Tuesday #s: Dory - $23.2M, CI - $4.5M, TC2 - $2.3M, NYSM2 - $1.6M, WC - $1M

[superweirdo87]

22 minutes ago, pieman said:

 

This has really stood out this year. There have been very few mid-range successes. Movies seem to either do really really well or have mediocre runs. I read somewhere that this has something to do with everyone seeing the movie of 'the moment' but nothing else.

 

Yeah, they're going for the event movies that feel like events but don't bother otherwise.  The mentality there is not new--it is always more fun to have someone to talk about the thing you're checking out. It has been intensified hardcore with streaming, mobile devices, and technology.

[baumer]

9 minutes ago, The Pandaren said:

Why is such an increase expected anyways?  It's actually precedent for big openers to decrease on Tuesday instead of increase.  I find it funny that some naysayers are saying, "Oh, it's expected."

 

No it's not.  I can think of a single 100m Opener in recent memory that he a massive increase on its first Tuesday, especially after a big Monday.

 

Discount Tuesday has increased exponentially in the last few years. It was an easy call. I knew it would go up by about 20%.

[Mojoguy]

DORY = 500m DOM!

[The Panda]

6 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Minions says high  

 

It's that summer weekday thing with cheap Tuesdays that has changed things over the last couple of years. 

 

For what's it's worth it was expecting it to stay flat so I know where you are coming from. 

 

Still, it's not exactly precedent for the first Tuesday.  Discount Tuesday usually starts to kick in week 2 going forward.  I was expecting maybe a 1-3% increase today based on precedent.  Dory's Tuesday is one of the top 4 non-opening Tuesdays of all time.  That is huge.

[filmlover]

$500M has to be in play at this point, right?

[The Panda]

Just now, Baumer said:

 

Discount Tuesday has increased exponentially in the last few years. It was an easy call. I knew it would go up by about 20%.

 

I know it has.  But look at the precedent for big openers, the first Tuesday is usually flat due to spillover on Monday.  

 

I'm saying it isn't a typical number, that was a good call, but it's also unprecedented for how large the opening was and how big Monday was.

[FlashMaster659]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

$500M has to be in play at this point, right?

Yes.

[Mojoguy]

Dory, save us from this crappy summer!

Edited June 22, 2016 by Mojoguy

[baumer]

It's not really unprecedented though. Discount Tuesdays are bigger now than even 6 months ago. More theater chains have added the cheap Tuesday and this is why the massive Tuesdays and massive drops on Wednesday 

[The Panda]

Wed: 16.5m

Thu: 16.1m

Fri: 27.4m

Sat: 35.6m

Sun: 24.9m

Wknd: 87.9m (-35%)

 

An under 40% drop looks really likely as long as it holds to the 15-17m range tomorrow and Thursday.  Even with minimal Friday and Saturday increases.

[goldenstate5]

Oh my god this discount Tuesday bump is even larger than I imagine.

 

I think Dory has a real shot of 500 mil. 

[The Panda]

4 minutes ago, Baumer said:

It's not really unprecedented though. Discount Tuesdays are bigger now than even 6 months ago. More theater chains have added the cheap Tuesday and this is why the massive Tuesdays and massive drops on Wednesday 

 

Which is why Civil War's first Tuesday increased by 3.5% and Zootopia's 18.3% (after an 81% drop Monday, so easier to increase from).

 

Summer's especially, the first Tuesday increase should be less because Monday has more spillover.

 

Im not saying it hasn't happened before, but the precedent for a 100m opener is for the first Tuesday to stay flat, and the 2nd to have those wild increases

[stripe]

24 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Minions says high  

 

It's that summer weekday thing with cheap Tuesdays that has changed things over the last couple of years. 

 

For what's it's worth it was expecting it to stay flat so I know where you are coming from. 

 

Minions increased on Tuesday, but its increase didn't come after an amazing 43% Monday drop.

[La Binoche]

Queen of Summer 2016 

 

 

And perhaps Queen of all of 2016 

[stripe]

12 minutes ago, The Pandaren said:

Wed: 16.5m

Thu: 16.1m

Fri: 27.4m

Sat: 35.6m

Sun: 24.9m

Wknd: 87.9m (-35%)

 

An under 40% drop looks really likely as long as it holds to the 15-17m range tomorrow and Thursday.  Even with minimal Friday and Saturday increases.

 

That would be great a great Friday jump. I expect a 50% increase from Thursday

[Mango]

That is pretty crazy. Usually the opening week Tuesday increases aren't as big for tentpoles.

[Noctis]

1 hour ago, Baumer said:

I still don't think it gets passed 450

 

That's stupid. How could it miss $450m when it's already at $178m after 5 days? Wednesday, Thursday, and the weekend will put it at roughly $280m...

 

Barring unusual drops, it's passing $450m.

[Ethan Hunt]

One of my theatres just started doing discount Tuesdays this Summer. My other theatre does discount Wednesdays

[Arlborn]

There'll be so much panic tomorrow. 

 

To to be honest I really can't tell if 500m is in play right now, I gotta wait at least until I see Friday's number to know how it's really holding up.

Im hopeful though.

Edited June 22, 2016 by Arlborn

[Giesi]

6 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Queen of Summer 2016 

 

 

And perhaps Queen of all of 2016 

Spoiler

I wouldn't mind Dory, either.