WEEKEND THREAD | ANNABELLE 2 - $35m; DUNKIRK - $11.4m; NUT JOB 2 - $8.9m; BABY DRIVER Crosses $100m!!!

[filmlover]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Step expanded pretty poorly despite Fox attaching the trailer to CU and Gifted. I have to wonder what the next BIG documentary will be that can actually get people to the theater.

Unfortunately, I think streaming has become the way to go for documentaries.

[Ms Lady Hawk]

6 minutes ago, Subzero said:

I quoted OD, not OW.

I did not write that you did. I think your post was clear. I was just adding to it.

[Jonwo]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Step expanded pretty poorly despite Fox attaching the trailer to CU and Gifted. I have to wonder what the next BIG documentary will be that can actually get people to the theater.

Have documentaries ever been big apart from Fahrenheit 9/11? The Disneynature ones do okay but I think people don't to see real life when they go to the movies. Shame as I love big screen documentaries like The September Issue, The First Monday in May etc

Just now, filmlover said:

Unfortunately, I think streaming has become the way to go for documentaries.

I think there is a market for feature length documentaries but they're never going to be huge moneymakers.

[Zakiyyah6]

The box office is going to be so dull after this weekend until IT comes out.

[Brainbug]

8 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

The box office is going to be so dull after this weekend until IT comes out.

 

IT Follows a strong marketing campaign and lots of hype. It comes mostly at night shows but that is to be expected.

 

Spoiler

Im so sorry.

 

Edited August 13, 2017 by Brainbug

[Damianport1]

Dunkirk its going to make 200, quite easily imho.

[Deja23]

1 hour ago, Subzero said:

 

It opened in Japan this week .... OD is $3M per Oliver, which is below TASM2 and most if not all Spidey OD in Japan.

 

I'm pretty clueless about the box office in general and apologize if I'm asking something that should be obvious. But how is SMH's OD lower than TASM2's if the former opened to 3m OD for a 7.1m OW, while later opened to a 4.1m OW according to box office mojo (I'm not sure what its OD was)? Is it a theater count issue, the numbers are inaccurate or am I missing something?

[Barnack]

3 hours ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

Nope. It's literally not close. I know you like "!mother" and want success for movie, but don't lie yourself: result is pretty average.

Do you have a list of comparable for non franchise horror movie after 5/6 days ? That show that it is in the average.

 

http://www.boxofficereport.com/trailerviews/trailerviews.html

Get out got less views for all is combined trailers over like 6 months, Split did 12 million over a long time (and both those movie got a little boost when they reviews came out, when ticket started to sells, etc...), Happy Death Day started over a month ago and is at 5.2m, Mother is already at 7.26m in comparison.

 

It does seem to be a bit above average.

Edited August 13, 2017 by Barnack

[Zakiyyah6]

Happy that Edgar Wright has a 100mil domestic hit and an original film too! Bravo to a great director.

 

Happy to see that Sandberg has another decently reviewed (and great reviews for a horror movie lets face it) hit after Lights Out, which I really enjoyed. I'll wait for the Blu Ray for Annabelle but good for him. Looking forward to what he does with Shazam. Annabelle should hit 70+mil with an actual of probably 34mil. And much more internationally.

 

Girls Trip will be hitting 100mil soon. Amazing for a film that didn't have a fraction of the media attention of Rough Night.

 

Spidey's doing very good. Continues it's good recovery. Should end between 325-335mil. Can't be disappointed with that result.

 

Wonder Woman continues to kill it. Still hasn't had over a 45% drop. Amazing. Watch out my beloved 2002 Spider-Man. Wonder Woman's performance is so good that I'm starting to get bored. It is very close to a 3.9 multi, which nobody predicted would happen.

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

1 hour ago, Matrix4You said:

so is Game of THrones supposed to be big tonight, or is it just going to be like a rerun (or a not as anticipated continuation like Divergent 3)

It's the reprocussions of the loot train attack and the continuation of one of the series' most well receicved and the highest rated episode.So yeah it's a big one.But it's GoT...every episode is big when it comes to attracting audiences.

