JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[POTUS 2020]

Thanks for the feedback! When will Japan announce the weekend actuals?

Corpse usually reports it by now on his site. someone usually posts it here. His estimate was in line with mine at $31.2m cume on sunday. We are using the same 5 chain info

[MinaTakla]

Corpse usually reports it by now on his site. someone usually posts it here. His estimate was in line with mine at $31.2m cume on sunday. We are using the same 5 chain info

I trust your estimates so will consider 31.2 as the actual number 

[Olive]

Weekend Actuals (08/22-23) @ corpse


Chuck Zlotnick / Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment

01 (01) ¥597,498,800 ($4.90 million), -37%, ¥5,957,379,700 ($48.1 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 3
02 (02) ¥361,374,700 ($2.96 million), -37%, ¥3,411,216,200 ($27.7 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation(Paramount) Week 3
03 (03) ¥237,816,400 ($1.95 million), -42%, ¥3,937,111,900 ($32.1 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 4
04 (05) ¥134,537,500 ($1.10 million), -43%, ¥5,090,257,400 ($41.2 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 7
05 (04) ¥134,518,700 ($1.09 million), -45%, ¥2,619,488,000 ($21.1 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 4
06 (06) ¥129,552,900 ($1.06 million), -45%, ¥1,951,211,000 ($15.8 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 3
07 (09) ¥109,740,600 ($899,000), -38%, ¥3,570,438,800 ($29.0 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 6
08 (07) ¥105,214,300 ($862,000), -47%, ¥4,161,503,100 ($34.0 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 6
09 (08) ¥95,410,300 ($781,000), -47%, ¥905,831,800 ($7.3 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) Week 3
10 (10) ¥71,835,400 ($588,000), -29%, ¥742,966,150 ($6.2 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive(Toei) Week 3

>Jurassic World claims its third-consecutive week atop the box office, and delivered an impressive sub-40% hold coming out of Obon Festival, too.

In its third weekend, the latest Jurassic Park installment sold 378,941 tickets bringing its overall admissions over 4 million after 19 days in release. Its three week total also surpassed Cinderella, allowing it to become the highest-grossing live-action film of the year. By the end of its run, Jurassic World is likely to exceed ¥8 billion ($65-70 million) and 5.5 million admissions.

>Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation continues its strong performance in second place, selling 264,338 tickets in its third weekend.

And after 17 days in release, it's exceeded 2.6 million admissions, and is tracking 21% ahead of Ghost Protocol at the same point-in-time. Its predecessor will gain on it as it received its major holiday boost later in its run, but Rogue Nation is looking very likely to exceed that ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone, keeping the Mission: Impossible franchise's perfect record of blockbuster hits.

>The Boy and the Beast exceeded the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone itself over the weekend, and in doing so, became the first domestic animated feature not based on an existing brand or franchise to ever accomplish the achievement. After 44 days in release, its admissions total is just shy of 4 million (3.99 million).

>Boruto: Naruto the Movie exceeded 1.5 million admissions after 17 days in release, and is only ¥50 million away from becoming the highest-grossing film in the Naruto film franchise. It'll either become the #1 film in the Naruto film franchise on Tuesday or Wednesday this week. Very impressive performance.

>Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages has been outside the Top 10 now for two weeks, but in weekend admissions, it actually rose back into the Top 10 (10th). This is mainly worth mentioning because it exceeded 2 million admissions over the weekend, after 37 days in release. 2 million admissions used to be nothing for the Pokemon franchise, though, so this is a very small victory for this year's film...

[Olive]

[Olive]

Minions passed 4B yen on Monday.

New totals: 4.02B yen, 3.32M admissions.

[POTUS 2020]

I trust your estimates so will consider 31.2 as the actual number 

I appreciate that but estimates can be off because of inferences  from limited data. Another problem is accurate reporting of actuals.

