DUNKIRK WEEKEND THREAD | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS | Official estimates Dunkirk 50.5M, GT 30.3M, SMH 22M, Apes 20.4M, Val 17M | Wonder Woman is the new summer champ with 389M total | Summer Sale is Live!

[XO21]

MOS lost 1000+ theatres in the 4th weekend and had three 60% drops in a row afterwards...it'd be catastrophic if Spidey followed MOS

[a2k]

11 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Alternatively it could follow MoS (which it has done so far - albiet better slightly). It had a similar drop this weekend. That fell 49% in its 4th weekend. I guess the coming weekend will show if it is following Antman/Minions or MoS legs. 

Legs seems similar to MOS until you consider the 12m headstart MOS had on official Thu (not previews Thu),

 

MOS: 12 Thu + 116.6 OW (including Thu previews) + 119.0 next 14 days = 248.6 cume by 3rd weekend

SMH:  0 Thu  + 117.0 OW (including Thu previews) + 134.9 next 14 days = 251.9 cume by 3rd weekend

 

Edited July 25, 2017 by a2knet

[TalismanRing]

13 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Alternatively it could follow MoS (which it has done so far - albiet better slightly). It had a similar drop this weekend. That fell 49% in its 4th weekend. I guess the coming weekend will show if it is following Antman/Minions or MoS legs. 

So far it's pretty much followed CA:TFA (accounting for SMHC having much higher Thur previews) and it's 3rd w/e was 44.6%

 

It's also not that far off SM2's 3rd w/e of $24.75m and a 45.2% drop against about $30m less in new competition. It had a 39% drop the following week against much stronger competition than SMHC will have.

[redfirebird2008]

@Rth Homecoming  &  @EmpireCity

 

Any word on Monday numbers?

[a2k]

Once upon a time a movie releasing in July and enjoying strong summer weekdays, still managed to drop at most 39% for first 12 weekends...

 

Jul 16–18	1	$62,785,337	-	3,792	-	$16,557	$62,785,337	1
Jul 23–25	1	$42,725,012	-32.0%	3,792	-	$11,267	$142,883,424	2
Jul 30–Aug 1	1	$27,485,245	-35.7%	3,545	-247	$7,753	$193,313,741	3
Aug 6–8	2	$18,505,470	-32.7%	3,418	-127	$5,414	$227,637,569	4
Aug 13–15	4	$11,285,051	-39.0%	3,120	-298	$3,617	$248,469,482	5
Aug 20–22	9	$7,838,179	-30.5%	2,401	-719	$3,265	$262,031,594	6
Aug 27–29	7	$4,876,356	-37.8%	2,070	-331	$2,356	$270,519,920	7
Sep 3–5	9	$4,572,249	-6.2%	1,704	-366	$2,683	$277,145,503	8
Sep 3–6	9	$5,884,355	+20.7%	1,704	-366	$3,453	$278,457,609	8
Sep 10–12	10	$2,802,390	-38.7%	1,583	-121	$1,770	$282,211,978	9
Sep 17–19	9	$1,967,137	-29.8%	1,305	-278	$1,507	$285,129,855	10
Sep 24–26	10	$1,247,006	-36.6%	907	-398	$1,375	$287,053,292	11
Oct 1–3	12	$904,208	-27.5%	625	-282	$1,447	$288,405,376	12
Oct 8–10	18	$492,311	-45.6%	403	-222	$1,222	$289,183,607	13

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Guessing  like O/U $6m for Dunkirk on Monday. Something like 5.5m is probably the worst case.

Edited July 25, 2017 by Jayhawk

[Cochofles]

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Once upon a time a movie releasing in July and enjoying strong summer weekdays, still managed to drop at most 39% for first 12 weekends...

 

Jul 16–18	1	$62,785,337	-	3,792	-	$16,557	$62,785,337	1
Jul 23–25	1	$42,725,012	-32.0%	3,792	-	$11,267	$142,883,424	2
Jul 30–Aug 1	1	$27,485,245	-35.7%	3,545	-247	$7,753	$193,313,741	3
Aug 6–8	2	$18,505,470	-32.7%	3,418	-127	$5,414	$227,637,569	4
Aug 13–15	4	$11,285,051	-39.0%	3,120	-298	$3,617	$248,469,482	5
Aug 20–22	9	$7,838,179	-30.5%	2,401	-719	$3,265	$262,031,594	6
Aug 27–29	7	$4,876,356	-37.8%	2,070	-331	$2,356	$270,519,920	7
Sep 3–5	9	$4,572,249	-6.2%	1,704	-366	$2,683	$277,145,503	8
Sep 3–6	9	$5,884,355	+20.7%	1,704	-366	$3,453	$278,457,609	8
Sep 10–12	10	$2,802,390	-38.7%	1,583	-121	$1,770	$282,211,978	9
Sep 17–19	9	$1,967,137	-29.8%	1,305	-278	$1,507	$285,129,855	10
Sep 24–26	10	$1,247,006	-36.6%	907	-398	$1,375	$287,053,292	11
Oct 1–3	12	$904,208	-27.5%	625	-282	$1,447	$288,405,376	12
Oct 8–10	18	$492,311	-45.6%	403	-222	$1,222	$289,183,607	13

Wow. Inception was a WOM monster.

