NCsoft Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Fyi 0.9A means 2.5b as worldwide is a far more important value. Agree it was a good drop but not quite Avatar anti gravity which is why this will fall short of it DOM. It will be almost a billion away from from Avatar WW without china but thanks to china it could beat titanic WW. Which is a shame because Avatar held the highest grossing record in China for 4 years even despite how much smaller the market was in china in 2009. It's fair to assume Avatar would have grossed atleast 700m in china now but it only made 200m. 3.2b btw Rare for you to underestimate things Even Wolf Warrior 2 can do $870M in China, and Avatar felt significantly bigger than that. Anyway, I'm mentally preparing myself for Titanic WW being surpassed, I kind of dread it, but also happy for IW if it does surpass Titanic. Doesn't change the fact that Titanic has probably the most impressive worldwide box office run ever. Like for every record in box office, inflation and market expansion eventually catches up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, NCsoft said: Rare for you to underestimate things Even Wolf Warrior 2 can do $870M in China, and Avatar felt significantly bigger than that. Anyway, I'm mentally preparing myself for Titanic WW being surpassed, I kind of dread it, but also happy for IW if it does surpass Titanic. Doesn't change the fact that Titanic has probably the most impressive worldwide box office run ever. Like for every record in box office, inflation and market expansion eventually catches up. Titanic does have the most impressive BO run, that an Independence day 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 33 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Prett expected.. like i said a few days ago. This is going to run like TA until films actually start being released then it slow down. Problem is most of its gross is made by then, im still expecting around 700m Deadpool 2 opens at the end of IW’s 3rd week. TA had a 1st:3rd week multi of 476.7/270.0=1.765 This Thurs figure puts IW’s first week at 338.5, so we’d have about 338.5*1.765=597.6 before the big competition shows up. From there it would need to make 163M to catch Avatar, or about 27.25% of its day-21 total. Thor:Ragnarok failed to do so with *very* heavy competition (21%). Spider- Man was about 26%. GotG2 24.4%. Strange 21%. Civil War 14%. Ultron 20%. So, with this model of the run Avatar does look quite safe, though passing BP looks pretty good still. I think the ~600 end of 3rd week, ~730 final numbers from this kind of run look about right for now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Jessie said: Titanic does have the most impressive BO run, that an Independence day The fact no one but Jims touched it after 20 years is hilarious 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Deadpool 2 opens at the end of IW’s 3rd week. TA had a 1st:3rd week multi of 476.7/270.0=1.765 This Thurs figure puts IW’s first week at 338.5, so we’d have about 338.5*1.765=597.6 before the big competition shows up. From there it would need to make 163M to catch Avatar, or about 27.25% of its day-21 total. Thor:Ragnarok failed to do so with *very* heavy competition (21%). Spider- Man was about 26%. GotG2 24.4%. Strange 21%. Civil War 14%. Ultron 20%. So, with this model of the run Avatar does look quite safe, though passing BP looks pretty good still. I think the ~600 end of 3rd week, ~730 final numbers from this kind of run look about right for now. Thanks for doing the maths for me I'm on my phone so it's a hassel to look up numbers and stuff. I think the staggered affect of DP2 then SOLO is going to hurt IW's post 600m prospects. Overall im expecting 710m (+-20). Edited May 4, 2018 by IronJimbo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 A:IW has been running much like TA, not AoU nor CA:CW, nor BP, nor other solo Marvel movies, nor SW movies and others. TA total domestic gross adjusted was $704M. I think A:IW will do 5-10% above this adjusted figure, so 740M to 775M final gross. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 1 hour ago, NCsoft said: Rare for you to underestimate things Even Wolf Warrior 2 can do $870M in China, and Avatar felt significantly bigger than that. Anyway, I'm mentally preparing myself for Titanic WW being surpassed, I kind of dread it, but also happy for IW if it does surpass Titanic. Doesn't change the fact that Titanic has probably the most impressive worldwide box office run ever. Like for every record in box office, inflation and market expansion eventually catches up. As far as I liked all these amazing run from IW, I don't like if Titanic surpassed by IW. Only 3 films from 90s stay in all time top 50. I need that representation in all time chart! And,Titanic is an all time epic classic that should stay as top as it can be!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 Again that isn’t bad, or good. Just standard and expected. I don’t think it’s locked for $130m this weekend. I think it’ll be closer to $120m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 Following Avengers1 very closely now. Thu number 22% of Sun. Almost exact same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VGPOP Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 This movie is behaving exactly like a weekend movie. Schools are still in session. I do expect a strong bump today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 48 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Again that isn’t bad, or good. Just standard and expected. I don’t think it’s locked for $130m this weekend. I think it’ll be closer to $120m. It's not bad or good - it's great. It's the biggest non holiday/summer Thur ever It's what's expected for a movie on its way to $700m+ domestic. You know, the usual. 9 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJG Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 2 hours ago, IronJimbo said: The fact no one but Jims touched it after 20 years is hilarious I have a question for you. I skip the first batch of present day scenes whenever I watch Titanic because I think they’re awful. Am I wrong in my thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 Just now, TalismanRing said: It's not bad or good - it's great. It's the biggest non holiday/summer Thur ever It's what's expected for a movie on its way to $700m+ domestic. You know, the usual. You're being facetious, from what we've seen so far it's expected. My260m 700m total prediction lookin real good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 (edited) 7 minutes ago, AJG said: I have a question for you. I skip the first batch of present day scenes whenever I watch Titanic because I think they’re awful. Am I wrong in my thinking? Yes, yoù gotta pay respects to bill paxton. First scenes are needed for the ending payoff. The ending wouldn't have worked without the prsent day stuff. Jack dies... cuts to black? Edited May 4, 2018 by IronJimbo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 The fact that it's consistently delivering better legs than CW and AoU is already awesome. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 AOU made around 8.6 million on Thursday CW 8.1 as Comparisons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Krissykins said: Again that isn’t bad, or good. I don't know what planet you live on but I'd say almost $16M on a Thursday boosting its total to about $340M after just 7 days is pretty fucking good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 Thursday to Weekend multi GotG2 9.11 CA3 8.90 AoU 9.02 140-143m weekend incoming -45% 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 32 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Yes, yoù gotta pay respects to bill paxton. First scenes are needed for the ending payoff. The ending wouldn't have worked without the prsent day stuff. Jack dies... cuts to black? Also the movie works much better with the framing device cause throughout the movie you're dangled with some hope that they did both survive and that lady is actually their granddaughter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 3 hours ago, Jessie said: Just imagine how many more people would be returning if this was an Avatar sequel 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
