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WEEKEND ESTIMATES: Home 54m , GH 34.6m, Insurgent 22.1m, Cind 17.5m (official)

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While this will cause some sighs of relief at DWA, they're not out of the woods yet. Below 50% on RT is nothing to be proud of when the competition is consistently producing 80%+ mega hits. They need more consistency in terms of quality in order to be able to compete in this crowded field.

 

Still, good for Dreamworks, finally a hit.

 

home's rt score is kind of reflective of the fact that industry people (including critics) were on the dreamworks-is-flopping-and-this-is-the-biggest-one-yet bandwagon before it came out. it had an rt score in the 20s before the friday opening, and then it jumped all the way up to 48.

 

if critics knew this was going to be a breakout and suddenly viewed in a very positive light by both audiences and the industry, instead of the negative "this movie looks horrible and will sink dreamworks" assumption that so many of us fell prey to, there would have been way more positive reviews.

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I wonder if studios might be put off adapting other Sondheim shows. Follies is in development but would be a hard sell without big names

 

They might or they might just scale back expectations.  ITWD will still be profitable making 4+ times it's budget in theaters.

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home's rt score is kind of reflective of the fact that industry people (including critics) were on the dreamworks-is-flopping-and-this-is-the-biggest-one-yet bandwagon before it came out. it had an rt score in the 20s before the friday opening, and then it jumped all the way up to 48.

 

if critics knew this was going to be a breakout and suddenly viewed in a very positive light by both audiences and the industry, instead of the negative "this movie looks horrible and will sink dreamworks" assumption that so many of us fell prey to, there would have been way more positive reviews.

Goody. "Critics were against this because of what studio made it" theories are my favorite.

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Goody. "Critics were against this because of what studio made it" theories are my favorite.

But if the RT score for Home really did rise twenty points from, say, Friday morning to Saturday afternoon (as it became clear the movie wouldn't flop) isn't that not suspicious? If a movie is at 33% with three reviews or something, of course the RT score changes dramatically, but if it had 25 reviews before, then it's a success and the critics chiming in later are more charitable toward it... Let's not pretend critics never go into a movie with agendas, or their knives out.

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Will Get Hard hit 100M?

Considering how empty April is, I think it'll leg its way to $100-120 million.

 

$34.5 million

$18 million ($64 million)

$13.5 million ($84 million)

$9 million ($97 million)

$8 million ($109 million)

$2.5 million ($113 million)

$1.5 million ($115 million)

$1 million ($116 million)

$118 million DOM total

 

April really is empty. Home, Insurgent, Cinderella and Get Hard will all develop some unnecessarily long legs as a result. 

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Who was the idiot earlier this week who said Cinderella wasn't a good movie or fun movie? All I've heard from people on facebook is how good it was. There was some dolt in one of the numbers thread ripping on Cinderella. It's having a good run.

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A $54 million opening for Home puts it in line with Monsters vs. Aliens, which opened to $59 million. That movie went on to make $198 million domestic with decent weekend holds and no real competition (aside from Hannah Montana The Movie), so if Home holds up it could perform similarly.

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While this opened much bigger than expected, Dragon 2 only opened 6m bigger than the not-so-big Dragon 1's ow.

 

3rd biggest opening for a Dreamworks original movie ever, only behind Kung Fu Panda and Monsters vs Aliens, and the biggest dreamworks opening weekend since Madagascar 3 in 2012. Safe to say no one saw this coming, especially in light of the bad reviews critics gave it.

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