Wonder Woman-level indeed.

[titanic2187]

9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Once upon a time a movie releasing in July and enjoying strong summer weekdays, still managed to drop at most 39% for first 12 weekends...

 

Jul 16–18	1	$62,785,337	-	3,792	-	$16,557	$62,785,337	1
Jul 23–25	1	$42,725,012	-32.0%	3,792	-	$11,267	$142,883,424	2
Jul 30–Aug 1	1	$27,485,245	-35.7%	3,545	-247	$7,753	$193,313,741	3
Aug 6–8	2	$18,505,470	-32.7%	3,418	-127	$5,414	$227,637,569	4
Aug 13–15	4	$11,285,051	-39.0%	3,120	-298	$3,617	$248,469,482	5
Aug 20–22	9	$7,838,179	-30.5%	2,401	-719	$3,265	$262,031,594	6
Aug 27–29	7	$4,876,356	-37.8%	2,070	-331	$2,356	$270,519,920	7
Sep 3–5	9	$4,572,249	-6.2%	1,704	-366	$2,683	$277,145,503	8
Sep 3–6	9	$5,884,355	+20.7%	1,704	-366	$3,453	$278,457,609	8
Sep 10–12	10	$2,802,390	-38.7%	1,583	-121	$1,770	$282,211,978	9
Sep 17–19	9	$1,967,137	-29.8%	1,305	-278	$1,507	$285,129,855	10
Sep 24–26	10	$1,247,006	-36.6%	907	-398	$1,375	$287,053,292	11
Oct 1–3	12	$904,208	-27.5%	625	-282	$1,447	$288,405,376	12
Oct 8–10	18	$492,311	-45.6%	403	-222	$1,222	$289,183,607	13

Date(click to view chart)	Rank	WeekendGross	%Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week#
May 29–31	1	$68,108,790	-	3,766	-	$18,085	$68,108,790	1
Jun 5–7	2	$44,138,266	-35.2%	3,818	+52	$11,561	$137,210,701	2
Jun 12–14	2	$30,762,280	-30.3%	3,886	+68	$7,916	$187,425,989	3
Jun 19–21	3	$23,492,677	-23.6%	3,832	-54	$6,131	$226,268,932	4
Jun 26–28	4	$13,061,737	-44.4%	3,487	-345	$3,746	$250,234,554	5
Jul 3–5	6	$6,521,389	-50.1%	2,656	-831	$2,455	$264,816,694	6
Jul 10–12	8	$4,715,746	-27.7%	2,201	-455	$2,143	$273,834,761	7
Jul 17–19	8	$3,172,014	-32.7%	1,706	-495	$1,859	$279,583,282	8
Jul 24–26	11	$1,687,307	-46.8%	1,070	-636	$1,577	$283,690,231	9
Jul 31–Aug 2	16	$1,174,631	-30.4%	726	-344	$1,618	$286,053,296	10
Aug 7–9	19	$624,966	-46.8%	431	-295	$1,450	$287,392,452	11
Aug 14–16	22	$409,504	-34.5%	293	-138	$1,398	$288,223,782	12
Aug 21–23	25	$317,602	-22.4%	227	-66	$1,399	$288,827,973	13
Aug 28–30	19	$649,188	+104%	392	+165	$1,656	$289,639,811	14
Sep 4–6	20	$730,953	+12.6%	418	+26	$1,749	$290,631,082	15
Sep 4–7	20	$966,434	+48.9%	418	+26	$2,312	$290,866,563	15

 

 

This is not much behind......

[YM!]

YourMother's top ten most impressive (2009-2017) modern box office runs:

10.) Sing and Zootopia

9.) Frozen and Inside Out

8.) Guardians 1/Jurassic World

7.) Deadpool

6.) The Hangover

5.) The Avengers/American Sniper

4.) Inception 

3.) Wonder Woman

2.) Get Out

1.) Avatar

Edited July 25, 2017 by YourMother

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

YourMother's top ten most impressive (2009-2017) modern box office runs:

10.) Sing and Zootopia

9.) Frozen and Inside Out

8.) Guardians 1

7.) Deadpool

6.) The Hangover

5.) The Avengers

4.) Inception 

3.) Wonder Woman

2.) Get Out

1.) Avatar

 

American Sniper probably deserves consideration for any list like this. 

[Finnick]

3 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

This is not much behind......

AHHH, UP. The first 10mn of UP is the best thing happened in the movie history. I dont understand why Disney didnt push it past $300M? One of Pixar's jewels,

[YM!]