I am finding actuals are differing due to XR. Corpse just reported JW at a 124yen to $1, Minions at 122. The rate has dropped from 124 to 120 the past month. The report you mentioned on minions mite have been at 120 when its average is likely to be 122, the reason it is higher. BOM actually had declining cumes w/o/w due to XR fluctuations. Imagine, a movie stands at 100m, make 2m this week and they report 99m for a total. The studios put in the books as it occurs and buy currencies as a hedge. The average weekly XR should be applied but reporting agencies don't bother. The markets are tanking and currencies are going to move. BO in dollars is going to be all over the place

 

 

 

		Est		WOW									Week	8.30	Proj
	Wknd	M (m)	T	%Ch	W	Th	F	S	Su	Wknd	%Chg	Total	ProjTot	ProjTot	Finish
JW	4.90	1.00	0.88	-35.3%						0.00		51.3	9.0	58.4	76.0
MI5	3.00	0.51	0.46	-41.0%						0.00		27.5	5.2	31.7	40.0
Min	1.90	0.60	0.54	-29.9%						0.00		32.3	4.3	35.5	43.0
IO	0.82	0.25	0.22	-35.3%						0.00		29.4	2.1	31.0	34.5

 

 

. The holds are better today. The yen has moved 2% in the last week making a 40% drop into a 38% drop. These drops are based on admissions. Currency changes will be applied at the end of the week

[catlover]

Assuming all goes well, it's likely that we will have at least 5 Hollywood movies over 5b yen (Cinderella, JW, MI5, Minions, BH6), as opposed to 2 last year. Even if you use calendar year instead of Japanese box office year, SW7 will replace BH6 and we still have 5 movies. Not bad at all. Also, there are already 8 Hollywood movies (including BH6) over 3b yen. I think that's the most since 2007. So Hollywood's not dead yet there.

[POTUS 2020]

	Est	Est	Est	w/o/w	Proj	Proj	Proj	Proj	Proj			Week	8.30	Proj
Wknd	M (m)	T	W	%Ch	Th	F	S	Su	Wknd	%Chg	Total	ProjTot	ProjTot	Finish
4.70	0.96	0.88	1.36	-17.1%	0.87	0.91	1.74	1.95	3.69	-21.5%	51.2	8.7	56.0	75.0
3.00	0.49	0.46	0.73	-24.0%	0.45	0.52	1.11	1.11	2.22	-26.0%	28.2	4.9	31.4	40.5
1.90	0.60	0.54	0.93	-17.7%	0.53	0.50	0.63	0.88	1.51	-20.5%	34.1	4.6	35.8	44.0
0.82	0.26	0.22	0.47	-16.1%	0.22	0.22	0.29	0.35	0.64	-22.0%	30.2	2.0	30.9	34.5

Last mon n tues were stronger than normal compared to wed. Today's much smaller drop proves that and should reflect how the coming weekend will perform

 

All 4 are holding better than all, but 1 local movie, that is holding better than just MI5

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

All-Time Highest Grossing Animated Films (¥3 billion+)

