THE THREAD OF THE FURIOUS: Friday #s (DHD, Pg 36) F8 45.5M, BB 6.6M, BATB 5.3M, Smurfs 2.9M, GIS 2.1M

[filmlover]

Wasn't tracking pegging Furious for $110M this weekend? They won't be that far off the mark.

[meriodejaneiro]

2 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

I think Disney will dominate with their big blockbusters in May.

 

Starting with Guardians of the Galaxy 2.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/guardians-galaxy-vol-2-tracking-galactical-150m-us-debut-993727

 

HR is forecasting a $150M OW for GOTG.V2 (by may 5th).

 

 

1 hour ago, 2 Panda 2 Furious said:

 

It has three weeks to itself, it'll have made most of its money by the time GOTG2 comes out (especially given the franchise's history of stubby legs).

Half markets open one week before domestic opening (april 25-28th) what may cut FF8 legs off in all those markets in barely 10 days from now. The other half markets open on time with USA-Canada (may 5th), and only Japan opens one week after (may 12th). So i think FF8 legs won't be as big as FF7's.

[TwoMisfits]

27 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

I think Disney will dominate with their big blockbusters in summer.

 

Starting in May with Guardians of the Galaxy 2.

 

Yeah, I don't see domination...I see a tight summer race they may or may not win...they could have 3 of the top 3 movies...or they could have none of the top 3 movies...I wouldn't take a bet either way on that.  The easiest calls were them winning the spring (BaTB) and the fall/winter (Star 8).  Summer has always been the question mark for this year...

[Yandereprime101189]

So, it's basically going to do on par with Fast 5-6 domestically. Not bad.

 

Glad it's opening huge worldwide, that means sequel production will happen faster.

[a2k]

1 hour ago, baumer said:

 

But it's going to make more than every other Furious movie OW.  The last one was the outlier......this seems to make perfect sense.  

 

Ironically, that it's doing so well OS (and at par or slightly better with F7 in China) is why dom seems disappointing despite a big OW. If the last movie was such an outlier, why is it holding it's own in OS but not Dom (...maybe because Paul was American)? Dom it has come down to F6 levels. But in OS it's beating F6 bigly. So Dom relatively does seem disappointing, especially if you try to find sub-105 predictions for F8.

 

edit: Ignore the post. I got some new intel:

 

14 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

F8 is gonna make around 350m more in China than F6 did, so OS-C it won't increase that much from F6, either. Overall it is holding better OS, that's true, but I don't know the exact reason for that.

 

Just now, a2knet said:

 

Yeah you are right. F6 did ~485 OS-China. This one will be at par. So it's back to F6 levels everywhere (except China) not just dom. 

 

Edited April 16, 2017 by a2knet

[meriodejaneiro]

6 minutes ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

So, it's basically going to do on par with Fast 5-6 domestically. Not bad.

 

Glad it's opening huge worldwide, that means sequel production will happen faster.

 

sequels 9 and 10 are already dated (april 19th 2019 and april 2nd 2021).

[Dragon]

Fudge that shit to 100 million,  Universal. 

Not that is needed. You already making banks.

 

 

 

 

 

[miketheavenger]

10 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Ironically, that it's doing so well OS (and at par or slightly better with F7 in China) is why dom seems disappointing despite a big OW. If the last movie was such an outlier, why is it holding it's own in OS but not Dom (...maybe because Paul was American)? Dom it has come down to F6 levels. But in OS it's beating F6 bigly. So Dom relatively does seem disappointing, especially if you try to find sub-105 predictions for F8.

F8 is gonna make around 350m more in China than F6 did, so OS-C it won't increase that much from F6, either. Overall it is holding better OS, that's true, but I don't know the exact reason for that.

[a2k]

17 hours ago, a2knet said:

To get to 102 with a 45.8 Friday (Deadline), F8 would need something like

 

10.4 + 35.4 + 32.5 (-8%) + 23.7 (-27%) = 102

That -8% and -27% was -10% and -29% for F7.