5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

American Sniper probably deserves consideration for any list like this. 

I forgot about American Sniper. I'll edit it.

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Date(click to view chart)	Rank	WeekendGross	%Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week#
May 29–31	1	$68,108,790	-	3,766	-	$18,085	$68,108,790	1
Jun 5–7	2	$44,138,266	-35.2%	3,818	+52	$11,561	$137,210,701	2
Jun 12–14	2	$30,762,280	-30.3%	3,886	+68	$7,916	$187,425,989	3
Jun 19–21	3	$23,492,677	-23.6%	3,832	-54	$6,131	$226,268,932	4
Jun 26–28	4	$13,061,737	-44.4%	3,487	-345	$3,746	$250,234,554	5
Jul 3–5	6	$6,521,389	-50.1%	2,656	-831	$2,455	$264,816,694	6
Jul 10–12	8	$4,715,746	-27.7%	2,201	-455	$2,143	$273,834,761	7
Jul 17–19	8	$3,172,014	-32.7%	1,706	-495	$1,859	$279,583,282	8
Jul 24–26	11	$1,687,307	-46.8%	1,070	-636	$1,577	$283,690,231	9
Jul 31–Aug 2	16	$1,174,631	-30.4%	726	-344	$1,618	$286,053,296	10
Aug 7–9	19	$624,966	-46.8%	431	-295	$1,450	$287,392,452	11
Aug 14–16	22	$409,504	-34.5%	293	-138	$1,398	$288,223,782	12
Aug 21–23	25	$317,602	-22.4%	227	-66	$1,399	$288,827,973	13
Aug 28–30	19	$649,188	+104%	392	+165	$1,656	$289,639,811	14
Sep 4–6	20	$730,953	+12.6%	418	+26	$1,749	$290,631,082	15
Sep 4–7	20	$966,434	+48.9%	418	+26	$2,312	$290,866,563	15

 

 

This is not much behind......

That's a solid comp. One of the best original runs for Pixar. Only behind Nemo and IO I believe...

 

Am nitpicking here, but will add that mid July weekdays steal more from weekends than early June, and animation is a leggier medium, so Inception not showing bigger drops in the first 2-3 weekends is more impressive.

[Brainbug]

20 minutes ago, YourMother said:

YourMother's top ten most impressive (2009-2017) modern box office runs:

10.) Sing and Zootopia

9.) Frozen and Inside Out

8.) Guardians 1

7.) Deadpool

6.) The Hangover

5.) The Avengers/American Sniper

4.) Inception 

3.) Wonder Woman

2.) Get Out

1.) Avatar

 

I just me but i think JW run was more impressive because it came out of nowhere. The Avengers was a highly anticipated SH event movie so it was expected to do great numbers.

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

I just me but i think JW run was more impressive because it came out of nowhere. The Avengers was a highly anticipated SH event movie so it was expected to do great numbers.

Avengers was looking at $150M OW a few days before release and only some thought over DH2, and became the first movie to open over $200M and the highest grossing superhero movie ever along with yanking the number #3 domestically and as the highest non James Cameron movie both domestic and worldwide. Until JW and SWTFA. JW I'd say would be number 7.

[JohnnyGossamer]

36 minutes ago, Cochofles said:

Wow. Inception was a WOM monster.

Wonder Woman-level indeed.

Honestly, a cut above Woman Woman in the WOM and legs departments. Pretty distinct cut above. It almost had a 4.7 multiplier.

[Premium George]

JW was coming from a franchise that already had two films with OW record. Avengers was much more impressive.

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Avengers was looking at $150M OW a few days before release and only some thought over DH2, and became the first movie to open over $200M and the highest grossing superhero movie ever along with yanking the number #3 domestically and as the highest non James Cameron movie both domestic and worldwide. Until JW and SWTFA. JW I'd say would be number 7.

JW was tracking much lower than 150 and pulled a better multiplier with stiff competition from Inside Out for family audiences. 

[JohnnyGossamer]

4 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

JW was coming from a franchise that already had two films with OW record. Avengers was much more impressive.

Eh... Pretty equally impressive. The two most impressive summer blockbusters since Dark Knight. Looking forward to the next summer when we actually see mammoth breakout like Spider-man, Pirates 2, Shrek 2, Dark Knight, Avengers or Jurassic World. Wonder Woman's a great story and the legs are outstanding but it's not remotely close to the admissions of the aforementioned. Pretty sure all of 'em adjust to at least $220M more than Wonder Woman will finish with DOM.

Edited July 25, 2017 by JohnnyGossamer

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Eh... Pretty equally impressive. The two most impressive summer blockbusters since Dark Knight. Looking forward to the next summer when we actually see mammoth breakout like Spider-man, Dark Knight, Avengers or Jurassic World.

I'd argue Dory (to a lesser extent) and WW were impressive summer blockbusters