The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[MCKillswitch123]

39 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Does anyone know what Focus' expansion plan for Darkest Hour is? I know they plan on having it "wide" December 22 but am curious if they're expanding it before then.

If it goes wide on the 22nd, then I presume it may have a slow expansion. Will probably push towards the 200 theater mark around December 8, maybe?

 

Anyway, glad that Coco is starting to ramp up in the tracking. Reception so far indicates much stronger (and much less divisive) wom than The Good Dinosaur, plus the epic performance in Mexico indicates buzz from hispanic moviegoers, so.... I'm not expecting Moana numbers, obviously, but it always pains me when Pixar movies underperform (hell, deep down, I was rooting for Cars 3 a little bit), and I don't want another TGD - especially since Pixar needs a boost of confidence now after the Lasseter scandal.

[filmlover]

48 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

If it goes wide on the 22nd, then I presume it may have a slow expansion. Will probably push towards the 200 theater mark around December 8, maybe?

I'm guessing they're waiting to see how it does this weekend.

[JonathanLB]

Posted this in the TLJ thread, but in case anyone was interested here, courtesy of Deadline: http://deadline.com/2017/11/star-wars-the-last-jedi-200-million-opening-1202213679/

[WrathOfHan]

Today at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Coco:

 

10:30: 68/78

11:45: 47/69 

1:30 3D: 6/78

2:45 3D: 6/69

4:30: 35/78

5:45 3D: 2/69

7:30 3D: 8/78 

8:45 3D: 6/69

10:30: 4/78

 

JL:

 

10:00: 44/124

11:00 3D: 5/60

12:00: 17/78 

1:00: 10/124 

2:00 3D: 2/60 

3:00: 0/78

4:00: 4/124

5:00 3D: 0/60

6:00 3D: 4/78 

7:00: 0/124

8:00 3D: 3/60

9:00 3D: 2/78

 

Wonder:

 

10:30 33/113 

1:15: 25/113 

4:00: 0/113

6:45: 6/113

9:55: 0/124

 

The Star:

 

10:45: 13/78

1:00: 16/78

3:15: 0/78

5:30: 0/78

7:45: 0/78

10:00: 0/78

 

Thor:

 

10:00: 7/78

1:00: 7/78

4:00: 2/78

7:00: 0/78

9:35: 0/113

 

OE:

 

10:40: 2/63

1:25: 11/63

4:10: 0/63

7:00: 0/63

9:45: 0/63

 

DH2:

 

10:15: 2/78

11:30: 0/67

12:45: 2/78

2:00: 0/67

3:15: 0/78

4:30: 0/67

5:45: 0/78

7:00: 0/67

8:15: 4/78

9:30: 0/67

 

Bad Moms:

 

10:05: 0/78

12:40: 2/78

3:10: 0/78

5:40: 0/78

8:10: 0/78

10:10: 0/78

 

Coco: 182/666 (Up 42)

JL: 91/1,048 (Up 44)

Wonder: 64/576 (Up 33)

The Star: 29/468

Thor: 16/425

OE: 13/315

DH2: 8/725

Bad Moms: 2/468

 

Yeah, keeping Daddy's Home 2 on two screens and not getting Roman Israel or Lady Bird is going to pay off very well.

 

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Today at my theater:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Coco:

 

10:30: 68/78

11:45: 47/69 

1:30 3D: 6/78

2:45 3D: 6/69

4:30: 35/78

5:45 3D: 2/69

7:30 3D: 8/78 

8:45 3D: 6/69

10:30: 4/78

 

JL:

 

10:00: 44/124

11:00 3D: 5/60

12:00: 17/78 

1:00: 10/124 

2:00 3D: 2/60 

3:00: 0/78

4:00: 4/124

5:00 3D: 0/60

6:00 3D: 4/78 

7:00: 0/124

8:00 3D: 3/60

9:00 3D: 2/78

 

Wonder:

 

