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SPIDER-MAN: HOMECOMING | 546.0 M overseas ● 880.2 M worldwide

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16 hours ago, grey ghost said:

So what are the chances the becomes the biggest Spider-man movie WW? :qotd:

I can see it making another 40 million from existing markets including DOM for a total of 760-765. So it would need to do 125-130m in China to overtake SM3 as the highest grossing Spider-man movie. Folks in the China BO thread thinks a total close to 100m is more likely but at this point its just guessing. We will have to wait for pre sales to open and reviews to come in before we can make an accurate guess. I still maintain that it will do something close to 100-110m in China and will be a close race between Spidey and GotG2 as well as BvS.

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50 minutes ago, Noctis said:

ASM2 did $91m in 2014...$100m is lowballing SMH, isn't?

Guardian of the galaxy did 86m in 2014 -> 100.6 in 2017. Doctor strange had a lot going for it for that market and did 109m in 2016.

 

It is not an optimistic take for sure but not that unreasonable.  X-men went from 116m in 2014 to 120m in 2017.

 

Exchange rate went from  0.160484 (Yuan to USD) to 0.149431 between the 2 spider man release, it need to do 6.5/7% better just to do the same in USD.

Edited by Barnack
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21 minutes ago, Noctis said:

ASM2 did $91m in 2014...$100m is lowballing SMH, isn't?

ER has gone down a bit. Plus the market has not continued its boom, its basically stopped growing or slowed down a lot. This year the 3 SH movies did 106 (logan), 100 (GoTG2) and 90 (WW). Spider-man is more well known than all of these superheroes plus this has Iron Man in it as well. If the movie is as well received as the others than it should do 100 at least. But there is a lot of competition around it. It is opening in the 2nd week of Dunkirk and Apes opens a week after. Both of these movies have potential to do very well. Some people in China BO thread are predicting 100-150 for Dunkirk and the last Apes did 107 so this one should do well enough as well.

 

Let's see its too early to call. Pre sales have not opened yet. Presales figures and ratings will give a better idea. SMH had performed well in East Asian markets especially South Korea so I am hoping that translates to a great run in China as well.

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1 hour ago, Subzero said:

This has a chance to beat SM3 WW total if it does $140M+ in China.

Hmm.. you are calculating it wrong. Right now the film is with $726m. It's bound to make at very least $30m from other countries minus China. If China makes it to around $135m, it'd be enough to top it. 

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