01. ¥30.40 billion ($249.0 million) - Spirited Away (2001) #1 All-Time
02. ¥25.48 billion ($249.6 million) - Frozen (2014) #3 All-Time
03. ¥19.60 billion ($207.0 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004) #5 All-Time
04. ¥19.30 billion ($165.5 million) - Princess Mononoke (1997) #6 All-Time
05. ¥15.50 billion ($156.0 million) - Ponyo (2008) #10 All-Time
06. ¥12.02 billion ($123.5 million) - The Wind Rises (2013) #17 All-Time
07. ¥11.00 billion ($102.4 million) - Finding Nemo (2003) #19 All-Time
08. ¥10.80 billion ($130.7 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010) #24 All-Time
09. ¥9.37 billion ($76.8 million) - Monsters, Inc. (2002) #36 All-Time
10. ¥9.25 billion ($111.9 million) - Arrietty (2010) #38 All-Time
11. ¥9.16 billion ($77.7 million) - Big Hero 6 (2014) [Final] #41 All-Time
12. ¥8.96 billion ($91.3 million) - Monsters University (2013) #44 All-Time
13. ¥8.38 billion ($80.2 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014) #52 All-Time
14. ¥7.80 billion ($66.2 million) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014) [Final] #62 All-Time
15. ¥7.65 billion ($62.9 million) - Tales from Earthsea (2006) #63 All-Time
16. ¥7.54 billion ($67.8 million) - Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back! (1998) #65 All-Time
17. ¥6.87 billion ($77.1 million) - One Piece Film Z (2012) #77 All-Time
18. ¥6.46 billion ($54.4 million) - The Cat Returns (2002) #88 All-Time
19. ¥6.36 billion ($64.8 million) - Pokemon: Revelation Lugia (1999) #90 All-Time
20. ¥5.30 billion ($64.0 million) - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (2012)
21. ¥5.26 billion ($51.1 million) - The Incredibles (2004)
22. ¥5.09 billion ($41.2 million) - The Boy and the Beast (2015) [7 Weeks In Release]
23. ¥5.02 billion ($47.2 million) - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: The Rise of Darkrai (2007)
24. ¥5.00 billion ($60.5 million) - Up (2009)
25. ¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) - Dinosaur (2000)
26. ¥4.85 billion ($45.8 million) - Pokemon: Spell of the Unown (2001)
27. ¥4.80 billion ($58.1 million) - One Piece Film Strong World (2009)
27. ¥4.80 billion ($53.3 million) - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Giratina and the Sky Warrior (2008)
29. ¥4.67 billion ($51.6 million) - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Arceus and the Jewel of Life (2009)
30. ¥4.50 billion ($38.4 million) - Pokemon Advanced: Jirachi - Wishmaker (2003)
31. ¥4.47 billion ($57.8 million) - From Up on Poppy Hill (2011)
31. ¥4.47 billion ($37.0 million) - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (2015) [Final]
33. ¥4.45 billion ($32.5 million) - Porco Rosso (1992)
34. ¥4.38 billion ($39.1 million) - Pokemon Advanced: Destiny Deoxys (2004)
35. ¥4.33 billion ($56.1 million) - Pokemon Best Wishes: White - Victini and Zekrom/Black - Victini and Reshiram (2011)
36. ¥4.30 billion ($38.9 million) - Pokemon Advanced: Lucario and the Mystery of Mew (2005)
37. ¥4.26 billion ($41.2 million) - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (2013)
38. ¥4.25 billion ($37.2 million) - Aladdin (1993)
39. ¥4.22 billion ($53.9 million) - The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki (2012)
40. ¥4.16 billion ($50.3 million) - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Zoroark - Master of Illusions (2010)
41. ¥4.11 billion ($40.3 million) - Detective Conan: Dimensional Sniper (2014)
42. ¥4.05 billion ($40.3 million) - Pom Poco (1994)
43. ¥4.00 billion ($44.2 million) - Wall-E (2008)
43. ¥4.00 billion ($44.2 million) - Evangelion 2.0: You Can (Not) Advance (2009)
45. ¥3.98 billion ($43.4 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (2013)
46. ¥3.94 billion ($32.1 million) - Minions (2015) [4 Weeks In Release]
47. ¥3.93 billion ($33.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (2015) [Final]
48. ¥3.90 billion ($36.3 million) - Ratatouille (2007)
48. ¥3.90 billion ($32.5 million) - Pokemon: Celebi - Voice of the Forest (2001)
50. ¥3.74 billion ($31.1 million) - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (2015) [Final]
51. ¥3.63 billion ($37.1 million) - Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (2013)
52. ¥3.62 billion ($46.2 million) - Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles (2012)
53. ¥3.61 billion ($46.1 million) - Pokemon Best Wishes: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo (2012)
54. ¥3.58 billion ($35.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (2014)
55. ¥3.57 billion ($29.0 million) - Inside Out (2015) [6 Weeks In Release]
56. ¥3.54 billion ($30.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Adventure into the Underworld (2007)
57. ¥3.53 billion ($34.0 million) - Memories of Marnie (2014)
58. ¥3.50 billion ($35.6 million) - Detective Conan: The Raven Chaser (2009)
59. ¥3.45 billion ($29.9 million) - Toy Story 2 (2000)
60. ¥3.40 billion ($28.2 million) - Pokemon Advanced: Pokemon Ranger and the Temple of the Sea (2006)
60. ¥3.40 billion ($30.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Phantom of Barker Street (2002)
62. ¥3.37 billion ($32.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita and the Green Giant Legend (2008)
63. ¥3.28 billion ($42.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker (2012)
63. ¥3.28 billion ($27.6 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Dinosaur (2006)
65. ¥3.20 billion ($31.7 million) - The Lion King (1994)
65. ¥3.20 billion ($28.6 million) - Detective Conan: Crossroad in the Ancient Capital (2003)
65. ¥3.20 billion ($35.2 million) - Detective Conan: Lost Ship in the Sky (2010)
68. ¥3.17 billion ($33.0 million) - Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect - Mewtwo Awakens (2013)
69. ¥3.16 billion ($33.6 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Merman Sea Adventure (2010)
70. ¥3.13 billion ($39.8 million) - Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (2011)
71. ¥3.05 billion ($29.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita and the Legend of the Sun King (2000)
71. ¥3.05 billion ($28.9 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Wannyan Space-Time Odyssey (2004)
73. ¥3.03 billion ($26.8 million) - Detective Conan: The Private Eyes' Requiem (2006)
74. ¥3.01 billion ($39.0 million) - Cars 2 (2011)
75. ¥3.00 billion ($32.4 million) - Wreck-It Ralph (2013)
75. ¥3.00 billion ($25.8 million) - Doraemon: Nobita and the Winged Braves (2001)

