The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

10 minutes ago, john2000 said:

nice it didnt drop

Nicer - it went up 26% v Mal2

 

With the same internal multiplier it would open to $80m+

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Tickets on sale for Bond with all day Thursday screenings 

[Porthos]

54 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Tickets on sale for Bond with all day Thursday screenings 

PLF only for all day.  7pm otherwise.

[Porthos]

Saaaaaaay, did we know there was an AQP I/II double feature on the Wed before preview night?

 

...

 

Maybe everyone else did, but the memo never reached me. Decent sales locally as well.

 

...

 

Crap.  I'll check it out tonight to see how that changes things as it will almost certainly be rolled into Thr numbers.

[keysersoze123]

On 3/1/2020 at 9:00 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Onward(T-4)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1149 shows 10315/234396 180082.78 149412.50

MTC2 Prev - overall 1196 shows 4607/205229 58800.77 42118.79

MTC1 OD - overall 2764 shows 10228/576562 169412.95 142884.50 post 6PM 1406 shows 7173/296117 126093.52 105154.73

MTC2 OD - overall 2663 shows 9213/476027 104179.60 82172.95 post 6PM 1057 shows 4846/192261 62417.77 44471.85

MTC1 D2 - overall 2715 shows 11731/562562 156686.17 138893.63 post 6PM 1334 shows 3306/277033 55504.21 46748.08

MTC2 D2 - overall 2672 shows 12250/478581 124302.59 105764.84 post 6PM 1047 shows 2150/190539 27959.82 19828.40

 

I would say PS is still weak though the trend of D2> OD > Prev is good. It needs to pick up really fast to come close to Sonic OW. 

 

Onward(T-3)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1152 shows 12243/234998 212089.57 175677.09

MTC2 Prev - overall 1191 shows 5522/203993 70291.89 50339.72

MTC1 OD - overall 2800 shows 11957/581330 199240.03 168017.93 post 6PM 1423 shows 8393/298042 147712.32 123123.00

MTC2 OD - overall 2777 shows 10962/489907 123746.55 97674.92 post 6PM 1099 shows 5815/197437 74858.47 53380.82

MTC1 D2 - overall 2946 shows 14929/609781 201593.60 178747.06 post 6PM 1438 shows 4405/298890 75431.95 63789.72

MTC2 D2 - overall 2868 shows 14689/501489 148498.09 126417.31 post 6PM 1110 shows 2542/197331 32993.07 23347.90

 

Not a great day again for Onward though the saturday sales are looking promising. OD PS is just half of Sonic at similar point 😞 I would say it will pick up big time on wed/thur and will have very good walk ups but at this point I dont see OW > 50m. Previews are looking like 2m but I am still hoping for better numbers. 

[Eric Deetz]

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	184	10,788	1.71%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 27

 

Comp

1.957x of Dora 3 days before release (2.45M)

4.000x of Abominable (2.6M)

1.937x of Addams Family (2.42M)

0.840x of Maleficent (1.93M)

0.790x of Jumanji (3.71M)
2.968x of Dolittle (2.74M)

0.460x of Sonic (1.38M)

 

Yeah, I'm kind of with Keyser here, but I'm a bit more optimistic.

[Eric Deetz]

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	45	104	11,049	0.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 9

 

Comp

0.158x of It: Chapter Two 17 days before release (1.66M)

 

Yeah, this is solid I guess. It's above yesterday's results.

[Eric Deetz]

Mulan Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	46	151	9,423	1.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

1.864x of Maleficent 24 days before release (4.29M)

 

I don't know if there was some big promo or something today that explains this spike, but this is really good stuff. It'll probably go down to earth tomorrow, but this is definitely at a strong pace at the moment.

[Porthos]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

Saaaaaaay, did we know there was an AQP I/II double feature on the Wed before preview night?

 

...

 

Maybe everyone else did, but the memo never reached me. Decent sales locally as well.

 

...

 

Crap.  I'll check it out tonight to see how that changes things as it will almost certainly be rolled into Thr numbers.

Yeah, all this did was double ticket sales.   Went from 82 tickets sold to 177 tickets sold (an addition of 95 ticket sales) from seven double features.  Some of those might have been from today, but eh.  Much much MUCH better outlook for AQP II.

 

Gonna check Thr numbers presently.  But things aren't looking quite so dire now. 👍

[Eric Deetz]

No Time to Die Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-38 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	64	135	15,587	0.87%

 

Bit hard to track this one right now. Partially because I have no good comps at the moment, partially because PLFs are all day. Though funny enough, the morning and afternoon shows for IMAX/PLF are pretty soft. Almost as if having previews start in the middle of a work day isn't all that effective or something.

 

But as is...I guess it's okay.

[Eric Deetz]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-80 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	397	12,658	3.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

And yeah, this is still chugging along. At least it's been a good while since we saw a "0" day

[a2k]

What's a good preview to ow multi for Onward? It's an original but Pixar brand will lead to some front-loading.

 

20x gives 40-50 ow with 2.0-2.5m previews.

[Madhuvan]

2 minutes ago, a2k said:

What's a good preview to ow multi for Onward? It's an original but Pixar brand will lead to some front-loading.

 

20x gives 40-50 ow with 2.0-2.5m previews.

Anything under 50m is flop territory. Reviews are also not that strong. 

[TMP]

1 minute ago, Madhuvan said:

Anything under 50m is flop territory. Reviews are also not that strong. 

There's no kids competition until Scoob though

[Eric Deetz]

17 minutes ago, a2k said:

What's a good preview to ow multi for Onward? It's an original but Pixar brand will lead to some front-loading.

