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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Ms Lady Hawk Box Office Gold

Ms Lady Hawk

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, raegr said:

M8, I don't know what's happening but I got 44.2 tickets, I calculated that over the course of five minutes.

 

 

Yeah, I believe you. Just based on the way the page looks, hard to believe the 27 average. I took a screen shot and counted 14 rows with an average of 3 on each row. Then one minute later, it was almost the same result. But as I said yesterday, these are snap shots in time. Hard to tell how they correlate to opening weekend success.

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raegr Box Office Gold

raegr

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Diana Prince said:

Yeah, I believe you. Just based on the way the page looks, hard to believe the 27 average. I took a screen shot and counted 14 rows with an average of 3 on each row. Then one minute later, it was almost the same result. But as I said yesterday, these are snap shots in time. Hard to tell how they correlate to opening weekend success.

I don't think someone would lie though...

 

Maybe we both are calculating it differently.

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Ms Lady Hawk Box Office Gold

Ms Lady Hawk

Posted
Posted
Just now, raegr said:

I don't think someone would lie though...

 

Maybe we both are calculating it differently.

No, I am not accusing anyone of lying. I think we are calculating differently. I responded to you, because you seemed puzzled by your result. Just wanted to tell you that I was getting the roughly the same thing. 

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Sydney Bristow Straight-to-DVD

Sydney Bristow

Posted
Posted

Are you using the time of the sale (indicated on the top left, along with the poster for the movie and the info) or the actual time passed? We usually use the time of the sale, as they actually describe the time the ticket was bought.

 

Sometimes the whole page is full of one movie, but it’s because sales are really slow (like on early morning), so one page represents 3 minutes of sales. Other times, when everyone is buying their tickets (night EST), one page can represent just a fraction of a minute’s sale.

 

That being said, I’m on the Pulse page a lot, and the most JL did today was a 32 p.m. average (I always calculate using a five min count to be more accurate) and had one spectacular single minute where it did 42. Mostly, it has stayed around 25/28. But it’s still early. It will pick up during the day, specially at night. Monday night I counted 55 in one minute, for a five min average over 40.

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Subzero said:

I seriously don't get all this craziness ..... wait and see the movie for yourself and wait and see how audiences from your showing reacts (for legs) ...

We don't know what the OW is for this thing to even say one way or another ... .... But my guts tells me it will open above $140m.

This is a box office site - some of us like to predict box office.  

 

We even have games for predicting box office, weekly and seasonal.  

 

This is the Box Office Buzz & Tracking Thread.

 

 

Edited by TalismanRing
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Subzero Box Office Gold

Subzero

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

This a box office site - we like to predict box office.  We even have games for predicting box office, weekly and seasonal.

 

 

 

 

I posted this on the wrong thread .... deleted it and posted on the  JL thread....

Edited by Subzero
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Eric Lasagna Global Phenomenon

Eric Lasagna

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

If you want a Christmas story with a donkey you can watch Little Drummer Boy - the TV level  Rankin & Bass stop motion animation from the 60s looks better than The Star's and it still delivers a punch  (really all the R&B Christmas themed animation from the 60s are a good bet)

1

Another donkey Christmas movie FYC, Disney's The Small One is very good too. It's a bit hard to find, but it's funny, sweet, and has a touching ending. And it's directed by Don Bluth.

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raegr Box Office Gold

raegr

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango Meter: 12:25-12:30am (Wed)

 

JL: 37.2 avg

 

Comps for this hour and rest of the day

 

SM:HC:  39 avg (12:30pm) 42 avg (3pm) , 54.2 (4pm)

Thor 3:  49 (3:40), 47 (4:10pm)

WW:  45 (4pm)

IT:   90 (10:30pm)

1eMZYHW.gif

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TheMovieman Box Office Gold

TheMovieman

Posted
Posted
30 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango Meter: 12:25-12:30am (Wed)

 

JL: 37.2 avg

 

Comps for this hour and rest of the day

 

SM:HC:  39 avg (12:30pm) 42 avg (3pm) , 54.2 (4pm)

Thor 3:  49 (3:40), 47 (4:10pm)

WW:  45 (4pm)

IT:   90 (10:30pm)

Based on that, looks more and more likely for around $105M. Oh well.

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mredman Box Office Gold

mredman

Posted
Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, TheMovieman said:

Based on that, looks more and more likely for around $105M. Oh well.

no it doesnt not at all. DW had it ahead of BvS, 90% ahead of WW. 40% ahead of SS. Fandongo is not an indicator and besides i get over 40-45 now

Edited by mredman
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raegr Box Office Gold

raegr

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, mredman said:

no it doesnt not at all. DW had it ahead of BvS, 90 ahead of WW. 40%% ahead of SS. Fandongo is not an indicator and besides i get over 40-45 now

Less than Suicide Squad is actually an option though :( 

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, mredman said:

no it doesnt not at all. DW had it ahead of BvS, 90 ahead of WW. 40%% ahead of SS. Fandongo is not an indicator and besides i get over 40-45 now

Yes and No. I’m still thinking $130M-$150M OW but the chain had the presales open like most chains for the ten day weekend. We don’t know have much is for Thanksgiving weekend.

Edited by YourMother
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XO21 Box Office Gold

XO21

Posted
Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yeesh, I just realized Roman J. Israel, Esq. opens in NY/LA this weekend. How bad will that PTA be?

If it wasn't for Denzel sub 20k. Unless it's a Breathe 2.0, I'd say 25-30k

Edited by XO21
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