JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[MinaTakla]

*1　80518　261044　838　151　*65.8%　ジュラシック・ワールド  JW

*2　54117　185595　697　150　*64.6%　ミッション：インポッシブル／ローグ・ネイション MI5

*3　39515　153614　656　146　*61.0%　ミニオンズ Minions

*4　20909　*68562　460　144　*60.8%　バケモノの子 Monster

*5　18307　*75343　489　134　*56.6%　ＢＯＲＵＴＯ－ＮＡＲＵＴＯ ＴＨＥ ＭＯＶＩＥ－

*6　17997　*61547　394　147　*63.9%　インサイド・ヘッド  IO

1900 5 chain admissions. JW still holding the strongest w/o/w

 

 

    Est Est Est Est Est Est Est Est   Week       Wknd (m) M (m) T W Th F S Su Wknd %Chg Total Total Proj Tot JW 7.6 1.75 1.36 1.64 1.19 1.22 2.20 2.50 4.70 -38.2% 11.9 47.0 71.0 MI5 5.2 1.02 0.78 0.96 0.65 0.72 1.50 1.50 3.00 -42.3% 7.1 27.1 41.0 Minions 3.4 1.01 0.77 1.13 0.76 0.66 0.85 1.05 1.90 -44.1% 6.2 31.2 43.0 IO 1.5 0.43 0.34 0.56 0.35 0.30 0.37 0.45 0.82 -45.3% 2.8 28.6 33.0

 

Last year, next week, the good ones held flat to down -20%. That should allow all 4 of these to do at least 2x this past week's total for the rest of the run and where I put the projection. A couple of 20% holds before summer is out would increase the projection greatly

Lawrence, are these -40% drops across the board normal compared to last year's post-Obon? Or are they a bit steeper than usual?

[POTUS 2020]

Lawrence, are these -40% drops across the board normal compared to last year's post-Obon? Or are they a bit steeper than usual?

they are a few % steeper, but the last years saw 5-15% drops in Obons second weekend. I don't know if it because the way the holiday fell or a new release affected them.

To put in perspective last year Obon winner doremon opened at 7.2m, fell to 6.8 then 4.7 this weekend, 44.5m total.

JW was 6.8m 7.6, 4.7, 47m total

They wound up in the same place, different path. many others in the top ten fell more than 40%, a couple over 50% after falling the week before so the other 3 are in line or better too. If all 4 stay in line, 0-20% drops are expected next weekend. Doraemon went up 6%.

[KATCH-2D2]

they are a few % steeper, but the last years saw 5-15% drops in Obons second weekend. I don't know if it because the way the holiday fell or a new release affected them.

To put in perspective last year Obon winner doremon opened at 7.2m, fell to 6.8 then 4.7 this weekend, 44.5m total.

JW was 6.8m 7.6, 4.7, 47m total

They wound up in the same place, different path. many others in the top ten fell more than 40%, a couple over 50% after falling the week before so the other 3 are in line or better too. If all 4 stay in line, 0-20% drops are expected next weekend. Doraemon went up 6%.

 

Not to mention with last year ER these movies would have made more in USD. JW would have made 8m second weekend.

[POTUS 2020]

Not to mention with last year ER these movies would have made more in USD. JW would have made 8m second weekend.

$9m

[KATCH-2D2]

$9m

Even better.

JW needs $17m more from this weekend to reach 1b os, meaning 65m total. Very doable.

[lab276]

From Corpse:
 

Weekend Estimates (08/22-23)

01 (01) ¥564,000,000 ($4.6 million), -40%, ¥5,875,000,000 ($47.3 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 3

02 (02) ¥345,000,000 ($2.9 million), -40%, ¥3,280,000,000 ($26.5 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 3
03 (03) ¥230,000,000 ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($31.2 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 4
04 (05) ¥134,000,000 ($1.1 million), -43%, ¥5,065,000,000 ($41.0 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 7
05 (04) ¥131,000,000 ($1.1 million), -46%, ¥2,560,000,000 ($20.7 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 4
06 (06) ¥129,000,000 ($1.1 million), -45%, ¥1,915,000,000 ($15.5 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 3
07 (09) ¥103,000,000 ($845,000), -42%, ¥3,555,000,000 ($28.9 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 6
08 (07) ¥102,000,000 ($840,000), -48%, ¥4,120,000,000 ($33.7 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 6
09 (08) ¥91,000,000 ($745,000), -49%, ¥850,000,000 ($6.9 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) Week 3
10 (10) ¥66,000,000 ($540,000), -34%, ¥710,000,000 ($5.9 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) Week 3

Harsh drops across the board, but that's unsurprising following Obon Festival and a weekend that received a boost from the holiday period last week.

