The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

> NEW RELEASES
28	-	Titanic (20th Anniversary)	Paramount	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
32	-	The Disaster Artist	A24	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
35	-	Oro	Sony / Columbia	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
39	-	Wonder Wheel	Amazon Studios	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
43	-	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
45	-	Tribes of Palos Verdes	IFC	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
3	5	Wonder	Lionsgate	3,449	+277	+8.7%	-	-	-	-	3
5	6	Murder on the Orient Express (2017)	Fox	3,201	+49	+1.6%	-	-	-	-	4
10	12	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	Fox Searchlight	1,430	+816	+132.9%	-	-	-	-	4
11	10	Lady Bird	A24	1,194	+403	+50.9%	-	-	-	-	5
12	11	The Man Who Invented Christmas	Bleecker Street	674	+48	+7.7%	-	-	-	-	2
13	30	Marshall	Open Road Films	651	+540	+486.5%	-	-	-	-	8
14	54	Blade of the Immortal	Magnolia	515	+504	+4,581.8%	-	-	-	-	5
18	29	My Little Pony: The Movie	Lionsgate	180	+61	+51.3%	-	-	-	-	9
19	28	Novitiate	Sony Classics	163	+43	+35.8%	-	-	-	-	6
22	32	The Foreigner	STX Entertainment	130	+26	+25.0%	-	-	-	-	8
25	33	Last Flag Flying	Lionsgate	110	+12	+12.2%	-	-	-	-	5
42	70	Breathe (2017)	Bleecker Street	3	+1	+50.0%	-	-	-	-	8
> NO CHANGE
1	2	Coco	Buena Vista	3,987	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
9	9	Roman J. Israel, Esq.	Sony / Columbia	1,669	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
40	65	Call Me by Your Name	Sony Classics	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
41	66	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
> DECLINING
2	1	Justice League	Warner Bros.	3,820	-231	-5.7%	-	-	-	-	3
4	3	Daddy's Home 2	Paramount	3,403	-115	-3.3%	-	-	-	-	4
6	4	Thor: Ragnarok	Buena Vista	3,148	-133	-4.1%	-	-	-	-	5
7	7	The Star	Sony / Columbia	2,822	-15	-0.5%	-	-	-	-	3
8	8	A Bad Moms Christmas	STX Entertainment	2,251	-55	-2.4%	-	-	-	-	5

 

 

Hm, I expected more for Three Billboards and Lady Bird.

WTF is up with these random Marshall expansions? This is like the third time it's happened  

Edited November 30, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Previews tonight at my AMC:

 

Three Billboards: 15/78

Lady Bird: 6/63
 

Three Billboards is on par with The Snowman (3.4M), 50% of MBU (5.3M), about 55-60% of mother! (4.5M on the high end), 80% of Home Again (6.9M).

This is low for Lady Bird. The Big Sick sold two less back in July.

 

Pinpointing where these two will land is extremely hard. I'm expecting increases for both this weekend but not astronomically higher cumes than last weekend. Lady Bird is going to fall victim to not being a rural movie.

Edited December 1, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Tomorrow at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Wonder:

 

10:00: 9/113

12:45: 5/113

3:30: 2/113

6:15: 6/113

9:00: 0/113

 

Coco:

 

10:30 3D: 2/78

11:45: 9/124

1:30 3D: 0/78

2:45 3D: 0/124

4:30: 2/78

5:45: 0/124

7:30 3D: 0/78

8:45: 5/124

10:30 3D: 0/78

 

OE:

 

10:10: 4/78

1:00: 2/78

3:45: 2/78

6:30: 0/78

9:15: 0/78

 

JL:

 

10:00: 0/78

11:30 3D: 0/69

1:00: 2/78

2:30 3D: 0/69

4:00: 0/78

5:30 3D: 0/69

7:00: 0/78

8:30 3D: 2/69

10:00: 0/78 

 

3B:

 

11:00: 2/78

1:55: 2/78

4:50: 0/78

7:40: 0/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Thor: 

 

10:45: 0/78

1:45: 0/78

4:45 3D: 0/78

7:45: 4/78

10:45 3D: 0/78

 

Lady Bird:

 

11:15: 2/78

1:40: 0/78

4:05: 0/78

6:35: 0/78

9:05: 0/78

 

Wonder: 22/565

Coco: 18/1,010

OE: 8/390

JL: 4/666

3B: 4/390

Thor: 4/390

Lady Bird: 2/390

DH2, Bad Moms, and The Star have sold nothing.

