The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[excel1]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Nope I don't know that.

 

Well now you do. 👍

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

Well now you do. 👍

Nope I still don't.

[Menor the Destroyer]

38 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

Charlie, you know there is no way this does below BvS unadjusted, right?

Hmm, I thought there was no way that this wasn't getting more than 357M in presales?

[excel1]

20 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Hmm, I thought there was no way that this wasn't getting more than 357M in presales?

 

I was referring to pesos, which it looks like to hit. 

[CJohn]

Uncharted is gonna flop, isn't it? Fucking hell Sony, why did you have to hire the director of Venom and the writing team behind TF: The Last Knight and MIB: International??? We could be looking at a strong 40M opener and now this shit is gonna open with 25M.

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Uncharted is gonna flop, isn't it? Fucking hell Sony, why did you have to hire the director of Venom and the writing team behind TF: The Last Knight and MIB: International??? We could be looking at a strong 40M opener and now this shit is gonna open with 25M.

The video game movie genre is literally cursed, unless you're aiming strictly at an unsophisticated audience (ala Sonic or Detective Pikachu).

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Ruben Flesicher really on Sony payroll

[Dragoncaine]

35 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Ruben Flesicher really on Sony payroll

I'm still in disbelief that Venom 2 opened as high as it did, especially with poor reviews once again. Strangely critic-proof franchise

[ThatWaluigiDude]

2 hours ago, CJohn said:

Uncharted is gonna flop, isn't it? Fucking hell Sony, why did you have to hire the director of Venom and the writing team behind TF: The Last Knight and MIB: International??? We could be looking at a strong 40M opener and now this shit is gonna open with 25M.

After Travis Knight, David O. Russel, Joe Carnahan, Dan Trachtenberg, Shaw Levi and Seth Gordon all came in, looked the room and left to do something else, I bet Sony just tossed money in the air in hopes that the first one that catch it would actually make the damn movie.

Edited February 17, 2022 by ThatWaluigiDude

[Rorschach]

Uncharted (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday:
    IMAX showings: 24/1,164
        4:00 pm: 6/388
        7:10 pm: 18/388
        10:20 pm: 0/388
    2D showings: 74/560
        4:45 pm: 4/78
        5:30 pm: 27/135
        6:35 pm: 3/67
        7:55 pm: 11/78
        8:40 pm: 29/135
        9:40 pm: 0/67
    Total Sold: 98/1,724 (5.68% sold)

 

Comps:
Jungle Cruise: $4.41 mil
The Suicide Squad: $3.83 mil
Venom: Let There Be Carnage: $2.98 mil
No Time to Die: $4.44 mil
Dune: $3.35 mil
Ghostbusters: Afterlife: $3.15 mil
Average: $3.69 mil

 

    Friday:
    IMAX showings: 51/1,552
        12:40 pm: 6/388
        3:50 pm: 0/388
        7:00 pm: 43/388
        10:10 pm: 2/388
    2D showings: 153/1,053
        10:40 am: 2/78
        11:05 am: 21/135
        1:10 pm: 2/67
        2:00 pm: 0/78
        2:15 pm: 10/135
        4:35 pm: 14/67
        5:20 pm: 15/78
        5:25 pm: 42/135
        7:55 pm: 13/67
        8:35 pm: 32/135
        8:40 pm: 2/78
    Total Sold: 204/2,605 (7.83% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 302/4,329 (6.98% sold)

 

Comps:
Jungle Cruise: $20.95 mil
The Suicide Squad: $21.71 mil
Venom: Let There Be Carnage: $15.96 mil
No Time to Die: $18.62 mil
Dune: $12.41 mil
Ghostbusters: Afterlife: $9.31 mil
Average: $16.49 mil

 

Not a bad result imo. When I counted yesterday, the ticket total was 218, literally up only 16 tickets from the day before that (😬). So all-and-all, it was a pretty decent sized jump today. Hopefully, it ends up somewhere around that average range. 
 

