The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

I suppose didn't had much screening outside MTCs then on THU.

[keysersoze123]

I was way off. So tracked MTC1+2 was 50% of overall BO. That is crazy high. 

[el sid]

This movie is interesting to track and I thought that a newer horror film Friday comp could be helpful this autumn (I wish I would have tracked Old etc. too).
Candyman counted today at 8am EST for today:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 309 (10 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 91 (9 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 53 (9 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 9 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 80+ (9 showtimes, 2 reported Sell Outs, I doubt that they are true but can also not rule them out)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 157 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 365 (10 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.064.

Up 62% since yesterday and I guess this is pretty good.
Comps (both times the same 7 theaters and counted on Friday for Friday): Crawl (12.0M OW) had 571 sold tickets and The Grudge (11.4M OW) had 515.
The Crawl comp for Thursday pointed to 1.7M in the previews and Candyman was doing a bit better. OTOH it's a brand and more preview-heavy. Still, from presales alone the Friday looks pretty good. Of course I'm curious if the walk-ups will stay decent but the RT audience score is not as bad as I would have thought after I read the reactions here.
 

Shang-Chi counted today at 8am EST for Friday, September 3:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 422 (8 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 251 (11 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 43 (10 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 16 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 17 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 602 (15 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 401 (16 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.752.

Up 23.5% since last Tuesday.
Comps: TSS had also 7 days before its release Friday 714 sold tickets in the same 7 theaters for Friday (means Shang-Chi = 2.45x TSS at the moment).
Birds of Prey's final Friday number, counted one day before = on Thursday, was 1.664. So Shang-Chi leads already (1.05x) and has 6 days left to increase the margin.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Candyman only had a few showtimes last night at my theaters. A 7 or an 8. On Friday today, theaters aren’t beginning showtimes until 3 

[katnisscinnaplex]

Jacksonville weekend sales by day with comps.  Still looks good over the weekend in presales; personally I have it around 19m based solely on the preview number. Comps indicate over 20m likely with the Thursday to Weekend ratios.  

 

	Th	Fr	Sat	Sun	Total	Comp Prediction
Candyman	406	695	348	88	1,537
Old	181	285	119	48	633	$23,110,374
The Forever Purge	127	163	37	7	334	$25,810,296
Escape Room 2	187	194	65	19	465	$21,215,836

[Porthos]

@katnisscinnaplex

 

Noticed this a couple of nights ago and was hoping it'd go away, but so far it hasn't.  In the last couple of days Cinemark has changed a flag/coding somewhere so that it isn't marking "unavailable" seats anymore over on Fandango.  It isn't for me at any rate.

 

Before, with a couple of minor exceptions here and there, I was able to figure out easily if a seat at a Cinemark location was truly sold on Fandango or was an unavailable seat (like a DBOX one or a broken seat) using your "map_seat unavailable"/"map_seat reserved" HTML search trick.

 

You might have already noticed this yourself when it comes to Cinemark on Fandango, or it might just be local to me, but I thot I should mention it in case you wanted to check some of your Cinemark theaters on Fandango where you know you have an unavailable seat.

 

NB:  This is separate from the difficulties Menor was having over in the Cinemark corp site and only started showing up since Wed night or so.

Edited August 27, 2021 by Porthos

[katnisscinnaplex]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

@katnisscinnaplex

 

Noticed this a couple of nights ago and was hoping it'd go away, but so far it hasn't.  In the last couple of days Cinemark has changed a flag/coding somewhere so that it isn't marking "unavailable" seats anymore over on Fandango.  It isn't for me at any rate.

 

Before, with a couple of minor exceptions here and there, I was able to figure out easily if a seat at a Cinemark location was truly sold on Fandango or was an unavailable seat (like a DBOX one or a broken seat) using your "map_seat unavailable"/"map_seat reserved" HTML search trick.

 

You might have already noticed this yourself when it comes to Cinemark on Fandango, or it might just be local to me, but I thot I should mention it in case you wanted to check some of your Cinemark theaters on Fandango where you know you have an unavailable seat.

 

NB:  This is separate from the difficulties Menor was having over in the Cinemark corp site and only started showing up since Wed night or so.

 

I'm glad you pointed it out, I've been manually removing those for the last few days as well. I keep a list of total and unavailable seats for each of the auditoriums I track so it makes it a little easier to confirm against those.   

[Cap]

I have no comps on this (I only grabbed Widow on its last day), but I just did a quick search of Shang Chi, since my area tends to be a weird mix of urban and rural.

 

Portsmouth Regal:

125/736 = 16.98% sold

 

6PM RPX - 69/251

9PM RPX - 34/251

 

630 STD - 17/93

930 STD - 5/93

 

915 3D - 0/48

 

Falmouth Flagship:

71.15% sold

 

6:45 STD - 74/107

 

From what I know of pre-COVID days around my area, this is selling fine.  The issue is the lack of screenings IMO.  Normally we should have double this.  

