The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/18/2022 at 3:21 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Nope Megaplex [2 days of sales]

 

T-3 Thursday(44 showings): 270(+97)/14880

0.826x Scream T-3 (2.89M)

1.15x Halloween Kills T-3 (5.60M)

0.877x Suicide Squad T-3 (3.59M)

 

T-4 Friday(58 showings): 121(+42)/12233

0.469x Scream T-4 (4.63M)

0.305x Halloween Kills T-4 (5.49M)

0.545x Suicide Squad T-4 (4.36M)

 

T-5 Saturday(58 showings): 59(+3)/12233

0.465x Scream T-5 (4.72M)

0.366x Halloween Kills T-5 (6.35M)

 

T-6 Sunday(52 showings): 24(+4)/11331

1.04x Scream T-6 (6.74M)

0.800x Halloween Kills T-6 (7.40M)

Nope Megaplex

 

T-2 Thursday(55 showings): 368(+98)/17291

0.939x Scream T-2 (3.29M)

1.21x Halloween Kills T-2 (5.87M)

1.05x Suicide Squad T-2 (4.30M)

 

T-3 Friday(109 showings): 270(+149)/28032

0.687x Scream T-3 (6.79M)

0.473x Halloween Kills T-3 (8.52M)

0.789x Suicide Squad T-3 (6.32M)

 

T-4 Saturday(109 showings): 87(+28)/27958

0.512x Scream T-4 (5.20M)

0.414x Halloween Kills T-4 (7.18M)

 

T-5 Sunday(105 showings): 34(+10)/27171

0.493x Scream T-5 (3.18M)

0.607x Halloween Kills T-5 (5.62M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

https://deadline.com/2022/07/nope-box-office-jordan-peele-1235072530/

 

Quote

Universal’s Nope, one of the few remaining tentpoles in a rebounding summer box office, looks to provide a lift this weekend with an estimated $50M start at 3,700 theaters with an eye at guys 17-34.

 

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/18/2022 at 3:24 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Nope Alamo Drafthouse[2 days of sales]

 

T-3 Thursday(124 showings): 5599(+1124)/19354 ATP: $15.74

1.64x Scream T-3 (5.73M)

 

T-4 Friday(177 showings): 5580(+1415)/28524 ATP: $16.10

1.87x Scream T-4 (18.44M)

 

T-5 Saturday(188 showings): 5027(+1280)/30136 ATP: $15.21

2.51x Scream T-5 (25.54M)

 

T-6 Sunday(154 showings): 2779(+876)/24458 ATP: $15.16

2.55x Scream T-6 (16.50M)

Nope Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 Thursday(178 showings): 6934(+1335)/24743 ATP: $15.64

1.86x Scream T-2 (6.52M)

 

T-3 Friday(303 showings): 7323(+1743)/41627 ATP: $15.96

2.07x Scream T-3 (20.40M)

 

T-4 Saturday(322 showings): 6086(+1059)/43914 ATP: $15.23

2.48x Scream T-4 (25.22M)

 

T-5 Sunday(264 showings): 3392(+613)/36922 ATP: $15.15

2.66x Scream T-5 (17.21M)

Edited July 19, 2022 by Inceptionzq

[Menor the Destroyer]

Nope Marcus Theaters T-3 (from last night):

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 414 (+169 in 23 hr)

Seats Sold: 2982/58856 (+653 in 23 hr)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 866 

Seats Sold: 4302/120288

 

I don't exactly have proper comps for this but Thursday seems to be ~60% of Minions 2 as of now in both numbers and pace. 

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 7/18/2022 at 11:00 PM, Eric the Tethered said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	945	15520	6.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 205

 

Comp

0.584x of F9 T-3 (4.14M)

0.783x of Space Jam 2 Monday Before Release (10.26M)

4.004x of Candyman T-3 (7.61M)

0.886x of Halloween Kills T-3 (4.29M)

1.183x of Scream T-3 (4.14M)

2.540x of The Black Phone T-3 (7.62M)

 

Finally get to use a Candyman comp, which is super, duper positive, and I threw in Black Phone for kicks. Either way, things are looking quite positive.