 

Can Star Wars come out already?

[filmlover]

ERC lists Just Getting Started as opening in 1,750 theaters next week.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

ERC lists Just Getting Started as opening in 1,750 theaters next week.

 

 

Yikes.

[aabattery]

TFA same # of days out:

 

SW: TFA 54%

Mp2: 10%

Creed: 5%

TGD: 4%

Krampus: 3% 

 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

 

Yikes.

Not surprised, the studio's in turmoil and it's gotten a nonexistent marketing push. It'll probably do as badly as Playing for Keeps did five years ago, maybe even worse.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

Not surprised, the studio's in turmoil and it's gotten a nonexistent marketing push. It'll probably do as badly as Playing for Keeps did five years ago, maybe even worse.

They're airing ads nonstop on Fox News; whenever my parents have it on, there's an 80% chance a Just Getting Started ad will play  

[JB33]

2 hours ago, ReyReyBattery said:

TFA same # of days out:

 

SW: TFA 54%

Mp2: 10%

Creed: 5%

TGD: 4%

Krampus: 3% 

 

No doubt TFA was more anticipated but I think TGD being such a dud is what really makes a difference here in comparison to Coco this year.

[dxmatrixdt]

21 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

I am going to try to show a sample of total showtimes playing Thursday and then how it changes to Friday.  Fandango will help me when I put in a zip code and get 4-5 pages of theaters.  I can pick 20 theaters that have 4 or more screens.  I would choose 5 or more screens only, but for some reason the Starlight theaters in Southern California are not showing movies by distributor FOX.  4 screen theaters balance this out by making it hard for more than 3 films to make 20 out of 20 theaters.  Ok, i will get back to this later.

 

Again, nothing big is coming this weekend.  Who is going to get the most of the market?  Thursday will have a cumulative total of showtimes that reflect on each individual day from almost this past week or so.  Friday, things can change.  If you are playing a game or a tournament, this can be useful to lower ranking films at the box office.  If you are betting real money, then you probably know this stuff better than me.

Sorry about the delay! 

 

22 theaters

Coco had 22 theaters Thursday and stays at 22 theaters Friday.  Showtimes increase from 250 to 285.

Justice League still at 22/22.  Showtimes decreased from 274 to 238. 

Wonder increases from 103 to 107.  It has been at 21/22 theaters.

Daddy's Home 2 is staying at all 22 of its theaters and has showtimes going from 119 to 110

Murder been at 19/22 and staying that way.  Showtimes go from 91 to 94. 

The Star's showtimes go from 91 to 88 and it keeps its 19 theaters.

BMC had 66 showtimes at 17 theaters.  Now it is at 16 theaters and 58 showtimes.

Thor still stays at all 22 theaters.  Showtimes go from 161 to 145. 

 

Roman staying at 64 theaters in 15 locations.

3 Billboard going from 8 to 14 locations.  Its total showtimes at 69

 

Here is the list                      

Coco - 285 (22)

JL - 238 (22)

Thor - 145 (22)

DH2 - 119 (22)

Wonder - 107 (21)

Murder - 94 (19)

Star - 88 (19)

BMC - 58 (16)

Roman - 64 (15)

Lady Bird - 49 (9)

Jigsaw - 8 (3)

XMAS - 17

Geostorm - 8

Blade Runner - 14

It - 2

Brave - 7

 

[FantasticBeasts]

4 hours ago, JB33 said:

No doubt TFA was more anticipated but I think TGD being such a dud is what really makes a difference here in comparison to Coco this year.

Mp2 was bigger than Justice League though and online tickets have grown rapidly after TFA's release.

[Lordmandeep]

In less than 48 hours, the Avengers Infinity War Trailer is the most liked Trailer of all time on Youtube with over 2,183,000+ likes.

