Weak-end Thread | Hitman's Bodyguard 21.6M; Annabelle 15.5M; Logan Lucky 8M; Dunkirk 6.7M | Wonder Woman beats Spider-Man and is now at 404M

[Mojoguy]

Wow at Logan Lucky. Remember when people thought Channing Tatum was a draw?

FOX is going to axe Tatum's Gambit movie for sure now.

[CJohn]

Annabelle is at nearly 100M OS holy crap.

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, Manchester by the Tree said:

1	N	The Hitman's Bodyguard	LG/S	$21,600,000	-	3,377	-	$6,396	$21,600,000	$29	1
2	1	Annabelle: Creation	WB (NL)	$15,500,000	-55.7%	3,542	+40	$4,376	$64,044,221	$15	2
3	N	Logan Lucky	BST	$8,050,182	-	3,031	-	$2,656	$8,050,182	$29	1
4	2	Dunkirk	WB	$6,700,000	-38.4%	3,271	-491	$2,048	$165,508,079	$100	5
5	3	The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature	ORF	$5,113,278	-38.7%	4,003	-	$1,277	$17,696,923	$40	2
6	6	The Emoji Movie	Sony	$4,350,000	-32.6%	2,791	-428	$1,559	$71,767,352	$50	4
7	7	Spider-Man: Homecoming	Sony	$4,250,000	-29.4%	2,341	-266	$1,815	$314,051,381	$175	7
8	5	Girls Trip	Uni.	$3,844,030	-40.6%	2,010	-293	$1,912	$103,986,175	$19	5
9	4	The Dark Tower	Sony	$3,720,000	-52.4%	3,143	-308	$1,184	$41,604,378	$60	3
10	20	Wind River	Wein.	$3,025,236	+385.9%	694	+649	$4,359	$4,138,505	$11	3
11	8	Kidnap (2017)	Aviron	$2,860,000	-43.9%	2,345	-73	$1,220	$24,425,683	$21	3
12	9	The Glass Castle	LGF	$2,550,000	-45.5%	1,461	-	$1,745	$9,706,381	-	2
13	10	Atomic Blonde	Focus	$2,240,085	-50.0%	1,628	-465	$1,376	$47,218,940	$30	4
14	12	Despicable Me 3	Uni.	$2,039,710	-34.8%	1,551	-462	$1,315	$251,740,230	$80	8
15	11	War for the Planet of the Apes	Fox	$1,975,000	-45.2%	1,608	-490	$1,228	$140,922,203	$150	6
16	15	Wonder Woman	WB	$1,100,000	-24.0%	803	-158	$1,370	$404,008,376	$149	12
17	14	The Big Sick	LGF	$1,025,000	-30.0%	618	-91	$1,659	$38,090,430	-	9
18	16	Baby Driver	TriS	$875,000	-39.3%	683	-182	$1,281	$101,708,441	$34	8
19	13	Detroit	Annapurna	$850,000	-70.5%	1,428	-1,579	$595	$15,518,463	$34	4
20	18	An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power	Par.	$300,000	-63.2%	514	-42	$584	$2,993,649	$1	4
21	23	Cars 3	BV	$267,000	-19.1%	247	-61	$1,081	$148,790,767	-	10
22	22	A Taxi Driver	WGUSA	$266,000	-19.8%	41	-	$6,488	$842,550	-	2
23	28	Menashe	A24	$230,130	+33.4%	86	+39	$2,676	$715,312	-	4
24	30	47 Meters Down	ENTMP	$219,000	+46.1%	146	-27	$1,500	$43,653,067	$5.5	10
25	24	Step (2017)	FoxS	$205,000	-23.0%	306	+121	$670	$809,253	-	3
26	21	Wolf Warrior 2	HC	$204,000	-50.7%	50	-2	$4,080	$2,343,307	$30.1	4
27	26	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$185,000	-28.0%	195	-15	$949	$389,192,395	$200	16
28	36	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$183,000	+65.0%	184	+59	$995	$171,809,932	$230	13
29	35	Good Time	A24	$173,044	+38.3%	20	+16	$8,652	$349,007	-	2
30	25	Transformers: The Last Knight	Par.	$170,000	-35.7%	224	-31	$759	$130,098,855	$217	9
31	43	Brigsby Bear	SPC	$159,133	+211.3%	408	+371	$390	$354,900	-	4
32	29	Maudie	SPC	$124,451	-23.9%	124	-39	$1,004	$5,638,829	-	19
33	49	The Trip to Spain	IFC	$70,889	+73.4%	19	+16	$3,731	$129,889	-	2
34	N	Patti Cake$	FoxS	$66,000	-	14	-	$4,714	$66,000	-	1
35	N	The Adventurers	WGUSA	$65,000	-	17	-	$3,824	$65,000	-	1
36	45	Columbus	INDEP	$44,450	-0.9%	12	+5	$3,704	$152,761	-	3
37	42	The Midwife	MBox	$34,488	-34.1%	37	-6	$932	$397,886	-	5
38	40	The Little Hours	G&S	$33,290	-44.1%	39	-21	$854	$1,509,962	-	8
39	48	A Ghost Story	A24	$27,846	-33.3%	39	-18	$714	$1,517,996	$0.1	7
40	-	Crown Heights	IFC	$27,552	-	3	-	$9,184	$27,552	-	0
41	N	Marjorie Prime	FR	$24,000	-	6	-	$4,000	$24,000	-	1
42	N	Gook	Gold.	$15,550	-	2	-	$7,775	$31,100	-	1
43	N	Dave Made a Maze	Grav.	$13,178	-	13	-	$1,014	$13,178	-	1
44	N	Lycan	PDF	$4,860	-	5	-	$972	$4,860	-	1
45	100	City of Ghosts	IFC	$2,080	+107.2%	13	+2	$160	$122,425	-	7
TOTAL (45 MOVIES):				$94,782,462	-18.8%	43,092	-395	$2,200

