Weekend Thread | Hotel 3 $44.1 Skyscraper 25.4, Ant Man’s size does matter with $28.8M

[Legion Again]

21 minutes ago, a2k said:

ANT2 needs 2.9x for 220 dom and can't rule it out atm. I think 2.8x for 212+ is very likely.

This is a 3.99 2nd weekend multi. Not even Ant-Man 1 or Homecoming legged it out that well from here. Not even BP. Pretty sure GotG1 is the only entry out of 19 to do it.        

 

2.8 is a lot more optimistic-but-possible.

Edited July 16, 2018 by Thanos Legion

[a2k]

32 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Can we actually get a third member in the Hercules/Gnomeo 99m club? 

Guessing WB will fudge with Teen Titans.

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This is a 3.99 2nd weekend multi. Not even Ant-Man 1 or Homecoming legged it out that well from here. Not even BP. Pretty sure GotG1 is the only entry out of 19 to do it.        

 

2.8 is a lot more optimistic-but-possible.

smh fell 64% odd in 2nd weekend and had an overall multi of 2.86x so thought 2.9x for am2 was possible after a 62% drop. but yeah, I did not check the 2nd weekend multis and only looked at the 2nd weekend drop as in indicator.

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

I think Resident Evil The Final Chapter might be the case.  40 million budget + whatever they spent with marketing / promotion.

 

Only made 26 million domestic and 285 million overseas ( but most of that comes from China alone, with 159 million ). It seems Sony didn't get anything from China's numbers. I'm pretty sure someone mentioned that, so don't quote me on that.

 

312 million worldwide on a 40 million budget ( if the number is real ). That would be almost 8 times its budget and the movie still disappointed or flopped. 

 

For that one we know the studio expectation.

 

They expected a 51m net budget from a 62m gross cost.

 

Break even point at : 29.6m dbo / 118m intl, 147.6 WW

Expected to do: 35m dbo / 140m intl, 175m WW.

Return break: 41.5m dbo / 166m intl, 207.5m WW

 

They expected to need around 64.5m in theater rental to break even.

They expected do get 17.15m in domestic rental and 59.5 in intl rental, 76.65m

They set the full good return break financial success level at 90.89m in rental.

 

The movie made around 105m in theatrical rental.

 

And if they ended up to really a 20% cheaper than expected small 40m budget you can remove a 6-7m on all those box office target figure.

 

It was not Afterlife performance or Retribution (75m budget) performance, but it was a much cheaper movie.

 

Edited July 16, 2018 by Barnack

[Valonqar]

42 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

JW2 went up!

 

$399,999,999 back on table! 

[baumer]

That's actually a pretty good hold for JW.

[Eric Loves Rey]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

A kinda frustrating weekend for DJ

 

36

(21)

Rampage

Warner Bros.

$54,714

-85%

61

$897

$99,133,659

14

This might just break Passengers' record and be this decade's slowest $100M grosser.

[sfran43]

 

[dxmatrixdt]

I don't think Ant-Man 2 should be considered a disappointment or a flop.  160M budget, 200m domestic, 700m worldwide?  The brand is not 'hurt' from this second sequel.  It likely has better reception than Star Trek Beyond.  The Ant-Man character is pretty relevant in todays pop culture.  Fatigue wont bring it down the way it did for ASM2.

[MagnarTheGreat]

Days to 90% of their final gross for the Top 10 domestic movies (2015-2018 presently) over $200M.

 

(click to enlarge)

Can Ant-Man and the Wasp get over $200M or be in the Top 10 of 2018 by next year? To be continued...

[REC]

3 minutes ago, 5xmatrixdu said:

I don't think Ant-Man 2 should be considered a disappointment or a flop.  160M budget, 200m domestic, 700m worldwide?  The brand is not 'hurt' from this second sequel.  It likely has better reception than Star Trek Beyond.  The Ant-Man character is pretty relevant in todays pop culture.  Fatigue wont bring it down the way it did for ASM2.

It's still making more than AM1.

[Ledmonkey96]

1 minute ago, MagnarTheGreat said:

Days to 90% of their final gross for the Top 10 domestic movies (2015-2018 presently) over $200M.

 

(click to enlarge)

Can Ant-Man and the Wasp get over $200M or be in the Top 10 of 2018 by next year? To be continued...

It'll probably be in the top 10 for the year, it's already #9. It should get to #7 pretty easily. From there it's a matter of nothing else making more than that, MPR and FB are the only 2 movies I'd say are guaranteed to make more.

[dxmatrixdt]

1 minute ago, REC said:

It's still making more than AM1.

it is also not falling -60% per day from last week so theaters probably wont dump this too soon

