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Just now, MrPink said:

 

Could just speak to how much reserved seating and online ticketing has really changed the landscape in 3.5 years.

 

 

thing is have the marvel films really been that frontloaded really over opening weekend? 

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2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Using TFA's Thurs-Fri, and IW's Sat and Sun holds

 

60

125.4 inc. previews

96.8

81.6

303.8M weekend

 

This probably won't hold as strong as IW did, so 300M isn't locked. But it's just on the verge of greatness

 

Marvel if it falls short:

 

tumblr_ohr0jqWF901vjdt8po2_1280.gif

 

Marvel if it defeats 300m:

 

19DBAACA79A6B3A6D318928183B65683F78B9350

 

 

 

Edited by MrPink
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Nice. $60 million.

I was beginning to think it would break Star Wars record by a few millions. Not the $64 million I was looking.

 

But it's a start.

 

Previews: $60 million

Friday: $84 million

Saturday: $84 million

Sunday: $76.0 million

 

$300 MILLION is coming.

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1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

 

 

thing is have the marvel films really been that frontloaded really over opening weekend? 

 

I mean they haven't....but it's not like Marvel films have been this preview heavy either. We're working on limited data here. We're acting like True Friday to Sunday being 240m isn't the most ever done in a true 3-day span.

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Thursday = $60M

Friday = $80M-$83M (using Jatinder very early estimates) 

Saturday = $90M-$95M (up around 12%-15% from true Friday; IW was up 22%, iirc)

Sunday = $80M-$85M (expecting Sunday to be slightly higher than true Friday like IW; would be just a ~11% drop from Saturday with the help of massive spillovers) 

 

Total = $310M-$323M

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7 minutes ago, Stewart said:

Isn't $60.0m just a little too much of a round number? Couldn't find even an extra $100k somewhere?

 

Preview numbers are never 100% accurate. Their estimates just like the Friday and Saturday and Sunday number are until the actual numbers come out on Monday.

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6 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

Yeah, for all we know this could do the exact opposite of IW and be super front-loaded.  We just gotta wait and see.

AIW was 6.61.  Dropping down just a bit from AOU's 6.93 while previews rose 41% and 11m plus in gross.

 

This a 53% jump and it also has the 6pm start which should also make it more front loaded but drop to a 5x  would be an enormously larger drop than from AOU to AIW and would still hit $300m

 

 

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9 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

 

but if Presales are ahead of TFA and it just edged out TFA but not a huge margin, means there is a lot of presales for the rest of the weekend? 

 

This is obviously a possibility, but we are dealing with numbers we rarely see, so it's hard to parse out.

 

8 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Could just speak to how much reserved seating and online ticketing has really changed the landscape in 3.5 years.

This is also very, very true.  Reserved seating amplifies the need to purchase early in a way that we haven't see before, and it's only escalating.

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