The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[MovieMan89]

12 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

https://variety.com/2018/film/box-office/box-office-hotel-transylvania-3-summer-vacation-1202854033/

 

HT3: $40-45M

Skyscraper: $32-40M

 

With summer weekdays, HT3 should be right around the other two with that weekend. Skyscraper is probably not in great shape unless it's on the high end.

Bodes well for my club if it makes it through this weekend. 

[titanic2187]

Rampage (2018)
 

Domestic Total as of Jun. 20, 2018: $96,537,917

 

14

21

Rampage (2018)

Warner Bros. (New Line)

291

+3

+1.0%

11

 

Don't tell me that WB wishes to replicate AWiT's 100m success on rampage too??!!

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, titanic2187 said:

Rampage (2018)
 

Domestic Total as of Jun. 20, 2018: $96,537,917

 

14

21

Rampage (2018)

Warner Bros. (New Line)

291

+3

+1.0%

11

 

Don't tell me that WB wishes to replicate AWiT's 100m success on rampage too??!!

All studios want that $100 or $200m milestone for TV/Steaming etc deals - it triggers certain %s.

 

 

[Porthos]

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report:  PREMIERE NIGHT - FINAL REPORT [5:30pm - 6:15pm]

(sellouts for THIS REPORT ONLY includes ALL theaters with six or less seats left)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	147	7487	13715	45.41%

 

Total Sellouts Added Since 1pm:         1

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:           1275

 

.4731x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at final tracking report.

.7685x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at final tracking report.

.7658x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2  at final tracking report. 

1.0758x as many tickets sold as Solo at final tracking report. 

 

One showing had five seats left and was manually adjusted to a sellout, FTR.

 

====

 

More detailed Final comps:

 

IW:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	59	182	1995	15159	86.84%

 

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):          878

 

BP:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	26	136	3377	11481	70.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):         1135

 

DP2:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	3	169	8357	16490	49.32%

 

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):        1262

 

Solo:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	5	143	7732	13521	42.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm(ish):         486

[poweranimals]

Does MT stop updating after a time? I've noticed the last few days that around this time the numbers usually freeze.

[Porthos]

Wasn't providing them because it really wasn't relevant until the last few days.  But for the record:

 

JK:FK breakdown:

 

Sellouts: 

1/147 (+1)  [Solo: 5/143]

 

2D:  1/110 (+1/+0)  [Solo: 5/107]

3D:  0/37                  [Solo: 0/36]

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 103 showings [Solo: 109]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0             [Solo: 0]

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

3 (+3)     [Solo: 3]

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

23 (+12)  [Solo: 22]

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

0             [Solo: 0]

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (103/147 showings [Solo: 109/143])

100%:        1 (+1)  [Solo: 5]

90-99%:    3 (+3)  [Solo: 3]

80-89%:    9 (+5)  [Solo: 8]

70-79%:  19 (+11) [Solo: 11]

60-69%:  10 (nc)    [Solo: 13]

50-59%:    7 (+3)   [Solo: 8]

40-49%:    8 (-3)   [Solo: 9]

30-39%:  10 (nc)   [Solo: 6]

20-29%:    5 (-5)   [Solo: 7]

10-19%:    9 (-1)   [Solo: 16]

0-9%:      14 (-14)  [Solo: 23]

Edited June 22, 2018 by Porthos

[Porthos]

Just now, poweranimals said:

Does MT stop updating after a time? I've noticed the last few days that around this time the numbers usually freeze.

Yes, their last update is 9pm Eastern Time.

[YM!]

1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

Bodes well for my club if it makes it through this weekend. 

Not really...

[Premium George]

Warning, if this opens to $140m, there will be a comment from me, this is not good. A sequel to record breaking film opening lower than gotg 2, that's not good. OWs don't decrease that much.

[filmlover]

Skyscraper feels like it's gonna get lost in the shuffle. Not that we need to start declaring starpower is now completely dead. Rampage made much more than it would have with anyone else in it, and so will this.

[Yandereprime101189]

2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

All studios want that $100 or $200m milestone for TV/Steaming etc deals - it triggers certain %s.

 

 

 

But doesn't Warner own TNT and TBS? Can't they just air Rampage on those channels? They're doing it for BVS.

[manny1234]

3 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

All studios want that $100 or $200m milestone for TV/Steaming etc deals - it triggers certain %s.

 

Hey @Barnack is their any source or contract that talks about such thing?

[Barnack]

11 minutes ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

 

But doesn't Warner own TNT and TBS? Can't they just air Rampage on those channels? They're doing it for BVS.

All around the world contract seem to still use $100M/$200m dbo has some sort of benchmark, even new stuff like Netflix contract will give you a bonus if you reach them.

 

Some market/deal will take the local box office (france, germany, etc...) some goes by North America bo.

 

They will often have an early TV run for a movie will cost something different it the movie made at the domestic box office:

 

less than 25 million

Between 25-50

50-100

100+

 

All over the world there is different contract with movie shifting category in a lot of different benchmark, 100m is a very common one and one of great value a movie can boost it's world revenues by 10-13m just by reaching it. 200M is a less but still common one. That why you will often see a movie trying to push a movie to a round number type and see many maxing out around the same numbers,

[Barnack]

10 minutes ago, manny1234 said:

Hey @Barnack is their any source or contract that talks about such thing?

