Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) Shawn is right but the trend about marvel films having a low midnight to weekend ratio still sort of stands Edited May 3, 2013 by Lordmandeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 What were the last big movies to have a lot of previews? HOBBIT and BD2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 Marvel films previews were never really big. But they also opened at midnight. This is new territory. How does BOM or BO.com report these numbers? I mean is everything 3-day? Technically, yes. We report them in the system as the studio reports them. But, for asterisk situations like this... that's what the analysis section is for. To think studios whined about WB "cheating" including the 10 PM screenings into their first day grosses for Superman Returns and now its the norm. Heh. If you can't beat 'em, join 'em? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 $15m is an excellent #, if expected. It's funny how so many of us on this site being good at predicting #s sometimes makes finding the actuals out somewhat a little boring...OW looks to be heading to an amazing $160m-ish, but since that was a very popular prediction, it lessons it a tad. Very true. The most exciting weekends are the breakouts that do way more than expected....Or the bombs, in which case the meltdowns are just as entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 This is gonna piss off a lot in BSG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Do you think when Alfred saw Bruce at the end it was just a fantasy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I would have thought those would have been higher than this time. "The Avengers bump" we kept hearing about. Still a great number. Didn't you predict 335m for its total though? I think if BD2 is any indication, the 12:01 crowds tend to spread out over the three hours if shows start at 9:00. So I'll be curious to see how 15m-18m translates to today's gross, and even more curious to see how much of a family bump it gets tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 What were the last big movies to have a lot of previews? HOBBIT and BD2? I was actually thinking of At World's End. It debuted at 6pm Thursday: Thu (from 6pm): 13.24m Fri: 42.9m Sat: 37.7m Sun: 34.1m If we combine AWE's Thursday with Fri, it comes out to $56.24m with the Thu portion accounting for 23.5%. Very similar to Avengers' midnight percentage of Fri. I think it probably ends up closer to 25%, but hard to say until that preview number is hardened a bit more. Avengers had a 23.14% midnight ratio of Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Very true. The most exciting weekends are the breakouts that do way more than expected....Or the bombs, in which case the meltdowns are just as entertaining. There had better be some meltdowns! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Based on last night, midnight shows were busier then 9 pm shows so I think it would have made a similar amount on midnight. Just because shows started 3 hours earlier does not mean it is going to perform like TDKR now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Definitely thinking $175-180m for the weekend. Considering that 10pm showings didn't really add much to BD2's late night gross, I don't think that 9pm ones will increase the ratio much if at all from Avengers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyneOh1040 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Still think this is going to see a huge opening day. Marvel movies play well throughout the weekend. Either way, Summer is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) I doubt opening day will be below 65 million... Business today should match IM2 Non midnight +3D of around 51 million. Not the big issue is what will be the Saturday drop as Friday has a boost to it.. Even so, I think if Im2 increased from Friday non midnight so will this. Edited May 3, 2013 by Lordmandeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Again, fuck that asshole in Aurora. Hopefully he chokes on spit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 That's a damn good number, double Iron Man 2 which is far from a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 60 million opening day is assured.Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 I'm definitely not ruling out the lack of effect of 9pm shows. We're all just guessing at this point. There's not a good comparison that I can find yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 2 things: 1. 15-18m. Is that good or bad? 2. Are these numbers reliable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Why?Because he said so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I was actually thinking of At World's End. It debuted at 6pm Thursday: Thu (from 6pm): 13.24m Fri: 42.9m Sat: 37.7m Sun: 34.1m If we combine AWE's Thursday with Fri, it comes out to $56.24m with the Thu portion accounting for 23.5%. Very similar to Avengers' midnight percentage of Fri. I think it probably ends up closer to 25%, but hard to say until that preview number is hardened a bit more. Avengers had a 23.14% midnight ratio of Friday. I'm pretty sure AWE was 8 PM. I remember going to an 8 PM show and there weren't earlier shows. Here is an article by Variety that says 8 PM as well: http://variety.com/2007/film/news/disney-moves-up-pirates-opening-1117964457/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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