Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

[RyneOh1040]

4 minutes ago, Lumos said:

Good number. Fantastic beasts has been receiving rave reviews on my facebook. And the preview to full day ratio is well below that of Potter which is a good sign for legs. Call me crazy but I actually think a 3x is within the realm of possibility lol. 

oddly enough same here.  and many from friends who were just casual fans of the HP series.  

[RyneOh1040]

The “Harry Potter” spinoff from Warner Bros. earned $29.7 million on Friday at 4,144 locations, and is expected to earn a hefty $76 million by the end of the weekend.

 

- Variety

[Noctis]

2 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:

Let's go right in the middle and say it does 75.

 

Using Mockingjay comps (which I think FB should hold a bit better) we get something like:

 

M - 6.84

T - 9.09

W - 10.9

TH - 8.18

F - 16.85

S - 16

SU - 8.32

 

That gets it to 151.18 by next Sunday.  I don't see any reason why it should hold as poorly as TMJ2 did but I think this give us an idea of the absolute floor.  I can't see it missing 200 even with all of the competition until Rogue One.

 

MJ2 had solid legs, though...

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:

Let's go right in the middle and say it does 75.

 

Using Mockingjay comps (which I think FB should hold a bit better) we get something like:

 

M - 6.84

T - 9.09

W - 10.9

TH - 8.18

F - 16.85

S - 16

SU - 8.32

 

That gets it to 151.18 by next Sunday.  I don't see any reason why it should hold as poorly as TMJ2 did but I think this give us an idea of the absolute floor.  I can't see it missing 200 even with all of the competition until Rogue One.

It doesn't even have much competition until Rogue One anyway. The December 2 and 9 weekends look pretty barren.

[MinaTakla]

VARIETY:  Paramount’s “Arrival” is staying strong in its second weekend. The Amy Adams-starrer earned $3.4 million on Friday.

http://variety.com/2016/film/box-office/box-office-fantastic-beasts-edge-of-seventeen-bleed-for-this-1201922902/

[La Binoche]

I wonder how the rest of the Dawson's Creek cast feels about Michelle Williams leaving them in the dust.

 

Rolling Stone: In a movie of shattering moments, a chance meeting on the street between Lee and Randi will wipe you out. It's a scene you won't forget. Ever. Williams, radiating ferocity and feeling, hits a new peak as a performer, and she and Affleck dig into their roles with every fiber of their being. This is acting of the highest caliber.

 

 

 

 

[GiantCALBears]

16 minutes ago, thunder storm said:

 

Is $21.2m for Friday day really that huge?

[alisson23]

18 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:

 

I was speaking with a few of the guys on WhatsApp that have a better grasp of the box office than I do and they were explaining to me that previews and pre sales are way bigger now then what they were even two or three years ago. So the pre-sales that you saw for Fantastic Beasts we're legitimate but it's just not translating into the same kind of percentage that older films did. I hope that makes sense somehow LOL

I know, you are right, I don't have pulse much time ago and SS, which was my comparison, it was released just months ago. Well, I thought FB very probably would have a bigger percentage of presales in ow than SS. My prediction was counting with that, but the percentage was much bigger than I was thinking. 

Well, The percentage of previews in OD for FB it was minor than it was for DS, taking into consideration FB started previews earlier. This a good thing at least.

 

 

[RyneOh1040]

7 minutes ago, Noctis said:

 

MJ2 had solid legs, though...

you're right.  it's multiplier is better than I originally thought.  still, I don't see why FB should have a tough time hitting it.  Clearly this is sparking some GA interest which is very good news.

[terrestrial]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 51 Sek.Vor 52 Sekunden

Internationally, FANTASTIC BEASTS swooped up another $30M on Friday, $53M total.

[RyneOh1040]

1 minute ago, terrestrial said:

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 51 Sek.Vor 52 Sekunden

Internationally, FANTASTIC BEASTS swooped up another $30M on Friday, $53M total.

does anyone know if this is good?  I don't follow international as much.  I believe it opened in the UK yesterday correct?

[Lumos]

With the Potter films the fan base knew they wanted to see the movie. They read the books so of course they were going to the film adaption....and a huge portion of them on opening day and opening weekend too. I think the fabase was a little unsure about this project so they didn't bother. But with solid WOM and the fact there was very little rush factor involved here.....a 3x seems like a 50/50 shot at this point. I'm seeing 

 

OW: 70.5m

DOM: 205m (2.9x)

 

[John Marston]

12 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It doesn't even have much competition until Rogue One anyway. The December 2 and 9 weekends look pretty barren.

 

 

It is dropping 60% December 2 weekend since due to

post Thnaksgiving drop

[bapi]

Arrival should have been released in October.

[La Binoche]

Yeah, that number is not "huge." 

 

 

[YSLDC]

Billy Lynn..

[baumer]

Fantastic Beasts is not getting a2.9x.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

1 hour ago, La Binoche said:

 

Hailee is never going to be an A-list star, no matter how many movies or songs she does. It's also really hard to make a teen comedy pop. That's why it happens so rarely. I mean what was the last one? Easy A? And the one before? Mean Girls? And prior to that, Bring It On and Clueless. That's like 4 or 5 teen comedies that truly popped in the last 20 years. 

 

And that's the exactly reason why it should have been doing way better than it is doing right now. 

[Wrath]

49 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Agree 70m is fine for FB. Still think five movies is excessive though 

 

Depends on the story being told. I have this weird, irrational feeling this series is going to be LotR-caliber in how its ultimately received. I think theres a story to tell thats quite profound but much more adult-oriented than HP was. As a result, I think it'll always be a little disappointing in BO because its not really aimed at kids.

[Finnick]

Rank*	Title	Friday 11/18 (Estimates)	Saturday 11/19	Sunday 11/20	Monday 11/21
1	FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Warner Bros. 4,144	$29,700,000 -- / $7,167 $29,700,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	DOCTOR STRANGE Buena Vista 3,694	$4,779,000 +128.8% / $1,294 $168,645,877 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	TROLLS Fox 3,945	$3,850,000 +295% / $976 $102,564,533 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	ARRIVAL Paramount 2,335	$3,410,000 +131% / $1,460 $34,980,799 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	ALMOST CHRISTMAS Universal 2,379	$1,990,000 +215.6% / $836 $20,370,740 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	HACKSAW RIDGE Lionsgate 2,883	$1,900,000 +131% / $659 $38,004,292 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	THE EDGE OF SEVENTEEN STX Entertainment 1,945	$1,700,000 -- / $874 $1,700,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	BLEED FOR THIS Open Road Films 1,549	$895,366 -- / $578 $895,366 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	THE ACCOUNTANT Warner Bros. 1,423	$605,000 +116.7% / $425 $79,742,018 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	SHUT IN EuropaCorp 2,006	$500,000 +214.4% / $249 $4,936,645 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	MOONLIGHT (2016) A24 650	$438,162 +308.1% / $674 $5,594,212 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	BILLY LYNN'S LONG HALFTIME WALK TriStar 1,176	$350,000 +4197.1% / $298 $506,611 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A