10:30 33/113 

1:15: 25/113 

4:00: 0/113

6:45: 6/113

9:55: 0/124

 

The Star:

 

10:45: 13/78

1:00: 16/78

3:15: 0/78

5:30: 0/78

7:45: 0/78

10:00: 0/78

 

Thor:

 

10:00: 7/78

1:00: 7/78

4:00: 2/78

7:00: 0/78

9:35: 0/113

 

OE:

 

10:40: 2/63

1:25: 11/63

4:10: 0/63

7:00: 0/63

9:45: 0/63

 

DH2:

 

10:15: 2/78

11:30: 0/67

12:45: 2/78

2:00: 0/67

3:15: 0/78

4:30: 0/67

5:45: 0/78

7:00: 0/67

8:15: 4/78

9:30: 0/67

 

Bad Moms:

 

10:05: 0/78

12:40: 2/78

3:10: 0/78

5:40: 0/78

8:10: 0/78

10:10: 0/78

 

Coco: 182/666 (Up 42)

JL: 91/1,048 (Up 44)

Wonder: 64/576 (Up 33)

The Star: 29/468

Thor: 16/425

OE: 13/315

DH2: 8/725

Bad Moms: 2/468

 

Yeah, keeping Daddy's Home 2 on two screens and not getting Roman Israel or Lady Bird is going to pay off very well.

 

To be fair, I don't think it would matter if they had gotten Roman Israel. It's projected to make $5M over the 5-day frame. 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

To be fair, I don't think it would matter if they had gotten Roman Israel. It's projected to make $5M over the 5-day frame. 

Still, keeping 2 screens for DH2 just because it had 2 last week is very dumb. That extra screen could've gone to Wonder or Thor.

[MCKillswitch123]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Today at my theater:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Coco:

 

10:30: 68/78

11:45: 47/69 

1:30 3D: 6/78

2:45 3D: 6/69

4:30: 35/78

5:45 3D: 2/69

7:30 3D: 8/78 

8:45 3D: 6/69

10:30: 4/78

 

JL:

 

10:00: 44/124

11:00 3D: 5/60

12:00: 17/78 

1:00: 10/124 

2:00 3D: 2/60 

3:00: 0/78

4:00: 4/124

5:00 3D: 0/60

6:00 3D: 4/78 

7:00: 0/124

8:00 3D: 3/60

9:00 3D: 2/78

 

Wonder:

 

10:30 33/113 

1:15: 25/113 

4:00: 0/113

6:45: 6/113

9:55: 0/124

 

The Star:

 

10:45: 13/78

1:00: 16/78

3:15: 0/78

5:30: 0/78

7:45: 0/78

10:00: 0/78

 

Thor:

 

10:00: 7/78

1:00: 7/78

4:00: 2/78

7:00: 0/78

9:35: 0/113

 

OE:

 

10:40: 2/63

1:25: 11/63

4:10: 0/63

7:00: 0/63

9:45: 0/63

 

DH2:

 

10:15: 2/78

11:30: 0/67

12:45: 2/78

2:00: 0/67

3:15: 0/78

4:30: 0/67

5:45: 0/78

7:00: 0/67

8:15: 4/78

9:30: 0/67

 

Bad Moms:

 

10:05: 0/78

12:40: 2/78

3:10: 0/78

5:40: 0/78

8:10: 0/78

10:10: 0/78

 

Coco: 182/666 (Up 42)

JL: 91/1,048 (Up 44)

Wonder: 64/576 (Up 33)

The Star: 29/468

Thor: 16/425

OE: 13/315

DH2: 8/725

Bad Moms: 2/468

 

Yeah, keeping Daddy's Home 2 on two screens and not getting Roman Israel or Lady Bird is going to pay off very well.

 

Is it a coincidence that a movie about the afterlife and the Dia de los Muertos has 666 seats avaliable?

[filmlover]

Just now, MCKillswitch123 said:

Is it a coincidence that a movie about the afterlife and the Dia de los Muertos has 666 seats avaliable?