So, Spidey has best drop of the top 10, will get me my $325M Casino best win by Labor Day and is on path to the numbers I posted 4ish weeks ago, when I said I expected $337.5M (and up to a 3.0x if everything went right) with how it was doing compared to other similar previous July supers at that time, knowing the crap coming this August...I'm gonna give Ijack his "amazing" Spidey comeback, b/c it has been...and I'm happy to have been in his corner even after weekend #2, b/c someone had to keep his spirits up - just makes the payoff better at the end:)...

 

So makes up for me bombing comedy and horror expectations all summer...I'm gonna stay in the family and supers lane, b/c that's the lane I live it right now thanks to kids:)...

 

And on that note...Leap...not gonna Leap up next weekend...it's really an over/under Nut Job 2 weekend club if ever there was one...

[MrPink]

Channing Tatum hasn't exactly picked the most accessible projects in recent years and that's totally fine. He has grown tremendously as an actor was my thought yesterday while watching Logan Lucky.

 

And Kingsman should pick his spirits up.

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, MrPink said:

Channing Tatum hasn't exactly picked the most accessible projects in recent years and that's totally fine. He has grown tremendously as an actor was my thought yesterday while watching Logan Lucky.

 

And Kingsman should pick his spirits up.

Agreed. We need some more Gambit-accent Tatum. His full southern accent in Logan Lucky is good, but it's missing something, y'know?

Edited August 20, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Seeing THB with my dad in a couple of hours. @Stutterng baumer Denbrough @Nova you two better not be bullshitting me  

[Fancyarcher]

1 hour ago, John Marston said:

150m official dead for Apes. 145m more likely

A shame, since it really is a great film.

[Nova]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Seeing THB with my dad in a couple of hours. @Stutterng baumer Denbrough @Nova you two better not be bullshitting me  

The pressure is on then. 

[MrPink]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Agreed. We need some more Gambit-accent Tatum. His full southern accent in Logan Lucky is good, but it's missing something, y'know?

