BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[a2k]

12% bump from true Friday compared to jw's 10%

[Mojoguy]

Not bad.

Most important thing of all is that it didn't turn into another Solo.

[justvision]

2 hours ago, JB33 said:

What's going on with @Rthanos anyway. Not that I feel entitled to the numbers but we're all just so used to him coming here with them that you can't help but wonder when he doesn't show up. Hope everything is okay.

What's going on with Gitesh Pandya anyway. Not that I feel entitled to the numbers but we're all just so used to him posting early updates on Twitters shortly after Rthanos' numbers that you can't help but wonder when he doesn't do so. Hope everything is okay.

[MikeQ]

Also, a $31.3M Saturday for Incredibles 2 according to Deadline, a good 30% increase from Friday.

 

Peace,

Mike

[dxmatrixdt]

Jurassic World - 43.7 (+12%) 49.0 (-18%) 40.0 = 132.7 / 148.0

 

Incredibles 2 - 24.0 (+31%) 31.5 (-19%) 25.5 = 81.0

[Krissykins]

That’s a really strong Saturday hold. 

 

Only falling 2% more than Jurassic World, and a smaller drop with previews included is impressive. 

 

 

[That One Girl]

Incredibles 2 dropped quite a bit this weekend.  Guess it’s playing more like an average tentpole than a family film.

[Brainbug]

I mean, yeah its a great number, but its also Deadline. I just dont trust them as much as RTH. I hope hes just taking some free time or something like that and nothing serious has happened.

Edited June 24, 2018 by Brainbug

[Krissykins]

7 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I mean, yeah its a great number, but its also Deadline. I just dont trust them as much as RTH. I hope hes just taking some free time or something like that and nothing serious has happened.

I think he texted Baumer yesterday so hopefully all is well. 

[RealLyre]

almost $150M 

[Stewart]

37 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Incredibles 2 dropped quite a bit this weekend.  Guess it’s playing more like an average tentpole than a family film.

Or maybe it's because a film just opened to $140m+ 

[dxmatrixdt]

daily predictions following this weekend prediction

 

6/29 - 7/1 prediction

Spoiler

next week

(---) 4,475 Jurassic World - 61.00 (-59%) 273.00

(---) 4,410 Incredibles 2 - 48.00 (-42%) 451.00

(---) 3,000 Sicario - 15.00 (new) 16.25

(---) 2,700 Uncle Drew - 8.85 (new) 9.50

(-356) 3,300 Oceans 8 - 7.40 (-33%) 113.40

(-382) 3,000 TAG - 4.60 (-42%) 38.90 

(-400) 2,020 Deadpool 2 - 3.20 (-36%) 310.00

(-400) 1,938 Solo - 2.90 (-32%) 207.70

(+398) 696 Won't You Be My Neighbor - 2.10 (+25%) 7.00

(-600) 1,402 Hereditary - 1.80 (-49%) 38.60

(-800) 1,420 Superfly - 1.55 (-50%) 18.15

(-450) 1,006 Infinity War - 1.50 (-40%) 672.40

 

 

day by day to 7/2 - 7/8

Spoiler

                                             Mon     Tues     Weds   Thurs - location - Fri  + Sat     + Sun -- 7/6-7/8 + (total after 7/13)

4,475 - Jurassic World -52% 9.00 + 11.40 + 12.00 + 8.00 -- 4,175 --  8.80 + 10.20 + 8.00 -- 27.00 (-55%) 340.40 (355.00)

4,410 - Incredibles 2    -45% 8.30 + 10.70 + 11.00 + 8.00 -- 3,910 --  8.80 + 10.20 + 8.00 - 27.00  (-44%) 516.00 (534.00)

                                                                Ant-Man - 10.00 -- 4,250 -- 26.40 + 29.00 + 22.60 - 78.00 (new)  88.00 (99.00) 

                                 The First Purge   2.75 + 8.25 + 5.00  -- 3,000 --   5.50  +  6.50 + 5.50  - 17.00 (new)   33.00 (40.00)

