.46%
  Total   8 10 16 307 2,229 13.77%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-10 comps

 - F9 - 1.12x (7.93m)

 - John Wick 4 - .92x (8.18m)

 - Top Gun (Total) - .27x (5.22m)

 - Dune - 1.4x (7.13m)

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - 1.89x (8.52m)

 - NTTD (Total) - 1.48x (9.31m)

 - Indiana Jones - 1.1x (7.93)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.59m

 

*Note: comps are not ATP adjusted for discounted Tuesdays

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
M:I 7 T-9 Jax 6 69 8 185 10,964 1.69%
    Phx 6 58 18 171 11,155 1.53%
    Ral 8 54 5 203 8,344 2.43%
  Total   20 181 31 559 30,463 1.84%
M:I 7 (EA) T-7 Jax 3 3 1 46 418 11.00%
    Phx 2 2 0 8 363 2.20%
    Ral 1 1 0 15 111 13.51%
  Total   6 6 1 69 892 7.74%
  T-8 Jax 5 7 9 149 1,407 10.59%
    Phx 1 1 0 58 410 14.15%
    Ral 2 2 9 118 412 28.64%
  Total   8 10 18 325 2,229 14.58%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-9 comps

 - F9 - 1.1x (7.83m)

 - John Wick 4 - .91x (8.11m)

 - Top Gun (Total) - .27x (5.29m)

 - Dune - 1.39x (7.1m)

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - missed

 - NTTD (Total) - 1.4x (8.79m)

 - Indiana Jones - 1.12x (8.07m)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.6m

 

*Note: comps are not ATP adjusted for discounted Tuesdays

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17 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Barbie T-19 Jax 6 43 31 222 5,243 4.23%
    Phx 6 29 19 292 4,876 5.99%
    Ral 8 45 21 351 5,631 6.23%
  Total   20 117 71 865 15,750 5.49%
Barbie (EA) T-18 Jax 2 3 9 128 319 40.13%
    Phx 1 1 3 151 208 72.60%
    Ral 2 2 5 137 190 72.11%
  Total   5 6 17 416 717 58.02%
Oppenheimer T-19 Jax 6 24 9 227 4,739 4.79%
    Phx 6 25 7 259 4,863 5.33%
    Ral 8 22 15 281 2,837 9.90%
  Total   20 71 31 767 12,439 6.17%

 

Oppenheimer T-19 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .349x (6.29m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .621x (9.12m)

 - Avatar 2 - .484x (8.23m)

 - Scream VI - missed

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.379x

 - Barbie (Total) - .599x

 

Barbie (Total) T-19 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .808x (13.74m)

 - Oppenheimer - 1.67x

 - JWD (Total) - .584x (10.5m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.767x (11.91m)

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Barbie T-18 Jax 6 43 22 244 5,243 4.65%
    Phx 6 29 16 308 4,876 6.32%
    Ral 8 45 9 360 5,631 6.39%
  Total   20 117 47 912 15,750 5.79%
Barbie (EA) T-17 Jax 2 3 5 133 319 41.69%
    Phx 1 1 2 153 208 73.56%
    Ral 2 2 0 137 190 72.11%
  Total   5 6 7 423 717 59.00%
Oppenheimer T-18 Jax 6 24 9 236 4,739 4.98%
    Phx 6 25 4 263 4,863 5.41%
    Ral 8 22 8 289 2,837 10.19%
  Total   20 71 21 788 12,439 6.33%

 

Oppenheimer T-18 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .347x (6.25m)

 - Top Gun 2 - missed

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Scream VI - missed

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.327x

 - Barbie (Total) - .59x

 

Barbie (Total) T-18 comps

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Oppenheimer - 1.694x

 - JWD (Total) - .588x (10.59m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.713x (11.68m)