Recent Entries

Upcoming Major Animated Titles:
12/04/15 - The Peanuts Movie
12/19/15 - Yo-Kai Watch Y2: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan!
Winter 2015 - Evangelion 4.0: Final
03/05/16 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan
03/12/16 - The Good Dinosaur
04/16/16 - Detective Conan (Working Title)
04/23/16 - Zootopia
July 2016 - Finding Dory
July 2016 - Pokemon XY (Working Title)
Summer 2016 - One Piece (Working Title)

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

Marvel/DC Box-Office History

Top Opening Weekends
¥1.226 billion ($9.6 million) - Spider-Man (2002)
¥1.207 billion ($10.1 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007)
¥1.084 billion ($10.0 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004)
¥793.9 million ($6.5 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥580.9 million ($7.4 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥500.9 million ($6.3 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥420.3 million ($4.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)
¥414.7 million ($4.3 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)
¥372.0 million ($4.6 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥368.9 million ($3.4 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥361.9 million ($3.1 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)
¥333.2 million ($3.1 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥290.2 million ($2.7 million) - Batman Begins (2005)
¥276.6 million ($2.4 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥272.5 million ($2.7 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)
¥268.3 million ($2.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥264.6 million ($2.9 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥247.5 million ($2.1 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥224.1 million ($2.1 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥211.7 million ($2.0 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥204.7 million ($1.9 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥198.4 million ($1.9 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥194.3 million ($1.6 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥187.1 million ($1.8 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥184.3 million ($1.9 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥176.8 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥160.9 million ($1.4 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥158.5 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥129.9 million ($1.6 million) - Thor (2011)
¥109.7 million ($1.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥88.3 million ($1.1 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥65.1 million ($0.6 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥42.6 million ($0.6 million) - The Green Lantern (2011)
¥41.5 million ($0.4 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)