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	1255	18977	6.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 310

 

Comp

0.648x of F9 T-2 (4.6M)

0.766x of Space Jam 2 Tuesday Before Release (10.04M)

3.628x of Candyman T-2 (6.21M)

0.932x of Halloween Kills T-2 (4.52M)

1.178x of Scream T-2 (4.12M)

2.566x of The Black Phone T-2 (7.7M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 7/18/2022 at 11:03 PM, Eric the Tethered said:

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	42	42	6629	0.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp

0.712x of Jungle Cruise T-10 (1.92M)

0.192x of Minions 2 T-10 (2.06M)

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	42	48	6629	0.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.706x of Jungle Cruise T-9 (1.91M)

0.210x of Minions 2 T-9 (2.25M)

[Porthos]

On 7/18/2022 at 11:32 PM, Porthos said:

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	108	15099	16315	1216	7.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

260

 

T-3 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	135.87		144	895		0/100	15314/16209	5.52%		2352	51.70%		5.57m
LTBC	40.04		576	3037		0/216	28173/31210	9.73%		7712	15.77%		4.64m
NTTD	64.65		178	1881		0/157	21272/23153	8.12%		3737	32.54%		4.01m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Nope's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-3 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	56.42		257	2063		0/122	15198/17261	11.95%		4407	26.41%		4.19m
Nope (adj)	—		242	1164		0/94	12940/14104	8.25%		—	—		—

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Nope (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     246/3959  [6.21% sold]
Matinee:      71/859  [8.27% | 5.84% of all tickets sold]

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	145	18685	20234	1549	7.66%

 

Total Showings Added Today	37
Total Seats Added Today	3919
Total Seats Sold Today	333

 

T-2 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	145.86		167	1062		0/105	15390/16452	6.46%		2352	65.86%		5.98m
LTBC	41.25		718	3755		0/241	29214/32969	11.39%		7712	20.09%		4.79m
NTTD	69.46		349	2230		0/176	22255/24485	9.11%		3737	41.45%		4.31m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Nope's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-2 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	59.55		397	2460		0/143	15720/18180	13.53%		4407	33.24%		4.43m
Nope (adj)	—		301	1465		0/131	16558/18023	8.13%		—	—		—

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Nope (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     304/6634  [4.58% sold]
Matinee:    92/1554  [5.92% | 5.94% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Still suffering from, you know, not actually having any good comps for Nope.  FWIW, on a lark I checked against Minions 2 and got 6.09m which is... Huh.  Also checked against Morbius and got 4.63m.  Might rope some more films in at T-1 and T-0, if only to try to capture adult skewing flicks.   As it is, just have to see where it lands.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/19/2022 at 7:15 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Easter Sunday	T-16	Jax	6	15	0	5	2,232	0.22%
		Phx	4	12	0	7	1,503	0.47%
		Ral	7	15	0	0	1,695	0.00%
	Total		17	42	0	12	5,430	0.22%
Nope	T-2	Jax	6	49	81	300	8,253	3.64%
		Phx	6	28	63	356	5,512	6.46%
		Ral	8	43	71	376	4,972	7.56%
ATP: 14.56	Total		20	120	215	1,032	18,737	5.51%
Super Pets	T-9	Jax	6	38	3	15	4,934	0.30%
		Phx	5	23	4	25	3,483	0.72%
		Ral	7	23	5	15	3,340	0.45%
ATP: 12.57	Total		18	84	12	55	11,757	0.47%
Vengeance	T-9	Jax	3	4	1	3	286	1.05%
		Phx	4	8	0	3	992	0.30%
		Ral	4	4	0	1	317	0.32%
	Total		11	16	1	7	1,595	0.44%

 

Nope T-2 comps

 - Ghostbusters - .946x (3.925m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 1.414x (5.796m)

 - F9 - .596x (4.235m)

 - Morbius - .728x (4.15m)

 - Dune - .685x (3.49m)

 - Halloween Kills - .927x (4.5m)

 - Venom 2 - .509x (5.9m)

 

Super Pets T-9 comps

 - Minions 2 - .146x (1.56m)

 - Sonic 2 - .116x (578k)

 - Bad Guys - 1.34x (1.54m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .451x (1.22m)

 - Paws of Fury - 1.667x (842k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Easter Sunday	T-15	Jax	6	15	0	5	2,232	0.22%
		Phx	4	12	0	7	1,503	0.47%
		Ral	7	15	0	0	1,695	0.00%
	Total		17	42	0	12	5,430	0.22%
Nope	T-1	Jax	6	49	101	401	8,357	4.80%
		Phx	6	38	129	485	6,316	7.68%
		Ral	8	45	104	480	5,067	9.47%
	Total		20	132	334	1,366	19,740	6.92%
Super Pets	T-8	Jax	6	38	3	18	4,934	0.36%
		Phx	6	25	11	36	3,725	0.97%
		Ral	7	23	2	17	3,340	0.51%
	Total		19	86	16	71	11,999	0.59%
Vengeance	T-8	Jax	3	4	0	3	286	1.05%
		Phx	5	10	3	6	1,122	0.53%
		Ral	4	4	2	3	317	0.95%
	Total		12	18	5	12	1,725	0.70%