A few weekend notes:

>Jurassic World will have overtaken Cinderella over the weekend, making it the biggest live-action release this year, and that's unlikely to change. It's also outgrossed Jurassic Park III, but it'll need some very strong late-legs if it wants to reach the heights of The Lost World: Jurassic Park.

>Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation should have exceeded the ¥3 billion milestone and keeps it chances of once again reaching the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone alive. All the Mission: Impossible films reached the blockbuster milestone, so having a fifth-consecutive installment get there is very, very impressive. It's one of the most consistent and biggest imported franchises in the market. 

>The Boy and the Beast probably exceeded the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone over the weekend, becoming the third film this calendar year to reach the mark (fifth overall). And having earned over ¥5 billion, it's also become the first domestic animated film to ever achieve blockbuster status that isn't apart of a franchise or established brand (Ghibli, Pokemon, etc.). Needless to say, that Mamoru Hosoda and Studio Chizu will certainly be an established brand after this. 

>Boruto: Naruto the Movie will soon outgross The Last: Naruto the Movie to become the highest-grossing film in the Naruto film franchise. The fact that it's going to clear ¥2 billion quite easily is pretty surprising.

[lab276]

This makes JW the highest grossing film of the year.

[jiangsen]

This makes JW the highest grossing film of the year.

No, #3 behind Big Hero 6 ($77.7M) and local Yo Kai Watch ($66.2M)...

[lab276]

No, #3 behind Big Hero 6 ($77.7M) and local Yo Kai Watch ($66.2M)...

Not in terms of calendar gross.

[SchumacherFTW]

Not in terms of calendar gross.

Japanese box office year starts in December, not January

[lab276]

Japanese box office year starts in December, not January

That's how they list the films, but as far as I can tell, the ticket sales they list at the beginning of each year is Jan-Dec. And I'm certain Corpse has confirmed that.

[Olive]

Jurassic World  $49.4 million (￥5.957 billion)  from 4.01 million tickets， $5 million (￥597 million) weekend

[Bishop54]

Jurassic World  $49.4 million (￥5.957 billion)  from 4.01 million tickets， $5 million (￥597 million) weekend

Awesome...it went up.

[PierreHP]

From Corpse:

 

Weekend Estimates (08/22-23)

01 (01) ¥564,000,000 ($4.6 million), -40%, ¥5,875,000,000 ($47.3 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 3

02 (02) ¥345,000,000 ($2.9 million), -40%, ¥3,280,000,000 ($26.5 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 3

03 (03) ¥230,000,000 ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($31.2 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 4

04 (05) ¥134,000,000 ($1.1 million), -43%, ¥5,065,000,000 ($41.0 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 7

05 (04) ¥131,000,000 ($1.1 million), -46%, ¥2,560,000,000 ($20.7 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 4

06 (06) ¥129,000,000 ($1.1 million), -45%, ¥1,915,000,000 ($15.5 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 3

07 (09) ¥103,000,000 ($845,000), -42%, ¥3,555,000,000 ($28.9 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 6

08 (07) ¥102,000,000 ($840,000), -48%, ¥4,120,000,000 ($33.7 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 6

09 (08) ¥91,000,000 ($745,000), -49%, ¥850,000,000 ($6.9 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) Week 3

10 (10) ¥66,000,000 ($540,000), -34%, ¥710,000,000 ($5.9 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) Week 3

Harsh drops across the board, but that's unsurprising following Obon Festival and a weekend that received a boost from the holiday period last week.

A few weekend notes:

>Jurassic World will have overtaken Cinderella over the weekend, making it the biggest live-action release this year, and that's unlikely to change. It's also outgrossed Jurassic Park III, but it'll need some very strong late-legs if it wants to reach the heights of The Lost World: Jurassic Park.

>Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation should have exceeded the ¥3 billion milestone and keeps it chances of once again reaching the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone alive. All the Mission: Impossible films reached the blockbuster milestone, so having a fifth-consecutive installment get there is very, very impressive. It's one of the most consistent and biggest imported franchises in the market. 

>The Boy and the Beast probably exceeded the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone over the weekend, becoming the third film this calendar year to reach the mark (fifth overall). And having earned over ¥5 billion, it's also become the first domestic animated film to ever achieve blockbuster status that isn't apart of a franchise or established brand (Ghibli, Pokemon, etc.). Needless to say, that Mamoru Hosoda and Studio Chizu will certainly be an established brand after this. 

>Boruto: Naruto the Movie will soon outgross The Last: Naruto the Movie to become the highest-grossing film in the Naruto film franchise. The fact that it's going to clear ¥2 billion quite easily is pretty surprising.

Decent drop for IO compared to the other films.

[POTUS 2020]

		Est	WOW										Week	8.30	Proj
	Wknd	M (m)	%Ch	T	W	Th	F	S	Su	Wknd	%Chg	Total	ProjTot	ProjTot	Finish
JW	4.90	0.99	-43.4%							0.00		50.4	9.0	58.4	76.0
MI5	3.00	0.51	-50.0%							0.00		27.0	5.2	31.7	40.0
Min	1.90	0.60	-40.6%							0.00		31.8	4.3	35.5	43.0
IO	0.82	0.25	-41.9%							0.00		29.2	2.1	31.0	34.5

Last Tuesday saw sharp drops from monday. Perhaps Monday was inflated due to holiday spillover. Lets see how the holds look tomorrow

[HesAPooka]

So we can expect another 15m for MI5 in Japan?

[POTUS 2020]

So we can expect another 15m for MI5 in Japan?

looking like 13m more right now. 15m possible

[MinaTakla]

looking like 13m more right now. 15m possible

Lawrence, THR is saying Minions reached 32.6m in Japan this Sunday - is this true?

 

Illumination Entertainment's Minions stayed in the third spot it had bounced back up to last weekend, pulling in $2 million (￥361 million) to take its total in Japan to $32.6 million (￥3.15 billion) for Universal from 3.24 million admissions after four weekends. Despicable Me 2 finished with $24 million in Japan in 2013.

 

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/japan-box-office-jurassic-world-817040

Edited August 25, 2015 by MinaTakla

[POTUS 2020]

Cumes as of Sunday:

JW - 4,366B yen, 2.955 mil adm.

Minions - 3.148B yen, 2.584 mil adm.

MI5 - 2.462B yen, 1.887 mil adm.

 

 

Lawrence, THR is saying Minions reached 32.6m in Japan this Sunday - is this true?

 

Illumination Entertainment's Minions stayed in the third spot it had bounced back up to last weekend, pulling in $2 million (￥361 million) to take its total in Japan to $32.6 million (￥3.15 billion) for Universal from 3.24 million admissions after four weekends. Despicable Me 2 finished with $24 million in Japan in 2013.

 

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/japan-box-office-jurassic-world-817040

He must have been drunk when he wrote it. a couple funny errors

$2m does not equal 361m yen. it equals $3m. Total from 2 weeks ago, 8/9

3.15B yen for their total = $25.4, sundays total from 8/17

 

3.24m admissions @ 1215y = 3.936B yen / 121.50 = $32.4m. That he got right. Maybe its right. a lot of variable w estimates. I had a total of $25m last sunday it was 400k more. IDK how I was 20% short for the week. They do shift theater size and the 5 chain multiplier can shift 10%

[MinaTakla]

He must have been drunk when he wrote it. a couple funny errors

$2m does not equal 361m yen. it equals $3m. Total from 2 weeks ago, 8/9

3.15B yen for their total = $25.4, sundays total from 8/17

 

3.24m admissions @ 1215y = 3.936B yen / 121.50 = $32.4m. That he got right. Maybe its right. a lot of variable w estimates. I had a total of $25m last sunday it was 400k more. IDK how I was 20% short for the week. They do shift theater size and the 5 chain multiplier can shift 10%

Thanks for the feedback! When will Japan announce the weekend actuals?