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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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3 hours ago, NCsoft said:

I would actually rather they don't do that, if the film is good, all is fine, if not, I worry that it may dilute Cameron's brand in China, which might hurt Avatar 2. The last three times a new Cameron film is released in China, they all became the highest grossing film of all time (True Lies, Titanic, Avatar), that is just magic!

I think Alita may be able to stand on its own though, but it's hard to be optimistic in this age when Hollywood "original" blockbusters don't succeed anymore. 

 

The latest news is that Disney and Fox might announce their deal anytime soon, presumably next week. If the deal is approved, then you can have Avatar 2's marketing as "From Disney and director James Cameron...".

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4 hours ago, NCsoft said:

I would actually rather they don't do that, if the film is good, all is fine, if not, I worry that it may dilute Cameron's brand in China, which might hurt Avatar 2. The last three times a new Cameron film is released in China, they all became the highest grossing film of all time (True Lies, Titanic, Avatar), that is just magic!

 

 

1

 

I found it very interesting that Avatar is still the highest grossing film of all-time in Hong Kong and Taiwan. Also impressive was the fact that Avatar held that same record in China for over 4 years. Chinese audiences seemed to really enjoy it, and I hope that nostalgia carries over to the sequels. After seeing Wolf Warriors 2 break-out and gross $850 million, I'm really not sure what the ceiling for Avatar 2 is anymore. 

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10 hours ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Tuesday est after service fees
Coco  -  29.7m/563m -5.8% / +36.6%
Justice League  -  5.9m / 667.2m  - 6.3%
Darkest Hour - 3.3M/20.4m  +8.1%
Fireworks(Japan) - 1.5M/74.5M -28.5%
Viking(Russia)  - 0.62m/13m -19.5%

JL: with that kind of number and one more competition-free weekend, the movie definitely do more than USD$105M?

 

and Coco is a nice hit for Pixar after all....

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2 hours ago, zackzack said:

JL: with that kind of number and one more competition-free weekend, the movie definitely do more than USD$105M?

 

and Coco is a nice hit for Pixar after all....

I am sorry. Maybe I do not get some things. What's the difference between 101 or 103 or 105? Even more when everything depends on ER. You should be more excited about getting 700m Yuan, which is the real Chinese currency.

 

And said this, and being myself a fan of DCU (specially BvS, the best SH film since TDKR), it does not matter if JL makes 660 WW or 670, or even 680. Even if there is a fucking holy Christmas miracle and it reaches 700. It is a huge disappointment. No matters how you look at it.

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8 hours ago, zackzack said:

JL: with that kind of number and one more competition-free weekend, the movie definitely do more than USD$105M?

 

and Coco is a nice hit for Pixar after all....

Its holding well but several releases are going to take 60-70% of shows. 4th weekend movies get wacked unless they are huge holdovers like zoo, dangal or coco.  Last friday Coco had 20%, JL had 8%. So far, this friday has Coco at 15%, JL at 1.2%. That'll adjust up to 20%+ and just 2%. Im looking for Coco to hold flat WoW. JL will probably drop 75%+ and make just ¥10m.

 

Coco heading to 28m down 6% again

 

 

Edited by POTUS
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40 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Its holding well but several releases are going to take 60-70% of shows. 4th weekend movies get wacked unless they are huge holdovers like zoo, dangal or coco.  Last friday Coco had 20%, JL had 8%. So far, this friday has Coco at 15%, JL at 1.2%. That'll adjust up to 20%+ and just 2%. Im looking for Coco to hold flat WoW. JL will probably drop 75%+ and make just ¥10m.

 

Coco heading to 28m down 6% again

 

 

Is Coco's performance still in line with your expectations?

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Wednesday est after service fees
Coco  -  28m/591.3m -6.1% 
Justice League  -  5.75m / 673m  - 2.5%
Darkest Hour - 3.3M/ 23.7m  +1%
Fireworks(Japan) - 1.22M/75.7M -20%
Viking(Russia)  - 0.5m/13.5m -19.7%

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                All-Time Animated Movies

Rank Movie Ttitle Gross(¥) Gross($) Date
#1 Zootopia ¥1,530.3 $234.0 2016/3/4
#2 Despicable Me 3 ¥1,037.8 $152.6 2017/7/7
#3 Kung Fu Panda 3 ¥1,002.0 $154.4 2016/1/29
#4 The Monkey King: Hero is Back ¥956.4 $154.0 2015/7/10
#5  Kung Fu Panda 2 ¥612.1 $94.2 2011/5/28
#6 Coco ¥591.3 $87.2 2017/11/24
#7 Your Name ¥576.8 $86.2 2016/12/2
#8 Big Fish & Begonia ¥565.1 $91.0 2016/7/8
#9 Doraemon: Stand by Me ¥530.3 $84.7 2015/5/28
10 Big Hero 6 ¥526.7 $76.7 2015/2/28
10 Bonnie Bears 4 ¥522.6 $79.8 2017/1/28
11 Angry Birds ¥513.8 $84.0 2016/5/20
12 Ice Age 4 ¥449.0 $67.6 2012/7/27
13 Ice Age 5 ¥447.2 $70.4 2016/8/23
14 Minions ¥435.7 $70.3 2015/9/13
15 How to Train Your Dragon 2 ¥406.0 $65.4 2014/8/14

 

Coco will enter top 5 tomorrow, other top 5 will be one WDAS, one Illumination, one DWA and  one local.