 

Nope T-1 comps

 - Ghostbusters - .975x (4.046m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 1.426x (5.85m)

 - F9 - .626x (4.447m)

 - Morbius - .789x (4.5m)

 - Dune - .775x (3.95m)

 - Halloween Kills - .967x (4.69m)

 - Venom 2 - .517x (5.99m)

 

 

Here's a look behind the curtain at my comp sheet.  Everything is automated from my tracking sheet so all I do is select the movie, comps and day from drop downs.  Added pace formulas today to look at growth rate for three day increments.  I don't think anything is really jumping out for Nope; seems to be following pretty close to the ranges of the others.  (note that the 100% increase for HK was for a missed day going from 0 to whatever number).   I'm expecting mid 4's right now for preview number pending a crazy last two days.

 

Super Pets T-8 comps

 - Minions 2 - .178x (1.91m)

 - Sonic 2 - .138x (688k)

 - Bad Guys - 1.29x (1.48m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .538x (1.45m)

 - Paws of Fury - 2.09x (1.05m)

[Tinalera]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	145	18685	20234	1549	7.66%

 

Total Showings Added Today	37
Total Seats Added Today	3919
Total Seats Sold Today	333

 

T-2 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	145.86		167	1062		0/105	15390/16452	6.46%		2352	65.86%		5.98m
LTBC	41.25		718	3755		0/241	29214/32969	11.39%		7712	20.09%		4.79m
NTTD	69.46		349	2230		0/176	22255/24485	9.11%		3737	41.45%		4.31m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Nope's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-2 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	59.55		397	2460		0/143	15720/18180	13.53%		4407	33.24%		4.43m
Nope (adj)	—		301	1465		0/131	16558/18023	8.13%		—	—		—

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Nope (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     304/6634  [4.58% sold]
Matinee:    92/1554  [5.92% | 5.94% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Still suffering from, you know, not actually having any good comps for Nope.  FWIW, on a lark I checked against Minions 2 and got 6.09m which is... Huh.  Also checked against Morbius and got 4.63m.  Might rope some more films in at T-1 and T-0, if only to try to capture adult skewing flicks.   As it is, just have to see where it lands.

 

Interesting thought from a friend of mine when he was discussing Nope trailers-he said "Its weird, I go between really interested in seeing it to not wanting to anything to do with it back to really interested." He might be an outlier, but he's usually pretty good at having a solid opinion one way or another about how a movie trailer plays out. Have to wonder if for others its also this "uncertainty" about whether they like trailer or not.

[Tinalera]

30 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Easter Sunday	T-15	Jax	6	15	0	5	2,232	0.22%
		Phx	4	12	0	7	1,503	0.47%
		Ral	7	15	0	0	1,695	0.00%
	Total		17	42	0	12	5,430	0.22%
Nope	T-1	Jax	6	49	101	401	8,357	4.80%
		Phx	6	38	129	485	6,316	7.68%
		Ral	8	45	104	480	5,067	9.47%
	Total		20	132	334	1,366	19,740	6.92%
Super Pets	T-8	Jax	6	38	3	18	4,934	0.36%
		Phx	6	25	11	36	3,725	0.97%
		Ral	7	23	2	17	3,340	0.51%
	Total		19	86	16	71	11,999	0.59%
Vengeance	T-8	Jax	3	4	0	3	286	1.05%
		Phx	5	10	3	6	1,122	0.53%
		Ral	4	4	2	3	317	0.95%
	Total		12	18	5	12	1,725	0.70%

 

Nope T-1 comps

 - Ghostbusters - .975x (4.046m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 1.426x (5.85m)

 - F9 - .626x (4.447m)

 - Morbius - .789x (4.5m)

 - Dune - .775x (3.95m)

 - Halloween Kills - .967x (4.69m)

 - Venom 2 - .517x (5.99m)

 

 

Here's a look behind the curtain at my comp sheet.  Everything is automated from my tracking sheet so all I do is select the movie, comps and day from drop downs.  Added pace formulas today to look at growth rate for three day increments.  I don't think anything is really jumping out for Nope; seems to be following pretty close to the ranges of the others.  (note that the 100% increase for HK was for a missed day going from 0 to whatever number).   I'm expecting mid 4's right now for preview number pending a crazy last two days.

