Rudolf Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Define "close". I think JW ~ IO+75% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Don't understand why people are expecting a +100m weekend. Maybe I'm missing something, but isn't 85-90m more probable? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 INSIDE OUT will break the opening weekend record this weekend. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Within $15m. Oh, yeah. That's looking like a minimum gap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artist Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 17.8% drop. Pretty slick. That puts it at $278 mil ($20 mil ahead of Avengers at the same point). Now, it just needs a few sub -20% drops and a lead of 70-80 mil on Avengers before we consider the possibility of taking down Avatar!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Don't understand why people are expecting a +100m weekend. Maybe I'm missing something, but isn't 85-90m more probable? I'm thinking about 90m though hoping for 100m+. But who knows with JW. It has been amazing in its first 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Not bad. Hopefully Thursday can stay above $18 million. That would be a great setup for an epic showdown against Inside Out. What epic showdown? IO wont come within 20 mill of JW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarSaber Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 It's hard to gauge how well this will hold on fathers day. I'd imagine since the demos seem to be skewing older that it will hold well on the day. Down like what, 10%? If it did 18m for Thursday, and lets say it increase 70% on Friday, 30% on Saturday, then down 10%. 70/30 seem pretty standard based off the last two years and the type of movie. Not sure if fathers day will affect them at all. 30.5+40+36=106.5m. That is less than 50% drop! This doesn't even seem like an excessive prediction given the trends... Avengers was up 70/50 for father day weekend and even better the next weekend. The only thing I can think of that is wrong may be Thursday. If Wednesday is 20m does a 10% for Thursday seem optimistic? Given the numbers so far, I'm not sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 so far it's doing pretty well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 As keyser said, the weekdays have been too strong for it to do 100 mill 2nd weekend. Im hoping for 90 mill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 so far it's doing pretty well. Its doing ok. Its only passed about 70% of the summer game predictions lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 As keyser said, the weekdays have been too strong for it to do 100 mill 2nd weekend. Im hoping for 90 mill. It may do something like Thu 18 Fri 27 sat 35 sun 32 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 (edited) Even with something like +60/+25/-20% for the weekend, it tops 90m. That's with a 17.5m Thursday. Edited June 18, 2015 by Heretic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 I'm thinking $90m at worst for JW and $75m at best for Inside Out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 INSIDE OUT will break the opening weekend record this weekend. For original animated movies ($70.5m)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superduperm Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 It's hard to gauge how well this will hold on fathers day. I'd imagine since the demos seem to be skewing older that it will hold well on the day. Down like what, 10%? If it did 18m for Thursday, and lets say it increase 70% on Friday, 30% on Saturday, then down 10%. 70/30 seem pretty standard based off the last two years and the type of movie. Not sure if fathers day will affect them at all. 30.5+40+36=106.5m. That is less than 50% drop! This doesn't even seem like an excessive prediction given the trends... Avengers was up 70/50 for father day weekend and even better the next weekend. The only thing I can think of that is wrong may be Thursday. If Wednesday is 20m does a 10% for Thursday seem optimistic? Given the numbers so far, I'm not sure. Using increases and decreases similar to MOS gives you well over $100M this weekend, but I just don't see it playing like that, not with IO coming in. I'm thinking something around $90 million is a more realistic target. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 JW isn't holding good, it's holding well. But it does have good holds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 JW will definitely make over $95 this weekend. If it makes less than that, then IO could possibly do 70+, if more, than IO will probably stay at 60 to 65. I don't see IO doing less than 60 at this point. The WOM hype is stellar right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Using increases and decreases similar to MOS gives you well over $100M this weekend, but I just don't see it playing like that, not with IO coming in. I'm thinking something around $90 million is a more realistic target. MOS had Monsters University to compete with on 2nd weekend. Why should IO (an original) be more of a threat than this proven classic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 JW will definitely make over $95 this weekend. If it makes less than that, then IO could possibly do 70+, if more, than IO will probably stay at 60 to 65. I don't see IO doing less than 60 at this point. The WOM hype is stellar right now. right, but what Pixar movie had to compete with a monster, we all think will make between 85 to 110? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...