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37 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

                All-Time Animated Movies

Rank Movie Ttitle Gross(¥) Gross($) Date
#1 Zootopia ¥1,530.3 $234.0 2016/3/4
#2 Despicable Me 3 ¥1,037.8 $152.6 2017/7/7
#3 Kung Fu Panda 3 ¥1,002.0 $154.4 2016/1/29
#4 The Monkey King: Hero is Back ¥956.4 $154.0 2015/7/10
#5  Kung Fu Panda 2 ¥612.1 $94.2 2011/5/28
#6 Coco ¥591.3 $87.2 2017/11/24
#7 Your Name ¥576.8 $86.2 2016/12/2
#8 Big Fish & Begonia ¥565.1 $91.0 2016/7/8
#9 Doraemon: Stand by Me ¥530.3 $84.7 2015/5/28
10 Big Hero 6 ¥526.7 $76.7 2015/2/28
10 Bonnie Bears 4 ¥522.6 $79.8 2017/1/28
11 Angry Birds ¥513.8 $84.0 2016/5/20
12 Ice Age 4 ¥449.0 $67.6 2012/7/27
13 Ice Age 5 ¥447.2 $70.4 2016/8/23
14 Minions ¥435.7 $70.3 2015/9/13
15 How to Train Your Dragon 2 ¥406.0 $65.4 2014/8/14

 

Coco will enter top 5 tomorrow, other top 5 will be one WDAS, one Illumination, one DWA and  one local.

Where do you think Coco might end up in the all-time animated movies ranking?

competing with DM3 and KFP3 on the edge of 1000¥ for # 2-3-4? 

clearly surpassing them for a solid #2?

any remote chance of attempting to #1 Zootopia?

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Just now, meriodejaneiro said:

Where do you think Coco might end up in the all-time animated movies ranking?

competing with DM3 and KFP3 on the edge of 1000¥ for # 2-3-4? 

clearly surpassing them for a solid #2?

any remote chance of attempting to #1 Zootopia?

#2 easily

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Amazing that just 10 days ago, $100M was locked as a target for final gross, now it’s clear that Coco will not only pass that mark with much ease, but will gross much more.

 

China BO is exciting. 

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                                Top 20 of 2017 as of Dec.05

Rank Movie Ttitle Gross(¥) Gross($) Admissions Date
#1 Wolf Warriors 2 ¥5,679.3 $842.6 158.02  2017/7/27
#2 The Fate of the Furious 8 ¥2,671.0 $388.2 72.88  2017/4/14
#3 Never Say Die ¥2,200.3 $330.9 65.84  2017/9/30
#4 Kung Fu Yoga ¥1,752.6 $254.7 45.92  2017/1/28
#5 Journey to the West: The Demons Strike Back ¥1,655.9 $240.7 42.30  2017/1/28
#6 Transformers: The Last Knight ¥1,551.2 $227.1 41.99  2017/6/23
#7 Dangal ¥1,299.1 $188.3 43.20  2017/5/5
#8 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales ¥1,179.9 $172.2 32.95  2017/5/26
#9 Kong: Skull Island ¥1,160.5 $168.7 33.03  2017/3/24
10  xXx: Return of Cage ¥1,127.5 $163.9 31.14  2017/2/10
11 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter ¥1,111.9 $162.1 32.06  2017/2/24
12 Duckweed ¥1,048.5 $152.4 28.87  2017/1/28
13 Despicable Me 3 ¥1,037.8 $152.6 30.46  2017/7/7
14 Spider-man: homecoming ¥774.1 $118.2 22.01  2017/9/8
15 Buddies in India ¥757.9 $110.2 21.31  2017/1/28
16 Thor:Ragonarok ¥743.3 $111.9 20.95  2017/11/3
17 War for the Planet of the Apes ¥739.8 $112.9 21.15  2017/9/15
18 Logan ¥731.7 $106.4 22.60  2017/3/3
19 Wu Kong ¥696.5 $102.9 19.39  2017/7/13
20 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 ¥686.1 $99.4 18.41  2017/5/5

 

Question: can Coco make top 10 of 2017, no other movies will pass 1B this year.