Top Grossing Films
¥7.50 billion ($59.2 million) - Spider-Man (2002) #66 All-Time
¥7.12 billion ($66.9 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007) #71 All-Time
¥6.70 billion ($61.1 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004) #81 All-Time
¥3.61 billion ($46.2 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥3.16 billion ($25.6 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) [8 Weeks In Release]
¥3.16 billion ($39.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥3.14 billion ($30.7 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)
¥3.00 billion ($20.0 million) - Batman (1989)
¥2.57 billion ($26.4 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)
¥2.55 billion ($12.0 million) - Superman II (1981)
¥1.97 billion ($24.2 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥1.85 billion ($18.1 million) - X-Men (2000)
¥1.80 billion ($15.9 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)
¥1.60 billion ($15.8 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥1.53 billion ($14.3 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥1.50 billion ($11.9 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥1.40 billion ($14.1 million) - Batman Begins (2005)
¥1.20 billion ($13.7 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥1.07 billion ($9.7 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥1.03 billion ($10.1 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)
¥970 million ($9.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥950 million ($10.1 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥900 million ($9.3 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥900 million ($9.8 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥850 million ($8.2 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥830 million ($6.9 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥820 million ($8.4 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥800 million ($8.9 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥750 million ($8.0 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥700 million ($6.8 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥650 million ($6.3 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥550 million ($7.0 million) - Thor (2011)
¥420 million ($4.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥400 million ($5.0 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥370 million ($3.3 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥240 million ($2.0 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)
¥200 million ($1.9 million) - Green Lantern (2011)

Upcoming Marvel/DC Films:
09/19/15 - Ant-Man
10/09/15 - Fantastic Four
March 2016 - Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
04/29/16 - Captain America: Civil War

[Inuyugi]

Is the exchange rate so different from 2012 and this year that even when the gross of Age of Ultron is not that behind from the first Avengers in Yens there is a 20 million USD difference?

[POTUS 2020]

Is the exchange rate so different from 2012 and this year that even when the gross of Age of Ultron is not that behind from the first Avengers in Yens there is a 20 million USD difference?

yen to dollar dropped 33%. TA1 2012 $45m = $30m in July 2015 . TA1 sold a lot more 3d.

Might be TA1 27m w todays 3d ratio, TA2 25.5m. just a 6% difference.

Admissions would be the best str8 up comparison if anyone has them

[scoobysaurus]

yen to dollar dropped 33%. TA1 2012 $45m = $30m in July 2015 . TA1 sold a lot more 3d.

Might be TA1 27m w todays 3d ratio, TA2 25.5m. just a 6% difference.

Admissions would be the best str8 up comparison if anyone has them

So JW would have made well over $100m if it was released in 2012! Damn exchange rates!

[POTUS 2020]

dbl post

Edited August 27, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[POTUS 2020]

Trpl Post

Edited August 27, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[POTUS 2020]

		Est	Est	Est	Est	w/o/w	Proj	Proj	Proj	Proj			Week	w/o/w	8.30	Proj
	Wknd	M (m)	T	W	Th	%Ch	F	S	Su	Wknd	%Chg	Total	ProjTot	%Ch	ProjTot	Finish
JW	4.70	0.96	0.88	1.36	0.67	-43.7%	0.82	1.62	1.82	3.44	-26.8%	51.9	8.1	-31.5%	56.1	75.0
MI5	3.00	0.49	0.46	0.73	0.36	-44.6%	0.42	0.91	0.92	1.83	-39.0%	28.6	4.3	-39.8%	30.8	40.0
Min	1.90	0.60	0.54	0.93	0.44	-42.1%	0.45	0.60	0.75	1.35	-28.9%	34.5	4.3	-30.8%	36.3	44.0
IO	0.82	0.26	0.22	0.47	0.18	-48.6%	0.20	0.23	0.29	0.52	-36.6%	30.3	1.9	-33.9%	31.1	35.0

[POTUS 2020]

Ted 2 opening today. Has nearly as many seat as JW had and 20% more than MI5 on their OD. Very strange. May open to $700k, more seats but half the revenue of MI5.