[TalismanRing]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Still, keeping 2 screens for DH2 just because it had 2 last week is very dumb. That extra screen could've gone to Wonder or Thor.

I really don't get how DH2 managed to lose far less screens than Thor 3 let alone how it's managed to keep 2 screens at a theater.

[Eric Duncan]

16 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Last update for Coco and Event Picture Roman Israel, less than 1.5 hours before showtime.

 

Coco	675	2327	29.01%
Roman Israel	9	1491	0.60%

 

Coco's 7 PM Tuesday show is nearly filled, while Wednesday has a sold out showing at 6. Every other day's doing pretty good as well.

 

I'll likely give further updates on both movies on both Wednesday and Thursday morning.

Taking out the Tuesday previews:

Coco	727	2185	33.27%
Roman Israel	30	1420	2.11%

 

Most of Coco's boost came from today, with another sold-out show, for obvious reasons. Thursday and Sunday are pretty much the same.

[filmlover]

Roman J. Israel, Esq. is such a sucky title for a movie. I get that's the character's name, but still. Should've stuck with Inner City, Sony.

[That One Girl]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Roman J. Israel, Esq. is such a sucky title for a movie. I get that's the character's name, but still. Should've stuck with Inner City, Sony.

 

Roman J. Israel, Esq. is such a majestic title that it's my profile picture.

[TalismanRing]

31 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Roman J. Israel, Esq. is such a sucky title for a movie. I get that's the character's name, but still. Should've stuck with Inner City, Sony.

They should have called it Denzel's Movie - it would have made $20-30m o/w.

[FlashMaster659]

1 hour ago, JonathanLB said:

Posted this in the TLJ thread, but in case anyone was interested here, courtesy of Deadline: http://deadline.com/2017/11/star-wars-the-last-jedi-200-million-opening-1202213679/

Unaided awareness – that part of movie polling which indicates how powerful a film property is among those who aren’t prodded to mention a pic’s title in a survey — is at 35 to Force Awakens’ 36. It’s a telling stat that tells studios how much non-fans are aware of a pic’s property, and depending on how a movie scores here, they’ll spend ad dollars specifically to make this quadrant grow. First choice is 23 for the Rian Johnson-directed sequel versus 22 for the previous J.J. Abrams title, while definite interest is 65 to 60.  Total awareness is huge at 94 to Force Awakens‘ 92.

[Deja23]

14 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

MT(final update):

1.JL 31.2%

2.Wonder 17.2%

3.Coco 12.2%

4.Thor 9.6%

5.MOTOE 6.0%

 

Coco continues to increase:

1. JL 29.3%

2. Wonder 16.8%

3. Coco 14.8%

4. Thor 9.6%

5. MOTOE 6%

[filmlover]

Coco is already selling extremely well for its early shows here. Opening day in the low double digit millions is certainly looking in the cards.

[TalismanRing]

NVM - the preview numbers was a bullshit post
 

Edited November 22, 2017 by TalismanRing

[YM!]

$2.3M previews for Coco.

[MattW]

1 hour ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Unaided awareness – that part of movie polling which indicates how powerful a film property is among those who aren’t prodded to mention a pic’s title in a survey — is at 35 to Force Awakens’ 36. It’s a telling stat that tells studios how much non-fans are aware of a pic’s property, and depending on how a movie scores here, they’ll spend ad dollars specifically to make this quadrant grow. First choice is 23 for the Rian Johnson-directed sequel versus 22 for the previous J.J. Abrams title, while definite interest is 65 to 60.  Total awareness is huge at 94 to Force Awakens‘ 92.

So by all measures it's tracking higher than force awakens, but no one is willing to assign it a higher number than force awakens (which is wise IMO, I'd bet on it opening lower as well). The nuts and bolts are interesting, when the numbers get bigger the uncertainty is higher as well.

[Rumpot]

BOM raised their Coco 5-day to 77M in light of the preview number.  

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4347&p=.htm