The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[emoviefan]

7 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

So, is the new Russell Crowe's Exorcism movie selling well? 

Crowe really is in that part of his career now isn't he. Long past his that glory day run of LA Confidential to Master and Commander with maybe a American Gangster or a few others since then that hit at the BO.  Nice Guys should have been a hit. 

[jeffthehat]

22 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana 

The Bikeriders T-1 

Sales	Seats	Shows
274	8654	82

TC = 25, pulled 11 AM EST

Comps

0.62x Challengers T-1 = $937k*

0.31x Furiosa T-1 = $1.08m

0.39x Civil War T-1 = $1.13m*

*pulled 10ish hrs earlier

 

AVG = $1.05m

Indiana 

The Bikeriders T-0 

Sales	Seats	Shows
398	9207	87

TC = 25, pulled 9 AM EST

Comps

0.12x Dune 2 T-0 = $1.17m

0.23x Bad Boys 4 T-0 = $1.31m

0.23x Furiosa T-0 = $1.40m

 

AVG = $1.29m

 

Comps are all wide release so they might be overshooting a bit. Good final update here though 

Edited June 20 by jeffthehat

[filmlover]

1 hour ago, emoviefan said:

Crowe really is in that part of his career now isn't he. Long past his that glory day run of LA Confidential to Master and Commander with maybe a American Gangster or a few others since then that hit at the BO.  Nice Guys should have been a hit. 

He's been in the "Oscar winner submerged in DTV-ish fare ala Nicolas Cage" era of his career for a while. Jamie Foxx's career also seems to be on the same path given some of his movie choices of late.

Edited June 20 by filmlover

[Hiccup23]

Alamo Drafthouse Chicago Sales

 

A Quiet Place: Day 1	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	60	206	29.1%
Twisters	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	52	206	25.2%
Deadpool/Wolverine	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	347	504	68.8%
The Bikeriders	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	40	130	30.8%
Despicable Me 4	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	6	412	1.5%
MaXXXine	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Wednesday EA	65	65	100.0%
Friday	90	401	22.4%
Saturday	56	401	14.0%
Sunday	29	401	7.2%
Longlegs	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	10	204	4.9%

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/19/2024 at 9:40 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-37 Thursday: 24466/207557

T-38 Friday: 14959/271893

T-39 Saturday: 10636/288179

T-40 Sunday: 3393/282093

 

Numbers are from yesterday night. I will hold off on posting CanadaMTC2 for now until I can look into the potential blocked seats

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-36 Thursday: 24693/207557

T-37 Friday: 15067/271893

T-38 Saturday: 10735/284179

T-39 Sunday: 3454/282093

 

Numbers once again from yesterday

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/19/2024 at 9:41 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-15 Wednesday: 939/230100

T-16 Thursday: 188/229845

T-17 Friday: 318/235181

T-18 Saturday: 688/238189

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-17 Saturday: 741/238189

 

Accidentally only ran the Saturday numbers yesterday

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/19/2024 at 9:42 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-9 Thursday: 501/82547

T-10 Friday: 577/142506

T-11 Saturday: 314/157746

T-12 Sunday: 141/156530

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-8 Thursday: 554/85461

T-9 Friday: 667/142506

T-10 Saturday: 341/157746

T-11 Sunday: 157/156530

[Relevation]

TWO THEATER MN PRESALES TRACK (T-1)

06/20/24 

GHOST: RITE HERE RITE NOW - 150 tickets sold

The Bikeriders - 38 tickets sold

The Exorcism - 11 tickets sold

 

COMPS

GHOST: RITE HERE RITE NOW 

1.09x of The Chosen: Season 4 episodes 1-3 ($1.57M)

1.92x of Ordinary Angels ($548K)

2.05x of Spy x Family Code: White ($1.37M)

AVERAGE: $1.16M (do not take this seriously whatsoever lmao)

 

The Bikeriders

0.30x of Civil War ($875K)

0.73x of Argylle ($1.24M)

0.73x of Challengers ($1.17M)

1.52x of The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare ($1.29M)

1.73x of Drive-Away Dolls ($777K)

AVERAGE: $1.07M

 

The Exorcism

0.30x of In A Violent Nature ($122K)

0.65x of Imaginary ($469K)

0.73x of The Watchers ($733K)

0.85x of Immaculate ($465K)

AVERAGE: $447K

 

