Weekend Thread...Friday numbers (Deadline) HF: 6M| BBM: 5M| PD: 4.2| LLL: 3.97 (PG 18) - NOT THE PIRACY THREAD (OR THE POLITICS THREAD)

[Marek the Jedi]

nice to see ROGUE ONE crossing 500mil  550 might be too much, we will see

[YM!]

14 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

 

 

 

Kids will fucking love the movie, that's why.  Some adults might if you go into the movie not expecting anything great at all and just kind of relax.  My mom enjoyed it for that reason.  It's really not that bad, and I'm not even lying here.

Deadline said is was the regions it was polled in for why it got an A. Praise Creech!

[DeeCee]

There must be a use for this Emerald City gif.

 

Spoiler

And this one.

 

Edited January 14, 2017 by DeeCee

[Boxofficerules]

41 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

 

 

 

Kids will fucking love the movie, that's why.  Some adults might if you go into the movie not expecting anything great at all and just kind of relax.  My mom enjoyed it for that reason.  It's really not that bad, and I'm not even lying here.

There is nothing wrong with making a movie just for kids but you might not want to spend $125 million on it. 

[Valonqar]

Bombtastic weekend.

 

HF hold makes up for snow storm last weekend as expected. That's how you know whether bad whether or big fight  hurt OW or not (I'm looking at you, AoU, remember fight excuses for lower OW?) . 

 

Has Sing passed Moana yet? 

 

LLL is a beast. 

[filmlover]

This is what happens when you release an unappealing crop of openers on the same weekend.

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

This is what happens when you release an unappealing crop of openers on the same weekend.

 

[druv10]

4 hours ago, Finnick said:

Deadline chart

 

1.) Hidden Figures (Fox) 3,286 theaters (+815)/$6M Fri (-21%)  /$3-day: $19.7M (-14%)/4-day: $24.4M/Total: $58.8M/Wk 4

2.) Sing (ILL/UNI), 3,693  theaters (-262)  /$2.9M Fri.(-45%)  /3-day cume: $13.1M (-36%)/4-day: $18.1M /Total: $237.4M/Wk 4

3.) La La Land (Lionsgate) 1,848 (+333) /$3.97M Fri (+25%)/3-day:$13.7M (+35%)/4-day:$16.63M/Total:$76.2M/ Wk 6

4.) Rogue One  (DIS), 3,162 theaters  (-995)/$3.3M Fri. (-45%)/ 3-day cume: $13.2M (-40%)/4-day:$16.6M/Total: $501.7M/Wk 5

5.) Patriot’s Day  (CBS/LG), 3,120 theaters (+3,113)  /$4.2M Fri (+11,000%) /3-day: $12.3M (+11,638%)/4-day: $14.6M/Total: $15.5M/Wk 4

6.) The Bye Bye Man (STX) 2,220 theaters  /$5M Fri/3-day:$12.4M /4-day:$14.2M/Wk 1

7.) Monster Trucks (PAR) 3,119 theaters/$2.5M Fri/3-day:$9.9M /4-day:$13.2M/Wk 1

8.) Sleepless (OR) 1,803 theaters /$2.8M Fri/3-day:$7.9M /4-day:$9.3M/Wk 1

9.) Live by Night  (WB), 2,822 theaters (+2,818) /$2.1M Fri. (+25,000%) /3-day:$6.2M(+23,000%)/4-day:$7.3m/Total: $7.5M/ Wk 4

10.) Underworld: Blood Wars (Sony) 3,070 theaters /$1.7M Fri (-65%)/3-day: $5.7M (-58%)/4-day: $6.8M /Total:$24.9M/ Wk 2

Notables:

Silence  (PAR), 747 theaters (+696)  /$705K Fri. (+330%) /3-day:$2.2M (+353%)/4-day: $2.6M/Total: $3.7M/ Wk 4 

20^th Century Women (Annapurna/A24) 29 theaters  (+19) /$83K Fri (+110%) /3-day: $279k (+114%)/4-day:$338K/Total: $782K/Wk 4

Moonlight (A24) 582 theaters  (+447) /$259K Fri (+200%) /3-day: $985k (+206%)/4-day:$1.1M/Total: $14.7M/Wk 13

Congrats to RO, it has officially passed Dory for the domestic yearly crown. What an amazing year for Disney.

[filmlover]

The Stone Age and Cookie Monster are gonna save the box office these dire-looking next few weeks.

[redfirebird2008]

1 hour ago, Marek the Jedi said:

nice to see ROGUE ONE crossing 500mil  550 might be too much, we will see

 

Probably headed for 540-545. Great run. 

[a2k]

Monster Trucks could do 3x off the 3-day weekend being a kids movie.

That will still give it only 30M dom.

[a2k]

1 hour ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Probably headed for 540-545. Great run. 

540-545 will give it a multi of 3.47-3.50x. December is legs-friendly but it's still great considering the OW size.

Edited January 14, 2017 by a2knet

[DAR]

Going forward what's the floor for any SW release?

[Incarnadine]

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Monster Trucks could do 3x off the 3-day weekend being a kids movie.

That will still give it only 30M dom.

Or to put it another way, about 1.5x to 2x what most people were thinking it would make.

 

This is a terrible weekend for new movies, there are at least 5 holdovers I would see again before even considering seeing any of the new movies.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

That's a great start for The Bye Bye Man, even with toxic WOM, this is easily going to outgross The Forest's $26m total, and with Split making at least the double of The Boy, the year is off to an amazing start for the genre. 

[Lordmandeep]

Patriot Day Looks to be like 13 hours. Solid 7/10 film

 

Does not get much play in theaters but will do well after Release on Netflix and such.

[Mr Terrific]

7 minutes ago, DAR said:

Going forward what's the floor for any SW release?

$400m domestic?

I think Han can make as much as $500m. 

Then, it's about the next anthology movie. I'm hopeful it's Ben Kenobi instead of Boba Fett. 

[redfirebird2008]

11 minutes ago, a2knet said:

540-545 will give it a multi of 3.47-3.50x. December is legs-friendly but it's still great considering the OW size.

 

I'm rooting for 542.8, which would be a 3.5 multiplier on the nose. 

[Goffe]

Never been so happy about getting a prediction wrong like I did for La La Land.

Edited January 14, 2017 by Goffe

[wileECoyote]

4 hours ago, DamienRoc said:

Moana could sneak into the top 10 for the 4-day because of that. 

 

Sing's 4-day is projected to be 20x it's Thursday number.  If Moana follows the same pattern it's gonna do 7.4.  Only problem is that it lost a lot more theaters than Sing so Friday jump is likely more muted.  But still, yeah,l has a shot at 4-day top 10.