JW knocked down to 200k seats from 300k. No impact on JW, will hold a similar percentage drop as yesterday or better, as is the way of japan

Local opener, flower pedal something or other, not a good google translate may open to 600k w 100k seats

[POTUS 2020]

		Est	Est	Est	Est	Proj	w/o/w	Proj	Proj	Proj			Week	w/o/w	8.30	Proj
	Wknd	M (m)	T	W	Th	F	%Ch	S	Su	Wknd	%Chg	Total	ProjTot	%Ch	ProjTot	Finish
JW	4.70	0.96	0.88	1.36	0.67	0.78	-36.1%	1.62	1.82	3.44	-26.8%	51.9	8.1	-31.8%	56.1	75.0
MI5	3.00	0.49	0.46	0.73	0.36	0.45	-37.5%	0.95	0.95	1.90	-36.7%	28.6	4.3	-39.4%	30.8	40.0
Min	1.90	0.60	0.54	0.93	0.44	0.42	-36.4%	0.60	0.75	1.35	-28.9%	34.5	4.3	-31.3%	36.3	44.0
IO	0.82	0.26	0.22	0.47	0.18	0.15	-50.0%	0.21	0.26	0.51	-42.0%	30.3	1.8	-36.1%	31.0	35.0

Ted2 going to open over $1m. Pretty decent considering it was a disappointment WW

IO taking a hit as it has lost a lot of seats

Last year the holds improved by 10-20% on the weekend versus the week. looking for the actuals to improve on the projections

[Bishop54]

Thanks for the analysis as usual Lawrence.

[POTUS 2020]

Early Saturday/weekend estimates

 

I see why Ted 2 got so many seat/screens. Japan was Ted's second largest OS market behind UK at $44m($29m at today's XR). Huge especially for a comedy which generally don't do well because they don't translate well. Did nearly a 12 OW multiplier. Ted 2 should open close to Ted. $3.6m vs 3.7m(2.5m). I assume that this is OW hype and WOM should be poor. 5x OW gives it 18m. If it does 10x, there will be a Ted 3 and take place in Japan.

 

Minions takes the big hold crown for the weekend so far. Thought it would be JW. Last year, this week displayed which will get the best OW multiplier and run well into sept and which will drop off quick. JW is still in good shape to get in to the 70s. MI5 showing a little weakness may miss $40m. Another hold like this and Minions may make a run at $50m

 

They yen moved back to 122 to $1. That should be the average XR for all that opened a few weeks ago and actuals shouldn't come in all over the goddamn place.

 

Do they have Talking Ted bears in Japan casually saying "fuck you retardson" and "up your sumo ass" in Japanese?

Sperm bank scene was hysterical. Wonder how they translated the rejected black

man sperm that Whalberg swallowed, a nationality funnier for Japan? Korean?

 

		Est	Est	Est	Est	Est	Est	Proj	Proj			Week	w/o/w	9.06	Proj
	Wknd	M (m)	T	W	Th	F	S	Su	Wknd	%Chg	Total	ProjTot	%Ch	ProjTot	Finish
JW	4.70	0.96	0.88	1.36	0.67	0.78	1.61	1.80	3.41	-27.4%	56.1	8.1	-32.0%		75.0
MI5	3.00	0.49	0.46	0.73	0.36	0.45	0.87	0.87	1.74	-42.0%	30.7	4.2	-40.7%		38.0
Min	1.90	0.60	0.54	0.93	0.44	0.42	0.74	0.91	1.65	-13.2%	36.6	4.6	-26.5%		45.0
IO	0.82	0.26	0.22	0.47	0.18	0.15	0.27	0.33	0.60	-26.8%	31.1	1.9	-32.9%		35.0
Ted						1.05	1.80	1.80	3.60		4.7	4.7			18.0