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Monday Numbers (Dory)...20M or just under RTH

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1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Estimations for the rest of Dory and CI's runs:

 

Dory:

 

Remainder of the week: 75M (205.1M total)

Jun 24: 70M (40M weekdays, 315.1M total)
Jul 1: 40M (24M weekdays, 379.1M total)

Jul 8: 18M (12M weekdays, 409.1M total)

Jul 15: 10M (7M weekdays, 426.1M total)

Jul 22: 5M (3.5M weekdays, 434.6M total)

Jul 29: 3.5M (2M weekdays, 440.1M total)

Aug 5: 2M (1.2M weekdays, 443.3M total)

Aug 12: 1.4M (800k weekdays, 445.5M total)

Final Total: 450M (3.33x)

 

The lack of appealing family options inbetween Pete's Dragon and Storks should push Dory to 450M (Wild Life isn't doing more than Norm). The ogrelord will still reign supreme. 

 

CI:

 

Remainder of the week: 8M (43.5M total)

Jun 24: 17.5M (4M weekdays, 65M total)

Jul 1: 8.7M (2.3M weekdays, 76M total)

Jul 8: 4.2M (1.2M weekdays, 81.4M total)

Jul 15: 2M (700k weekdays, 84.1M total)

Final Total: 87M (2.45x)

 

Nothing so far that indicates this will have amazing legs.

2

But also nothing so far indicates Central Intelligence will have a CBM/Fast and Furious-esque multipler :lol: it actually increased from estimates by $1 million. It has minimal competition until July 15th, so it should be able to get a 3.1x-3.3x. Most well-received comedies get at least a 3x. I could see a 2.7x-2.9x, but sub-2.5x is a bit much. 

 

Dory

$78 million ($291 million)

$42 million/$54 million ($387 million) 

$20 million ($416 million) 

$12 million ($439 million)

$6 million ($451 million)

$4 million ($459 million)

$3 million ($464 million)

$2 million ($467 million)

$475 million DOM (3.49x) 

 

CI

$19 million ($70 million) 

$11.5 million/$13.5 million ($95 million)

$5.5 million ($104 million)

$2.5 million ($109 million) 

$116 million DOM (3.25x) 

 

 

I wouldn't consider any multi for a $35 million OW under 3.5x amazing, either. 

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Daily Domestic Chart for Monday June 20th, 2016

← Previous Chart Chart Index  
 
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (2) Central Intelligence Warner Bros. $4,007,835 -60% 3,508 $1,142   $39,543,085 4
- (3) The Conjuring 2: The Enfiel… Warner Bros. $2,201,217 -38% 3,356 $656   $73,256,353 11
- (4) Now You See Me 2 Lionsgate $1,312,870 -56% 3,232 $406   $42,398,778 11
- (5) Warcraft Universal $898,185 -65% 3,406 $264   $39,331,140 11
- (10) Me Before You Warner Bros. $735,013 -14% 2,645 $278   $46,847,042 18
- (6) X-Men: Apocalypse 20th Century Fox $661,482 -65% 2,632 $251   $146,818,608 25
- (7) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle… Paramount Pictures $646,304 -63% 3,086 $209   $72,627,409 18
- (11) The Angry Birds Movie Sony Pictures $270,397 -51% 2,021 $134   $103,454,340 32
- (13) The Nice Guys Warner Bros. $107,176 -55% 522 $205   $34,293,612 32
- (-) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Universal $62,455 -26% 464 $135   $54,605,325 32
- (-) Money Monster Sony Pictures $31,209 -56% 286 $109   $40,347,589 39
- (-) Popstar: Never Stop Never S… Universal $29,355 -30% 211 $139   $9,423,190 18
- (-) Barbershop: The Next Cut Warner Bros. $11,202 -48% 121 $93   $53,801,286 67
- (-) Keanu Warner Bros. $9,962 -44% 123 $81   $20,494,353 53
- (-) The Darkness BH Tilt $7,932 -39% 106 $75   $10,666,394 39
- (-) Kung Fu Panda 3 20th Century Fox $2,849 -55% 53 $54   $143,406,492 144
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Just now, GiantCALBears said:

 

It didn't hold the OW for very long in fairness dude.

It beat the oh so anticipated SW prequels WW. But then again, as Tele mentioned, for some reason back then people cared more about the DOM market than the WW one.

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21 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

But also nothing so far indicates Central Intelligence will have a CBM/Fast and Furious-esque multipler :lol: it actually increased from estimates by $1 million. It has minimal competition until July 15th, so it should be able to get a 3.1x-3.3x. Most well-received comedies get at least a 3x. I could see a 2.7x-2.9x, but sub-2.5x is a bit much. 

 

Dory

$78 million ($291 million)

$42 million/$54 million ($387 million) 

$20 million ($416 million) 

$12 million ($439 million)

$6 million ($451 million)

$4 million ($459 million)

$3 million ($464 million)

$2 million ($467 million)

$475 million DOM (3.49x) 

 

CI

$19 million ($70 million) 

$11.5 million/$13.5 million ($95 million)

$5.5 million ($104 million)

$2.5 million ($109 million) 

$116 million DOM (3.25x) 

 

 

I wouldn't consider any multi for a $35 million OW under 3.5x amazing, either. 

Nvm, 4M is high enough for 16M to happen

Edited by WrathOfHan
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1 minute ago, James said:

It beat the oh so anticipated SW prequels WW. But then again, as Tele mentioned, for some reason back then people cared more about the DOM market than the WW one.

 

I added to my last post, Spider-Man caused a lot of hysteria on mojo. I was a lurker back then but I remember a lot of new users on the old forums that weekend.

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3 minutes ago, James said:

It beat the oh so anticipated SW prequels WW. But then again, as Tele mentioned, for some reason back then people cared more about the DOM market than the WW one.

 

Not to mention WB has always done a max rollout for the HP movies, and others don't. Even to this day, that's why most people don't consider a WW opening to be an accurate comp (unless they're opening in the same territories. 

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5 minutes ago, James said:

It beat the oh so anticipated SW prequels WW. But then again, as Tele mentioned, for some reason back then people cared more about the DOM market than the WW one.

It's because the worldwide market was a whole lot smaller than it is now, of course.

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3 hours ago, Baumer said:

it's pointless to say what film is more impressive than another film but in my opinion Frozen, being an original film that completely took the box office by storm is much more surprising and much more impressive than Finding Dory which is a beloved Pixar sequel to A beloved Pixar film.

 

You always say these kind of things in hindsight about a Pixar film, despite the whole time before the opening about how it's going to underperform (i.e., Dory under SLOP), and then when it over performs you blow it off as if it's nothing special.

 

I get you have no love for Pixar, but I don't think winning the summer (and possibly the year), smashing animated records, and such is anything to scoff at.

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Wow, that's a way better Monday than I ever expected for Dory! Hope we're finally in for a blockbuster this summer that doesn't have amputee legs, because this 3x multi being an unreachable goal this summer is getting ridiculous. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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