Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

[GraceRandolph]

6 minutes ago, pepsa said:

 

You need that for avatar right?

Yes 

[pepsa]

4 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

Yes 

 

I quite like that attitude

[ZeeSoh]

20 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Infinity War (10 days out)

 

Midnight - 11.87m

OD - 29.05 (69700 screens)

Sat - 18.38m

Sun - 8.8

 

I couldnt get the 1 am update so got it as soon as I could. Increased about 13.7% today. It has already exceeded the total presale figure of Thor 3

 

Infinity War (9 days out)

 

Midnight - 12.81

OD - 33.54 (+15.65%)(72748 screens)

Sat - 21.15

Sun - 9.88

 

It is now following its settled run rate of about 15-20% increases. Screen count is also increasing very slowly now. If it continues like this and then ramp up the last 3-4 days like 20%,25%,45% and then 65% last day then it can get to 200+ PS

[fabiopazzo2]

9 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Infinity War (9 days out)

 

Midnight - 12.81

OD - 33.54 (+15.65%)(72748 screens)

Sat - 21.15

Sun - 9.88

 

It is now following its settled run rate of about 15-20% increases. Screen count is also increasing very slowly now. If it continues like this and then ramp up the last 3-4 days like 20%,25%,45% and then 65% last day then it can get to 200+ PS

Is holiday in China? 

[ZeeSoh]

10 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Is holiday in China? 

When? 

 

BTW i dont know much about holidays in China so ur gonna have to ask our residemt chinese posters about it but if I am not wrong Infinity War will not have any holidays during its run

[fabiopazzo2]

1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said:

When? 

 

BTW i dont know much about holidays in China so ur gonna have to ask our residemt chinese posters about it but if I am not wrong Infinity War will not have any holidays during its run

I don’t know XD 

[Rebeccas]

19 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

When? 

 

BTW i dont know much about holidays in China so ur gonna have to ask our residemt chinese posters about it but if I am not wrong Infinity War will not have any holidays during its run

Nope, nothing really. There's the Dragon Boat Festival but that's on June 18th this year so will be irrelevant.

[POTUS 2020]

55 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Infinity War (9 days out)

 

Midnight - 12.81

OD - 33.54 (+15.65%)(72748 screens)

Sat - 21.15

Sun - 9.88

 

It is now following its settled run rate of about 15-20% increases. Screen count is also increasing very slowly now. If it continues like this and then ramp up the last 3-4 days like 20%,25%,45% and then 65% last day then it can get to 200+ PS

Good match in the derby league. we were close during estimates

 

See chart below, the increases are less for these PS monsters at the end. Its good its holding a 15% average for the last 3 days. Shows have been added at 3k+ per day and on pace to match FF8s 95k shows listed by Mon night. All signs are to match FF8s PS and OD. Hopefully PS can get steeper at the end and with a few thousand more shows to make it more interesting

 