Edited February 17, 2022 by Rorschach

[Rorschach]

Dog (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday:
        4:00 pm: 0/94
        5:25 pm: 2/141
        6:50 pm: 2/94
        8:15 pm: 2/141
        9:40 pm: 1/94
    Total Sold: 7/564 (1.24% sold)

 

    Friday:
        10:45 am: 8/94
        12:10 pm: 2/141
        1:35 pm: 2/94
        3:00 pm: 5/141
        4:25 pm: 2/94
        5:50 pm: 5/141
        7:15 pm: 21/94
        8:45 pm: 0/141
        10:05 pm: 0/94
    Total Sold: 45/1,034 (4.35% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 52/1,598 (3.25% sold)

 

Comps:
West Side Story: $1.85 mil
Death on the Nile: $3.3 mil
Marry Me: $3.28 mil
Average: $2.81 mil

[Caesar]

On 2/13/2022 at 12:24 PM, Caesar said:

Alright went ahead and did a full count of The Batman Wednesday previews at the biggest chain in two Australian states (QLD and NSW).

 

Wednesday night previews (153 showings) - 2255/30632

 

Highest percentage sold < 100 seat showing - 65.6% (21/32)

Highest percentage sold > 100 seat showing - 38.2% (105/275)

24 showings with 0 seats sold - 4874 seats (mostly regular showings)

 

Regular showings - 2.3% (336/14790)

PLF - 9.6% (1321/13761)

Lounge seating and dinner service -  28.7% (598/2081)

 

No comps since it's been a long time since I've done any count here.

 

Still thinking an opening in the US of around $100 million max. If Australian's coming out of restrictions that have required them to wear a mask whilst watching a movie in the cinemas and seating limitations aren't hyped up massively then I have trouble seeing the US opening being too big.

The Batman (T - 13) - Australia (QLD + NSW)

 

Wednesday night previews (154 showings) - 10.5% 3238/31026

 

Highest percentage sold < 100 seat showing - 93.8% (30/32)

Highest percentage sold > 100 seat showing - 52.7% (145/275)

17 showings with 0 seats sold - 3657 seats (mostly regular showings)

 

Regular showings - 3.3% (482/14796)

PLF - 13.6% (1917/14101)

Lounge seating and dinner service -  39.4% (839/2129)

 

Starting to look at bit better in Australia. There's still at lot of basically empty 6 PM showings that I would've expected to fill up more but I think that's probably because we've thrown so many showtimes at this due to lack of competition. Interestingly that 100+ seat showing that's 52.7% full is the only 100+ seat showing that's more than 30% full.

Edited February 17, 2022 by Caesar

[Pinacolada]

2 hours ago, Dragoncaine said:

I'm still in disbelief that Venom 2 opened as high as it did, especially with poor reviews once again. Strangely critic-proof franchise

The reviews weren't that bad this time around 

[Eric is Quiet]

13 hours ago, Eric Drake said:

Dog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	39	206	5380	3.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

1.062x of West Side Story T-2 (849K)

1.151x of Death on the Nile T-2 (1.27M)

2.543x of Marry Me T-2 (1.33M)

 

Even with the Monday previews, this is bizarrely low. Kinda nervous about this hitting double digits

Dog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	39	225	5380	4.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 19

 

Comp

0.852x of West Side Story T-1 (682K)

0.859x of Death on the Nile T-1 (945K)

2.143x of Marry Me T-1 (1.12M)

[Fox20]

1 hour ago, Pinacolada said:

The reviews weren't that bad this time around 

Besides they were out the same day, so it could hardly affect the opening.

