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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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41 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Just a curious question: when looking at theatre counts, is number of screens as important as amount of showings?

 

IE Aladdin has 12 showings vs Aladdin has 4 screens 3 showings each? ( this is just for example)

 

Does knowing amount of screens help you in taking context?

 

Also does knowing something is IMAX/avx/regular seating help?

 

Im just trying to better represent my information. 

Kinda both, as number of screens gives information about how many times the film is shown at the same time (so starting points less than lenght of movie +1 hour apart from each other) and number of showings is important to see how often it gets shown through out the day. Though that is based on the way the cinema handels it.

Aladdin for example is being shown on 4 screens (maybe 3, don't know that) in a local cinenma but only gets 6 showings because it doesn't get a single screen for the whole day, the first show tends to be aournd 4, the second around 7 and the late on the same screen is John Wick.

 

 

Imax etc. are really important as those are more expensive and most of the times sell way better than the others.

 

 

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Aladdin silvercity london may 24

 

12 showings 5 screens

 

2 IMAX-1 screen, 2 3d recliner- 1 screen, 6 non 3d recliner-2 screens, 2 regular-1 screen

 

IMAX 
1:30 9/323 
4:35 26/323

 

3d recliner
6:30 3/142 
9:25 0/142

 

Non 3d ( this gets bit weird)

1230 0/142 (only 142 seat showing)
1255 0/98
325 0/98
400 0/0(?) 0 of 0 seats available?  but doesnt say sold out.
710 38/98
1000 0/98

 

Regular
740 87/323
1010 4/323
 

Edited by Tinalera
Formatting
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58 minutes ago, a2k said:

POTC5's dom was 2.2x the 78.5 4-day.

SOLO's dom was 2.08x the 103.0 4-day.

 

75-85 4-day and 2.25-2.30x that gives ALADDIN 169-196 dom

If Deadline's right, that does almost guarantee Aladdin hits the "flop" category vs just the "disappointment" one...although it probably avoids the total "bomb" category:)...

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Thank you for the feedback...so basically more information the better. 

 

Its easier now that i figured polaris on my phone lol. Easier than back and forth transcribing. My computer is toast so i dont have fancier layouts.

 

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Just now, TwoMisfits said:

If Deadline's right, that does almost guarantee Aladdin hits the "flop" category vs just the "disappointment" one...although it probably avoids the total "bomb" category:)...

Ooof. Thats......wow if those numbers hold up.:blink:

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I don't have time to search for my old Regal post - but its set is up, and it is also greatly favoring Aladdin this week.  If Aladdin comes low, it will not be b/c of seat sellouts at prime times...it also got THREE screens effectively (with late screens swiped, but getting 4 at all earlier times)...here's the set...

 

NEW 

Aladdin (3 - 1 3d, 12 2d) - biggest screen and above average screens here

Booksmart (1 - 5) - average screen

Brightburn (1 - 6) - above average screen

 

RETURNING

A Dog's Jorney (1 - 6)

JW3 (1.5 - 9 - takes late nights from Aladdin)

The Sun is Also A Star (.5 - 2) - takes late nights from Aladdin

The Hustle (1 - 6) - this is a surprise keep, but it's been dropped everywhere, so they probably figure they'll get stragglers

The Intruder (.5 - 2) - takes late nights from Aladdin

Pika (1 - 5)

Endgame (1 - 4) - this hurts b/c it's been continually selling out here, but it still loses .75 screens

 

.5 screens left for morning/early afternoon

 

GONE

Poms, Long Shot, Capt Marvel

Edited by TwoMisfits
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My theatre STILL has not posted showtimes for Friday, which is very odd. They must be waiting until the last possible second to gauge how Aladdin is selling.

