AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide

[Sam]

17 minutes ago, Marathon said:

I agree. A 50% drop is obviously only a pipe dream, especially with the holiday now on Tuesday, but a $200m weekend OS in holdover markets (+Russia) WITHOUT China would be an absolutely breathtaking achievement. But yeah, the circumstances here (already stratospheric openings, some countries had extra-long openings, the holiday on Tuesday, etc...) are making that milestone very unlikely.

Also gotta take into account that it opened on Wed/Thu in a lot of countries, so the true weekend FSS gross is actually 285M.

 

In that case, a 200M second weekend is just impossible. That should make us all feel better 

 

On that note, I’m thinking around 120M for upcoming weekdays Mon-Thu (with Tuesday approaching $50M by itself), so a weekend of 130M would not be too far-fetched I think, which makes it a cool 54% fall.

Edited April 29, 2018 by Sam

[TLK]

So $2 billion Worldwide is on the table. Right ? It needs to do about 40% better than AOU Worldwide and looks to be just behind that target at the moment. My current guess would be $1.85 billion assuming China goes under $300 million

Edited April 29, 2018 by TLK

[KJsooner]

48 minutes ago, TLK said:

So $2 billion Worldwide is on the table. Right ? It needs to do about 40% better than AOU Worldwide and looks to be just behind that target at the moment. My current guess would be $1.85 billion assuming China goes under $300 million

 

Domestic will have to cover for some of the difference there to have a chance at 2 billion dollars. OS is going to be capped out with a total near F8 or TFA.

[HouseOfTheSun]

50 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

 

Domestic will have to cover for some of the difference there to have a chance at 2 billion dollars. OS is going to be capped out with a total near F8 or TFA.

There’s no way it’s capping out at 1.1. That seems to be the disaster scenario floor. 1.3 is a likely target. 

[PanaMovie]

I think

 

610M DOM

1.27B OS

 

1.88B WW 

 

for now....never underestimate this movie again 

[Sam]

Pretty bad legs of 2.5x already get it to 950M OS minus China and Russia. 

 

China+Russia worst case would be 300M. 

 

That’s 1.25B right there. And with how the weekend holds been shaping up over in the domestic market, can’t really see it missing 600M Dom either.

 

So 1.85B+ in my opinion. 2B will be up to China.

Edited April 30, 2018 by Sam

[bladels]

My math has IW at $1.8-1.9B WW for now.

If it can pull stronger legs than normal Marvel's sequel in DOM or China then $2B can happen. We need to wait to see what will happen.

I don't think TFA or Titanic is safe but Avatar is a bridge too far.

But hey, a week ago we thought $300M OS OW is a stretch then it f*cking did $380M . Never say never with this movie 

[Thrylos 7]

1 hour ago, KJsooner said:

 

Domestic will have to cover for some of the difference there to have a chance at 2 billion dollars. OS is going to be capped out with a total near F8 or TFA.

Why would os be capped out with a total near f8 or TFA ? It will breeze past both of these films os.

[justvision]

10 hours ago, Mojim said:

OH MY GOD! $8.4? How in the Hell! Is that even possible? 

Will I see 1st $20 million dollor movie in Malaysia?! LOL...

 

I think it the prevous OW record was Furious 7 and it was around 6M USD. So a incredible 40% jump! (8.4-6)/6 = 2.4/6 = 0.4

 

I was not surprised at all. I am from Malaysia. Some of the bigger cineplex in cities put out 50-65 screens a day on Wed (OD), Fri, Sat and Sun! That was crazy because I can't recall any blockbusters had even more than 40 screens a day in the past.

[DeeCee]

 

[Gamora]

Nice. And holy shit, it's made NZ$5.12M already in five days. Fricking insane.

[tona22]

9 hours ago, Fullbuster said:

OPENING WEEKEND: INFINITY WAR vs AGE OF ULTRON

Thailand: $10m vs $4.2m

 

 

9 hours ago, Taruseth said:

Thailand: +138%

 

Thailand +138% is too good to be true

As mentioned before, Thailand box office traditionally counts only Bangkok Metropolitan and Chiang Mai, this fact, sometimes, confused the number. Moreover, Thailand number on Box Office Mojo is inconsistent in some case, so, we have to make adjustment by ourselves.

 

In this case, for an accurate picture:

AoU $4.2m is 4 days (+preview night) OW number for BKK+CM

AIW $10m is 5 days OW number countrywide

 

Reporting countrywide number is not common but I have seen some blockbuster do so lately (on BO Mojo), especially marvel movie and that's great, we have a better picture how BKK+CM and countrywide number are related.

 

	Total Gross (Million THB)
	BKK+CM	Nationwide	multiple
Doctor Strange	132.64	179.21	1.35
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	135.60	178.71	1.32
Spider-Man: Homecoming	182.97	262.24	1.43
Thor: Ragnarok	182.61	244.83	1.34
Black Panther	198.42	281.43	1.42

 

However, it's still impressive!!! I will update more with good comp when Infinity War BKK+CM number is published.

