China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Darkest Hour, yet another film to have great legs, could break record for biopic.

[Olive]

1 hour ago, firedeep said:

Darkest Hour, yet another film to have great legs, could break record for biopic.

So sad it will lose 90% showtimes on Friday

[zackzack]

On 06/12/2017 at 12:10 PM, peludo said:

I am sorry. Maybe I do not get some things. What's the difference between 101 or 103 or 105? Even more when everything depends on ER. You should be more excited about getting 700m Yuan, which is the real Chinese currency.

 

And said this, and being myself a fan of DCU (specially BvS, the best SH film since TDKR), it does not matter if JL makes 660 WW or 670, or even 680. Even if there is a fucking holy Christmas miracle and it reaches 700. It is a huge disappointment. No matters how you look at it.

Take it easy, my friend. Looking at yuan number maybe the way to go here considering the potentially volatile ER.

But seriously, ER is not that volatile. And if you are talking about apple-to-apple adjusted figures, ticket price or domestic inflation

are also factors you had not mentioned.

 

 

[peludo]

7 minutes ago, zackzack said:

Take it easy, my friend. Looking at yuan number maybe the way to go here considering the potentially volatile ER.

But seriously, ER is not that volatile. And if you are talking about apple-to-apple adjusted figures, ticket price or domestic inflation

are also factors you had not mentioned.

 

 

I have spent a lot of time investigating and making calculations to get adjusted figures by ER and inflation, not only in China, but everywhere. I even started a thread for it  

 

My point is not so much to measure the success of the film in China, whose result is already quite good. My question is if it is so important to know if it reaches $103m, $104m or $105m. I see many people questioning last days here if it will reach 1 or 2 million more. Does it change a lot the vision of the result? People can ask whatever they want, of course, but I find it quite curious.

 

The reality is that 1 or 2 more millions in China seem irrelevant to make up an already horrendous worldwide result, what I think is the main debate.

[Olive]

I agree with @peludo.

JL is not likely to pass 700M yuan, It will only make 6-7M yuan this FSS weekend, already very few showtimes left which will be all gone by next Friday.

Next Friday, two local movies will take probable 80%+ screens since they give big advantage to theaters(higher BO share),

only Paddington 2 and Coco among holdovers can hold small part of screens by that time.

JL likely finish around 688-690M, slightly over GOTG2 if not identical

[UserHN]

2 hours ago, Olive Skywalker said:

I agree with @peludo.

JL is not likely to pass 700M yuan, It will only make 6-7M yuan this FSS weekend, already very few showtimes left which will be all gone by next Friday.

Next Friday, two local movies will take probable 80%+ screens since they give big advantage to theaters(higher BO share),

only Paddington 2 and Coco among holdovers can hold small part of screens by that time.

JL likely finish around 688-690M, slightly over GOTG2 if not identical

What is your prediction for Coco's total if very little screens will be allocated to it by next Friday?

[NamakFiskKa]

So how much small sum is JL gonna make till its end ?

[Olive]

Thursday est after service fees
Coco  -  24.65m/616m -12%/-1.5% 
Justice League  -  5.3m / 678.3m  - 8%
Darkest Hour - 2.98M/ 26.7m  -9%
Fireworks(Japan) - 1M/76.7M -17%
Viking(Russia)  - 0.44m/13.94m -12%

- Coco still drops smaller than Zootopia, currently runs 70% of Zoo and the ratio is get bigger.

  So 1.1B yuan might be the floor.BTW, Coco entered all-time top 5 animated movies

[Sam]

Terrific for Coco.

 

Good for JL as well. If not for the two releases next week having previews already this weekend, I could see it making a push for 700M.

 

695M could still be a goal though, which put it right around $105M total.

 

Edited December 7, 2017 by Sam

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, Sam said:

Terrific for Coco.

 

Good for JL as well. If not for the two releases next week having previews already this weekend, I could see it making a push for 700M.

 

695M could still be a goal though, which put it right around $105M total.

 

JL will make 1m tomorrow.  4m for weekend . 6m for the week.  684m total. 

It will have very little screens next weekend. 685m/$103.8m will be final

 

Coco PS will finish at 7m. Tomorrow should come in at 42-44m -14% WoW

 

Padd2 PS at 7.3.  30m OD

47m down to open at 12-14m

Edited December 7, 2017 by POTUS

[Stewart]

Barely 8am in China, and yet Coco has already overtaken paddington! 

 

Coco 7.55M

Padd 7.50M

 

Coco has 18% shows, Padd 25%!

[Olive]

46 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Barely 8am in China, and yet Coco has already overtaken paddington! 

 

Coco 7.55M

Padd 7.50M

 

Coco has 18% shows, Padd 25%!

Padd will have very low presale multiplier,  way too many cheap tickets are bought in advance, walk-ins are gonna be less than normal.

Average ticket price

Coco 33.7 yuan

Padd 25.8

47MD 28.7

[TigerPaw]

On 06/12/2017 at 7:33 AM, UserHN said:

Please, please tell me that Kris Wu is NOT one of those shortlisted. It would be a disaster if he was chosen.

Final decision not made yet.. but a few names are left.

And i will be lying if i said Kris Wu isn't one of those names.

[ymblcza]

looks like

Coco 42m

Paddington 26m

[druv10]

Coco's stones throw away from $100M. With Saturday presales, it'll get there amazing achievement!!! With plenty still in the tank, Saturday should be around 100M yuan.

[Olive]

Friday est after service fees
Coco  -  43.2m/659.3m  +75%/-15.5% 

Paddington 2 - 26.15M/26.13M OD +220% from Pad1

47 Meters Down - 10.7M/11.3M OD

Loving Vincent - 6.95m/7.1m OD

Only the Brave - 2.54m OD
Justice League  -  1.34m / 679.6m  - 75%
Darkest Hour - 0.88M/ 27.6m  

[NCsoft]

well, Coco is already at 100M and it is not stoping any time soon!

[jiangsen]

45 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Friday est after service fees
Coco  -  43.2m/659.3m  +75%/-15.5% 

Paddington 2 - 26.15M/26.13M OD +220% from Pad1

47 Meters Down - 10.7M/11.3M OD

Loving Vincent - 6.95m/7.1m OD

Only the Brave - 2.54m OD
Justice League  -  1.34m / 679.6m  - 75%
Darkest Hour - 0.88M/ 27.6m  

8 out of top 10 films today are imports...really packing them in before the holidays!

[cannastop]

2 hours ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Loving Vincent - 6.95m/7.1m OD

This might do better in China than in the USA+Canada.

[Olive]

Coco has beaten Justice League already, and Thor Ragnarok soon in hours