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

277

1752

15.81%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

231

1396

16.55%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1206	87	15536	7.76%	15	84

 

Showings added: 1

Seats added: 178

 

AMCs sold	848
Cinemarks sold	151
Regals sold	161
Harkins sold	46

 

Black Widow comp: 6.75M

Fast 9 comp: 11.96M

Suicide Squad comp: 12.21M

 

FTR, not a typo on the Black Widow comp. Just the same pace for the day.

Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

314

1752

17.92%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

254

1396

18.19%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1338	132	15536	8.61%	15	84

 

AMCs sold	946
Cinemarks sold	156
Regals sold	180
Harkins sold	56

 

Black Widow comp: 7.13M

Fast 9 comp: 12.31M

Suicide Squad comp: 12.14M

 

Just a blip yesterday, it's right back on track.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-7 days Thursday: 1195(+73)/16995(+85) in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 5.56M [2839(+162)]

Fast 9 comp: 12.42M

 

T-8 days Friday: 837(+78)/36065 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 9.97M [2209(+237)]

Fast 9 comp: 22.72M

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-6 days Thursday: 1293(+98)/16995 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 5.63M [3030(+191)]

Fast 9 comp: 12.42M

 

T-7 days Friday: 931(+94)/36065 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 10.38M [2359(+150)]

Fast 9 comp: 22.45M

[TalismanRing]

Shang-Chi (Local Regal, NYC)

 

57/1402  (5:45pm 8/20/21)
78/1402 (4pm 8.22.21)
78/1402 (4pm 8.23.21)
112/1402 (8pm 8.24.21)
125/1402 (6:45pm 8.26.21)
144/1402 (6:45pm 8.27.21)

 

The closest BW comp I have is for Monday opening week - three days later.  239/3584.   SC is currently already 60% of that ($7.95m)  but as @Cap pointed out there is a major difference in the amount of screenings and seats.

[keysersoze123]

21 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Previews (T-7)

MTC1  - 53740/390845 902746.82 2082 shows

MTC2(DBOX Adjusted) - 26500/329881 406902.66 2135 shows

 

As I posted yesterday pace of MTC1 ~ 2x MTC2 at this point. 

 

Shang Chi Previews(T-6)

MTC1  - 56887/399085 952003.09 2138 shows

MTC2(DBOX Adjusted)  - 28385/330124 ~400K 2134 shows

 

so This is about 21 hours of data. BW in MTC1 was selling about 5.5K per day at this time. My predictions still stand(7-8m previews). 

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

This made me wonder how far behind BW in # of shows it is.  Another report I run weekly on Friday mornings is for the weekend's showtimes in a sample of around 4500 theaters.   Black Widow ended up with previews in 3,109 of those theaters and 23,129 showings.   Shang-Chi currently has 1,740 theaters with 11,438 shows listed for Thursday.  I'll have an accurate comparison next Friday morning once the full list of shows are up.

[keysersoze123]

Shang Chi Friday (T-7)
MTC1  - 42038/716899 685848.52 3474 shows
MTC2(DBOX Adjusted) - 24337/680026 ~305K 4297 shows

 

Good news is at last OD PS at MTC1 is slightly ahead of Previews. but gap is huge and so it will take a while to catch up. 
 

[keysersoze123]

CandyMan Friday

MTC1 -  120802/600331 1693365.67 3472 shows

MTC2 -  91452/383267 1227957.77  2537 shows

 

Really strong run today. MTC1 almost 4x today. MTC2 did gross tad more than 4x today. That said its skewing big markets and looking at how big the MTC ratios were yesterday , let us be conservative. I would say 6.5m friday. 

[Porthos]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

let us be conservative. I would say 6.5m friday. 

 

Lines up perfectly with that earlier report from Brandon Katz. 👍

Edited August 28, 2021 by Porthos

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Robitaille said:

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	1540	11464	13.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 131

 

Comp

1.460x of F9 T-7 (10.36M)

0.582x of Black Widow T-7 (7.69M)

3.711x of The Suicide Squad T-7 (15.21M)

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	1673	11464	14.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 133

 

Comp

1.466x of F9 T-6 (10.41M)

0.583x of Black Widow (7.70M)

3.629x of The Suicide Squad (14.88M)

[charlie Jatinder]

10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

CandyMan Friday

MTC1 -  120802/600331 1693365.67 3472 shows

MTC2 -  91452/383267 1227957.77  2537 shows

 

Really strong run today. MTC1 almost 4x today. MTC2 did gross tad more than 4x today. That said its skewing big markets and looking at how big the MTC ratios were yesterday , let us be conservative. I would say 6.5m friday. 

Going very conservative. I am thinking $7.5-7.75M.

Edited August 28, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Cmasterclay]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Going very conservative. I am thinking $7.75-8M.

Without previews or with?

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Without previews or with?

Without.