Pulled these numbers last night about an hour late, but the two major releases this weekend were probably small enough to where it didn't make a huge difference. Anyways, The Bikeriders did pretty fine against the eclectic mix of comps I have for it, with the more walkup heavy action movies and less walkup heavy Indies balancing each other out. $1M THU and a $9-10M OW. The Exorcism did poorly as per usual for horror in my market, but I think I'm gonna shoot lower in my prediction compared to the average because that low comp for In A Violent Nature doesn't give me terribly high hopes. $350-400K THU and a $2-3M OW. Now, as for GHOST: RITE HERE RITE NOW, I had no clue what this was until I noticed it playing at both my theaters (and my personal rule is if a movie is playing at both my tracking theaters, I have to track it). So, I went ahead and counted up the 6th biggest total for any movie ever at my theater, and 2 of the higher ones were all-day releases. Apparently this is a 2 day Fathom Events concert movie for this heavy metal band called Ghost, that also has band lore and is connected to a web series? I just threw all my ridiculously heavy over indexing comps at the wall here to get some sense, but this release is so odd that I'm not bothering with a prediction here. One for the record ig?

[TheFlatLannister]

17 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

THE BIKERIDERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
354	1014	73288	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-1

(0.263x) of Furiosa $920k

(0.529x) of Challengers $846k

(0.329x) of Civil War $954k
Comps AVG: $907k 

 

No comment. Didn't even know this movie existed yesterday 

FLORIDA 

 

THE BIKERIDERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-0

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
354	1295	73288	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 2:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

281

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-0

(0.254x) of Furiosa $889k

(0.569x) of Challengers $911k

(0.301x) of Civil War $874k
Comps AVG: $891k 

 

I guess this could get to $1M, but I'll go with $900k

[abracadabra1998]

13 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Bikeriders (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	88	71	231	7624	3.03

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		147	34	63.64
Other chains:		84	37	36.36

 

Comps (no adjustment):

0.28x Civil War: $805k

1.25x Ferrari: $540k

1.12x Iron Claw: $750k

 

Average: $700k

 

Comps (removing Alamo from comps):

0.32x Civil War: $930k

1.51x Ferrari: $650k

1.49x Iron Claw: $995k

 

Average: $860k

 

T-1 Hour update tomorrow, still thinking right under or around a million

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Bikeriders (T-1 Hour):

Day: T-1 Hour	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	88	123	354	7624	4.64

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		193	46	54.52
Other chains:		161	77	45.48

 

T-1 Hour Comps:

2.51x Back to Black (w/ EA): $940k

0.39x Fall Guy: $925k

0.64x Monkey Man: $900k

0.54x Argyle: $920k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $920k

 

One thing to keep in mind is that this has no PLFs, while all these other comps (save for Back to Black) do. I am not very good at adjusting for that though. I'll go with a final prediction of $900k, +/- 100.

[abracadabra1998]

4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

THE BIKERIDERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-0

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
354	1295	73288	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 2:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

281

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-0

(0.254x) of Furiosa $889k

(0.569x) of Challengers $911k

(0.301x) of Civil War $874k
Comps AVG: $891k 

 

I guess this could get to $1M, but I'll go with $900k

 

Twins!! (I promise I didn't plagiarize and peep at your prediction before making mine, I was working on my post for ~10 minutes or so  )

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

9M opening for Bikeriders. Call it.

 

[ChipDerby]

3 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

9M opening for Bikeriders. Call it.

 

 

Over

[Pinacolada]

7 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

9M opening for Bikeriders. Call it.

 

I want the over so bad

 

But outside of true breakouts, it feels like everything always comes in on the lower end these days...

 

I'd be happy with anything above 9m. That would probably be enough to get it over 30m DOM

 

But yeah, fingers crossed for double digits. Let's see how walk ups are. Friday and weekend sales look pretty good from what I've seen

[Human]

Under

[Rorschach]

13 hours ago, Rorschach said:

The Bikeriders (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

4 2D showings: 30/268 (11.2% sold)

 

Comps: 

The Northman: $1.76 mil

Elvis: $709k

Furiosa: $1.18 mil

Average: $1.22 mil

The Bikeriders (Thursday Afternoon Outlook) - T0

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 

4 2D showings: 54/268 (20.1% sold) [+24]

 

Still feel good about this hitting $1M, but if it doesn't, probably just barely under it.

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]