 

Super Pets T-8 comps

 - Minions 2 - .178x (1.91m)

 - Sonic 2 - .138x (688k)

 - Bad Guys - 1.29x (1.48m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .538x (1.45m)

 - Paws of Fury - 2.09x (1.05m)

Thats impressive spreadsheet wizardry (for me anyway)! Thats really cool . Im at the stage Im just learning the tricks of copy/paste for formulas lol.

[Eric Loves Rey]

 

[M37]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

Still suffering from, you know, not actually having any good comps for Nope.  FWIW, on a lark I checked against Minions 2 and got 6.09m which is... Huh.  Also checked against Morbius and got 4.63m.  Might rope some more films in at T-1 and T-0, if only to try to capture adult skewing flicks.   As it is, just have to see where it lands.

Assuming the sample is the same, could include your quick & dirty Halloween Kills figures as a comp too.  At T-2, would be 1.49x = $7.28M

 

24 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Nope T-1 comps

 - Ghostbusters - .975x (4.046m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 1.426x (5.85m)

 - F9 - .626x (4.447m)

 - Morbius - .789x (4.5m)

 - Dune - .775x (3.95m)

 - Halloween Kills - .967x (4.69m)

 - Venom 2 - .517x (5.99m)

 

 

Here's a look behind the curtain at my comp sheet.  Everything is automated from my tracking sheet so all I do is select the movie, comps and day from drop downs.  Added pace formulas today to look at growth rate for three day increments.  I don't think anything is really jumping out for Nope; seems to be following pretty close to the ranges of the others.  (note that the 100% increase for HK was for a missed day going from 0 to whatever number).   I'm expecting mid 4's right now for preview number pending a crazy last two days.

Don't disagree with the analysis of your tracking sample, though will add that your markets had a fairly poor Sunday in comparison to other markets and prior films, which is lowering the 3-day average, but have then kept daily pace for the last two updates. Your sample vs Venom 2 would have been in the $7.5-$8.0M range for the week up through Friday sales, before dropping to a $5.9-$6.3M range since - a big and sudden decline, but has since held there, not continued to decline. It was such an anomaly I wonder if something didn't happen behind the scenes, like an IMAX showing got cancelled and re-scheduled as an IMAX Live event, so those sales were lost and had to be repurchased.

 

Nope is a weird/hybrid release, in that we can find comps to match sales pace, but there is wide variation in market performance vs those comps, due IMO to it being less of traditional horror/GA film, and a bit more highbrow [?? - chose your own adjective here], which pulls in a different audience that is more likely to pre-buy early, but not evenly distributed among tracking samples. Also, the much longer sales period probably plays a role too, as most of these final days high pace films had sales windows of 17 days or less

 

That big range in markets is why I've couched my comments a bit this week, because the pace is very good overall, but enough weaker data points to be less confident in the final outcome. We'll see how reviews look today, but my working estimate is $6-$7M previews

[Tinalera]

advance tickets have started for Super Pets for Cineplex (yea we always get the late start lol)

[katnisscinnaplex]

10 minutes ago, M37 said:

Your sample vs Venom 2 would have been in the $7.5-$8.0M range for the week up through Friday sales, before dropping to a $5.9-$6.3M range since - a big and sudden decline, but has since held there, not continued to decline. It was such an anomaly I wonder if something didn't happen behind the scenes, like an IMAX showing got cancelled and re-scheduled as an IMAX Live event, so those sales were lost and had to be repurchased.

 

The large comp for Venom is part of the reason I didn't add it until later.  I think the extremely early sales window inflated a lot of the comps until they caught up to near the same range.  I'd be pretty surprised with a number over $6m at this point, but I'm okay with being surprised in that way.  

 

As for the anomaly, I record the sales for each showtime and I can say for sure that nothing like that happened in my areas.  I only remember one show being removed and it had 0 tickets sold up to that point.  I've been checking the IMAX live event on and off and there are still no shows for it at the theaters in my areas.   Hopefully things improve the next two days but I'm not holding my breath.

