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Shawn Robbins

Weekend Discussion: IM3 @ 175.3m wknd est

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I sort of figured that I just can't fathom how people could be disappointed with a film that still is going to be the number 2 opener of all time.

 

Yeah.  The expectations are borderline ridiculous sometimes.  

 

I mean, I guess there will be some mild letdown when you were initially told it'll be at 175 but in the end it's "only" 172.  

 

But I don't really understand any disappointment with being the #2 opener with 172M, especially when just three days ago on Friday afternoon in these very forums, estimates were being projected to only be 150-160 and people here were freaking out then.

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So is the assumption that $400m is now almost a lock?

 

Which I admit, as much a believer as I was, I had trouble going all the way to $400m with my call. 

 it just needs a 2,28 multiplier.

Should be a lock

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I predicted a 410m total and #1 DOM. I'm feeling pretty confident about both of those.

 

Nice call.

But i expect at bit higher total

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you know what's a flop , how this thread has slowed down ,after getting such traction on friday and saturday ...tsk tsk

Well don't blame us :P It's not our fault that the entire movie's turned out to be a huge Floppit turs. ;)
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I thought a few others expected a 27%+ drop from Saturday to Sunday was very possible given Spider-man 1, which had phenomenal WOM, had a Cinco de Mayo Sunday and dropped 27%. So, sans the holiday, Iron Man 3 likely drops harder from Friday to Saturday than it did OR drops 25% or so from Saturday to Sunday. Either way, an OW over $170M's still damn impressive. Also falls in line with previous Iron Man flicks...

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So No Sunday Avengers effect?Oh.Lets hope today stays over 15M...

 

 

$1.2B WW for IM3 coming off just IM2, without the Avengers in between?  No way!  Can't believe people still don't believe that there is an Avengers effect.  At $9 average ticket (reasonable with kids tickets and matinees pulling the average ticket price down and 3D pulling it up), Avengers would have sold about 168 million tickets WW.  For a film with great reviews and great WOM, that will have a lasting impact on follow-ups.

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So The Avengers effect only works Friday and Saturday? I'm confused.

 

The Avengers effect made it bigger in general, but the daily drops are matching IM2

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The Disney Board members who approved the go ahead in '09 to purchase Marvel Studios for some $4 Billion have got to be continually patting each others back. Talk about a return on investment already! And that's just Box Office. 

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