 

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6 hours ago, UserHN said:

Is Coco's performance still in line with your expectations?

ahead.

1 hour ago, meriodejaneiro said:

Where do you think Coco might end up in the all-time animated movies ranking?

competing with DM3 and KFP3 on the edge of 1000¥ for # 2-3-4? 

clearly surpassing them for a solid #2?

any remote chance of attempting to #1 Zootopia?

2 definitely. likely to reach 1.2b/$180m

1 hour ago, feasby007 said:

@fmpro I think it was you made that graph of Coco vs. Zoo vs. Dangal? Any chance for an update with actuals from Friday-Wednesday?

here is old chart and updated

 

On ‎12‎/‎3‎/‎2017 at 1:49 PM, POTUS said:

Its closely following Dangals % holds. Weekdays are weaker but weekends are stronger.

Today should land at 113. Then inputted a reasonable projection. It could hold stronger.

Zoo           Dan         Coco        
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot
Thur                              
Fri 22     22 3 16     16 2 13     13 2
Sat 60 169.6%   82.4 12 31 98.7%   47 7 47 270.1%   60 9
Sun 72 19.9%   154.8 23 36 16.1%   83 13 58 23.4%   118 18
Mon 36 -49.9%   191.1 29 20 -44.4%   103 16 20 -65.5%   138 21
Tues 69 89.5%   259.9 39 23 15.0%   126 19 21 5.0%   159 24
Wed 45 -35.3%   304.4 46 27 17.4%   153 23 24 14.3%   183 28
Thur 43 -3.1%   347.5 53 27 0.0%   180 27 25 4.2%   208 31
Fri 71 65.7%   419 63 42 55.6% 169.2% 222 34 50 100.0% 293.7% 258 39
Sat 167 133.9%   586 89 95 126.2% 206.5% 317 48 125 150.0% 166.0% 383 58
Sun 150 -10.2% 107.2% 736 112 93 -2.1% 158.3% 410 62 113 -9.6% 94.8% 496 75
Mon 43 -71.3% 18.5% 779 118 34 -64.2% 70.0% 444 67 28 -75.2% 40.0% 524 79
Tue 38 -11.6% -44.8% 817 124 32 -5.9% 39.1% 476 72 26 -7.1% 23.8% 550 83
Wed 34 -10.5% -23.6% 851 129 29 -9.4% 7.4% 505 76 24 -7.7% 0.0% 574 87
Thu 29 -14.7% -32.7% 880 133 26 -10.3% -3.7% 531 80 22 -8.3% -12.0% 596 90
Fri 47 62.1% -34.2% 927 140 42 61.5% 0.0% 573 87 44 100.0% -12.0% 640 97
Sat 109 131.9% -34.7% 1036 157 111 164.3% 16.8% 684 104 110 150.0% -12.0% 750 114
Sun 86 -21.1% -42.7% 1122 170 81 -27.03% -12.9% 765 116 90 -18.18% -20.4% 840 127
Mon 18 -79.1% -58.1% 1140 173 23 -71.6% -32.4% 788 119 22 -75.6% -21.4% 862 131
Tue 17 -5.6% -55.3% 1157 175 21 -8.7% -34.4% 809 123 20 -9.1% -23.1% 882 134
Wed 15 -11.8% -55.9% 1172 178 20 -4.8% -31.0% 829 126 18 -10.0% -25.0% 900 136
Thu 14 -6.7% -51.7% 1186 180 18 -10.0% -30.8% 847 128 16.3 -9.4% -25.9% 916 139
Fri 19.0 35.7% -59.6% 1205 183 13 -27.8% -69.0% 860 130 16 -1.8% -63.6% 932 141
Sat 50.0 163.2% -54.1% 1255 190 19 46.2% -82.9% 879 133 40 150.0% -63.6% 972 147
Sun 43.0 -14.0% -50.0% 1298 197 44 131.58% -45.7% 923 140 34 -15.00% -62.2% 1006 152
Mon 9.8 -77.2% -45.6% 1308 198 54 22.7% 134.8% 977 148 8.5 -75.0% -61.4% 1015 154
Tue 9.2 -6.1% -45.9% 1317 200 43 -20.4% 104.8% 1020 154 8 -5.9% -60.0% 1023 155
Wed 9.1 -1.1% -39.3% 1326 201 13 -69.8% -35.0% 1033 156 7.2 -10.0% -60.0% 1030 156
Thu 9.1 0.0% -35.0% 1335 202 32 146.2% 77.8% 1065 161 6.6 -8.3% -59.5% 1036 157