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17 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Haunted Mansion T-26 Jax 5 28 1 39 3,423 1.14%
    Phx 6 27 -1 35 4,543 0.77%
    Ral 8 30 9 23 3,672 0.63%
  Total   19 85 9 97 11,638 0.83%
Haunted Mansion (EA) T-25 Jax 2 2 0 8 395 2.03%
    Phx 1 1 2 17 208 8.17%
  Total   3 3 2 25 603 4.15%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-26 comps

 - Shazam 2 - missed

 - Barbie (Total) - .153x

 - Knock at the Cabin - 3.211x (4.66m)

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Haunted Mansion T-25 Jax 5 31 0 39 3,813 1.02%
    Phx 6 27 2 37 4,543 0.81%
    Ral 8 30 0 23 3,672 0.63%
  Total   19 88 2 99 12,028 0.82%
Haunted Mansion (EA) T-24 Jax 2 2 0 8 395 2.03%
    Phx 1 1 0 17 208 8.17%
  Total   4 4 0 25 603 4.15%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-25 comps

 - Shazam 2 - missed

 - Barbie (Total) - .148x

 - Knock at the Cabin - 3.263x (4.73m)

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MI7 T-10 Preview Update


Will start by saying that a Tuesday release in general mucks up comparisons, because T-X days are no longer the same day of the week, and then you add in a full PLF run EA day and another smaller EA show set, plus some discount Tuesday pricing, oh and a major holiday that disrupts sales patterns? Yeah, precision will be lacking here, so take all analysis with a grain of salt, as a best guess with much higher uncertainty than usual

 

With the preface out of the way, how are things looking? Generally, seem to be on track for ~$7.5-$8M total previews (all 3 days), before adjusting the actual $ value for the Tuesday discounts:

dNpt6Qe.png

 

However, a fairly big width in comp values, a bit of a choose your own adventure:

  • Indy 5 comps are mostly hovering around $6M
  • The few for John Wick (and ATSV) are over $8M
  • Alpha is high for all comps, over $10M

Overall, expect that Alpha is overindexing at present due to EA shows and will come back to the pack over time, and MI7 to play not quite as old as Indy, and those comps to come up with better pace/walk-ups at the end. But it will be very difficult to get a sense of pace and project forward, because of the July 4th holiday effect and then heading right into the weekend before a Sun/Mon/Tue show rollout. Anything from like $6M-$10M is possible based on the spread of comps, will have to see if/how the average moves over time

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Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1, T-10 Milton, ON

 

I figure I'm close enough to date that the comps should start providing something useful, but, they're all over the map right now.

 

Comps don't take into account discount Tuesday, however, it's worth noting that MI7 is in the Dolby theatre, and, it's discounted Tuesday price is the same as full price of non Dolby theatre. I know ATSV was only in non Dolby for previews, as TLM had it locked up.

 

2.636x of T:ROTB for $23.2M

5.800x of Indy 5 for $41.8M

0.337x of ATSV for $5.8M

1.160x of Flash for $11.3M

 

I only have Fast X comparable from T-9 onwards, so it'll show up in future updates. But, it's outpacing it by a comfortable margin.

 

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17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-1 Sunday 278 Showings 4096 +2153 39595
1.183 The Flash T-1 18.33M
0.627 ATSV T-1 19.60M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-0 Sunday 278 Showings 6633 +2537 39524
1.279 The Flash T-0 19.82M
0.642 ATSV T-0 20.07M

 

17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-1 Sunday 316 Showings 11894 +3254 43885 ATP: 14.20
1.589 The Flash T-1 24.64M
0.691 ATSV T-1 21.60M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-0 Sunday 315 Showings 14539 +2645 43708 ATP: 14.19
1.504 The Flash T-0 23.32M
0.689 ATSV T-0 21.53M

 

The Flash comps are gonna be inflated because of Father's Day. Interestingly, Emagine Sunday is ahead of Saturday at the same point, I guess more older people are catching the Sunday matinees over the Saturday matinees. I think that's why the AtSV comp is high as well.

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On 6/28/2023 at 9:27 AM, ZackM said:

 

Nice growth for MI7 too.