	JttW2			WC					FF8						IW
PS 1am	OD	%gain		MN	%gain	PS	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	%gain	Shows
Sa	12.7			9.2		8.8					2.5				9.0	14.0%	18.5	3.1	26.5%	59.2
Su	16.9	32.7%		11.0	19.6%	12.0	37.1%				5.4	2.9	116.0%		10.1	13.2%	22.3	3.8	20.7%	63.0
Mo	19.4	14.9%		13.0	18.2%	14.8	23.3%				8.3	2.9	53.7%		11.0	8.5%	25.6	3.3	14.6%	66.0
Tu	22.1	14.2%		14.9	14.6%	17.0	14.9%				11.4	3.1	37.3%		11.9	8.2%	29.0	3.4	13.5%	69.7
We	25.5	15.3%		16.0	7.4%	20.0	17.6%		5.0		14.5	3.1	27.2%		12.8	7.6%	33.7	4.7	16.2%	72.8
Th	29.1	14.1%		18.1	13.1%	23.0	15.0%		6.4	28.0%	19.5	5.0	34.5%		13.9	8.6%	38.6	4.9	14.5%	proj
Fr	33.3	14.4%		19.6	8.3%	27.0	17.4%		8.0	25.0%	24.6	5.1	26.2%		15.0	7.9%	44.2	5.6	14.5%	proj
Sa	38.4	15.3%		21.8	11.2%	31.5	16.7%		9.8	22.5%	33.0	8.4	34.1%		16.2	8.0%	50.4	6.2	14.0%	proj
Su	44.0	14.6%		22.5	3.2%	35.9	14.0%		11.3	15.3%	39.6	6.6	20.0%		17.5	8.0%	57.7	7.3	14.5%	proj
Mo	51.0	15.9%		23.4	4.0%	40.8	13.6%		13.6	20.4%	48.0	8.4	21.2%		19.1	9.1%	66.0	8.3	14.4%	proj
Tu	57.0	11.8%		25.7	9.8%	44.8	9.8%		17.4	27.9%	63.0	15.0	31.3%		20.7	8.4%	75.4	9.4	14.2%	proj
We	72.0	26.3%		27.1	5.4%	50.7	13.2%		22.0	26.4%	84.0	21.0	33.3%		22.5	8.7%	87.5	12.1	16.0%	proj
Th	88.8	23.3%		30.0	10.7%	64.8	27.8%		27.0	22.7%	106.0	22.0	26.2%		25.0	11.1%	105.0	17.5	20.0%	proj
Fr(OD)	140.0	57.7%		50.1	67.0%	96.0	48.1%		62.0	129.6%	165.0	59.0	55.7%		57.0	128.0%	163.5	58.5	55.7%	proj
OD BO	356.0	154.3%				251.5	162.0%		62.0		417.0		152.7%		57.0		412.0		152.0%
Multi		2.54					2.62						2.52						2.52
	OD	OW		Total	OD $	OW $	Total $
JttW2	356	777		1656	52	113	240
WC	251	819		1472	36	125	225
FF8	417	1352		2671	60	196	387
IW	412	1335		2603	65	211	412

 

 

 

[IceFire9yt]

China: *sees Infinity War's crazy overperformance in the rest of the world*

 

China: "Hold my beer."

[fabiopazzo2]

2 minutes ago, IceFire9yt said:

China: *sees Infinity War's crazy overperformance in the rest of the world*

 

China: "Hold my beer."

If it opens above 160M it's crazy for the Avengers!
Wait and see.

 

the most important thing is the reception of this film 

[fmpro]

14 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

If it opens above 160M it's crazy for the Avengers!
Wait and see.

 

the most important thing is the reception of this film 

At this point i would be shocked if it opens under 180-200 mill

 

[fabiopazzo2]

Just now, fmpro said:

At this point i would be shocked if it opens under 180-200 mill

 

The presales started 23 days before the release obviously at this moment we have a small increase 

[Rebeccas]

Its too bad this couldn't open the same time as Russia.

[The Mad Titan]

1 hour ago, POTUS said:

Good match in the derby league. we were close during estimates

 

See chart below, the increases are less for these PS monsters at the end. Its good its holding a 15% average for the last 3 days. Shows have been added at 3k+ per day and on pace to match FF8s 95k shows listed by Mon night. All signs are to match FF8s PS and OD. Hopefully PS can get steeper at the end and with a few thousand more shows to make it more interesting

 