Edited August 13, 2017 by TheDarkKnightOfSteel

[WrathOfHan]

Good article on Logan Lucky's distribution and marketing: http://deadline.com/2017/08/logan-lucky-peter-bart-studios-wont-be-wishing-soderbergh-much-luck-as-he-plans-to-break-rules-on-new-film-1202145745/

[MrPink]

15 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

Dunkirk its going to make 200, quite easily imho.

 

Seems very difficult without a Spectre like fudge to me.

[redfirebird2008]

Dunkirk should be able to reach $430m worldwide from current markets. Would need $70m combined from China, Japan, Italy, and Greece to reach $500m. I think $475m seems like a pretty good bet at this point. 

Edited August 13, 2017 by redfirebird2008

[MrPink]

4 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Dunkirk should be able to reach $430m worldwide from current markets. Would need $70m combined from China, Japan, Italy, and Greece to reach $500m. I think $475m seems like a pretty good bet at this point. 

 

SPR's WW total of 481 million seems pretty attainable. 500 seems like a slight stretch to me but still doable

[Frozen]

I'm at Annabelle 2 and everyone here is elderly. It's bizarre. They are using canes and everything. I mean it is 2pm on a Sunday but still. What a strange audience for a horror film. 

[Zakiyyah6]

Yeah I think my thinking for Dunkirk's international numbers was a tad overzealous. 

[Fancyarcher]

Good number for Annabelle, and that's a great drop for Dunkirk. It's gonna end with a number around 180m at this point. Deserved too.

2 hours ago, Boxofficerules said:

Nut Job 2 must be the worst opening for 4000 + screens, what where they thinking?

Valerian and the city of dropping numbers, ha.

1 hour ago, MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie said:

I went to see Wonder Woman at the local discount theater (its first weekend there), and was surprised to see that Valerian was already there!

 

I didn't know films could show up in discount theaters that quickly.

 

If the poor does poor enough, it can go the discount theater very quickly.

[ZattMurdock]

1 hour ago, Diana Prince said:

Scott Mendelson's article today said that Homecoming made 7.1 million in Japan this weekend.

And it did. More than TASM/TASM2 weekend, and due to the fact that Spider-Man is the most popular western superhero, I find it pretty hard to not make to $30m-$40m total. I'm no specialist in Japan, but my experience with Spider-Man films tell me that it'll be leggier than most are predicting at the moment.

 

There's also the fact that OS total for Homecoming jumped from $377m to $395m, and I don't think that is including $7m from Japan, at least BOM isn't showing. Homecoming still has Japan to open, and I do think it can make more $30m from the domestic market. It's bound to become the highest grossing superhero film of the year worldwide so far topping Vol. 2, with actual good chances of going over SM3's $890m.

[ZattMurdock]

38 minutes ago, Deja23 said:

I'm pretty clueless about the box office in general and apologize if I'm asking something that should be obvious. But how is SMH's OD lower than TASM2's if the former opened to 3m OD for a 7.1m OW, while later opened to a 4.1m OW according to box office mojo (I'm not sure what its OD was)? Is it a theater count issue, the numbers are inaccurate or am I missing something?

Subzero is incorrect, you are right. It opened above both TASM films.

[Brainbug]

5 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

And it did. More than TASM/TASM2 weekend, and due to the fact that Spider-Man is the most popular western superhero, I find it pretty hard to not make to $30m-$40m total. I'm no specialist in Japan, but my experience with Spider-Man films tell me that it'll be leggier than most are predicting at the moment.

 

There's also the fact that OS total for Homecoming jumped from $377m to $395m, and I don't think that is including $7m from Japan, at least BOM isn't showing. Homecoming still has Japan to open, and I do think it can make more $30m from the domestic market. It's bound to become the highest grossing superhero film of the year worldwide so far topping Vol. 2, with actual good chances of going over SM3's $890m.

 

BOM updates the OS total with all markets on Sunday, regardless if the individual gross of new markets are shown. So that 395M does include Japan, but you will see the exact weekend number on the OS country chart not before Tuesday i think. 

 

Anyway, Spidey has a great run.