The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Venom's late shows start earlier today this ASIB's correct? At least around me Venom starts around 5pm, ASIB around 7pm. 

Yes.

[Deja23]

Seems Venom starts previews at 5PM, which is unusual for a CBM. All the theaters near me have 5PM showings, even IMAX. Guess Sony really wants that family audience.

[MrGlass2]

39 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

why would Venom get less previews than AMATW when Venom has better/or at least the same presales so far.

 

Summer or not, Venom has a chance to open above AMATW - which would be pretty amazing.

 

5 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday          

Antman & The Wasp

6,613

5,990

11,108

Venom

13,602

13,818

20,867

 

Edited October 4, 2018 by MrGlass2

[dxmatrixdt]

ANYONE GOT STAR IS BORN THEATER COUNTS?

 

Deadline has Venom going to 4,250.

[TalismanRing]

16 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Summer or not, Venom has a chance to open above AMATW - which would be pretty amazing.

 

AM & TW is a family film so more walk up driven than usual even for an MCU film.  It's relative numbers are more akin to JW2 than the other CBM listed here.

 

Jurassic World 2

9,310

12,761

23,266

 

 

A better comp for Venom is Deadpool 2 for it's target audience even if it's not Rated R.

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater:

 

Venom:

 

5:00: 28/78

6:00 3D: 24/78

7:00: 46/78

8:00 3D: 28/78

9:00 3D: 8/78

Total: 134/390 (74 2D/60 3D)

 

A Star Is Born:

 

7:00: 33/78

7:45: 0/60

8:45: 2/78

Total: 35/216

 

I'm working until 7, so I may not be able to provide comps.

[dxmatrixdt]

Christopher Robin w/ 1-2 showings per theater at most this weekend.  Likely small expansion.

[dxmatrixdt]

5 hours ago, dtairdryZid said:

 

lowering predictions to...

 

Venom - 53.0 + 6.0 previews = 59.0 OW

Star - 46.0 + 4.0 previews = 50.0 OW

 

Venom - 58.3 + 7.7 previews = 66.6 OW

Star - 47.0 + 4.0 previews = 51.0 OW

[dxmatrixdt]

theater count predictions

 

	4,250	Venom
	3,600	Star/Born
	3,010	Night School
	4,131	Smallfoot
-359	3,233	House/Clock
-307	2,766	Simple Favor
-833	2,498	The Nun
	2,297	Hellfest
-587	1,760	Crazy
-1,317	1,609	Predator
-807	1,210	White Boy Rick
-1,001	1,001	Peppermint
-1,152	567	Fahrenheit
-622	622	The Meg
-406	608	Searching
-2,000	355	Life Itself
-192	451	Little Women
-238	300	Mission 6
-406	335	Unbroken
-136	300	Black Klansman
0	670	Christopher Robin

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Movie Tickets:

ASIB: 30.5%

Venom: 28.5%

MHA: TH: 6.0%

Smallfoot: 5.7%

NS: 4.8%

[MaxAggressor]

 

Edited October 4, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[Firepower]

2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

AM & TW is a family film so more walk up driven than usual even for an MCU film.  It's relative numbers are more akin to JW2 than the other CBM listed here.

 

Jurassic World 2

9,310

12,761

23,266

 

 

A better comp for Venom is Deadpool 2 for it's target audience even if it's not Rated R.

Kids love Venom, what are you talking about?!

[MCKillswitch123]

58 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

Very intelligent. They've been a bullseye in that spot. Kinda taking the Marvel in early May/late April approach there, which is clever.

[MrGlass2]

But seriously, what is My Hero Academia: Two Heroes?

[poweranimals]

4 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

But seriously, what is My Hero Academia: Two Heroes?

I was wondering about that too. I keep seeing it up pop up on the charts but I haven't seen any marketing or mention of this film.

[Nova]

10 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

But seriously, what is My Hero Academia: Two Heroes?

It’s an anime 

[filmlover]

Yeah, my theater had My Hero Academia on 4 screens on Tuesday and sold out all of them. Had never even heard of it before.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

If an anime movie gets a theatrical release it probably has a hardcore fan-base. It's only playing in 500 screens. 

[Barnack]

16 hours ago, Barnack said:

Fandango tracker can give some idea, how big could be the wednesday effect for AStar is born. or maybe not Wednesday sales are probably way disproportionately sold today/ right now.

 

	Venom	Share of the total	Star is born	Share of the total
Wednesday		0%	7572	14%
Thursday	26568	39%	10133	19%
Friday	23062	34%	19353	36%
Saturday	13638	20%	11808	22%
Sunday	5146	8%	4860	9%
Total	68414	100%	53726	100%

 

 

	Star is born / Venom
Thursday	38%
Friday	84%
Saturday	87%
Sunday	94%

 

Update:

	Venom	Share of the total	Star is born	Share of the total
Wednesday		0%	7713	12%
Thursday	35172	42%	13922	21%
Friday	27345	32%	24046	36%
Saturday	15815	19%	14604	22%
Sunday	5955	7%	6128	9%
Total	84287	100%	66413	100%

 

Star is born gained a little bit of relative ground, but Venom still sold a bit more the last 16 hours:

 

	Star is born / Venom
Thursday	40%
Friday	88%
Saturday	92%
Sunday	103%

 

[Damianport1]

Box office com predictions:

 

Venom - 60

ASIB - 49