Edited April 30, 2018 by tona22

[bladels]

Looks like in Vietnam, they're gonna wait till after holidays to release offical number

They did announce that it's #1 for the weekend (trumped 2 new local movies) with ~80% box office and it's the fastest movie to get 100B dong ~ 4.4M USD.

AOU's OW is ~$1.5M so IW is at least 190% over it 

 

I need to go splash some water on my face. WHAT THE ACTUAL F*CK?

 

 

[MattW]

Overseas weekend estimates are pretty consistently under what they report on Monday, combined with the domestic under reporting, IW's worldwide opening should be $100m higher than Fast 8's.  

259+383=642

 

A billion without a doubt in 12 days but can it do it in less and beat TFA on that front?  I think it's likely, maybe 60% chance it hits it on day 11 with another 5% chance it does it on day 10.

[aabattery]

1 hour ago, aabattery said:

TOP 10 Opening Weekend figures in 2018
* Ranked on MPDA-Reported Opening Weekend Box Office for weekend ended 29 April 2018
				Opening		Wed Open/
	Title	Distributor	Released	4 days	Screens	Previews*
1	Avengers: Infinity War	Walt Disney	25/04/2018	$3,879,902	194	$1,247,940
2	Black Panther	Walt Disney	15/02/2018	$1,993,618	143
3	Ready Player One	Roadshow	29/03/2018	$775,679	117
4	Pitch Perfect 3	Universal Pictures	01/01/2018	$765,246	89
5	Peter Rabbit	Sony Pictures	29/03/2018	$647,339	109
6	Rampage	Warner Bros	12/04/2018	$593,411	116
7	Pacific Rim: Uprising	Universal Pictures	22/03/2018	$570,283	74
8	Tomb Raider	Warner Bros	15/03/2018	$562,638	82
9	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	Fox	18/01/2018	$535,128	66
10	Fifty Shades Freed	Universal Pictures	08/02/2018	$530,841	95

 

NZ TOP 10 Opening Weekends of All Time
* Ranked on MPDA-Reported Opening Weekend Box Office up to weekend ended 29 April 2018
				Opening		Wed Open/
	Title	Distributor	Released	4 days	Screens	Previews ^
1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Walt Disney	17/12/2015	$4,507,434	203
2	Avengers: Infinity War	Walt Disney	25/04/2018	$3,879,902	194	$1,247,940
3	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	Walt Disney	14/12/2017	$3,134,451	243
4	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2	Warner Bros	14/07/2011	$2,912,423	149
5	Fast & Furious 7	Paramount	2/04/2015	$2,825,426	130
6	Avengers: Age of Ultron	Walt Disney	23/04/2015	$2,681,349	174	$257,260
7	Twilight Saga: New Moon	Hoyts Distribution	19/11/2009	$2,641,409	91
8	Lord of the Rings - The Return of the King	Roadshow	18/12/2003	$2,609,992	114
9	Batman V Superman: Dawn of Justice	Warner Bros	24/03/2016	$2,414,196	163
10	Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince	Warner Bros	15/07/2009	$2,405,040	93	$734,544

 

Huge weekend. 45% above AoU.

[oMeriMombatti]

Avengers - Infinity War Has Extraordinary Weekend

 

Avengers - Infinity War has put up an extraordinary weekend of 94 crore nett plus which is easily the highest of 2018 beating the 75 crore nett of Padmaavat and 72.50 crore nett of Baaghi 2. The film is short of the 100 crore nett mark but that was never really on due to capacity issues even after a 31 crore nett plus day one. 

 

 

There are only six outright Hindi films (Tiger Zinda Hai, Sultan, Dangal. Bajrangi Bhaijaan, Prem Ratan Dhan Payo and Dhoom 3) which have had higher opening weekends but all are festive releases. Despite there being limited growth over the weekend the trend of the film is still extraordinary as collections have gone up at many places when there was not really much scope to go up.

 

The trend suggests a strong hold on Monday though the English version would normally show a noticeable drop on Monday which is the case for most Hollywood releases but here ticket pricing is being held at weekend rates which will soften this drop. 

 

 

Then there are minor holidays in the weekdays to further boost the film and on top its a weak period in terms of releases which could mean Avengers - Infinity War dominating the box office over the next 4-5 weeks. The lifetime business of the film can go anywhere. 

 

https://www.boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=3893

 

There are no major releases for atleast 3 weeks so I think it is going to have great legs. Preponing to 27th April was a genius move. It can hold on to all it's screens for a longer time now.

 

[pepsa]

Well having a wedding party yesterday (not for me) was pretty anticlimactic.  Realy hate it that I missed it yesterday. That said:

259-261m DOM

384-386m OS

That’s probably the number we will get later today. So that puts it at 643-647m. Monday and Tuesday will be big OS numbers.

[BardCrank]

1.3B OS is the floor for this movie  there is just no way it does less than that , a WW total about 2B is possible 

Looks like A galaxy far far away is about to be conquered  by Thanos

[Zamor]

ITALY

 

Opening 5 days

€ 9.055.000

[stephanos13]

2B has to a be a lock right?