	JttW2			WC					FF8						IW
PS 1am	OD	%gain		MN	%gain	PS	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	%gain	Shows
Sa	12.7			9.2		8.8					2.5				9.0	14.0%	18.5	3.1	26.5%	59.2
Su	16.9	32.7%		11.0	19.6%	12.0	37.1%				5.4	2.9	116.0%		10.1	13.2%	22.3	3.8	20.7%	63.0
Mo	19.4	14.9%		13.0	18.2%	14.8	23.3%				8.3	2.9	53.7%		11.0	8.5%	25.6	3.3	14.6%	66.0
Tu	22.1	14.2%		14.9	14.6%	17.0	14.9%				11.4	3.1	37.3%		11.9	8.2%	29.0	3.4	13.5%	69.7
We	25.5	15.3%		16.0	7.4%	20.0	17.6%		5.0		14.5	3.1	27.2%		12.8	7.6%	33.7	4.7	16.2%	72.8
Th	29.1	14.1%		18.1	13.1%	23.0	15.0%		6.4	28.0%	19.5	5.0	34.5%		13.9	8.6%	38.6	4.9	14.5%	proj
Fr	33.3	14.4%		19.6	8.3%	27.0	17.4%		8.0	25.0%	24.6	5.1	26.2%		15.0	7.9%	44.2	5.6	14.5%	proj
Sa	38.4	15.3%		21.8	11.2%	31.5	16.7%		9.8	22.5%	33.0	8.4	34.1%		16.2	8.0%	50.4	6.2	14.0%	proj
Su	44.0	14.6%		22.5	3.2%	35.9	14.0%		11.3	15.3%	39.6	6.6	20.0%		17.5	8.0%	57.7	7.3	14.5%	proj
Mo	51.0	15.9%		23.4	4.0%	40.8	13.6%		13.6	20.4%	48.0	8.4	21.2%		19.1	9.1%	66.0	8.3	14.4%	proj
Tu	57.0	11.8%		25.7	9.8%	44.8	9.8%		17.4	27.9%	63.0	15.0	31.3%		20.7	8.4%	75.4	9.4	14.2%	proj
We	72.0	26.3%		27.1	5.4%	50.7	13.2%		22.0	26.4%	84.0	21.0	33.3%		22.5	8.7%	87.5	12.1	16.0%	proj
Th	88.8	23.3%		30.0	10.7%	64.8	27.8%		27.0	22.7%	106.0	22.0	26.2%		25.0	11.1%	105.0	17.5	20.0%	proj
Fr(OD)	140.0	57.7%		50.1	67.0%	96.0	48.1%		62.0	129.6%	165.0	59.0	55.7%		57.0	128.0%	163.5	58.5	55.7%	proj
OD BO	356.0	154.3%				251.5	162.0%		62.0		417.0		152.7%		57.0		412.0		152.0%
Multi		2.54					2.62						2.52						2.52
	OD	OW		Total	OD $	OW $	Total $
JttW2	356	777		1656	52	113	240
WC	251	819		1472	36	125	225
FF8	417	1352		2671	60	196	387
IW	412	1335		2603	65	211	412

 

 

 

So your current estimation is $211m OW and $412m total? That would be great!

[eXtacy]

Seems like a big increase coming today. Already up 10% from POTUS update.

[Olive]

Fast and Furious 8 (6 days +5.5 hours)

Midnight - 9.21M (8401 screens)
OD - 30.47M (74561 screens)

Infinity War (8 days +11 hours) 
Midnight - 13.94 (8900 showtimes)
OD - 37.58 (74554 screens)

[Rebeccas]

7 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:

Fast and Furious 8 (6 days +5.5 hours)

Midnight - 9.21M (8401 screens)
OD - 30.47M (74561 screens)

Infinity War (8 days +11 hours) 
Midnight - 13.94 (8900 showtimes)
OD - 37.58 (74554 screens)

Da fuck 

[HouseOfTheSun]

23 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:

Fast and Furious 8 (6 days +5.5 hours)

Midnight - 9.21M (8401 screens)
OD - 30.47M (74561 screens)

Infinity War (8 days +11 hours) 
Midnight - 13.94 (8900 showtimes)
OD - 37.58 (74554 screens)

Holy crap

[fmpro]

@POTUS needs to adjust his chart today. Because a huge increase is coming up today. Around double of what it has done the last few days

[POTUS 2020]

3 hours ago, eXtacy said:

Seems like a big increase coming today. Already up 10% from POTUS update.

Holy shit, I guess its the post holiday boost. But possibly up 30% today?  

2 hours ago, Rebeccas said:

Da fuck 

 

2 hours ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Holy crap

well, its ahead of FF8 because it started earlier.  FF8 steadily went up at 30% daily average until the last day. IW has been going up 15% daily and was on pace to match FF8.

WAS is the key word. PS blowing up today vs the last 5 day with only 2k shows have been added

Oh my, if they could list 200k shows it could beat the Domestic weekend

@fmpro @ZeeSoh we got something cooking here

Its a $225m OW with this boost

Edited May 2, 2018 by POTUS