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Asgard blesses us early. SMH 7.4, Apes 7.1, WW 1.2M Tues

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3 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

44.2-55%=19.89mil.

There is also a possibility it does less giving the fact that it has dropped badly on some days.

This is also true. Still with $19.9M the $300M train is still running thanks to July weekdays and the likely double whammy of Emoji and Dark Tower helping.

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42 minutes ago, YourMother said:

If Wednesday falls about 30% from Tuesday we get $5.2M and using a 15% drop, we get $4.4M. If we use a light 40% increase, Homecoming scores a $6.16M Friday, then we use the typical 30% increase for Saturday, we get $8M, and with a normal 25% drop, we get $6M. So about $20.16M. If we used the exact same drops from last weekend, Homecoming gets $21M

The drop from Tuesday will be telling ,However so many wide releases may mute its Thursday gross.

Edited by Brainiac5
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13 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

new Spider man could be like Harry Potter and Twilight, heavily target at young adult and ended up having a bad legs despite good reviews

 

Exactly, thank you.  :bravo:

 

Honestly, there's no scientific way to figure out the exact cause for a movie being frontloaded.

 

Usually, people's reasoning just shows their confirmation bias and nothing more.

 

Is Harry Potter the Prisoner of Azkaban frontloaded because it's a weak movie? That mostly depends whether you liked it or not.

 

Edited by grey ghost
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2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Homecoming will be the highest grossing Spidey flick in a decade pretty soon here. It'll almost definitely gross $300M+ DOM. At the moment, I'm far more intrigued to see what happens with Dunkirk, Valerian and Apes this weekend.

 

 

It's going to be a bloodbath.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

We are going to have a new number one summer movie this weekend.

As a DC fan (who has been rooting on the DCEU despite my negative feelings toward last year's output) I could not be happier to see DC bounce back by having the number one film of the summer season. And it did it by having legs almost as amazing as Gal Gadot. GOTG 2 opened with 43mil more (it did great) and Spidey opened with 15mil more (it's doing fine) but it's Wondy who will come out on top. Exciting.

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1 minute ago, a2knet said:

SMH needs a 20,634,426 weekend to do $1 more than 50% of WONDR's 3rd weekend of 41,268,850

 

Yup, isn't it great to be the newish Father's Day supers movie on a weekend that opened a little kid animated movie, a raunchy female directed comedy, a direct-to-video shark movie, and a rapper docu-drama...

 

Might not quite be the fairest comparison...and I called WW's rockin' performance that weekend:)...

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16 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Yup, isn't it great to be the newish Father's Day supers movie on a weekend that opened a little kid animated movie, a raunchy female directed comedy, a direct-to-video shark movie, and a rapper docu-drama...

 

Might not quite be the fairest comparison...and I called WW's rockin' performance that weekend:)...

 

Give WONDR a normal Sunday drop, say 23% instead of the 5% it fell on FD.

That removes 2.85 from the weekend (12m Sunday, -23% down from 15.58 Sat instead of 14.85 Sunday)

 

So 41.27 weekend becomes 38.42.

 

And it went against CARS3's 54m and All Eyes's 26.5m. 47M and Rough Night brought in 20m combined. Still reduce 38.42 by 10% for the sake of competition, that gives 35 weekend.

 

Or how about this: the 4th weekend, despite compensating for the FD bump of the 3rd weekend it fell only 40%, and did 24.9. Still more than SM :)

 

 

EDIT: This is just for fun btw. SM is doing more than fine as it is with 300+ dom/850 ww.

 

Edited by a2knet
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16 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Yup, isn't it great to be the newish Father's Day supers movie on a weekend that opened a little kid animated movie, a raunchy female directed comedy, a direct-to-video shark movie, and a rapper docu-drama...

 

Might not quite be the fairest comparison...and I called WW's rockin' performance that weekend:)...

 

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Give WONDR a normal Sunday drop, say 23% instead of the 5% it fell on FD.

That removes 2.85 from the weekend (12m Sunday, -23% down from 15.58 Sat instead of 14.85 Sunday)

 

So 41.27 weekend becomes 38.42.

 

And it went against CARS3's 54m and All Eyes's 26.5m. 47M and Rough Night brought in 20m combined. Still reduce 38.42 by 10% for the sake of competition, that gives 35 weekend.

 

Or how about this: the 4th weekend, despite compensating for the FD bump of the 3rd weekend it fell only 40%, and did 24.9. Still more than SM :)

 

Bias can never win against data. Twomisfits is trying to convince others that shm could compete with WW third w/e if it was not fathers day. Even though wondy's fourth w/e will be higher than shm third w/e.

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2 hours ago, grey ghost said:

 

So how often does the sixth movie in a franchise make 300 m?

 

  Hide contents

Out of 170 franchises, it's happened only five times, including Spider-man.

 

It's not easy at all assuming you get five sequels.

 

Half-Blood Prince

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  Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (3) Despicable Me 3 Universal $3,995,335 +51% 4,155 $962   $195,041,185 19
- (8) Transformers: The Last Knight Paramount Pictures $491,160 +34% 2,323 $211   $125,810,515 28
- (10) 47 Meters Down Entertainment Studi… $214,791 +18% 1,032 $208   $41,533,400 33
- (11) The Beguiled Focus Features $162,915 +39% 726 $224   $9,674,094 26
- (-) The Mummy Universal $64,470 +31% 401 $161   $79,099,825 40
- (-) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $22,489 +28% 156 $144   $57,881,452 55
- (-) A Ghost Story A24 $18,730 +30% 20 $937   $310,895 12
- (-) The Exception A24 $6,692 +6% 44 $152   $619,994 47
- (-) It Comes at Night A24 $5,831 +23% 57 $102   $13,788,818 40
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