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 16, 2018 by sfran43

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

1	N	Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation	Sony	$44,076,225	-	4,267	-	$10,330	$45,352,609	$80	1
2	1	Ant-Man and the Wasp	BV	$29,097,859	-61.6%	4,206	-	$6,918	$133,083,084	-	2
3	N	Skyscraper	Uni.	$24,905,015	-	3,782	-	$6,585	$24,905,015	$125	1
4	3	Incredibles 2	BV	$16,262,898	-42.7%	3,705	-408	$4,389	$535,861,390	-	5
5	2	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	Uni.	$16,199,430	-43.4%	3,695	-654	$4,384	$363,981,645	$170	4
6	4	The First Purge	Uni.	$9,312,530	-46.4%	3,038	+7	$3,065	$49,690,500	$13	2
7	16	Sorry to Bother You	Annapurna	$4,208,881	+478.7%	805	+789	$5,228	$5,273,833	-	2
8	5	Sicario: Day of the Soldado	Sony	$3,881,050	-49.1%	2,006	-1,049	$1,935	$43,231,395	$35	3
9	6	Uncle Drew	LG/S	$3,186,625	-51.8%	1,702	-1,040	$1,872	$36,653,665	-	3
10	7	Ocean's 8	WB	$2,907,356	-42.6%	1,618	-986	$1,797	$132,253,292	$70	6
11	9	Won't You Be My Neighbor?	Focus	$1,947,845	-24.2%	868	-25	$2,244	$15,886,132	-	6
12	8	Tag	WB (NL)	$1,291,301	-57.4%	982	-1,175	$1,315	$51,333,258	$28	5
13	17	Three Identical Strangers	Neon	$1,202,571	+75.6%	167	+116	$7,201	$2,539,345	-	3
14	20	Leave No Trace	BST	$1,172,726	+191.0%	311	+274	$3,771	$2,135,017	-	3
15	10	Deadpool 2	Fox	$786,787	-53.0%	588	-679	$1,338	$316,242,407	$110	9
16	15	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$621,380	-33.6%	375	-131	$1,657	$676,024,817	-	12
17	12	Whitney	RAtt.	$547,699	-56.7%	408	-43	$1,342	$2,370,121	-	2
18	11	Sanju	FIP	$513,467	-59.9%	223	-136	$2,303	$7,134,672	-	3
19	14	Hereditary	A24	$429,314	-58.1%	305	-439	$1,408	$42,948,289	-	6
20	13	Solo: A Star Wars Story	BV	$407,791	-61.9%	315	-463	$1,295	$211,920,767	-	8
21	19	Book Club	Par.	$286,685	-33.8%	311	-63	$922	$67,791,123	-	9
22	22	RBG	Magn.	$263,801	-26.3%	152	-12	$1,736	$12,781,970	-	11
23	N	Eighth Grade	A24	$263,797	-	4	-	$65,949	$263,797	-	1
24	18	Superfly	Col.	$200,301	-68.0%	185	-350	$1,083	$20,334,691	$16	5
25	23	Adrift	STX	$181,007	-37.1%	185	-138	$978	$31,174,946	$35	7
26	N	Soorma	Sony	$168,354	-	50	-	$3,367	$168,354	-	1
27	30	Yellow Submarine (2018 re-release)	Abr.	$143,328	+33.8%	87	+14	$1,647	$519,910	-	2
28	24	Hearts Beat Loud	G&S	$130,051	-48.8%	130	-39	$1,000	$2,113,992	-	6
29	38	The Cakemaker	Strand	$89,307	+60.6%	23	+13	$3,883	$239,866	-	3
30	28	A Quiet Place	Par.	$83,484	-38.8%	132	-30	$632	$187,615,740	$17	15
31	N	Don't Worry He Won't Get Far on Foot	Amazon	$83,339	-	4	-	$20,835	$83,339	-	1
32	29	Life of the Party	WB (NL)	$76,521	-30.7%	141	-11	$543	$52,666,592	-	10
33	25	Boundaries	SPC	$74,853	-68.3%	145	-79	$516	$554,355	-	4
34	26	American Animals	Orch.	$74,571	-50.6%	78	-57	$956	$2,710,564	-	7
35	34	Pandas	WB	$63,822	-10.4%	35	-	$1,823	$2,892,597	-	15
36	32	The Catcher Was a Spy	IFC	$55,004	-44.0%	47	-5	$1,170	$580,934	-	4
37	21	Rampage (2018)	WB (NL)	$54,714	-84.8%	61	-59	$897	$99,133,659	$120	14

[sfran43]

Black Panther

BV

$13,859

-55.5%

28

-24

$495

$699,900,852

 

My OCD went from mild to nuclear...

 

 

Edited July 16, 2018 by sfran43

[LonePirate]

51 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

It'll probably be in the top 10 for the year, it's already #9. It should get to #7 pretty easily. From there it's a matter of nothing else making more than that, MPR and FB are the only 2 movies I'd say are guaranteed to make more.

So what you’re saying is that Venom won’t come anywhere close to meeting the irrationally high predictions being floated here at BOT.

[Macleod]

On 7/14/2018 at 6:59 PM, El Gato said:

He's already involved with DC (Black Adam). Maybe we'll get an end credit scene of him as Black Adam in Shazam next year.

Plenty of people over the years have been involved with both, or transitioned.  There's no law or contract against it.  😁

[AJG]

The Rock responds to the Skyscraper Box Office

 

 

 

Kickin’ this week off right with a big ass package of gratitude. THANK YOU 🌎 for the SKYSCRAPER love and supporting me in expanding my lanes and making the kind of movie that Hollywood just doesn’t make anymore. For the first time ever, in a summer blockbuster, the lead character is amputee. Not a villain, but the hero. And for the first time in one of my movies, the female lead is the one SAVING ME. Your reactions to the film have been fantastic and I’m grateful. Looks like we’ll cross $100M this coming weekend globally, with China still yet to come. Again - thank you, love y’all, have a productive week and it’s still a G thang baby 😉🤟🏾 #PackageOfGratitude #SKYSCRAPER

A post shared by therock (@therock) on Jul 16, 2018 at 1:55pm PDT