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Pulse today 8:35-8:49 EST:
 

Aladdin: 191/15 – yesterday at that time it were 108/15 (which was a surprisingly high number to me); Lego 2 had 120/15, HtTYD 3 100/15, Wonder Park 24/15, Dumbo 123/15, all same day and time of the day.
Brightburn: 11/15 – yesterday also 11/15; The Prodigy had 4/15, The Intruder 15/15, both same day and time of the day.
Booksmart: 8/15 – yesterday 4/15

GKotM: 12/15 – yesterday 14/15

 

And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST:

Aladdin: 347/15; Lego 2 had 113/15, HtTYD 3 134/15, Dumbo 158/15, all same day and time of the day. That's actually really good...
Brightburn: 18/15 – The Prodigy had 10/15, The Intruder 35/15, both same day and time of the day.
Booksmart: 12/15

GKotM: 24/15

Edited by el sid
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11 hours ago, Porthos said:

Aladdin Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

116

11970

13896

13.86%

 

Total Showings Added Today:           23 (includes ten non-reserved seating showings)

Total Seats Added Today:              1285

Total Seats Sold Today:                   298


The best comp I have so far might be Detective Pikachu.  I also have less ideal comps with Solo (for Memorial Day Weekend like-for-like), JW2 and FB2.  Other last minute comps in Venom and Ant-Man and the Wasp have been added.  

 

Unadjusted Comps

1.0790x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 2 days before release. 

 

3 hours ago, Nova said:

From Deadline: 

Disney’s live-action take of their 1992 half-billion grossing animated hit Aladdin finally takes flight over the Memorial Day weekend frame, and while we’ve typically trumpeted the lofty-end of projections for most global launches, especially Disney’s, we’re going low on this one with $73M-$75M domestic (including Monday’s holiday), and $173M-$175M worldwide

1.079 x 54.365 (Pika 3 day) = 58.66m 3day ≈ 72/73m 4day (maybe).

 

...

 

I see you Deadline. :ph34r:

Spoiler

I don't expect that to happen, BTW.  For one thing I KNOW I'm not doing the 3day/4day conversion right. But found it funny regardless.

 

Edited by Porthos
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1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

If Deadline's right, that does almost guarantee Aladdin hits the "flop" category vs just the "disappointment" one...although it probably avoids the total "bomb" category:)...

Depends on WW. 600+ is not a flop.

Edited by cdsacken
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59 minutes ago, el sid said:

Pulse today 8:35-8:49 EST:
 

Aladdin: 191/15 – yesterday at that time it were 108/15 (which was a surprisingly high number to me); Lego 2 had 120/15, HtTYD 3 100/15, Wonder Park 24/15, Dumbo 123/15, all same day and time of the day.
Brightburn: 11/15 – yesterday also 11/15; The Prodigy had 4/15, The Intruder 15/15, both same day and time of the day.
Booksmart: 8/15 – yesterday 4/15

GKotM: 12/15 – yesterday 14/15

 

And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST:

Aladdin: 347/15; Lego 2 had 113/15, HtTYD 3 134/15, Dumbo 158/15, all same day and time of the day. That's actually really good...
Brightburn: 18/15 – The Prodigy had 10/15, The Intruder 35/15, both same day and time of the day.
Booksmart: 12/15

GKotM: 24/15

 

What do those over/under numbers mean?

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54 minutes ago, AgentofMONARCH said:

 

What do those over/under numbers mean?

That means how many sold tickets a movie has (over) in 15 minutes of Pulse (under). E.g. I start the counting at 8:35 EST and stop when Pulse is at 8:49 EST. That's kind of an endless loop. And if you hit the site again it shows the next 15 minutes of the day.
Link is www.fandango.com/dataviz/index.html

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Current 24 hour rolling tracker:

 

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-21 14:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	28.755%	19372	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2	24.530%	16525	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
3	13.248%	8925	Avengers Endgame (2019) [combined]
4	09.361%	6306	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
5	02.486%	1675	The Hustle (2019)
6	02.075%	1398	A Dogs Journey
7       01.992% 1342    Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
8	01.915%	1290	Long Shot
9	01.839%	1239	Fandango Early Access The Secret Life of Pets 2
10	01.725%	1162	Brightburn

 

Looks like Aladdin will probably pass Wick 3 when combined sometime today.

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14 hours ago, Mulder said:

Final count of today, just Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-139 (+9), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 2 Regular)

Aladdin-162 (+19), 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 3 Regular+Fan Screening) Final Week

Dark Phoenix-72 (+2), 6 screenings (1 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

 

Godzilla had a really good day today while Phoenix has hit the slow down. I'll comment on Aladdin with comps. In total today Godzilla sold 9 tickets, Phoenix sold 2, and Aladdin sold 19.

First count of today, just Thursdays-

Godzilla: KoTM-142 (+3), 8 screenings (3 IMAX, 3 3D, 3 Regular)

Aladdin-173 (+11), 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 3 Regular+Fan Screening) Final Day

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