For BVS it was -6% and -33.3%. -6% is better than my guess for F8's Sat but then BVS's stronger Sat was compensated by a much bigger -33% Sunday drop.

 

If F8 gets to 102 with a 45.8 Friday, then it has surprised on both Sat and Sun (as opposed to BVS which had a great Sat but a bigger drop on Sun).

Otherwise, either the Friday has to go up or the weekend has to come down by 2-4m.

 

Deadline's going from 102+ to 100.1. Sat is 31.8, -10% from true Fri, just like F7.

-29% will give it 22.6 Sun and a 100.1 ow.

BVS like 33% drop will take it below 100.

[Finnick]

FF8:100.2M,BATB 13.6M, GiS: 6.3M, KONG:2.6M

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited April 16, 2017 by Finnick

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

F8 is gonna make around 350m more in China than F6 did, so OS-C it won't increase that much from F6, either. Overall it is holding better OS, that's true, but I don't know the exact reason for that.

 

Yeah you are right. F6 did ~485 OS-China. This one will be at par. So it's back to F6 levels everywhere (except China) not just dom. 

[meriodejaneiro]

according to BOFO, BatB takes $24M+ overseas this weekend, to a total of $588M international. The $600M without Japan are assured.

 

Will it reach the $500M dom + $700M intl. for a $1.2B ww?

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

according to BOFO, BatB takes $24M+ overseas this weekend, to a total of $588M international. The $600M without Japan are assured.

 

Will it reach the $500M dom + $700M intl. for a $1.2B ww?

 

I don't know if either of those will happen but 700 OS is more likely than 500 dom.

I feel confident about 1175 (485 dom and 690 os).

[Yandereprime101189]

42 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

 

sequels 9 and 10 are already dated (april 19th 2019 and april 2nd 2021).

 

Even better

[John Marston]

