Wrath Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 7 minutes ago, John Marston said: Disagree. Under 700m domestic and overseas wasn't predicted by anyone so there is some disappointment there automatically. Even after opening weekend people were saying numbers like 850m I went with exactly 700m in the Winter game. I figure that's at least a moral victory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 700 is perfectly fine but based on the opening it should have flown past it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 (edited) Heh, I went with $222M OW, $700M DOM, and 1.5B WW. I feel pretty good about those. I actually think we're starting to see a bit of SW-fatigue. Not in the sense of dragging them genuinely down, but 3 years in a row (with more to come) will eventually bring SW down to conventional blockbuster status. Edited December 29, 2017 by Wrath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Christmas baumer said: Gotta love it when people tell you that you are crazy and that there is a 0% chance of it happening and that it will gross less than Clones adjusted HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHA Wow you guys seriously needed some more SW fanboys because those are bizarre reactions. I think every reasonable SW fan understood beating Avatar was a 50-50 chance at worst. It wasn’t at all unlikely. There has never been a more likely #1 actually. I can’t believe people thought a STAR WARS movie would make $400M or something when it’s the first movie in 10 years in 2015. Holy shit maybe if you’re 16 years old and still learning box office history, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 9 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said: 700 is perfectly fine but based on the opening it should have flown past it. I don’t think it will get to 700. Titanic at 659 is the goal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Just now, redfirebird2008 said: I don’t think it will get to 700. Titanic at 659 is the goal. I am bit sceptical to, will have to see how it does on this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REC Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Krissykins said: A drop worldwide of about 70m tickets. I just did a $600m grosser with BOM est tickets. It’s impossible to be more exact due to overseas pricing. A lack of repeat viewings from a wide swath of the fanbase, casual and hardcore. To be fair it may not be a statement on the movie, could just be more people are satisfied to do repeat viewings later on bluray/streaming for whatever reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: I don’t think it will get to 700. Titanic at 659 is the goal. It stopping at 658 would make me explode. Not only missing Titanic by 1M, but missing the 3 multi by 2M. Thankfully, TLJ beating Titanic/reaching 660M is still very much possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdo Mandingo Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 5 hours ago, Lordmandeep said: Film should do 60 million this weekend So you basically predict each weekend day will perform just about like Thursday? Seems pretty unlikely. Even with just decent weekend bumps this thing will be pushing 70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 10 minutes ago, Brainbug said: It stopping at 658 would make me explode. Not only missing Titanic by 1M, but missing the 3 multi by 2M. Thankfully, TLJ beating Titanic/reaching 660M is still very much possible. 660 for 3x multiplier would be a nice result at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, jjack339 said: So you basically predict each weekend day will perform just about like Thursday? Seems pretty unlikely. Even with just decent weekend bumps this thing will be pushing 70. It’s not a normal weekend. Crapload of people were off work and school for those daily numbers this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACSlater Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 58 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said: Finally seeing Jumanji. Last day of work. Then on vacay for ten days. But I don't start till 1. So Jumanji it is. Is your vacation schedule just built like that? Just throws me off with the 1st being the start date rather than the big holiday break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdo Mandingo Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: It’s not a normal weekend. Crapload of people were off work and school for those daily numbers this week. of course, but a lot of people are working this week, especially wed-fri. to only hit 60m it would need very little increase Friday, and Saturday then a harder drop on sunday. I see more of a 23-24 Friday, 27-28 sat, and 17-18 NYE (NYE is not a good BO day, but not as harsh as CMAS eve). I see 65m+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 I predicted 660m, so I win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Just now, jjack339 said: of course, but a lot of people are working this week, especially wed-fri. to only hit 60m it would need very little increase Friday, and Saturday then a harder drop on sunday. I see more of a 23-24 Friday, 27-28 sat, and 17-18 NYE (NYE is not a good BO day, but not as harsh as CMAS eve). I see 65m+ 64-65, I would agree with that. Could go higher but could go lower too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the beast Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 BoxOfficeReport.com @BORReport 1m1 minute ago More Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle grossed an estimated $15.0M on Thursday. Total gross stands at $119.25M. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 @jjack339 Rogue One jumped 9% on the same Friday last year. 20% or larger jump that you projected for Last Jedi might be too generous. We’ll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Wouldn’t surprise me if TLJ drops down to RO #s after Monday and stays either on par or slightly behind it after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Brainbug said: I never understood why people were so hard on AOU's gross. It grossed more than TA1 overseas and experienced a sizable, but not too bad drop from the first DOM. Its still the third-highest grossing SH of all time DOM only behind the cultural phenomenons that were TDK and TA1. Its the highest grossing SH movie of all time OS. Calling that an underperformance seems illogical. I think for people that started to follow box office late 2000, early 2010, they got use to a small windows when it was common for sequels to growth (3D boosting pricing a lot, China coming from not even be in consideration to adding 9 figures to the movie box office and overall world market growth). You could see it in the conversation of the DCEU being just the x first entry, has if it was certain that their sequels would growth, instead of the almost always drop of the past. Ticket pricing stabilized, China growth was almost nill for hollywood title in 2015-2016, world market growth in part because of exchange rate slowed, and since that late 2014 exchange rate drop and 3d sequel or already 3d movie we got more back to the sequels of big successful movie making less paradigm. Has for illogical to call it an under-performance being illogical, not sure I agree, it has been interpreted has the opening Disney used to remove Marvel people in control of their studios and took direct control out of it, would it have happened if Ultron have not underperformed in their mind ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Can see something like this for 4 day fri: 23 sat: 25 sun:14 mon: 18 80m 4 day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
