Weekend Thread: Thursday Night Preview - 1917 $3.25M | Like a Boss $1M | Just Mercy $800K | Underwater $500K

[Blaze Heatnix]

According to Deadline, Thursday night audiences hated Underwater.

 

" Thursday night audiences hated it at 2 stars with a low 37% definite recommend"

[misafeco]

1 hour ago, Eric Laurence said:

If 1917 follows Hustlers: 43.1M

If it follows Ad Astra: 41.17M

If it follows Ford v Ferrari: 48.71M

What if it follows American Sniper? 

54.74M opening weekend. 

[DAR]

42 minutes ago, Eric Laurence said:

Deadline mentions 500K previews for Underwater

So with those numbers it's likely going to take a bath

[a2k]

Just now, DAR said:

So with those numbers it's likely going to take a bath...

...under water

[Krissykins]

19 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

EDIT: Deadline says the budget is 50 million before P&A

Whaaat I assumed this was a low budget film. Hope it has a China release lol. 

11 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

According to Deadline, Thursday night audiences hated Underwater.

 

" Thursday night audiences hated it at 2 stars with a low 37% definite recommend"

Deadline need to stop this. If 2 is hated, what was 1/2 lol. 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

14 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

According to Deadline, Thursday night audiences hated Underwater.

 

" Thursday night audiences hated it at 2 stars with a low 37% definite recommend"

Not a surprise, it is a poor man's Alien: Covenant, a movie that was already bad enough.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[MattW]

14 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Quick update on 1917 prev.

 

its at  46965/132146 679959.96(779 shows). it increased slightly less than what I expected. I would say range is ~ 3.3m depending on how much MTC1 overindexes. 

 

Comps

Knives Out Final -   43016/108056 538765.71 (773 shows)

Ford vs Ferrari Final - 

31459/161048 474271.77 (874 shows)

 

Knives out had early screenings and somehow over indexed big time at MTC1. Hope that does not happen for 1917. 

 

 

 

2 hours ago, sfran43 said:

 

That's beautiful.

[Valonqar]

52 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Poor Kristen, she didn't deserves such an awful comeback, I wonder how long it will take till she start doing some SH movies. 

RIP SH genre.

[sfran43]

 

[Nova]

That’s a solid number for Like a Boss. It’s around where I thought it would fall given how it did at my theater. Should be able to get a low teens debut which is disappointing given the talent involved but solid given the budget and the crappy reviews. 

[Eric Duncan]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-pixars-onward-and-the-way-back/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Range	Domestic Total Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Distributor
1/17/2020	Bad Boys for Life	$25,000,000 – $35,000,000	$32,000,000		$70,000,000 – $100,000,000	$85,000,000		Sony / Columbia
1/17/2020	Dolittle	$20,000,000 – $35,000,000	$22,000,000	-21%	$70,000,000 – $110,000,000	$84,000,000	-18%	Universal
1/24/2020	The Gentlemen	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$12,000,000		$30,000,000 – $50,000,000	$38,000,000		STX
1/24/2020	The Last Full Measure		n/a			n/a		Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020	Run		n/a			n/a		Lionsgate / Summit
1/24/2020	The Turning	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$13,000,000	-7%	$25,000,000 – $40,000,000	$34,000,000	-11%	Universal
1/31/2020	Gretel and Hansel	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$5,500,000		$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$11,000,000		United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020	The Rhythm Section	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$12,000,000		$30,000,000 – $45,000,000	$38,000,000		Paramount
2/7/2020	Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$49,000,000		$100,000,000 – $150,000,000	$125,000,000		Warner Bros.
2/14/2020	Fantasy Island	$17,000,000 – $22,000,000	$17,000,000		$44,000,000 – $57,000,000	$44,000,000		Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020	The Photograph	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000	$15,000,000		$30,000,000 – $42,000,000	$35,000,000		Universal
2/14/2020	Sonic the Hedgehog	$20,000,000 – $30,000,000	$26,000,000		$65,000,000 – $100,000,000	$86,000,000		Paramount
2/21/2020	Brahms: The Boy 2	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$8,000,000		$15,000,000 – $28,000,000	$17,800,000		STX
2/21/2020	Call of the Wild	$15,000,000 – $20,000,000	$15,000,000		$50,000,000 – $65,000,000	$50,000,000		Fox
2/28/2020	The Invisible Man	$20,000,000 – $40,000,000	$30,000,000		$60,000,000 – $105,000,000	$80,000,000		Universal
3/6/2020	Onward	$50,000,000 – $70,000,000	$60,000,000	NEW	$175,000,000 – $250,000,000	$227,000,000	NEW	Disney / Pixar
3/6/2020	The Way Back	$12,000,000 – $17,000,000	$13,000,000	NEW	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$43,500,000	NEW	Warner Bros.

[Krissykins]

Love that Invisible Man guess 

[Eric Duncan]

 

[Barnack]

2 hours ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

That's bad for Underwater, given its 80 million budget.

 

EDIT: Deadline says the budget is 50 million before P&A

$65,087,631.00 gross according to the Louisiana tax rebate web site.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

In some OS news, TROS was finally released at SK and it's bombing harder than everyone expected.

 

It's TOTAL will be lower than what TLJ did on OW alone, and TLJ already flopped there, so it says all.

 

Wow!

[Boxofficerules]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

Love that Invisible Man guess 

Hopefully it will go higher. Honestly, not seeing any buzz for it, same with Fantasy Island.

[Boxofficerules]

2 hours ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Not a surprise, it is a poor man's Alien: Covenant, a movie that was already bad enough.

I thought you said it was impossible for pg-13 horror to bomb at the box office.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

1 minute ago, Boxofficerules said:

Hopefully it will go higher. Honestly, not seeing any buzz for it, same with Fantasy Island.

 

You're blind then, FI has breakout written all over it, it just need good reviews.