4,310	-	$23,244	$100,181,640	$250	1
2	1	The Boss Baby	Fox	$15,540,000	-41.1%	3,743	-86	$4,152	$116,323,907	-	3
3	2	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$13,634,000	-42.4%	3,592	-377	$3,796	$454,649,751	$160	5
4	3	Smurfs: The Lost Village	Sony	$6,500,000	-50.8%	3,610	-	$1,801	$24,728,326	$60	2
5	4	Going in Style (2017)	WB (NL)	$6,350,000	-46.8%	3,076	+15	$2,064	$23,376,352	$25	2
6	16	Gifted	FoxS	$3,000,000	+572.1%	1,146	+1,090	$2,618	$4,369,910	-	2
7	8	Get Out	Uni.	$2,917,865	-28.1%	1,424	-150	$2,049	$167,547,880	$4.5	8
8	6	Power Rangers (2017)	LGF	$2,850,000	-54.0%	2,171	-807	$1,313	$80,563,748	$100	4
9	10	The Case for Christ	PFR	$2,720,000	-31.4%	1,386	+212	$1,962	$8,447,704	-	2
10	7	Kong: Skull Island	WB	$2,670,000	-52.1%	2,018	-735	$1,323	$161,246,181	$185	6
11	5	Ghost in the Shell (2017)	Par.	$2,400,000	-67.2%	2,135	-1,305	$1,124	$37,023,283	$110	3
12	11	The Zookeeper's Wife	Focus	$2,064,945	-23.1%	1,057	+251	$1,954	$10,667,900	-	3
13	9	Logan	Fox	$1,910,000	-52.5%	1,415	-534	$1,350	$221,628,647	$97	7
14	15	The Shack	LG/S	$700,000	-35.9%	1,048	-60	$668	$56,124,060	-	7
15	12	Life (2017)	Sony	$610,000	-74.3%	605	-1,183	$1,008	$28,568,064	$58	4
16	29	Colossal	Neon	$462,869	+285.0%	98	+94	$4,723	$616,344	-	2
17	33	Their Finest	STX	$360,000	+372.5%	52	+48	$6,923	$470,000	-	2
18	34	Split	Uni.	$272,550	+299.9%	128	+7	$2,129	$137,818,960	$9	13
19	18	T2: Trainspotting	TriS	$230,000	-14.2%	331	+174	$695	$1,975,715	$18	5
20	22	John Wick: Chapter Two	LG/S	$153,000	-1.6%	208	+46	$736	$91,751,134	-	10
21	19	Hidden Figures	Fox	$145,000	-45.3%	194	-94	$747	$168,547,380	$25	17
22	N	The Lost City of Z	BST	$112,633	-	4	-	$28,158	$112,633	-	1
23	N	Spark: A Space Tail	ORF	$112,352	-	365	-	$308	$112,352	-	1
24	N	Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer	SPC	$103,664	-	5	-	$20,733	$103,664	-	1
25	21	La La Land	LG/S	$100,000	-38.6%	219	-5	$457	$150,880,838	$30	19
26	28	A Dog's Purpose	Uni.	$87,352	-33.4%	149	-26	$586	$64,008,900	$22	12
27	23	Lion	Wein.	$81,000	-47.9%	147	-56	$551	$51,520,226	-	21
28	20	The Belko Experiment	BH Tilt	$73,805	-63.9%	88	-98	$839	$9,586,700	$5	5
29	24	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	BV	$72,000	-53.0%	121	-56	$595	$532,074,947	$200	18
30	27	Personal Shopper	IFC	$63,750	-52.9%	85	-56	$750	$1,185,427	-	6
31	31	Sing	Uni.	$62,440	-39.7%	132	-47	$473	$270,229,770	$75	17
32	25	The Devotion of Suspect X	CL	$40,000	-73.2%	21	-25	$1,905	$658,188	-	3
33	37	Moana	BV	$33,000	-44.4%	65	-55	$508	$248,722,114	-	21
34	53	Truman	FR	$27,000	+47.9%	8	+5	$3,375	$53,214	-	2
35	35	Before I Fall	ORF	$22,265	-66.3%	70	-198	$318	$12,192,580	-	7
36	40	Raw (2017)	FCW	$21,765	-59.0%	31	-14	$702	$455,349	-	6
37	60	Graduation	IFC	$19,530	+89.5%	7	+5	$2,790	$37,384	-	2
38	N	Chasing Trane: The John Coltrane Documentary	Abr.	$15,880	-	1	-	$15,880	$15,880	-	1
39	N	My Entire High School Sinking Into the Sea	GK	$15,215	-	3	-	$5,072	$15,215	-	1
40	-	The Salesman	Cohen	$11,067	-	16	-	$692	$3,402,067	-	12
41	59	Neruda	Orch.	$8,699	-28.6%	11	+2	$791	$924,908	-	18
42	-	All These Sleepless Nights	Orch.	$5,204	-	5	+2	$1,041	$12,239	-	2
43	N	Heal the Living	Cohen	$3,176	-	2	-	$1,588	$3,176	-	1
44	N	Finding Oscar	FR	$3,000	-	1	-	$3,000	$3,000	-	1
45	69	Donald Cried	Orch.	$1,966	-71.8%	7	+1	$281	$59,200	-	7
TOTAL ( MOVIES):				n/a	-

[titanic2187]

it's happy to see Get out get back to 7th spot from last week's 8th

[titanic2187]

what's the movie finding oscar is all about?? 

Is it a leonardo dicarpio biography?

[Alli]

5 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

what's the movie finding oscar is all about?? 

Is it a leonardo dicarpio biography?

[davincicode1]

10 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

it's happy to see Get out get back to 7th spot from last week's 8th

it will move up to #6 once actuals are provided  Biggest BO surprise of the DECADE

[TalismanRing]

Finding Oscar is a documentary

 

Quote

A forensic scientist and a dedicated prosecutor seek justice for the massacre of a boy's family during the Guatemalan civil war.