 

20x gives 40-50 ow with 2.0-2.5m previews.

20x wouldn't surprise me, but I could see it doing higher. Lego Movie 2 did 22.74x last year, and that was a sequel, though it could be that Onward may skew older, but that's kind of hard to pin down at this point.

[keysersoze123]

No Time to Die

Marathon Shows 

MTC1 - 87/3821 3480.00 (19 shows)

MTC2 - 95/2166 3800 (11 shows)

 

Just 30 marathon shows between 2 MTC. Tickets are $40 a pop and so if it sells out by show day it coudl still gross 400K+ with just marathon. 

 

MTC1 Previews - overall 1380 shows 6462/310501 122287.76 104259.94 post 6PM 966 shows 5521/207138 105222.07 88870.08

MTC2 Previews - overall 1715 shows 3326/305290 43754.45 33026.17 post 6PM 1361 shows 2620/227198 35369.74 25387.44

 

Not bad but I expected more. One thing to note is with Imax/PLF playing full day the average ticket prices will be higher than usual. 

 

 

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

No Time to Die

Marathon Shows 

MTC1 - 87/3821 3480.00 (19 shows)

MTC2 - 95/2166 3800 (11 shows)

 

Just 30 marathon shows between 2 MTC. Tickets are $40 a pop and so if it sells out by show day it coudl still gross 400K+ with just marathon. 

 

MTC1 Previews - overall 1380 shows 6462/310501 122287.76 104259.94 post 6PM 966 shows 5521/207138 105222.07 88870.08

MTC2 Previews - overall 1715 shows 3326/305290 43754.45 33026.17 post 6PM 1361 shows 2620/227198 35369.74 25387.44

 

Not bad but I expected more. One thing to note is with Imax/PLF playing full day the average ticket prices will be higher than usual. 

 

 

One note, and it was something I was going to mention in my report.  Shows haven't fully populated in theaters locally.  Hell, at Century Arden (which is the best selling theater in town) it hasn't shown up at all yet except for the Marathon showing on Wed (which, yes, I did track).  It also appeared late in the day at a few other theaters locally.

 

No idea why some theaters are late to the starters gun, or took so long to show up today.  But might be something of a factor.

Edited March 3, 2020 by Porthos

[a2k]

41 minutes ago, Eric Lightfoot said:

20x wouldn't surprise me, but I could see it doing higher. Lego Movie 2 did 22.74x last year, and that was a sequel, though it could be that Onward may skew older, but that's kind of hard to pin down at this point.

Sonic (19.3x) missed 20x. Am simplistically thinking that the video game front-loading and holiday help cancel out each other and it would be a good comp for Onward.

Edited March 3, 2020 by a2k

[Porthos]

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	68	11607	11798	191	1.62%

 

Total Double Features Added	7
Total Seats Added From Double Features	1566
Total Seats Sold From Double Features	95

NOTE:  Wed Double Features were NOT tracked the first three days, hence noting the totals now

Total Thr Showings Added Today	10
Total Thr Seats Added Today	1866
Total Thr Seats Sold Today	14

 

Day Four Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
It 2	52.04		43	367		0/90	11360/11727	3.13%		5.46m
AQP 2 (adj)	n/a		14	191		0/68	11045/11236	1.70%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: AQP 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for It: Chapter 2. 

 

T-17 Adjusted Comp (LOL comp - Don't take too seriously)

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
It 2	24.27		43	787		0/98	12608/13395	5.88%		2.55m
AQP 2 (adj)	n/a		14	191		0/68	11045/11236	1.70%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: AQP 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for It: Chapter 2. 

PRE-SALE NOTE: It Chapter 2 had 36 days of pre-sales while A Quiet Place Part II has 22 days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

I'm putting in both comps just to give a compare and contrast.  In a day or so, I'll just give the T-x comp, but I wanted to give that compare/contrast after four days of sales.

 

Turns out those Wed Double Features are making quite the difference locally.  Almost certainly post them as their own separate block for extra informational purposes starting tomorrow, like I did for FB2.

 

Now don't get me wrong, the "Day 4" sale comp isn't great.  But it's better than it was.  The T-17 is what it is.  We'll see if it starts to ramp up as days go by.  But it does seem worth keeping an eye on for a while.

 

(NTTD in about 90-120 minutes as I have some things to take care of and I haven't typed it up yet)

[john2000]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Onward(T-3)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1152 shows 12243/234998 212089.57 175677.09

MTC2 Prev - overall 1191 shows 5522/203993 70291.89 50339.72

MTC1 OD - overall 2800 shows 11957/581330 199240.03 168017.93 post 6PM 1423 shows 8393/298042 147712.32 123123.00

MTC2 OD - overall 2777 shows 10962/489907 123746.55 97674.92 post 6PM 1099 shows 5815/197437 74858.47 53380.82

MTC1 D2 - overall 2946 shows 14929/609781 201593.60 178747.06 post 6PM 1438 shows 4405/298890 75431.95 63789.72

MTC2 D2 - overall 2868 shows 14689/501489 148498.09 126417.31 post 6PM 1110 shows 2542/197331 32993.07 23347.90

 

Not a great day again for Onward though the saturday sales are looking promising. OD PS is just half of Sonic at similar point 😞 I would say it will pick up big time on wed/thur and will have very good walk ups but at this point I dont see OW > 50m. Previews are looking like 2m but I am still hoping for better numbers. 

fingers crossed it picks up and has ow bigger than 50

 

ps @lorddemaxus do you have something to say ?

Edited March 3, 2020 by john2000