Weekend Thread | est. DS 43 | Trolls 35 | Arrival 24 | Alm.X-Mas 15.56 | Hacksaw 10.77 | Account. 4.57 |

[kayumanggi]

This is great news for Paramount which has been struggling this year.

[WrathOfHan]

WHY THE FUCK DID I LOWER MY PREDICTION?!?!?!?!

[POTUS 2020]

14 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

question:

this thread will end as the weekend thread, right?

 

Does Thursday still get an own thread or has that changed in the time I wasn't here?

This is the weekend thread and there will be a Thursday thread

[POTUS 2020]

AC will fall between 10-12m

[misafeco]

There is no such thing as overdue. Oscar is for one film, one performance. If you're always the second best you should never get an Oscar.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, misafeco said:

There is no such thing as overdue. Oscar is for one film, one performance. If you're always the second best you should never get an Oscar.

If you've been following the Oscar race for as many years as some of us have, you'd see there is a trend. For example, did anyone really think that Leo really deserved to finally win his Oscar for The Revenant compared to past roles? But he also got lucky that he had zero competition this year.

[Kraken]

 

Just now, filmlover said:

If you've been following the Oscar race for as many years as some of us have, you'd see there is a trend. For example, did anyone really think that Leo really deserved to finally win his Oscar for The Revenant compared to past roles? But he also got lucky that he had zero competition this year.

 

That's kinda to his point, tho. Sometimes you win the League with 80 points and sometimes you reach 90 and come in second. It's on the year. But yeah, to think there are not narratives formed and that past results don't influence future results is naive.

[misafeco]

4 minutes ago, Kraken said:

 

 

That's kinda to his point, tho. Sometimes you win the League with 80 points and sometimes you reach 90 and come in second. It's on the year. But yeah, to think there are not narratives formed and that past results don't influence future results is naive.

Of course voters are influenced by past results. And I think it's a bad thing. This "overdue" bullshit ruins the whole meaning of the Academy Awards AND it creates more and more overdue situations.

 

Actor A wins an Oscar for a weaker performance than Actor B's. Next year Actor B wins because he/she is overdue despite Actor C's superior performance. And so on...

 

I also hate when politics decide who gets a statue. The whole #OscarsSoWhite is ridiculous.

[terrestrial]

THR Box Office ‏@THRBoxOffice

Box Office: 'Arrival' Lands $1.5M, 'Almost Christmas' Earns $507K Thursday

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-arrival-lands-15m-almost-christmas-earns-507k-thursday-946299?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

(nothing new - I think)

 

[grim22]

Friday jumps will be big for all movies, but Saturday will be more muted this weekend. Weekend multipliers will be lower.

[filmlover]

10 minutes ago, misafeco said:

Of course voters are influenced by past results. And I think it's a bad thing. This "overdue" bullshit ruins the whole meaning of the Academy Awards AND it creates more and more overdue situations.

 

Actor A wins an Oscar for a weaker performance than Actor B's. Next year Actor B wins because he/she is overdue despite Actor C's superior performance. And so on...

 

I also hate when politics decide who gets a statue. The whole #OscarsSoWhite is ridiculous.

If that were the case, Streep would have 10 Oscars by now.

[narniadis]

1 hour ago, POTUS said:

Monday was the 11th for Thor, vets day

 

All movies will bump Thursday

 

Thursday, November 10, 2011
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016	>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 2 Puss in Boots P/DW $2,377,573 +79% +21% 3,963 $600 $83,309,166 14 2 1 Tower Heist Uni. $1,801,345 +31% - 3,367 $535 $30,691,850 7 3 3 A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas WB $1,121,273 +22% - 2,875 $390 $17,322,382 7 4 4 In Time Fox $724,270 +37% -29% 3,127 $232 $26,516,737 14 5 5 Paranormal Activity 3 Par. $619,354 +48% -39% 3,286 $188 $97,197,552 21 6 7 Footloose (2011) Par. $458,408 +83% +2% 2,811 $163 $46,040,778 28 7 6 The Rum Diary FD $309,999 +10% -42% 2,292 $135 $11,567,984 14 8 8 Real Steel BV $303,850 +61% -7% 2,438 $125 $79,748,116 35 9 9 The Ides of March Sony $190,147 +20% -32% 1,391 $137 $37,414,026 35 10 12 Courageous TriS $186,927 +45% -6% 1,138 $164 $30,553,588 42 11 10 The Three Musketeers (2011) Sum. $179,458 +33% -48% 1,863 $96 $18,670,304 21 12 11 Moneyball Sony $172,978 +33% -29% 1,278 $135 $70,791,569 49 13 13 Anonymous Sony $137,706 +26% +35% 513 $268 $3,171,391 14

 

Yeah I know - that was my point. He acted as if Thor 2s Monday hold (and by consequence Strange's drop) were abnormal. It's like he never looks at the reason something doesn't follow a particular trend. 

[TalismanRing]

Medea had a $860k previews for a 28.5m w/e.  With the same ratio AC would do $16.8m. 

 

It should be lower because of the holiday boosting Thur effect but $15m looks possible

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

If that were the case, Streep would have 10 Oscars by now.

 

Peter O'Toole wouldn't have died without though.  A travesty.

[grey ghost]

1 hour ago, La Binoche said:

Fuck Dr Strange. After seeing Arrival it seems like an even bigger piece of shit than I thought. Marvel IS evil. Seeing a movie like Arrival made that clear. 

 

Did Arrival predict Hydra's infiltration of the United States like the movie Winter Soldier did.

 

Marvel movies are smarter than you give them credit for.

[DAJK]

Kinda reminds me of The Accountant. People expecting mid teens, will likely end up with mid 20's.

 

Thursday numbers might be slightly inflated however due to today being veterans/rememberance day. 

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

 

Did Arrival predict Hydra's infiltration of the United States like the movie Winter Soldier did.

 

Marvel movies are smarter than you give them credit for.

 

This isn't freedom, this is fear 

-- Steve Rogers (being so on point).

[Fancyarcher]

1 hour ago, stripe said:

6.2M for DS would mean around 24% increase. Not bad, but not great, actually

 

For the weekend...

14M (125%)

16M (15%)

9M (-45%)

39M 2nd weekend

 

That's a pretty poor second weekend for strange actually. Good number for Arrival though.

[Goffe]

1.4m translates to what? 25-30m?

[grim22]

The last time Veterans Day fell on a Friday was in 2011 (and 2005 before that), both times the new openers decreased on Saturday and the holdovers increased about 10% on average. Going to be a weird weekend to model. Expect Deadline to provide completely misinformed weekend projections tonight.