[WrathOfHan]

Theater update:

Spoiler

 

Wonder:

 

10:00: 10/113

12:45: 5/113

3:30: 2/113

6:15: 12/113

9:00: 0/113

 

Coco:

 

10:30 3D: 2/78

11:45: 9/124

1:30 3D: 0/78

2:45: 0/124

4:30: 2/78

5:45: 2/124

7:30 3D: 0/78

8:45: 6/124

10:30 3D: 0/78

 

OE:

 

10:10: 4/78

1:00: 5/78

3:45: 2/78

6:30: 0/78

9:15: 0/78

 

JL:

 

10:00: 2/78

11:30 3D: 0/69

1:00: 2/78

2:30 3D: 0/69

4:00: 0/78

5:30 3D: 0/69

7:00: 0/78

8:30 3D: 2/69

10:00: 0/78 

 

3B:

 

11:00: 8/78

1:55: 2/78

4:50: 0/78

7:40: 0/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Thor: 

 

10:45: 4/78

1:45: 1/78

4:45 3D: 0/78

7:45: 6/78

10:45 3D: 0/78

 

The Star:

 

10:15: 0/60

12:35: 0/60

3:00: 0/60

5:30: 0/60

8:00: 4/60

10:20: 0/60

 

Bad Moms:

 

11:20: 3/63

2:10: 0/63

5:00: 0/63

7:35: 5/63

10:10: 0/63

 

Lady Bird:

 

11:15: 2/78

1:40: 0/78

4:05: 1/78

6:35: 0/78

9:05: 0/78

 

DH2:

 

11:30: 0/67

2:00: 0/67

4:35: 0/67

7:05: 2/67

9:35: 0/67

 

 

 

Wonder: 29/565 (Up 7)

Coco: 21/1,010 (Up 3)

Thor: 11/390 (Up 7)

OE: 11/390 (Up 3)

3B: 10/390 (Up 6)

Bad Moms: 8/315 (Up 8)

JL: 6/666 (Up 2)

The Star: 4/300 (Up 4)

Lady Bird: 3/390 (Up 1 aka ME)

DH2: 2/335 (Up 2) 

 

 

This is ok for Three Billboards but nothing outstanding. It's behind Wind River by a significant amount (no specifics but my showing of that had over 40 people in it), 45% of Logan Lucky (3.4M), and 166% of Battle of the Sexes (5.6M).

This is baaaaaaaad for Lady Bird; it's 50% of Sexes (1.7M)  OTOH, it's 75% of Home Again, but that was facing Irma prep. FWIW both this and Three Billboards have been playing not too far away for a week, but that hasn't stopped expansions from selling like crazy in the past like Wind River and La La Land. Lion wasn't on the level of those two but was doing better than 3B and LB.

Justice League is only ahead of The Star, DH2, and Lady Bird and nearly half of Thor/OE  

 

Edited December 1, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

MT:
 

TLJ: 24.3%

Coco: 17.6%

Wonder: 9.8%

JL: 8.7%

T:R: 5.4%

 

TLJ still on top, though I expect that to change pretty quickly as we get into the afternoon/evening.

[WrathOfHan]

The Titanic re-release is doing pretty damn good from what I can see at Disney and Altamonte  

[FlashMaster659]

TLJ downgraded to $210M OW/$690M DOM.

 

http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-maze-runner-death-cure/

[DAJK]

Maze runner 24/65, about what I expect unless the movie is garbage.

[Rumpot]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

The Titanic re-release is doing pretty damn good from what I can see at Disney and Altamonte  

Thatd certainly be good for AMC/Dolby 

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Thatd certainly be good for AMC/Dolby 

Yeah. It's not selling insanely or anything, but both of the first showings seemed to be about a quarter to a third full. Tonight's looking very encouraging too.

 

Edit: wait nvm the first show at Altamonte only sold 5 tickets lol. Disney's first show was just under 20 tickets. I'm sure it's faring better than T23D, and given how expensive Dolby tickets are, that's a fair chunk of cash.

Edited December 1, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Jumanji tickets are up at my AMC. It's only in an average auditorium with a 2 2D/3 3D split with the 3D shows being at peak times  I imagine it'll change like Coco did.