Fri 9 3.3% -50.5% 1345 204 13 -59.4% 0.0% 1078 163 9 36.4% -43.8% 1045 158
Sat 32 241.5% -35.8% 1377 209 27 107.7% 42.1% 1105 167 23 155.6% -42.5% 1068 162
Sun 42 30.8% -2.3% 1419 215 23 -14.8% -47.7% 1128 171 19 -17.4% -44.1% 1087 165
Mon 30 -28.6% 206.1% 1449 219 7.7 -66.5% -85.7% 1135 172          
Tue 4.5 -85.0% -51.1% 1453 220 8.3 7.8% -80.7% 1144 173          
        1530 232       1299 197          
Zoo           Dan         Coco        
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot
Thur                              
Fri 22     22 3 16     16 2 13     13 2
Sat 60 169.6%   82 12 31 98.7%   47 7 47 270.1%   60 9
Sun 72 19.9%   155 23 36 16.1%   83 13 58 23.4%   118 18
Mon 36 -49.9%   191 29 20 -44.4%   103 16 20 -65.5%   138 21
Tues 69 89.5%   260 39 23 15.0%   126 19 21 5.0%   159 24
Wed 45 -35.3%   304 46 27 17.4%   153 23 24 14.3%   183 28
Thur 43 -3.1%   348 53 27 0.0%   180 27 25 4.2%   208 31
Fri 71 65.7%   419 63 42 55.6% 169.2% 222 34 50 100.0% 293.7% 258 39
Sat 167 133.9%   586 89 95 126.2% 206.5% 317 48 125 150.0% 166.0% 383 58
Sun 150 -10.2% 107.2% 736 112 93 -2.1% 158.3% 410 62 113 -9.6% 94.8% 496 75
Mon 43 -71.3% 18.5% 779 118 34 -64.2% 70.0% 444 67 31.6 -72.0% 58.0% 527 80
Tue 38 -11.6% -44.8% 817 124 32 -5.9% 39.1% 476 72 29.8 -5.7% 41.9% 557 84
Wed 34 -10.5% -23.6% 851 129 29 -9.4% 7.4% 505 76 28 -6.0% 16.7% 585 89
Thu 29 -14.7% -32.7% 880 133 26 -10.3% -3.7% 531 80 26 -7.1% 4.0% 611 93
Fri 47 62.1% -34.2% 927 140 42 61.5% 0.0% 573 87 48 84.6% -4.0% 659 100
Sat 109 131.9% -34.7% 1036 157 111 164.3% 16.8% 684 104 120 150.0% -4.0% 779 118
Sun 86 -21.1% -42.7% 1122 170 81 -27.03% -12.9% 765 116 105 -12.50% -7.1% 884 134
Mon 18 -79.1% -58.1% 1140 173 23 -71.6% -32.4% 788 119 26 -75.2% -17.7% 910 138
Tue 17 -5.6% -55.3% 1157 175 21 -8.7% -34.4% 809 123 24 -7.7% -19.5% 934 142
Wed 15 -11.8% -55.9% 1172 178 20 -4.8% -31.0% 829 126 22 -8.3% -21.4% 956 145
Thu 14 -6.7% -51.7% 1186 180 18 -10.0% -30.8% 847 128 20 -9.1% -23.1% 976 148
Fri 19.0 35.7% -59.6% 1205 183 13 -27.8% -69.0% 860 130 18 -10.0% -62.5% 994 151
Sat 50.0 163.2% -54.1% 1255 190 19 46.2% -82.9% 879 133 45 150.0% -62.5% 1039 157
Sun 43.0 -14.0% -50.0% 1298 197 44 131.58% -45.7% 923 140 35 -22.22% -66.7% 1074 163
Mon 9.8 -77.2% -45.6% 1308 198 54 22.7% 134.8% 977 148 9 -74.3% -65.4% 1083 164
Tue 9.2 -6.1% -45.9% 1317 200 43 -20.4% 104.8% 1020 154 8 -11.1% -66.7% 1091 165
Wed 9.1 -1.1% -39.3% 1326 201 13 -69.8% -35.0% 1033 156 7.2 -10.0% -67.3% 1098 166
Thu 9.1 0.0% -35.0% 1335 202 32 146.2% 77.8% 1065 161 6.6 -8.3% -67.0% 1105 167
Fri 9 3.3% -50.5% 1345 204 13 -59.4% 0.0% 1078 163 9 36.4% -50.0% 1114 169
Sat 32 241.5% -35.8% 1377 209 27 107.7% 42.1% 1105 167 23 155.6% -48.9% 1137 172
Sun 42 30.8% -2.3% 1419 215 23 -14.8% -47.7% 1128 171 19 -17.4% -45.7% 1156 175
Mon 30 -28.6% 206.1% 1449 219 7.7 -66.5% -85.7% 1135 172          
Tue 4.5 -85.0% -51.1% 1453 220 8.3 7.8% -80.7% 1144 173          
        1530 232       1299 197          

 

 

 

Edited by POTUS
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