charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Avengers: Endgame T-1dayMidnight: ¥128.3mn (32k shows) (+9%)Wednesday: ¥185mn (196k shows) (+15%)Thursday: ¥56mn (152k shows) (+22%)Friday: ¥74mn (133k shows) (+20%)Saturday: ¥93mn (124k shows) (+21%)Sunday: ¥23mn (101k shows) (+16%)Total: ¥559.3mn or $83mn (+15%)Comphttp://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale Good jump in OD but lets not forget it added 23k shows today which is way more than previous days. As we expect final shows to be just 220-230k, let's not jump ahead ourselves and expect normal bump on final day. However, I now expect it to do ¥235mn atleast and that's good 30% over IW but not to forget big jump in ATP and show count. What does this suggest, that perhaps Saturday can actually be bigger than OD. Something like South Korea have with their Wednesday opening of films. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/20/2019 at 10:58 PM, POTUS 2020 said: PSs slow down on Sat and Sunday. No big thing. Will push back up on Mon and pop on tuesday MH2 PS went from 160m to just 174m+9% at 3 days out and finished at 295m. IW slowed as well I'm keeping my PS projection at 254m based on MH2s 85% increase from 4 days out. IW increased nearly 150% EG IW Th 104.4 11.7% 126.5 13.5 11.9% 153.4 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Fr 109.2 4.6% 138.5 12.0 9.5% 160.0 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Sa 113.0 3.5% 148.0 9.5 6.9% 167.0 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Su 120.0 6.2% 160.0 12.0 8.1% 172.0 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Mo 130.0 8.3% 182.0 22.0 13.8% 178.0 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 Tu 165.0 26.9% 254.0 72.0 39.6% 195.0 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 We 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Th 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 T-1 Looks like the first 2 metrics will hold. 2 down 4 to go to get to $300m with PS tracking as good or better than MH2 and 200m+ shows happening. The other 4: 1. We need MN to go up just 28% tomorrow(+57% possible like WC, 200m!) 2. a 9+ rating, 3. at least a 1.86 PSm(like MH2) and 4. to follow a similar but softer daily pattern to AoU or the fit hits the shan. EG IW PS MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Th Fri 0.4 6.5 Sa 1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0 Su 2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0 Mo 3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0 Tu 4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9 We 5.6 8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4 Th 7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6 Fr 53.5 37.2 37.2 90.0 9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2 Sa 66.0 23.4% 65.7 28.5 76.6% 120.0 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Su 80.0 21.2% 79.2 13.5 20.5% 130.0 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Mo 82.0 2.5% 92.0 12.8 16.2% 135.2 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 Tu 84.9 3.5% 102.5 10.5 11.4% 141.5 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 We 93.5 10.1% 113.0 10.5 10.2% 146.0 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Th 104.4 11.7% 126.5 13.5 11.9% 153.4 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Fr 109.2 4.6% 138.5 12.0 9.5% 160.0 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Sa 113.0 3.5% 148.0 9.5 6.9% 167.0 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Su 117.5 4.0% 160.5 12.5 8.4% 173.0 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Mo 128.2 9.1% 185.0 24.5 15.3% 195.5 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 Tu 165.0 28.7% 254.0 69.0 37.3% 215.0 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 We 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Th 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 OD BO 165.0 473.0 86.2% 220.0 59.5 387.0 112.6% 182.0 Multi 1.86 2.13 3day 5day 3 day 5day PS m OD OD m OW OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ OW$ Total $ XR EG 1.86 473 2.64 1250 2027 2.68 3355 70 186 302 500 6.71 IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1463 1.88 2390 61 201 231 376 6.36 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaSkies Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 10 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: They still only show 3D? I know a lot of people that refuse to see 3D. Aren't they losing 10% or more of the market by now showing 2d? Why dont they allow it? If they are smart, they should release in 2D just before the holiday, further helping to boost it's figures and possibly help it's legs a little. Just my opinion... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 3D is still popular in Asia I guess. Atleast in India it is. 3D shows sells much faster than 2D. Anything above 2D is just great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 55 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Total PS +4.446 (¥578.72m) OD PS +1.042 (183.35m) One more hour until midnight on Monday. Will reach ¥580m total and ¥184m OD before the final day of presales begins. Total PS +4.954 (¥583.67m) OF PS +1.659 (¥185.01m) Monday finishes strong. Final day of presale is upon us! Hoping for a 40% bounce in OD PS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 So it just beat the previous midnights record by 100% with a full day to go. What nonsense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 1 hour ago, Olive said: Theaters are still over-price it badly, the Wanda cinema near me has digital 3D show more than 200 yuan, only a couple of seats are taken. What crap, should be half that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Maoyan Prediction 187 547 436 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: So it just beat the previous midnights record by 100% with a full day to go. What nonsense. FF8 1.7mn admissions on 19k shows A:EG shall do 3mn on 35k shows. ¥175-180 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Maoyan Prediction 187 547 436 What is 436 for? Thursday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said: What is 436 for? Thursday? Yes. Don't take seriously though. Atleast as of now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 24 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Maoyan Prediction 187 547 436 Thursday PS will get over 100m and be close to a 3 PSm Possibly as high as 175 525 350 425 530 270 2375/$339m Im sticking with $302m $280-340m range 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nero Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 @ZeeSoh OW prediction? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Following the POTUS high-end minus 50 rule, the weekend is now headed for 290 or so 😛 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: Thursday PS will get over 100m and be close to a 3 PSm Possibly as high as 175 525 350 425 530 270 2375/$339m Im sticking with $302m $280-340m range Unless WOM is not in favour, Saturday is locked to be above OD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ledmonkey96 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 I'm confused is a 300mil 5-day looking very likely now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said: I'm confused is a 300mil 5-day looking very likely now? It was. It is. It will be. Just need a good WOM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 1 minute ago, Ledmonkey96 said: I'm confused is a 300mil 5-day looking very likely now? We don't know. @fmpro, @ZeeSoh give your predictions too for a balanced perspective. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Any prediction of Sunday above 200m is bullshit. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Any prediction of Sunday above 200m is bullshit. idk i dont doubt this movie ever again , still can i ask whats your prediction for ow ? if you dont mind of course Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...