Edited July 20, 2022 by katnisscinnaplex

[charlie Jatinder]

On 7/18/2022 at 1:50 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Nope Harkins T-4 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
167	46,917	895	1.91%	$12,447	$13.91

 

Comps

0.499x of Minions - $5.6M (adj for ATP)

1.744x of Where the Crawdads Sing - $4M

 

Not good signs dropping against Crawdads like that. It can still explode like The Black Phone and US on final day, so let's see.

Nope Harkins T-2 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
168	47,155	1,681	3.56%	$22,711	$13.51

 

Comps

1.82x of Where the Crawdads Sing - $4.2M

2.36x of The Black Phone - $7.08M

0.43x of Minions - $5M (adj for ATP)

 

Good jumps in last two days. Should be around 2700 by today and final number of 8-9K approx. That will be $4.75-5.5M.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/19/2022 at 7:30 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Nope	PLF	21	99	386	0	#DIV/0!	$15.68	$6,050.88
		Standard	33	58	150	160	93.75%	$11.09	$1,664.20
	Nope Total		54	157	536	160	335.00%	$14.39	$7,715.08

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Nope	N	44	150	468	160	292.50%	$15.01	$7,024.91
		Y	10	7	68	0	#DIV/0!	$10.15	$690.17
	Nope Total		54	157	536	160	335.00%	$14.39	$7,715.08

 

Nope T-2 comps

 - Crawdads - 2.17x (4.34m)

 - Morbius - .471x (2.69m)

 - Northman - 4.09x (5.52m)

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Nope	PLF	21	127	513	5,307	9.67%	$15.57	$7,986.02
		Standard	33	103	253	3,856	6.56%	$11.41	$2,886.52
	Nope Total		54	230	766	9,163	8.36%	$14.19	$10,872.54
T-2	Nope (Fri)	PLF	36	359	359	8,512	4.22%	$15.35	$5,512.03
		Standard	68	181	181	8,458	2.14%	$10.96	$1,984.08
	Nope (Fri) Total		104	540	540	16,970	3.18%	$13.88	$7,496.11

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Nope	N	44	210	678	7,260	9.34%	$14.68	$9,950.96
		Y	10	20	88	1,903	4.62%	$10.47	$921.58
	Nope Total		54	230	766	9,163	8.36%	$14.19	$10,872.54
T-2	Nope (Fri)	N	56	459	459	9,210	4.98%	$14.47	$6,643.27
		Y	48	81	81	7,760	1.04%	$10.53	$852.84
	Nope (Fri) Total		104	540	540	16,970	3.18%	$13.88	$7,496.11

 

Nope T-1 comps

 - Crawdads - 2.05x (4.1m)

 - Morbius - .537x (3.06m)

 - Northman - 4.82x (6.5m)

 

Friday sales are basically where previews were yesterday (536).  For the non CBM movies I had both at T-2 (TG and JW3), Friday sales were ahead by 36% and 34% respectively.  Not sure if that means anything for Nope, but I thought it was at least worth mentioning.

[Tinalera]

Nope 

SW/Toronto Ontario

 

 

NOPE	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	20	66	724	14268	14992	0.048292423
Fri	20	126	843	29987	30830	0.027343497

 

 

Comps

 

x .5117 Minions 2 (1.65 Million Canada only, 24.5 million Canada/US)

x. 1.705 Lightyear (1.27 million Canada only, 34.1 Million Canada/US)

x .0813 Thor 4(398 Thousand Canada only, 5.6 Million Canada/US)

x ..0636 Dr Strange 2 (394 thousand Canada only, 4.38 Million Canada/US)

 

As expected the usual Cineplex inventory dump for Fridays.

[Grebacio]

https://variety.com/2022/film/box-office/box-office-jordan-peele-nope-opening-weekend-projection-1235320089/

 

Variety predicts 45-55 for Nope

[filmlover]

Nope is definitely looking to be walkup-heavy at night because most theaters near me are putting it on 2-3 screens early in the day but having it on 6-7 by the end of the night for the weekend. 

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, M37 said:

Assuming the sample is the same, could include your quick & dirty Halloween Kills figures as a comp too.  At T-2, would be 1.49x = $7.28M

 

I don't ever save my "Quick and Dirty"'s, because, well, they're Quick and Dirty.    I'd have to trawl through the archived thread to grab the numbers and be able to provide comps for them.  Which, I suppose, I might end up doing sometime today (if only to see if I actually have good times/data for T-1/T-0).

Edited July 20, 2022 by Porthos