There is always the many Sony TV/Streaming contract that leaked that mention those.

 

It change from market to market (I was just reading a couple of them), in France/Germany they did seem to be using the numbers of admission in those country.

 

In south america they seem to be using Domestic box office, in some market the movie being deemed a classic or having won a major category Oscar will also change the TV contract value.

 

For example that was Sony contract with Netflix USA for Sony animated movies:

 

If you get a 1 million bonus to reach a round number from one client in one market alone and feel your movie will stop a 198.5m domestic, it become tempting to literally bought yourself 1.5m of tickets if you need too (you will get 750k back from them and a nice 250 in profit right there), 

 

They pay

32.5% of the first $10m made at the DBO

28.0% of the box office between $10m and $15m

23.5% of the box office between $15m and $25m

19.0% of the box office between $25m and $75m

15.0% of the box office between $75m and $100m

10.0% of the box office between $100m and $125m

5.0% of the box office between $125m and $150m

Nothing between 150 and 199.9999

1 million bonus if you reach 200m

Edited June 22, 2018 by Barnack

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

 

But doesn't Warner own TNT and TBS? Can't they just air Rampage on those channels? They're doing it for BVS.

Didn’t FX pay $30m to show BVS first? 

[el sid]

8 hours ago, poweranimals said:

Does MT stop updating after a time? I've noticed the last few days that around this time the numbers usually freeze.

Yes, there is something. Normally I look at MT the last time very short after midnight (European time) and there are some jumps/changes. Then I don't look anymore but the last boxofficetheory update is around 3 hours later which shows the same numbers that I see till noon (again European time). So either nothing happens in these hours or MT freezes. But soon should be the next update. Edit: Oops, Porthos answered already. But I wondered myself over the years.

MT right now:

#1 JW 2 46.5%
#2 TI 2 40.2%
#3 O8 2.8%
#4 Tag 1.6%
#5 Solo 1%

Edited June 22, 2018 by el sid

[abra]

2018-06-22 10:00:44.599222 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 09:00:34.436254 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 08:00:49.181022 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 07:00:37.753442 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 06:00:34.414385 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 05:00:37.835828 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 04:00:44.262296 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 03:00:41.243188 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 02:00:37.362866 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 01:00:56.836463 UTC
1	46.5%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	40.2%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-22 00:00:41.938310 UTC
1	44.7%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	41.6%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	1.6%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 23:00:42.309109 UTC
1	43%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
2	43%	Incredibles 2, The
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	1.7%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 22:00:37.492262 UTC
1	44.3%	Incredibles 2, The
2	41.2%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	1.8%	Tag
5	1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 21:00:47.859931 UTC
1	45.4%	Incredibles 2, The
2	39.8%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	1.9%	Tag
5	1.1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 20:00:45.352357 UTC
1	46.6%	Incredibles 2, The
2	38.1%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	2%	Tag
5	1.1%	Deadpool 2

2018-06-21 19:00:39.925080 UTC
1	47.9%	Incredibles 2, The
2	36.6%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	2%	Tag
5	1.2%	Deadpool 2

2018-06-21 18:00:42.463751 UTC
1	49.2%	Incredibles 2, The
2	35.1%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	2%	Tag
5	1.2%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 17:00:35.290331 UTC
1	50.3%	Incredibles 2, The
2	33.8%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.8%	Ocean's 8
4	2.1%	Tag
5	1.2%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 16:00:38.350650 UTC
1	51.2%	Incredibles 2, The
2	32.7%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	2.1%	Tag
5	1.2%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 15:00:38.120320 UTC
1	51.8%	Incredibles 2, The
2	31.9%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	2.1%	Tag
5	1.3%	Hereditary

2018-06-21 14:00:33.244036 UTC
1	52.3%	Incredibles 2, The
2	31.4%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	3%	Ocean's 8
4	2.1%	Tag
5	1.3%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 13:00:43.292359 UTC
1	52.6%	Incredibles 2, The
2	31%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	2.9%	Ocean's 8
4	2.1%	Tag
5	1.3%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 12:00:47.936950 UTC
1	52.9%	Incredibles 2, The
2	30.7%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	3%	Ocean's 8
4	2.1%	Tag
5	1.3%	Solo: A Star Wars Story

2018-06-21 11:00:37.794957 UTC
1	55.8%	Incredibles 2, The
2	24%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	3.6%	Ocean's 8
4	3.1%	Tag
5	1.7%	Hereditary

2018-06-21 10:00:43.240459 UTC
1	55.8%	Incredibles 2, The
2	24%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	3.6%	Ocean's 8
4	3.1%	Tag
5	1.7%	Hereditary

2018-06-21 09:00:35.890875 UTC
1	55.8%	Incredibles 2, The
2	24%	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3	3.6%	Ocean's 8
4	3.1%	Tag
5	1.7%	Hereditary

[abra]

[el sid]

The MT update shows now a bit more action:

#1 JW2 50.8%
#2 TI2 37.1%
#3 O8 2.7%
#4 Tag 1.6%
#5 Solo 1%

[RealLyre]

5 minutes ago, abra said:

Oof Incredibles 2 is not even close.