The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[DAJK]

17 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

My AMC is getting Lady Bird and Three Billboards this weekend    

Our junior manager is doing the bookings this week because the GM is away (so obviously she's going to be 1-2 days late putting them up) but looking at similarly sized theatres in the company, there's a 50/50 chance we get Star or 3 Billboards

[MattW]

1 hour ago, Xinau said:

Many (maybe all?) of the large format venues (including our one "real" IMAX at Regal Pointe Orlando) in metro Orlando seem to be offering 2D showings of TLJ, but none are during prime-time. There's usually one lunchtime show around 1130 or 1230 that's 2D.

Better than nothing, I guess. But the chains around here are still milking that 3D cow during normal hours.

 

The big IMAX at MODS in Ft. Lauderdale is also showing a mix of 2D & 3D, with more variety in the showtimes. This used to have 70mm, but it was replaced last year

That's an interesting strategy.  For a movie that you know will sell out prime showtimes, put the lesser showtimes on the board first to fill those up with the up front demand from the biggest fans, and then you can put up 7pm imax shows the week of release which will fill up regardless by any and everyone.

[WrathOfHan]

2 hours ago, DAJK said:

Our junior manager is doing the bookings this week because the GM is away (so obviously she's going to be 1-2 days late putting them up) but looking at similarly sized theatres in the company, there's a 50/50 chance we get Star or 3 Billboards

Hopefully you get Three Billboards; it's a fantastic movie

[DAJK]

24 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Hopefully you get Three Billboards; it's a fantastic movie

The star

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, DAJK said:

The star

 

[JonathanLB]

6 hours ago, Rebeccas said:

I think most people who saw TFA will see TLJ.. after all, it left off on a major cliffhanger. the bigger issue will be how much repeat business this can get from the diehards.

Hi

 

lol. I saw TFA 41 times, Rogue One 42, maybe I can see this 43? Just kidding but I’m sure repeat business from diehards like me won’t suffer. I go just as often and at higher ticket prices. They killed themselves with that Rogue One Ultimate Ticket, saved me a fortune and cost Rogue One a few hundred bucks.

[efialtes76]

MT

1.Coco -19.9%

2.JL -16.1%

3.TLJ-16.1%

4.Wonder -8%

5.Thor-6.5%

Edited November 29, 2017 by efialtes76

[Poseidon]

7 hours ago, Rebeccas said:

I think most people who saw TFA will see TLJ.. after all, it left off on a major cliffhanger. the bigger issue will be how much repeat business this can get from the diehards.

That is exactly the question. Will they? 

TFA was getting pretty much everybody into the theaters just for the huge hype it created. It brought the girlfriend, that was not interested, it brought grandma. The question is, if girlfriend will come back this time, too, or if she rather protests and sees Pitch Perfect.

 

Compared to 2015, I would say the competition is slightly stronger. That's what I think will cost up to $200m. 

[BXT]

12 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

Are any of the following features stirring anything up, or are December Holiday #'s going to be like Novembers???  It sure is going to be alot  of new product.  Will Disney support Thor still?  Can JL steal screens from Wonder?  DH and Murder's legs will be cut off quick.  May need an Arrival push to get to 100M.  Maybe Bad Moms 2 can take command of second run in week 8.  Is Disney going to put Thor in second run theaters in week 8?  They would sure command alot of the market then.  Hmm......

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/

Friday
22

NEW IN THEATERS	DISTRIBUTOR	RELEASE
All the Money in the World Crime	TriStar	Wide
Downsizing Comedy / Drama	Paramount	Wide
Father Figures Comedy	Warner Bros.	Wide
Pitch Perfect 3 Comedy	Universal	Wide

Wednesday
20

NEW IN THEATERS	DISTRIBUTOR	RELEASE
The Greatest Showman Musical	Fox	Wide
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Action	Sony / Columbia	Wide

 

I think this is a solid lineup. Jumanji will be a hit. PP3 should do $100 million+ even if it has a big drop from PP2. The Greatest Showman will need solid reviews in order to break out but it has an audience. I am completely clueless about the other three movies.

[WrathOfHan]

On 11/20/2017 at 5:12 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween is gone.

