The Calm Before The Storm Weekend Thread: Estimates - Curse Of LaLlorona $26.51M | Shazam $17.34M | Breakthrough 11.0M | CM $9.10M

[sfran43]

 

[terrestrial]

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday April 19, 2019

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Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	new	The Curse of La Llorona	Warner Bros.	$11,800,000		3,372	$3,499	$11,800,000	1
2	(1)	Shazam!	Warner Bros.	$6,155,000	+141%	4,183	$1,471	$110,156,951	15
3	(2)	Breakthrough	20th Century Fox	$3,811,000	+135%	2,824	$1,350	$7,317,925	8
4	(3)	Captain Marvel	Walt Disney	$3,145,000	+146%	2,653	$1,185	$394,071,133	43
5	(4)	Little	Universal	$2,890,000	+135%	2,667	$1,084	$23,819,410	8
6	(5)	Dumbo	Walt Disney	$2,749,000	+142%	3,225	$852	$97,203,910	22
7	(8)	Missing Link	United Artists	$1,790,625	+151%	3,437	$521	$10,397,866	8
8	(6)	Pet Sematary	Paramount Pictures	$1,760,000	+93%	3,146	$559	$46,493,075	15
9	(9)	Us	Universal	$1,490,000	+111%	2,264	$658	$167,671,620	29
10	(7)	Hellboy	Lionsgate	$1,320,000	+80%	3,303	$400	$17,116,271	8
11	(10)	After	Aviron Pictures	$1,070,000	+88%	2,138	$500	$9,005,149	8
12	(11)	Penguins	Walt Disney	$901,000	+100%	1,815	$496	$1,852,757	3
13	(12)	Kalank	FIP	$463,000	+91%	320	$1,447	$973,185	3
14	(-)	How to Train Your Dragon: T…	Universal	$311,000	+393%	1,062	$293	$158,581,140	57
15	(-)	Five Feet Apart	Lionsgate	$266,000	+132%	709	$375	$44,718,093	36
-	(14)	Unplanned	Pure Flix Entertain…	$225,000	+51%	839	$268	$16,842,243	22
-	(15)	Wonder Park	Paramount Pictures	$212,000	+49%	705	$301	$44,308,072	36
-	(-)	The Aftermath	Fox Searchlight	$16,000	-16%	85	$188	$1,528,256	36

all estimates

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2019/04/19

 

 

[filmlover]

Hellboy looking to drop around 70%. What a hilariously pitiful run. Gonna make less in total than the 2004 movie made in its opening weekend, no inflation needed.

Edited April 20, 2019 by filmlover

[RealLyre]

If a not too well received and kinda mediocre conjuring movie (that most people don't even know it's a conjuring movie) opens close to 30M. I can't see Annabelle Comes Home (which also has the warrens) open to anything less than 50M-60M. The Conjuring Universe is quite the successful one 

[VanillaSkies]

So... What are the chances of Captain Marvel ending up at #2 next weekend? 
Haha, I know it's crazy and only like 5% chance, but if it gets enough double features with EndGame and spill over business from sold out showings... 

[Nero]

12 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

I believe you're looking for Jurassic World: The X Rated Cut. Nice and gory, and no single minor survives the massacre. And, spoilers:

  Hide contents

the dinosaurs actually win for once!

 

Out of reactions but yeah that would be glorious... 👏 👏

[CJohn]

La Llorona is... watchable I guess? I can't believe this Chaves guy is doing The Conjuring 3. What the hell, this dude is a hack.

[Nero]

If Captain Marvel holds pretty good this weekend assuming 9M then next weekend when AEG is released it can be in top 5. This would be 2nd time when 2 Marvel movies are in top 5. It happened last year with IW and BP

[RealLyre]

7 minutes ago, CJohn said:

La Llorona is... watchable I guess? I can't believe this Chaves guy is doing The Conjuring 3. What the hell, this dude is a hack.

oh god oh fuck bring Wan back

 

[That One Girl]

11 minutes ago, CJohn said:

La Llorona is... watchable I guess? I can't believe this Chaves guy is doing The Conjuring 3. What the hell, this dude is a hack.

 

My biggest issues with La Llorona weren’t necessarily related to the direction, I just thought the writing/story was exceptionally weak.  There was one well done sequence in there though (the bathtub scene, which was in the trailers so not a spoiler)

[boxofficeth]

Hellboy's 2nd weekend decrease is almost identical to Hellboy 2 in 2008. But that film faced TDK in a summer while this one faces a weeping lady on a holiday wknd...

And yes, it's total gross will be less than the first film's unadjusted opening wknd from 15 years ago. 

Reminds me of Punisher2 

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	The Curse of La Llorona	$23,000,000	—	3,372	—	$6,821	$23,000,000	1	Warner Bros. / New Line
2	Shazam!	$16,500,000	-33%	4,183	-123	$3,945	$16,500,000	3	Warner Bros.
3	Breakthrough	$13,500,000	—	2,824	—	$4,780	$17,006,925	1	20th Century Fox
4	Captain Marvel	$8,500,000	-1%	2,653	-322	$3,204	$399,426,133	7	Disney
5	Little (2019)	$8,400,000	-45%	2,667	0	$3,150	$29,329,410	2	Universal Pictures
6	Dumbo	$6,900,000	-27%	3,225	-481	$2,140	$101,354,910	4	Walt Disney Pictures
7	Pet Sematary	$4,500,000	-54%	3,146	-439	$1,430	$49,233,075	3	Paramount Pictures
8	Missing Link	$4,500,000	-24%	3,437	24	$1,309	$13,107,241	2	United Artists Releasing
9	Us (2019)	$4,000,000	-41%	2,264	-504	$1,767	$170,181,620	5	Universal Pictures
10	Hellboy	$3,600,000	-70%	3,303	0	$1,090	$19,396,271	2	Lionsgate / Summit
11	After (2019)	$2,700,000	-55%	2,138	0	$1,263	$10,635,149	2	Aviron Pictures
12	Penguins	$2,600,000	—	1,815	—	$1,433	$3,551,757	1	Disney / Disneynature
13	How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World	$775,000	4%	1,062	240	$730	$159,045,140	12	Universal / DreamWorks Animation

[TwoMisfits]

Hellboy is coming for the enormous screen drop next weekend for Endgame...it will be a contest to see if Missing Link, After, or Hellboy loses more as a %, b/c all 3 are goners next weekend...

[DlAMONDZ]

15 minutes ago, CJohn said:

La Llorona is... watchable I guess? I can't believe this Chaves guy is doing The Conjuring 3. What the hell, this dude is a hack.

Damn I forgot Wan passed it off. That's a big yikes

[a2k]

23m will give Hellboy 1.9x multi. For such a low opener that's so much worse than it already appears.

[TMP]

FWIW, Annab3lle is apparently testing well so the batting average might increase

[JohnnyGossamer]

That Captain Marvel number is ridiculous. Especially if it gets something close to $9M.

[a2k]

Dumbo and Lego2 combined dom will end up around 225.

[Boxofficerules]

Pet Semetary still seems to be doing solid, should out gross Evil Dead

[a2k]

15 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

That Captain Marvel number is ridiculous. Especially if it gets something close to $9M.

Next weekend SHAZAM should come under CMARVEL.

SHAZAM 16.5 this weekend followed by at least 50-55% drop, maybe 60-65%.

CMARVEL anywhere from -10% to +10% after 8.5-9 this weekend.