Weekday Numbers: Dec 23 - Dec 26, 2019

[narniadis]

8 minutes ago, john2000 said:

how can i do it ?

You can do it in your profile  - someone else may have a shorter / easier way but thats how I do it. On my phone the last week I have kept a 2nd page up directly there.... has made adding people much easier 😂

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

so we might be looking at 27 at most for Friday

thats not good.

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said:

First reading from original data was 30 only. 27 was what Keyser data saying.

Yup, my bad crossing the data signs. Menor pointed that out. 

[Cooper Legion]

4 minutes ago, #ED said:

Why do we bother posting numbers at 10:30AM EST again? 

As a hourly tracker in other countries, the most intellectually stimulating time to give a daily number is from PS only. Also it’s right before Jat goes to bed. People just need to treat them like we with e.g. a2k doing some daily extrapolation, or buzz thread trying to nail down a preview night, not nighttime purple numbers. 

[charlie Jatinder]

No need to panic just yet. Yeah early morning has been pinpoint so far for TRoS but its Christmas. Nothing make sense.

 

Jumanji PS yday were 40% down while walkups were same as 26th, result only difference in PS at end of day.

 

So let's see. TRoS number are less inclined to change. Jumanji, F2 can go either way though I doubt they will go higher.

[1Robert1]

8 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

That jumanji number would be insane and I expect it to rise with walkups 

 

 

Deadline and box office mojo predicted 38m ffs for jumanji so it needs more than 13 in Friday. And based on what happened yesterday it will do better than 13m. Unless we will have another twist and Jumanji will make less than 13.

[Ryan Reynolds]

https://deadline.com/2019/12/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-little-women-uncut-gems-spies-in-disguise-post-christmas-box-office-1202817539/
 

updated probably worthless DL numbers 

[PKMLover]

1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said:

No need to panic just yet. Yeah early morning has been pinpoint so far for TRoS but its Christmas. Nothing make sense.

 

Jumanji PS yday were 40% down while walkups were same as 26th, result only difference in PS at end of day.

 

So let's see. TRoS number are less inclined to change. Jumanji, F2 can go either way though I doubt they will go higher.

J3 is 13 and F2 is 6.5?

[Moviefanfr]

Jedi jat's 10 am EST estimation have all been spot on so far.

Today will probably not be different. Maybe it will go up to 26-27m. This is still not that good for second Friday.

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, #ED said:

Why do we bother posting numbers at 10:30AM EST again? 

What's point/fun of having data if we aren't early than others. Why do we have tracking thread, or even this thread. Just wait for actuals. 

 

Visit SK thread sometimes. We predict next day with PS data of 1 chain a day before.

Edited December 27, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[Minnale101]

1 minute ago, 1Robert1 said:

Deadline and box office mojo predicted 38m ffs for jumanji so it needs more than 13 in Friday. And based on what happened yesterday it will do better than 13m. Unless we will have another twist and Jumanji will make less than 13.

Deadline predicted 30.8 million Weekend  for jumanji today 

[1Robert1]

2 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

Deadline predicted 30.8 million Weekend  for jumanji today 

Did you notice that their today prediction doesn't have any sense? 

Jumanji: Next Level (Sony) 4,227 theaters Wed $12.55M (+84%)/$10.9 Th (-13%) /3-day $30.8M (+16%)/5-day $60M

60m -ffs(30.8) - Wed (12.55)  = Thu 16.65

[narniadis]

6 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:

Deadline and box office mojo predicted 38m ffs for jumanji so it needs more than 13 in Friday. And based on what happened yesterday it will do better than 13m. Unless we will have another twist and Jumanji will make less than 13.

Based on todays update, Deadline has lowered their weekend to 30m which if 13m holds is too low but 38 would be too high. Saturday will be flat / up or down 5% and then Sunday down as well so it would need to nearly triple 13m Friday. 

Deadline is not reliable for other than "same day" data as they conveniently misread or misrepresent data to fit a narrative they have already written.

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, 1Robert1 said:

Did you notice that their today prediction doesn't have any sense? 

Jumanji: Next Level (Sony) 4,227 theaters Wed $12.55M (+84%)/$10.9 Th (-13%) /3-day $30.8M (+16%)/5-day $60M

60m -ffs(30.8) - Wed (12.55)  = Thu 16.65

They forgot to change the 5 day they already had there

[Lordmandeep]

25 million Friday would give like near 80-90 million 2nd weekend no?

 

 

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

25 million Friday would give like near 80-90 million 2nd weekend no?

 

 

75m more likely ... Saturday wont go up much to compensate from a lower starting point

Edited December 27, 2019 by narniadis

[#ED]

17 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

What's point/fun of having data if we aren't early than others. Why do we have tracking thread, or even this thread. Just wait for actuals. 

 

Visit SK thread sometimes. We predict next day with PS data of 1 chain a day before.

I just woke up 5 mins before your post. Hard to comprehend estimates before you brush your teeth.

[1Robert1]

14 minutes ago, narniadis said:

They forgot to change the 5 day they already had there

Earlier they had Jumanji: Next Level (Sony) 4,227 theaters Wed $12.55M (+84%)/3-day $38.6M (+46%)/5-day $65.5M/Cume: $182M/Wk 3, so it was thu 14.35.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

So Jumanji: WTJ was at $185mn on 1st Jan in 13 days of release with $16.5mn New Year day.

Jumanji: TNL I think will be $208mn, with 20 days in release and $12mn New Year day.

 

WTJ added $220mn i.e. 13.3x post that.

The same 13.3x will take TNL to $367mn.

 

In same calender Hobbit 2 did puny 6.4x only. That still will take it to $285mn.

Spider-Verse did 12.25x, which will be $355mn.

 

I guess $325mn is very good target.

[a2k]

13 minutes ago, narniadis said:

75m more likely ... Saturday wont go up much to compensate from a lower starting point

would need about 10% sat bump to hit 25...smth like

25.5 (-16%) + 28 (+10%) + 21.5 (-23%)