Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)

[WeneedtotalkaboutKevin]

12 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

what a flop

Too early to call it. Be patient, mi amigo.

[charlie Jatinder]

Zombieland seems like 5.5-6, though I won't put a pin on it yet. 

M2 still on path to $9.5-10mn.

Joker under 9 mostly, more like 8.75.

 

Parasite perhaps 350k plus

 

Jo Jo Rabbit don't seem will cross 75k unless some heavy evening.

Lighthouse in same range.

 

Next update 10 hours from now.

[lorddemaxus]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Joker under 9 mostly, more like 8.75.

Sub 30 mil weekend for Joker I guess.

[a2k]

^^^ Joker with +40% / -35% Sat / Sun

8.75 + 12.25 + 8 = 29

[DAJK]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Zombieland seems like 5.5-6, though I won't put a pin on it yet. 

M2 still on path to $9.5-10mn.

Joker under 9 mostly, more like 8.75.

 

Parasite perhaps 350k plus

 

Jo Jo Rabbit don't seem will cross 75k unless some heavy evening.

Lighthouse in same range.

 

Next update 10 hours from now.

Fantastic for Parasite. Jojo probably then less than 50k PTA for the weekend? Damn

 

Also Zombieland may not crack 20M with that number

[lorddemaxus]

2 minutes ago, a2k said:

^^^ Joker with +40% / -35% Sat / Sun

8.75 + 12.25 + 8 = 29

Sunday drop seems a bit harsh. I can't see it having worse than a 30% drop.

Edited October 18, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[Xftg123]

I think come Sunday Zombieland 2 is going to be in the 3rd spot while Maleficent 2 and Joker and respectively in 1st and 2nd place.

 

Don't know how much Mal2 will do WW (180-185M maybe?), Joker might end up in the 700s by the time Sunday hits.

 

From what I've seen in the Overseas threads, Joker & Maleficent 2 are both co-existing at the box office, so that's good 😁

[filmlover]

I've seen a handful of ads for Jojo Rabbit on TV the past few weeks and have to laugh at how much they try to downplay the fact the movie's about a kid whose imaginary friend is Hitler as much as possible.

[Xftg123]

Here's a good third weekend drop comparison:

 

-Venom:  -48.5%

 

-Bohemian Rhapsody: -48.6%

 

-Logan: -53.3%

 

-Gravity: -30.5%

 

-Deadpool 2: -46.7%

 

-Justice League: -59.5%

 

-Deadpool: -44.9%

[Cap]

13 minutes ago, WeneedtotalkaboutKevin said:

No, it does not. MAL2 is obviously the no.1.

 

 

[Firepower]

Honestly it's too early, let's just wait for late evening numbers, again.

[xiazhi]

18 minutes ago, WeneedtotalkaboutKevin said:

Too early to call it. Be patient, mi amigo.

fine. I'll call it tomorrow.

[reddevil19]

Just around 100% is believable for Joker, given last weekend, but still think it can do closer to 120%, with a stronger-than-expected evening.

Edited October 18, 2019 by reddevil19

[kitik]

27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Parasite perhaps 350k plus

 

Jo Jo Rabbit don't seem will cross 75k unless some heavy evening.

Lighthouse in same range.

 

 

BOM doesn't have a theater count for Lighthouse.

Anyone know? Same as JoJo Rabbit? More? Less?

[filmlover]

Just now, kitik said:

 

 

BOM doesn't have a theater count for Lighthouse.

Anyone know? Same as JoJo Rabbit? More? Less?

4 or 5 theaters, definitely.

[Lighthouse]

Meh , I don't know how The Farewell did better.

Edited October 18, 2019 by Lighthouse

[Xftg123]

Don't know if I asked this, but is the budget for Maleficent 2 the same as the first film?

Edited October 18, 2019 by Xftg123

[Menor the Destroyer]

Joker has been killing it in evenings so let's just wait and see.

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, Lighthouse said:

Meh , I don't know how The Farewell did better.

Usually the bigger PTAs come from movies that have major awards buzz surrounding them (which The Farewell had). Looking at the top 40 opening PTAs ever the only ones among live-action titles that didn't have that going for them were Red State, Don't Think Twice, and Suspiria.

[Barnack]

2 hours ago, SLAM! said:

 

Hollywood needs to learn the lesson that, while some films become really big, only a handful warrant sequels that can actually be just as successful as their first films. Personally, I think they're learning--ever-so-slowly, but they're definitely learning.

 

That not always (or maybe not even commonly the goal), achieving to do 60-70% of the first one is often the target (and would be a giant success in this case).

 

And execution matter a lot, if a bad Jumanji remake would have failed we would be there talking about stupid it was for Sony to make the movie nobody was asking for.

 

Has long has not slam dunk sequel are still much more likely to work than the original, Hollywood will learn to continue to do them.

Edited October 18, 2019 by Barnack