Weekend Actuals (Page 96): Dory 73M | IDR 41M | CI 18.2M | Shallows 16.8M | Conjuring 7.7M | Jones 7.6M

[narniadis]

Yeah that 62 is nothing more than them digging in their heals on their 60m prediction from this morning.... seriously the film did 17m+ on THURSDAY its going way over 62 for the weekend.

[Biggestgeekever]

Full Thursday Numbers: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-06-23&p=.htm

 

Dory had one of the best holds, only Angry Birds and Zootopia did better in that regard in the top 15. Goes to show that this week's openers will not be tapping into that kid audience at all. Should be a crazy good weekend hold for Dory.

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, pieman said:

It's funny how everyone was predicting IDR's failure e.g. not crossing 100M but now, that it's doing much better than expected, people are calling it a disappoint.

 

More people predicted ID:R doing over 400m than under 100m.  So, yeah, no.

 

This is a colossal disappointment and anything else is just spin.

[narniadis]

If ID2 can manage nearly 20m for Friday then I could see 50m happening if Saturday is decent but my derby hopes otherwise lol

[Captain Craig]

16 minutes ago, trifle said:

 

... However, I'm not sure what IA5 is.

Ice Age 5: (subtitle here)

[baumer]

Just wait for @Rth

[JohnnyGossamer]

Hmm. I would think Dory would see a pretty big increase on Saturday. Like a 40%+ increase. But, yeah, $80M is out. Probably just under $70M.

[WrathOfHan]

I want IDR to hit 50M so I don't regret switching that one CSG preseason question to yes (Will a movie open to over 50M and not be first?)

[Fancyarcher]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Hmm. I would think Dory would see a pretty big increase on Saturday. Like a 40%+ increase. But, yeah, $80M is out. Probably just under $70M.

 

Deadline didn't post any actual numbers though, just random projections that were made hours ago. Dory actually still has a chance at 80m.

[grim22]

8 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

http://deadline.com/2016/06/independence-day-resurgence-finding-dory-shallows-free-state-of-jones-neon-demon-weekend-box-office-1201778773/

‘Dory’ Still The Big Fish With $62M+, ‘ID4’ Sequel In High $40Ms, ‘Shallows’ Rides A Wave Toward $13M – Midday B.O.

By Anthony D'Alessandro 4 mins ago

Fox’s Independence Day: Resurgence is likely to post a Friday between $18M-$19M for a weekend in the high $40M range at 4,068 venues.

Sony’s The Shallows is look quite healthy with an estimated $5M Friday on its way to a projected $13M at 2,962 locations. STX Entertainment’s Free State of Jones is limping at this point in time with a projected $3M for Friday and an $8M FSS opening at 2,815 sites. Broad Green/Amazon’s Neon Demon isn’t looking so hot with a $500K Friday and $1.6M-$1.8M opening. These figures could swing up or down by nightfall.

 

62m? dory. I don't see how that is possible

 

Won't be surprised if IDR goes lower by the time Friday actuals come in. A 40-45M bow most likely. Expecting the Shallows number to go up by the end.

[FlashMaster659]

The same thing happened with TFA on it's second weekend when THR said it would only do $120M 2nd weekend off a $35M Fri.

[superweirdo87]

6 minutes ago, Baumer said:

Just wait for @Rth

Rth saves BOT from Deadline's off-estimates and weird weekend math.

[Fancyarcher]

2 hours ago, tribefan695 said:

IDR may have been a disappointment six months in the making, but it's still a disappointment. This and Dory represent an interesting dichotomy between how and how not to execute revivals of nostalgic franchises

 

It probably helps in Dory's case, that FN is regarded as an amazing family classic, whereas Independence Day is seen as more of a silly and entertaining disaster movie.

[mahnamahna]

12 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Hmm. I would think Dory would see a pretty big increase on Saturday. Like a 40%+ increase. But, yeah, $80M is out. Probably just under $70M.

That's not the actual #s for Dory. $70 million+ I'd happening

[MovieMan89]

20 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

More people predicted ID:R doing over 400m than under 100m.  So, yeah, no.

 

This is a colossal disappointment and anything else is just spin.

Lmfao, people were predicting 400+? Seriously, that's insane to me. Regardless, IDR squeaking past 100 would still be a mega disappointment like you say. And it's unlikely to happen either. Multi will be 2x bad and I doubt that OW stays above 45. 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

I can't see anything lower than mid 70's for Dory.

[superweirdo87]

1 minute ago, Daniel Dylan Davis said:

 

It probably helps in Dory's case, that FN is regarded as an amazing family classic, whereas Independence Day is seen as more of a silly and entertaining disaster movie.

 

It may be in part that storytelling and characterization was what made "Finding Nemo" loved. ID was a moment where large-scale destruction broke out and you could see it on the big screen. Wow, these aliens DID THAT. Audiences have seen that kind of thing so much now. It's like finding Kraft singles in a grocery story. Go out for an action movie and you'll find large scale destruction.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Jayhawk said:

I can't see anything lower than mid 70's for Dory.

It's literally impossible for it to go lower than that. Would have to have some of the worst Friday and Saturday bumps ever. 

[MattW]

http://variety.com/2016/film/news/box-office-finding-dory-independence-day-resurgence-opening-1201803287/

 

67  weekend for Dory, nothing specific for Friday though.

 

Same estimates for the openers as deadline

[Fancyarcher]

Just now, superweirdo87 said:

 

It may be in part that storytelling and characterization was what made "Finding Nemo" loved. ID was a moment where large-scale destruction broke out and you could see it on the big screen. Wow, these aliens DID THAT. Audiences have seen that kind of thing so much now. It's like finding Kraft singles in a grocery story. Go out for an action movie and you'll find large scale destruction.

 

While Independence Day has absolutely nothing on FN, especially in terms of characters and story, it still had pretty damn great disaster scenes, better then most disaster scenes nowadays, not to mention Will Smith's charisma. Resurgence has neither of these things.