3,000 - Sicario: Soldado -50% 2.20 + 2.80  + 3.30  + 2.20 -- 3,000  --  2.40  +  3.00 + 2.40   - 7.80 (-52%)    34.55 (38.70)

2,700 - Uncle Drew        -46% 1.60 + 2.00  + 2.20   + 1.60 -- 2,700 --  1.70   +  2.10 + 1.70  - 5.50 (-42%)    22.40 (25.95)

3,300 - Oceans 8           -46%  1.60 + 2.00  + 1.80   + 1.20 -- 2,700 --  1.60   + 2.00  + 1.40  - 5.00 (-32%)   125.00 (127.85)

3,000 - TAG                    -48% 0.70 + 0.80  + 1.00   + 0.65 -- 1,800 --  0.75   + 0.85  + 0.65 -  2.25 (-51%)     44.30 (45.70)

2,020 - Deadpool 2        -49% 0.46 + 0.59  + 0.60   + 0.40 -- 1,100 --  0.45   + 0.60  + 0.45 -  1.50 (-53%)   313.55 (314.40)

1,938 - Solo: Star Wars   -47% 0.46 + 0.59  + 0.60  +  0.40 -- 1,000 -- 0.45    + 0.60  + 0.40 -  1.45 (-50%)   211.20 (212.05)

   696 - Neighbor            -46% 0.34 + 0.45  + 0.50  +  0.40 --   696  --  0.50   + 0.65  + 0.50  - 1.65 (-21%)  10.34  (11.25)

1,006 - Infinity War         -47% 0.24  + 0.28 + 0.30  +  0.20  --  500  --  0.29   + 0.31  + 0.20  - 0.80 (-47%) 674.24 (674.75) 

1,402 - Hereditary           -41% 0.30  + 0.33 + 0.30  + 0.20  --  500   -- 0.18   + 0.22   + 0.16  - 0.56 (-69%)  40.29 (40.65)

1,420 - Superfly               -51% 0.24  + 0.26 + 0.24  + 0.16  --  400  --  0.14  + 0.19   + 0.14  - 0.47 (-70%)   19.52 (19.76)

 

 

[Krissykins]

Side note: 

 

Super Troopers 2 opening weekend PTA here in the UK was under £300.00 lol 

 

Three hundred pounds. That’s like two customers per showing. 😂

[dxmatrixdt]

so my Jurassic World 10-day prediction went down 11 million with the Saturday update.  Jurassic World should approach 400 million.  400 total / 148 OW = 2.70 multiplier.

 

Incredibles 2 - 595m total.

Deadpool - 315+

Infinity War - 675+

Solo: Star Wars - 215

Oceans 8 - 140

Hereditary - 41

Superfly - 20

[a2k]

147.1 ow with these multis gives,

2.5x 367.75 dom

2.6x 382.5 dom

2.7x 397.1 dom (surely a push to 400)

[baumer]

When DL posts this late usually their numbers are pretty accurate so I would say on your way and trust them this time. And I sent rth a text message and asked him how he's doing and he just said that life and work are incredibly busy right now so you don't have a lot of time.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, baumer said:

When DL posts this late usually their numbers are pretty accurate so I would say on your way and trust them this time. And I sent rth a text message and asked him how he's doing and he just said that life and work are incredibly busy right now so you don't have a lot of time.

 

I guess the OW estimate from Universal will be just a tad above the 147,187M of Furious 7, so they can say theiy scored their second-highest ever OW with FK.

[baumer]

I have a feeling this will have a soft Sunday drop. Maybe 15%.

[Krissykins]

9 minutes ago, baumer said:

I have a feeling this will have a soft Sunday drop. Maybe 15%.

I think so too. 

[incognitoo]

4 hours ago, captainwondyful said:

I have watched all five in the past like 3 days.  Chaz is right.

Yeah? Well, you know, that's just like, uh... your opinion man.