[Eric is Quiet]

14 hours ago, Eric Drake said:

Uncharted Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	691	12176	5.68%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 131

 

Comp

0.356x of F9 T-2 (2.53M)

0.769x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (3.15M)

0.319x of Venom 2 T-2 (3.71M)

0.536x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-2 (2.41M)

Uncharted Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	74	889	13957	6.37%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 198

 

Comp

0.352x of F9 T-1 (2.5M)

0.813x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (3.33M)

0.298x of Venom 2 T-1 (3.46M)

0.555x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-1 (2.5M)

[Eric is Quiet]

14 hours ago, Eric Drake said:

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	179	4661	35317	13.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 118

 

Comp

0.614x of Black Widow's Final (8.1M)

0.981x of Shang-Chi's Final (8.63M)

0.890x of Venom 2's Final (10.32M)

0.884x of Eternals' Final (8.39M)

0.369x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-16 (18.46M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.343x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-16 (13.73M)

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	179	4766	35317	13.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 105

 

Comp

2.697x of Black Widow T-15 (35.6M)

1.003x of Shang-Chi's Final (8.83M)

0.910x of Venom 2's Final (10.55M)

0.903x of Eternals' Final (8.58M)

0.357x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-15 (17.86M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.346x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-15 (13.83M)

 

@Menor Reborn I did it.

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, Eric Drake said:

@Menor Reborn I did it.

Do me Eternals

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	280	30966	34778	3812	10.96%

 

Total Showings Added Today	32
Total Seats Added Today	2480
Total Seats Sold Today	138

 

T-16 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
ET	217.08		137	1756		0/96	13774/15530	11.31%		20.62m
NWH	26.04		1361	14640		0/273	19521/34161	42.86%		13.02m

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Eternals tickets had been on sale for nine days at this point while The Batman has been on sale for eight/six days (two days of those days were "Fan First" only ticket sales).  This was the second day of sales for No Way Home at this point in pre-sales.

 

T-16 Adjusted Comp 

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	158.91		84	2273		0/117	16861/19134	11.88%		21.96m
Bats (BW adj)	---		119	3612		0/229	22560/28872	12.51%		---

COMP NOTE: The Batman comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: Bats (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Black Widow tickets had been on sale for twelve days at this point while The Batman has been on sale for eight/six days (two days of those days were "Fan First" only ticket sales).

 

Tuesday Sales:        653/815     [80.12% sold]     [+2 tickets]

Wednesday Sales:   943/1301   [72.48% sold]   [+25 tickets]

Thursday Sales:    2216/30182  [6.78% sold]  [+111 tickets]

---

Regal:  1017/10475  [9.71% sold] [+21 tickets]

Matinee: 157/4799   [3.27% | 4.12% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Eternals comp took a hit because this was when the news about Harry Styles broke its social media embargo was lifted. Probably continue to take a bit of a hit in the next day or so.  However, should mean a nice boost for the comp when Batsy has its social media lift.

 

Aside from that comment, nice enough day.  The Batman keeps on chugging along.

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	280	30855	34778	3923	11.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

111

 

T-15 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
ET	208.34		127	1883		0/96	13658/15541	12.12%		19.79m
NWH	25.69		628	15268		0/298	21158/36426	41.92%		12.85m

 

T-15 Adjusted Comp 

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	155.90		108	2381		0/117	16753/19134	12.44%		21.54m
Bats (BW adj)	---		100	3712		0/229	25160/28872	12.86%		---

COMP NOTE: The Batman comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: Bats (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

 

Tuesday Sales:        654/815     [80.25% sold]  [+1 tickets]

Wednesday Sales:   959/1301   [73.71% sold] [+16 tickets]

Thursday Sales:    2310/30182  [7.07% sold]  [+94 tickets]

---

Regal:  1047/10475  [10.00% sold] [+30 tickets]

Matinee: 165/4799   [3.44% | 4.21% of all tickets sold]

[Joyous Legion]

Just use V2 T-15, let’s beat that endgame record    
In philly, geomean of BW T-15 (35.6) and NWH D3 (15.8) is 23.7

 

In Sacto, geomean of BW T-15 (21.5) and NWH D3 (11.1) is 15.4.   

Just massively different stories right now. I assume this is at least partially driven by the different regional MTC mixes and BW still being on 50% restrictions on MTC1?