 

Coco: 9 (4 2D/5 3D; Average and 4th Smallest)

 

Justice League: 13 (7 2D/6 3D; Down 1; Biggest, Average, and Smallest)

Daddy's Home 2: 10 (Up 3; Average and 3rd Smallest)

A Bad Moms Christmas: 6 (Up 1; Average)

The Star: 6 (Up 1; Average)

Murder on the Orient Express: 5 (Down 1; 2nd Smallest)

Thor: Ragnarok: 5 (Flat and lost 3D; Average)

Wonder: 5 (Flat; 2nd Biggest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Nothing is gone.

 

Lady Bird: 4 (Average)

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 4 (2nd Biggest)

 

Coco: 7 (Down 2; 4 2D/3 3D; Average)

Justice League: 7 (Down 6; 4 2D/3 3D; Average and 4th Smallest)

The Star: 5 (Down 1; Smallest)

A Bad Moms Christmas: 4 (Down 2; 2nd Smallest)

Daddy's Home 2: 4 (Down 6; 3rd Smallest)

Murder on the Orient Express: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Thor: Ragnarok: 4 (Down 1; 3 2D/1 3D; Average)

Wonder: 4 (Down 1; Biggest)

 

During the weekend, Coco has the biggest while Wonder gets downgraded to the 2nd biggest and 3B is in an average auditorium

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

Spoiler

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Edited November 28, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[TwoMisfits]

Note on future movies in the Dec 20/22 mash up...Star Wars, if it skies, might really affect the reach of the releases...

 

For now, my 2 locals are only preselling these movies...that doesn't mean they won't book the other wide releases, but these releases are obviously getting priority...

1st local (Cinemark) - Pitch Perfect 3, The Greatest Showman

2nd local (Regal) - The Greatest Showman

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

MT

1.Coco -19.9%

2.JL -16.1%

3.TLJ-16.1%

4.Wonder -8%

5.THR-6.5%

The Hollywood Reporter? 

[FlashMaster659]

MT

 

Coco: 21.2%

JL: 17.3%

TLJ: 13.3%

Wonder: 7.8%

Thor: 6.9%

[efialtes76]

54 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

MT

 

Coco: 21.2%

JL: 17.3%

TLJ: 13.3%

Wonder: 7.8%

Thor: 6.9%

Coco - 21.7

JL -17.5%

TLJ - 12.8%

Wonder - 7.8%

Thor - 7.0%

[YM!]

OK, but Last Jedi is supposed to fare better than the opening of Rogue One with an estimated $200M, plus we have what is expected to be strong holiday counterprogramming in Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (five-day opening industry estimate $37M-plus), Universal’s Pitch Perfect 3 ($30M-$35M) and 20th Century Fox’s musical The Greatest Showman ($24M-plus over five days). So taking the difference between 2015 and 2016’s year-end grosses at $1.4 billion, the box office would land at $11.1B, off 2.4%.

 

 

 

From DHD

[WrathOfHan]

That sounds about right for the Christmas openers. Maybe swap Jumanji/Pitch Perfect though; the latter will be more frontloaded

[DAJK]

To be honest, I'm more looking forward to seeing Disaster Artist/Shape of Water's PTA's this weekend than I am about anything else this December not called Star Wars

[WrathOfHan]

Out of 16 multiplexes in Orlando (I excluded some very small theaters with under 4 screens), Three Billboards is currently playing in 5 while Lady Bird is in 4. This weekend, those numbers are shooting up to 11/16 for Three Billboards and 8/16 for Lady Bird, and there's still two big multiplexes without LB that haven't uploaded showtimes yet. The only theaters without Three Billboards are a 14-plex and those with 8 or less screens while Lady Bird has a different 14-plex, the smaller theaters, and a couple 12-plexs missing. Honestly, both of them could be challenging 2k theaters this weekend  Meanwhile, Roman Israel and Man Who Invented Christmas aren't adding any theaters  

Edited November 29, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[aabattery]

TFA same number of days out:

 

Star Wars- 52

Mockingjay- 14

Creed- 8

TGD- 5

The Night Before- 3

[DAJK]

Shame MWIC isn't performing better... or well at all. Damn good movie.