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 0 3 5 2,703
Seats Added 0 0 301 1,943 551,635
Seats Sold 1,646 1,340 729 780 24,792
           
6/27/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 425 2,711 29,287 553,879 5.29%
           
% of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 0 0 0 6 14
           
ATP Gross        
$19.10 $559,382        

 

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One Early Access
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days
           
6/27/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 204 214 19,185 52,528 36.52%
           
ATP Gross        
$21.43 $411,135        

 

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 3 6 2 2 0
Seats Added 341 1,876 655 185 0
Seats Sold 1,220 1,082 984 1,178 1,646
           
7/1/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 425 2,724 33,751 556,936 6.06%
           
% of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 0 0 1 9 14
           
ATP Gross        
$19.01 $641,607        
           
           
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One Early Access
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days
           
7/1/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 204 214 21,013 52,528 40.00%
           
ATP Gross        
$21.32 $447,997        
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18 hours ago, vafrow said:

Looking at @katnisscinnaplexupdates, and I find myself puzzled by how different the pre-sales are. The GTHA corridor is a 7 million population, and has such small sales. The updates from those US sites aren't massive, but, on a per capita basis or per theatre basis, they're miles ahead.

 

Between the two of us, we're only doing limited theatre tracking in Canada, due to limitations on Cineplex, but I wonder if we had better data, how sales would track differently in general? 

 

Our comps are obviously only compared to data from the same theatres generally, but if there was a way to do detailed tracking on the Canadian markets, are discrepancies like this that common.

All I can say with my experience Canada really is its own beast sometimes lol. I think the limitations of how they do presales (based on week to week and advanced Volume estimates), I donèt know short of having a ton more people tracking different regions we could ever get that type of detail. 

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Barbie

Thurs July 20 Fri July 21 (T-19) 

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

T-27   # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Toronto Thurs 4 14 813 3182 3995 0.20350438
  Fri 4 19 939 4434 5373 0.174762702
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Montreal Thurs 2 7 449 1018 1467 0.306066803
  Fri 2 7 489 1367 1856 0.263469828
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23 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

All I can say with my experience Canada really is its own beast sometimes lol. I think the limitations of how they do presales (based on week to week and advanced Volume estimates), I donèt know short of having a ton more people tracking different regions we could ever get that type of detail. 

 

I agree. I think doing the tracking for my theatre just puts it in light.

 

I'm inclined to try and track a range of theatres, but, I don't trust myself to expand and maintain momentum.

 

It's just more of an interesting observation.

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That July 21-23  weekend could not come  fast enough right now. If Barbenheimer hits the way we except and Mission has WOM in it's favor to  survive that. We are looking at a damm good weekend that  could fuel the rest of the summer until early fall at least.  Haunted Mansion could surprise,  TMNT could,  Meg 2 is a wildcard, and Sony is really pushing Gran Turismo .  Blue Beattle eh and then on Labor Day weekend Denzel with Equalizer 3 should do his  norrmal solid business for this type of movie. If it all goes wrong then yes maybe the sky is falling people around here will be vindicated. Fingers crossed that does not happen. 

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I am inclined to agree with those saying Barbie reviews probably don’t matter at this point (unless very acclaimed, which will only help more). But the hype train among the target audiences is too strong for negative reviews to really do much I think.

 

Also, it’s wild to see the 180 many on here have done with this movie overnight after the tracking lol. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR

 

THURSDAY

 

T-5

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

59

368

9738

3.8%

*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

45

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(1.786x) of BOOGEYMAN

~$2.0M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR

 

THURSDAY

 

T-4

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

59

416

9738

4.3%

*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

48

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(1.518x) of BOOGEYMAN

~$1.7M THUR Previews

 

(2.616x) of THE BLACKENING 

~$2.0M THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: $1.9M

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23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-19

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

78

1168

13845

8.4%

*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-19

 

(0.864x) of Fast X

~$6.5M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-18

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

78

1203

13845

8.7%

*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

35

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-18

 

(0.876x) of Fast X

~$6.6M THUR Previews

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