 

FUCK YEAH

[WrathOfHan]

HOLY FUCK @ BRIGSBY BEAR'S $390 PTA         

[CJohn]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

HOLY FUCK @ BRIGSBY BEAR'S $390 PTA         

Hilarious stuff.

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Hilarious stuff.

I can't remember the last time a fairly high profile indie like Brigsby bombed THIS badly. It's playing by me, but I don't know if I'll have time to catch it this week. I might be out of luck if they put it down to one show late at night next week like they did with A Ghost Story  

Edited August 20, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Rumpot]

20 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:

Yeah, in this sense it reminds of streaming services in the music industry.  Basically Spotify pushed a price point that would lead to MAJOR decreases in revenue for the traditional chains but it was at a cost that consumers were willing to pay.  I was with MoviePass since Beta but I bailed when it hit 50 in Nashville and they started capping the number of users per day that could see a movie based on geographic location.  You're right, if you see more than 4 movies a month it was still viable but I reached a point where I felt OBLIGED to go see movies because of what I was paying and it was starting to feel like a chore instead of a hobby.  Even if they would go back to the 30/month price point I would stay.  But the $99 plan they were doing in the end for all movies including 3D and IMAX was nuts and was for a VERY niche audience.  Seems to me like this was more about raising awareness of the company than anything.

I definitely get the comparisons to streaming, but this is different in the huge overhead theaters have (rent, electricity, labor, etc).  I'm sure Moviepass can grab a lot of users right away - selling $2 for $1 tends to have that effect.  The power over movie theaters as a result of this user base is something they will need to prove - they are a tiny company that can't survive more than a few months without external funding.  I buy that their user base will be valuable movie-goers, but I don't think that gives them any leverage to demand kickbacks from movie chains and certainly not to threaten them.  If they decide to exclude Regal/AMC/Cinemark/Marcus, etc that will hurt them the most. 

 

A moviepass variation that I could see succeeding is that a low priced cost covers movies after their first 2 weeks of release and you need a premium pass to watch movies anytime.  This could be a good answer to PVOD if that meaningfully moves forward.

 

 

 

[FantasticBeasts]

Holly crap at that Annabelle hold!!

Clearly showing signs of frontloadness!!!

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, FantasticBeasts said:

Holly crap at that Annabelle hold!!

Clearly showing signs of frontloadness!!!

I mean, it isn't a terrible hold, but let's not act like it's amazing. 55.7% isn't anything to be proud about  

Edited August 20, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[CJohn]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I mean, it isn't a terrible hold, but let's not act like it's amazing. 55.7% isn't anything to be proud about  

It is better than the first Annabelle and The Conjuring 2 and far above the doom and gloom projections from early in the week.

[FantasticBeasts]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

I mean, it isn't a terrible hold, but let's not act like it's amazing. 55.7% isn't anything to be proud about  

It is a very good hold. Especially for a horror sequel.Weren't you all assuring everyone that it was droping +60%? 

I mean, maybe not anything spectacular (I exaggerated a bit), but certainly a very nice result.

 

[JB33]

Yeah I'm pretty happy with that hold for Annabelle. 

 

Fantastic holds all around, which was expected.

[Napoleon]

 

@YourMother

 

[HenryMeyers20]

Why Logan Lucky opening is not bad as has been reported and Steven Soderbergh marketing plan actually works:

 

If they had went with a studio conventional distribution, this movie would had been a true flop. They would have spent $30-$40m on P&A and open only at $18m.

A conventional strategy would look like this:

(-$29M budget)+(-$35m P&A)+(-$35m Foreign P&A)+($18m b/o)+(-15% b/o distribution fee)+(-50% Theater take)= -92.7

 

Steven Soderbergh strategy:

(-$29m budget+Foreign distribution sell)= $0

(-$20 P&A+Amazon first right streaming sell)=$0

(distribution fee)=$0

($8m b/o-50% theater take)=+$4m

This shows even an studio type P&A and $10m more ow would have been worse.

Soderbergh's experiment actually works.

 

The media focus on box office numbers in the tradition and conventional way, they should focus on the actual finances of each movie